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Yong95

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- Yong95Yong95
  ·2022-07-06
  Ok
  Tiger Chart | How Will U.S. Stocks Perform in H2 of the Year After a Bad H1?
  Worst start after Great Depression in around 100 years; Corporate fundamentals should exhibit relati
  Tiger Chart | How Will U.S. Stocks Perform in H2 of the Year After a Bad H1?
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- Yong95Yong95
  ·2022-07-01
  Ok
  The S&P 500 Had Its Worst First Half Since 1970. What Comes Next
  The S&P 500 has posted its worst first half of a year since Richard Nixon’s presidency, and many inv
  The S&P 500 Had Its Worst First Half Since 1970. What Comes Next
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- Yong95Yong95
  ·2022-06-17
  Ok
  US STOCKS-Wall Street Plunges As Recession Fears Grow
  (Reuters) - U.S. stock indexes closed sharply lower on Thursday in a broad sell-off as recession fea
  US STOCKS-Wall Street Plunges As Recession Fears Grow
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- Yong95Yong95
  ·2022-06-17
  Liek
  Time Travel with Tiger, Join the Memorabilia Adventure Now!!!
  @TigerEvents：
  Happy Birthday to TIGER!!! This year, we have prepared a time machine to go on an adventure with you. Come and find surprising gifts as we stroll down memory lane!There are so many wonderful little stories in our Tiger Quest. Collect as many coins as you can in the game, these will be your basic points of this game. Apart from one mini-game mission for SG/AU/NZ, the games will be open every week, and there are endless treasures waiting for you to discover. Points can be redeemed for multiple rewards, and you can win a share of up to USD 200,000 worth of prizes! Want to win extra points? Check out these mini-games, try them, stay with us and be PAWSITIVE!Remember to collect the cards and spell out "T.I.G.E.R" during your journey for a chance to receive the limited edition 8th Anniversary Gi
  Time Travel with Tiger, Join the Memorabilia Adventure Now!!!
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- Yong95Yong95
  ·2021-07-16
  Leave like and comment pls
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- Yong95Yong95
  ·2021-06-28
  Leave me a like and comment ty
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- Yong95Yong95
  ·2021-06-20
  Like and comment pls
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- Yong95Yong95
  ·2021-06-19
  Like and comment pls
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- Yong95Yong95
  ·2021-04-20
  Buy
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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1657072832,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1185859082?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-06 10:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tiger Chart | How Will U.S. Stocks Perform in H2 of the Year After a Bad H1?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185859082","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Worst start after Great Depression in around 100 years; Corporate fundamentals should exhibit relati","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Worst start after Great Depression in around 100 years; Corporate fundamentals should exhibit relative resilience for the rest of the year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7830b975cfd79c7d60ae8df1cbdc1722\" tg-width=\"1500\" tg-height=\"1145\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Equity sentiment, investor positioning and market internals have been bearish, resulting in the worst annual start for equities in around 100 years, with the exception of the Great Depression. Portfolios are defensively positioned for a recessionary outcome and corporate fundamentals should exhibit relative resilience for the rest of the year, despite some softness in corporate guidance.</p><p>“We believe the fundamental risk-reward for equities will be improving as we enter the second half of the year, with growth-policy tradeoff likely to turn, from both sides,”said Dubravko Lakos-Bujas, Global Head of Equity Macro Research at J.P. Morgan.</p><p>Mid-to-high single digit growth rate is expected for S&amp;P 500 earnings per share (EPS) in 2022, with J.P. Morgan estimates at $225 (vs. consensus $229.58). Growth should moderate in 2023 with negative revisions to EPS driven by slight margin compression and U.S. dollar headwinds.</p><p>Equity markets typically have large drawdowns during a hiking cycle, with an average sell-off of -16% in the 13 cycles since 1954. The -25% drawdown so far in this cycle is comparable to 1986-89 cycle (-32.6%, Black Monday, recession came after three and a half years from the start of the cycle). Anything short of a recession will likely catch most investors completely wrong-footed, especially after broad correction that resulted in the average stock drawdown around 80% of the way to prior recession bottoms.</p><p>“At the current juncture defensive stocks possess valuation risk while flushed out cyclicals / growth / small-caps are presenting an increasingly attractive risk/reward. Our highest conviction sector call remains energy (strong fundamentals, still attractive valuation, rising shareholder return and geopolitical/inflation hedge),”added Lakos-Bujas.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tiger Chart | How Will U.S. Stocks Perform in H2 of the Year After a Bad H1?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTiger Chart | How Will U.S. Stocks Perform in H2 of the Year After a Bad H1?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-06 10:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Worst start after Great Depression in around 100 years; Corporate fundamentals should exhibit relative resilience for the rest of the year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7830b975cfd79c7d60ae8df1cbdc1722\" tg-width=\"1500\" tg-height=\"1145\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Equity sentiment, investor positioning and market internals have been bearish, resulting in the worst annual start for equities in around 100 years, with the exception of the Great Depression. Portfolios are defensively positioned for a recessionary outcome and corporate fundamentals should exhibit relative resilience for the rest of the year, despite some softness in corporate guidance.</p><p>“We believe the fundamental risk-reward for equities will be improving as we enter the second half of the year, with growth-policy tradeoff likely to turn, from both sides,”said Dubravko Lakos-Bujas, Global Head of Equity Macro Research at J.P. Morgan.</p><p>Mid-to-high single digit growth rate is expected for S&amp;P 500 earnings per share (EPS) in 2022, with J.P. Morgan estimates at $225 (vs. consensus $229.58). Growth should moderate in 2023 with negative revisions to EPS driven by slight margin compression and U.S. dollar headwinds.</p><p>Equity markets typically have large drawdowns during a hiking cycle, with an average sell-off of -16% in the 13 cycles since 1954. The -25% drawdown so far in this cycle is comparable to 1986-89 cycle (-32.6%, Black Monday, recession came after three and a half years from the start of the cycle). Anything short of a recession will likely catch most investors completely wrong-footed, especially after broad correction that resulted in the average stock drawdown around 80% of the way to prior recession bottoms.</p><p>“At the current juncture defensive stocks possess valuation risk while flushed out cyclicals / growth / small-caps are presenting an increasingly attractive risk/reward. Our highest conviction sector call remains energy (strong fundamentals, still attractive valuation, rising shareholder return and geopolitical/inflation hedge),”added Lakos-Bujas.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185859082","content_text":"Worst start after Great Depression in around 100 years; Corporate fundamentals should exhibit relative resilience for the rest of the year.Equity sentiment, investor positioning and market internals have been bearish, resulting in the worst annual start for equities in around 100 years, with the exception of the Great Depression. Portfolios are defensively positioned for a recessionary outcome and corporate fundamentals should exhibit relative resilience for the rest of the year, despite some softness in corporate guidance.“We believe the fundamental risk-reward for equities will be improving as we enter the second half of the year, with growth-policy tradeoff likely to turn, from both sides,”said Dubravko Lakos-Bujas, Global Head of Equity Macro Research at J.P. Morgan.Mid-to-high single digit growth rate is expected for S&P 500 earnings per share (EPS) in 2022, with J.P. Morgan estimates at $225 (vs. consensus $229.58). Growth should moderate in 2023 with negative revisions to EPS driven by slight margin compression and U.S. dollar headwinds.Equity markets typically have large drawdowns during a hiking cycle, with an average sell-off of -16% in the 13 cycles since 1954. The -25% drawdown so far in this cycle is comparable to 1986-89 cycle (-32.6%, Black Monday, recession came after three and a half years from the start of the cycle). Anything short of a recession will likely catch most investors completely wrong-footed, especially after broad correction that resulted in the average stock drawdown around 80% of the way to prior recession bottoms.“At the current juncture defensive stocks possess valuation risk while flushed out cyclicals / growth / small-caps are presenting an increasingly attractive risk/reward. Our highest conviction sector call remains energy (strong fundamentals, still attractive valuation, rising shareholder return and geopolitical/inflation hedge),”added Lakos-Bujas.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2827,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9045446199,"gmtCreate":1656647626611,"gmtModify":1676535870985,"author":{"id":"3581928528909778","authorId":"3581928528909778","name":"Yong95","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/acae3d1eee3f7e38e381c3877cb516ca","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581928528909778","idStr":"3581928528909778"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9045446199","repostId":"2248856462","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2248856462","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1656630900,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2248856462?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-01 07:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The S&P 500 Had Its Worst First Half Since 1970. What Comes Next","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2248856462","media":"Barrons","summary":"The S&P 500 has posted its worst first half of a year since Richard Nixon’s presidency, and many inv","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The S&amp;P 500 has posted its worst first half of a year since Richard Nixon’s presidency, and many investors worry it has yet to hit bottom.</p><p>In the first six months of 2022, the widely followed large-cap index has tumbled 20.6% amid expectations of high inflation and a hawkish Federal Reserve, whose rate-hike plans could push the U.S. economy into recession. The last time the S&amp;P 500 fell this much in the first half was in 1970, according to Dow Jones markets data.</p><p>Investor sentiment has tumbled along with stock prices, and many market analysts expect the S&amp;P 500 to slide some more.The 12 bear markets since World War II—not including the current one—lasted an average of 10 months from market peak to trough, with an average drop of 34%.If the current bear market were to follow this pattern, it wouldn’t hit bottom until October.</p><p>Even so, a rebound, when it comes, could be dramatic. Markets tend to perform the best when investors are the gloomiest.</p><p>With its 20.6% loss year to date, the S&amp;P 500 posted its fourth-worst first-half performance on record, only behind 1932, 1962, and 1970, when it lost 45.4%, 23.5%, and 21.0%, respectively.</p><p>Other corners of the stock market are suffering even more. The small-cap benchmark Russell 2000 indexis down 24% year to date, its worst first half since inception in 1984. That is a much larger drop than the previous records—the 14% fall in the first half of 2020 due to the pandemic shock and the 10% loss in the first half of 2008 amid the global financial crisis.</p><p>Meanwhile, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite has plunged 29.5% year to date, also the worst first half of a year on record since its inception in 1971. The sharp fall has outpaced the 25% drop in the first half of 2002 at the height of the dot-com bubble burst, and the 24% loss in the first half of 1973 after the U.S. stopped exchanging dollars for gold and saw a prolonged period of inflation.</p><p>Tech companies are experiencing a particularly steep dive, but there is hardly any corner of refuge in the stock market. The recession fear has pushed 10 out of 11 sectors into the red territory, led by consumer discretionary and communication services—things people often cut first when they need to tighten the belt. Consumer discretionary stocks in the S&amp;P 500 have fallen 33%, while communications services are down 30%.</p><p>Energy stocks were the only ones that posted gains in the first half on the back of soaring oil prices, but even that sector has lost its momentum since June. Although energy companies are still pocketing record profits today, traders are quite aware that a recession would drag down demand, curb oil prices, and cut into their earnings. The S&amp;P 500’s energy sector has tumbled 22% in the past three weeks, but still trades 28% higher than where it was at the beginning of the year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4e2b054b20b2cf34312e2f14d032869\" tg-width=\"996\" tg-height=\"647\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Although the overall market has performed better in the past two weeks, many are worried that things could take a worse turn in the second half of the year.</p><p>As of last week, 59% of investors were bearish about where the market is heading in the next six months, only 18% were bullish, according to a weekly sentiment survey from the American Association of Individual Investors. The bearish reading was the sixth highest since the survey started in 1987. At the beginning of June, just 37% were bearish while 32% remained bullish.</p><p>The fear of a lower market is largely due to anticipations of weaker earnings in the coming months. According to Bank of America’s global fund manager survey in June, 72% of investors expect global profits to worsen over the next 12 months, up 6 percentage points from May and the highest level since September 2008. Investors are telling companies to “play it safe” and strengthen their balance sheets, rather than increase capital expenditure or deliver share buybacks.</p><p>“The bear market will not be over until recession arrives or the risk of one is extinguished,” wrote Morgan Stanley chief U.S. equity strategist Mike Wilson last week. A full-fledged recession could push the S&amp;P 500 to bottom near 2900, or more than 23% below its current level, according to Wilson.</p><p>Other Wall Street giants have similar expectations. Goldman Sachs strategists said stocks are only pricing in a modest recession, leaving them open to a further worsening in expectations. Bank of America said the S&amp;P 500 could bottom as low as 3000 in a worst-case scenario.</p><p>If there is any silver lining to these dim expectations, it’s worth noting that investor sentiment is often a contrarian indicator. Historically, unusually bearish sentiment—a sign of fearand cautious behaviors—tends to be followed by above-average market returns, while overly bullish sentiment—a sign of greed and risk taking—is often followed by below-average returns.</p><p>Indeed, during previous years when the S&amp;P 500 was down at least 15% at the midway point of the year, the index has finished higher in the final six months every single time, with an average return of nearly 24%. “Although most investors probably don’t feel like that is possible in 2022, just remember history says a surprise bullish move is possible,” wrote LPL Financial chief market strategist Ryan Detrick last week.</p><p>Citianalysts, for one, believe the second half of the year could bring “low double digit upside” gains in the S&amp;P 500. The market has mostly priced in the Fed’s planned rate hikes and their effects on stock valuations, wrote the analysts in a research note last week. Any signs of economic slowdown could help alleviate concerns about inflation and more hawkish Fed moves.</p><p>Meanwhile, they believe that companies should have enough pricing power to pass the rising costs to consumers, which means margins might hold up better than expected. “Better-than-feared earnings and signs of peaking rates, combined with bearish investor positioning, support a positive [second half] risk/reward set up,” they wrote.</p><p>Although Citi has lowered its year-end target for the S&amp;P 500 to 4200 from 4700, it’s still much higher than many of its peers. The index finished at 3785.38 points after Thursday’s close.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The S&P 500 Had Its Worst First Half Since 1970. What Comes Next</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe S&P 500 Had Its Worst First Half Since 1970. What Comes Next\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-01 07:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-sp500-1970-outlook-51656620380?mod=hp_LEAD_1><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The S&P 500 has posted its worst first half of a year since Richard Nixon’s presidency, and many investors worry it has yet to hit bottom.In the first six months of 2022, the widely followed large-cap...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-sp500-1970-outlook-51656620380?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","QQQ":"纳指100ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-sp500-1970-outlook-51656620380?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2248856462","content_text":"The S&P 500 has posted its worst first half of a year since Richard Nixon’s presidency, and many investors worry it has yet to hit bottom.In the first six months of 2022, the widely followed large-cap index has tumbled 20.6% amid expectations of high inflation and a hawkish Federal Reserve, whose rate-hike plans could push the U.S. economy into recession. The last time the S&P 500 fell this much in the first half was in 1970, according to Dow Jones markets data.Investor sentiment has tumbled along with stock prices, and many market analysts expect the S&P 500 to slide some more.The 12 bear markets since World War II—not including the current one—lasted an average of 10 months from market peak to trough, with an average drop of 34%.If the current bear market were to follow this pattern, it wouldn’t hit bottom until October.Even so, a rebound, when it comes, could be dramatic. Markets tend to perform the best when investors are the gloomiest.With its 20.6% loss year to date, the S&P 500 posted its fourth-worst first-half performance on record, only behind 1932, 1962, and 1970, when it lost 45.4%, 23.5%, and 21.0%, respectively.Other corners of the stock market are suffering even more. The small-cap benchmark Russell 2000 indexis down 24% year to date, its worst first half since inception in 1984. That is a much larger drop than the previous records—the 14% fall in the first half of 2020 due to the pandemic shock and the 10% loss in the first half of 2008 amid the global financial crisis.Meanwhile, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite has plunged 29.5% year to date, also the worst first half of a year on record since its inception in 1971. The sharp fall has outpaced the 25% drop in the first half of 2002 at the height of the dot-com bubble burst, and the 24% loss in the first half of 1973 after the U.S. stopped exchanging dollars for gold and saw a prolonged period of inflation.Tech companies are experiencing a particularly steep dive, but there is hardly any corner of refuge in the stock market. The recession fear has pushed 10 out of 11 sectors into the red territory, led by consumer discretionary and communication services—things people often cut first when they need to tighten the belt. Consumer discretionary stocks in the S&P 500 have fallen 33%, while communications services are down 30%.Energy stocks were the only ones that posted gains in the first half on the back of soaring oil prices, but even that sector has lost its momentum since June. Although energy companies are still pocketing record profits today, traders are quite aware that a recession would drag down demand, curb oil prices, and cut into their earnings. The S&P 500’s energy sector has tumbled 22% in the past three weeks, but still trades 28% higher than where it was at the beginning of the year.Although the overall market has performed better in the past two weeks, many are worried that things could take a worse turn in the second half of the year.As of last week, 59% of investors were bearish about where the market is heading in the next six months, only 18% were bullish, according to a weekly sentiment survey from the American Association of Individual Investors. The bearish reading was the sixth highest since the survey started in 1987. At the beginning of June, just 37% were bearish while 32% remained bullish.The fear of a lower market is largely due to anticipations of weaker earnings in the coming months. According to Bank of America’s global fund manager survey in June, 72% of investors expect global profits to worsen over the next 12 months, up 6 percentage points from May and the highest level since September 2008. Investors are telling companies to “play it safe” and strengthen their balance sheets, rather than increase capital expenditure or deliver share buybacks.“The bear market will not be over until recession arrives or the risk of one is extinguished,” wrote Morgan Stanley chief U.S. equity strategist Mike Wilson last week. A full-fledged recession could push the S&P 500 to bottom near 2900, or more than 23% below its current level, according to Wilson.Other Wall Street giants have similar expectations. Goldman Sachs strategists said stocks are only pricing in a modest recession, leaving them open to a further worsening in expectations. Bank of America said the S&P 500 could bottom as low as 3000 in a worst-case scenario.If there is any silver lining to these dim expectations, it’s worth noting that investor sentiment is often a contrarian indicator. Historically, unusually bearish sentiment—a sign of fearand cautious behaviors—tends to be followed by above-average market returns, while overly bullish sentiment—a sign of greed and risk taking—is often followed by below-average returns.Indeed, during previous years when the S&P 500 was down at least 15% at the midway point of the year, the index has finished higher in the final six months every single time, with an average return of nearly 24%. “Although most investors probably don’t feel like that is possible in 2022, just remember history says a surprise bullish move is possible,” wrote LPL Financial chief market strategist Ryan Detrick last week.Citianalysts, for one, believe the second half of the year could bring “low double digit upside” gains in the S&P 500. The market has mostly priced in the Fed’s planned rate hikes and their effects on stock valuations, wrote the analysts in a research note last week. Any signs of economic slowdown could help alleviate concerns about inflation and more hawkish Fed moves.Meanwhile, they believe that companies should have enough pricing power to pass the rising costs to consumers, which means margins might hold up better than expected. “Better-than-feared earnings and signs of peaking rates, combined with bearish investor positioning, support a positive [second half] risk/reward set up,” they wrote.Although Citi has lowered its year-end target for the S&P 500 to 4200 from 4700, it’s still much higher than many of its peers. The index finished at 3785.38 points after Thursday’s close.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2408,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9057984824,"gmtCreate":1655450631968,"gmtModify":1676535642389,"author":{"id":"3581928528909778","authorId":"3581928528909778","name":"Yong95","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/acae3d1eee3f7e38e381c3877cb516ca","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581928528909778","idStr":"3581928528909778"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9057984824","repostId":"2244158148","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2244158148","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1655410891,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2244158148?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-17 04:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall Street Plunges As Recession Fears Grow","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2244158148","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - U.S. stock indexes closed sharply lower on Thursday in a broad sell-off as recession fea","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - U.S. stock indexes closed sharply lower on Thursday in a broad sell-off as recession fears grew following moves by central banks around the globe to stamp out rising inflation after the Federal Reserve&#39;s largest rate hike since 1994.</p><p>The benchmark S&amp;P 500 suffered its sixth decline in seven sessions. Stocks had rallied on Wednesday as the Fed delivered an aggressive 75 basis point rate hike, as expected, to help the index snap its longest daily losing streak since early January.</p><p>But rate hikes by Switzerland and Britain on Thursday reignited fears that attempts by central banks to curb inflation could lead to sharply slower growth worldwide or a recession.</p><p>&#34;That is what people reassessing today – what is the probability of a potential recession and will corporate profits come in where analysts estimates are or will those get taken down,&#34; said Tom Hainlin, global investment strategist at U.S. Bank Wealth Management&#39;s Ascent Private Wealth Group in Minneapolis.</p><p>&#34;The Swiss came out and surprised everybody today and said we are less worried about the strength of our currency and more worried about inflation.&#34;</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 741.46 points, or 2.42%, to 29,927.07, the S&amp;P 500 lost 123.22 points, or 3.25%, to 3,666.77 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 453.06 points, or 4.08%, to 10,646.10.</p><p>Each of the 11 major S&amp;P sectors were lower, although the defensive consumer staples was outperforming the broader market as names like WalMart, General Mills</p><p>and Procter &amp; Gamble were among the few advancers as only 14 S&amp;P 500 components finished higher for the session.</p><p>Growth stocks were hit hard with the S&amp;P growth index down 3.75% while the Nasdaq Composite saw its fifth decline of 4% or more since the start of May.</p><p>Hopes the Fed could engineer a soft economic landing are fading and Wells Fargo analysts now see a greater than 50% chance of a recession. Other banks that have warned of rising recession risks include Deutsche Bank and Morgan Stanley.</p><p>The benchmark index has slumped about 23% year-to-date and recently confirmed a bear market began on Jan. 3, while the Dow Industrials was on the cusp of confirming its own bear market.</p><p>The CBOE volatility index, also known as Wall Street&#39;s fear gauge, rose to slightly below the one-month high of 35.05 touched earlier this week. Many analysts are looking for the VIX to reach around 40 as one of the signals that selling pressure may be reaching its apex.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 13.98 billion shares, compared with the 12.16 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 7.58-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 4.48-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted one new 52-week high and 99 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded seven new highs and 779 new lows.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall Street Plunges As Recession Fears Grow</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall Street Plunges As Recession Fears Grow\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-17 04:21</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - U.S. stock indexes closed sharply lower on Thursday in a broad sell-off as recession fears grew following moves by central banks around the globe to stamp out rising inflation after the Federal Reserve&#39;s largest rate hike since 1994.</p><p>The benchmark S&amp;P 500 suffered its sixth decline in seven sessions. Stocks had rallied on Wednesday as the Fed delivered an aggressive 75 basis point rate hike, as expected, to help the index snap its longest daily losing streak since early January.</p><p>But rate hikes by Switzerland and Britain on Thursday reignited fears that attempts by central banks to curb inflation could lead to sharply slower growth worldwide or a recession.</p><p>&#34;That is what people reassessing today – what is the probability of a potential recession and will corporate profits come in where analysts estimates are or will those get taken down,&#34; said Tom Hainlin, global investment strategist at U.S. Bank Wealth Management&#39;s Ascent Private Wealth Group in Minneapolis.</p><p>&#34;The Swiss came out and surprised everybody today and said we are less worried about the strength of our currency and more worried about inflation.&#34;</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 741.46 points, or 2.42%, to 29,927.07, the S&amp;P 500 lost 123.22 points, or 3.25%, to 3,666.77 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 453.06 points, or 4.08%, to 10,646.10.</p><p>Each of the 11 major S&amp;P sectors were lower, although the defensive consumer staples was outperforming the broader market as names like WalMart, General Mills</p><p>and Procter &amp; Gamble were among the few advancers as only 14 S&amp;P 500 components finished higher for the session.</p><p>Growth stocks were hit hard with the S&amp;P growth index down 3.75% while the Nasdaq Composite saw its fifth decline of 4% or more since the start of May.</p><p>Hopes the Fed could engineer a soft economic landing are fading and Wells Fargo analysts now see a greater than 50% chance of a recession. Other banks that have warned of rising recession risks include Deutsche Bank and Morgan Stanley.</p><p>The benchmark index has slumped about 23% year-to-date and recently confirmed a bear market began on Jan. 3, while the Dow Industrials was on the cusp of confirming its own bear market.</p><p>The CBOE volatility index, also known as Wall Street&#39;s fear gauge, rose to slightly below the one-month high of 35.05 touched earlier this week. Many analysts are looking for the VIX to reach around 40 as one of the signals that selling pressure may be reaching its apex.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 13.98 billion shares, compared with the 12.16 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 7.58-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 4.48-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted one new 52-week high and 99 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded seven new highs and 779 new lows.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2244158148","content_text":"(Reuters) - U.S. stock indexes closed sharply lower on Thursday in a broad sell-off as recession fears grew following moves by central banks around the globe to stamp out rising inflation after the Federal Reserve's largest rate hike since 1994.The benchmark S&P 500 suffered its sixth decline in seven sessions. Stocks had rallied on Wednesday as the Fed delivered an aggressive 75 basis point rate hike, as expected, to help the index snap its longest daily losing streak since early January.But rate hikes by Switzerland and Britain on Thursday reignited fears that attempts by central banks to curb inflation could lead to sharply slower growth worldwide or a recession.\"That is what people reassessing today – what is the probability of a potential recession and will corporate profits come in where analysts estimates are or will those get taken down,\" said Tom Hainlin, global investment strategist at U.S. Bank Wealth Management's Ascent Private Wealth Group in Minneapolis.\"The Swiss came out and surprised everybody today and said we are less worried about the strength of our currency and more worried about inflation.\"The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 741.46 points, or 2.42%, to 29,927.07, the S&P 500 lost 123.22 points, or 3.25%, to 3,666.77 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 453.06 points, or 4.08%, to 10,646.10.Each of the 11 major S&P sectors were lower, although the defensive consumer staples was outperforming the broader market as names like WalMart, General Millsand Procter & Gamble were among the few advancers as only 14 S&P 500 components finished higher for the session.Growth stocks were hit hard with the S&P growth index down 3.75% while the Nasdaq Composite saw its fifth decline of 4% or more since the start of May.Hopes the Fed could engineer a soft economic landing are fading and Wells Fargo analysts now see a greater than 50% chance of a recession. Other banks that have warned of rising recession risks include Deutsche Bank and Morgan Stanley.The benchmark index has slumped about 23% year-to-date and recently confirmed a bear market began on Jan. 3, while the Dow Industrials was on the cusp of confirming its own bear market.The CBOE volatility index, also known as Wall Street's fear gauge, rose to slightly below the one-month high of 35.05 touched earlier this week. Many analysts are looking for the VIX to reach around 40 as one of the signals that selling pressure may be reaching its apex.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 13.98 billion shares, compared with the 12.16 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 7.58-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 4.48-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted one new 52-week high and 99 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded seven new highs and 779 new lows.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1798,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9057984150,"gmtCreate":1655450603170,"gmtModify":1676535642384,"author":{"id":"3581928528909778","authorId":"3581928528909778","name":"Yong95","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/acae3d1eee3f7e38e381c3877cb516ca","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581928528909778","idStr":"3581928528909778"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Liek","listText":"Liek","text":"Liek","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9057984150","repostId":"9022524674","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9022524674,"gmtCreate":1653552819200,"gmtModify":1676535303082,"author":{"id":"3527667667103859","authorId":"3527667667103859","name":"TigerEvents","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c266ef25181ace18bec1262357bbe1a8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667667103859","idStr":"3527667667103859"},"themes":[],"title":"Time Travel with Tiger, Join the Memorabilia Adventure Now!!!","htmlText":"\n \n \n  Happy Birthday to TIGER!!! 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