Shyon

🎓 Mechanical Engineer 📦 SCM Certification 📊 Technical Analysis 🌏 Investor 🇺🇸🇸🇬🇲🇾🇭🇰 Tesla

    • ShyonShyon
      ·09-18 14:04

      $100 OIL IS BACK — BUT IS THIS THE START OF A NEW ENERGY CYCLE?

      Oil back to $100 Oil prices are back above $100 a barrel, putting the market at a critical crossroads. For me, the most important question is not whether crude can reach $110 or $120, but how long it can stay above $100. Brent recently moved above $100 as Middle East supply risks intensified, while WTI also traded above $100. However, prices have already pulled back from their highs as concerns over supply disruptions eased. That tells me the market is still trying to determine whether this is a temporary shock or the beginning of a longer-lasting energy regime. 🔥 WINNERS: ENERGY STOCKS TAKE THE SPOTLIGHT Energy is the most obvious beneficiary of sustained high oil prices. Producers with strong balance sheets, disciplined capital spending and high free cash flow could see significant earni
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      $100 OIL IS BACK — BUT IS THIS THE START OF A NEW ENERGY CYCLE?
    • ShyonShyon
      ·09-18 13:45
      For me, the 25bp BOJ hike is not the biggest issue. What matters is how far the BOJ goes and whether the yen strengthens quickly. Japan has been a major source of low-cost funding, so further hikes could make the yen carry trade less attractive. I would watch closely if USD/JPY moves below 150. I do not think this automatically means global tech stocks will fall. Japan’s rate is still relatively low, and gradual normalization should be manageable. The bigger risk is a sudden carry-trade unwind, forcing investors to reduce exposure across U.S. tech, bonds and other high-beta assets. For now, I am watching BOJ guidance, USD/JPY and whether Japanese investors bring capital back home as domestic yields rise. If these signals move together, this could become a global liquidity story. I would s

      Japan Hikes Rates: Is the Cheap-Yen Era Ending?

      @Tiger_comments
      The Bank of Japan has raised its policy rate by 25 basis points to 1.25%, the highest level in 31 years. The move passed by a 7-2 vote and was broadly expected by markets. The bigger question now is not the 1.25% level itself, but how far the BOJ is prepared to go from here. This matters far beyond Japan. For years, the yen has been one of the world’s cheapest funding currencies. Investors could borrow at very low Japanese rates and move that capital into higher-yielding assets elsewhere — U.S. stocks, bonds, emerging-market currencies and other risk assets. That is the basic logic behind the yen carry trade. As Japanese rates rise, that trade becomes less attractive. If the yen also strengthens, investors face both higher funding costs and FX losses. That is why every BOJ tightening cycle
      Japan Hikes Rates: Is the Cheap-Yen Era Ending?
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    • ShyonShyon
      ·09-17 23:56
      My answers are as below:   1. Amazon + 6   2. Microsoft + 3   3. Alphabet + 8   4. Meta + 4   5. Starbucks + 6   6. Apple + 2   7. Tesla + 5   8. Nvidia + 7 @SPACE ROCKET @MillionaireTiger
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    • ShyonShyon
      ·09-17 23:41
      I would pick B — Stocks. A 5% Treasury yield is definitely attractive, especially with less volatility and more predictable returns. But for my investment horizon, I still prefer equities because strong businesses can continue growing earnings and compounding over many years. The key for me is not whether 5% looks good today, but what I can potentially earn over the next 5–10 years. AI, semiconductors, cloud infrastructure and automation are still driving major investment cycles, so I am willing to accept some short-term volatility for higher long-term growth potential. That said, I would not chase stocks blindly at these valuations. I prefer to stay patient, collect quality companies during pullbacks, and keep some cash available for better opportunities. For me, it is about consistency
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    • ShyonShyon
      ·09-17 14:42
      My answer is C. A new investor who is unfamiliar with margin calls and cannot absorb significant losses should be the most cautious about upgrading to a margin account. For me, understanding how margin works is more important than simply qualifying for the account. I see margin as a tool for flexibility rather than simply a way to increase my position size. It can be useful for settlement timing, multi-currency financing or other strategies, but leverage also increases the impact of losses. If I cannot comfortably manage margin interest, FX exposure and potential margin calls, I would rather stay with a cash account. For me, the key is risk management. Before using margin, I would make sure I understand the requirements, maintain sufficient reserves and have a clear plan to manage financi
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    • ShyonShyon
      ·09-17 09:02
      For me, the biggest takeaway from James Early is the “capybara” mindset. I do not want to react to every headline about debt, rates or AI. I would rather stay calm, focus on the bigger picture and let the market create opportunities through short-term overreactions. I am also interested in his view that AI leadership could broaden beyond the Mag 7. I still believe AI infrastructure and semiconductors have strong long-term potential, but I think stock selection will become increasingly important as the market becomes more selective. Earnings growth outside the biggest names is something I will keep watching. Overall, I agree with the idea of focusing on durable business economics rather than trying to predict every macro move. Markets will always have noise, but my approach is to stay pati
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    • ShyonShyon
      ·09-17 00:29
      $Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ Hi Tigers, after the recent pullback in semiconductors, I am continuing to collect Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares(SOXL) gradually. I know SOXL is a 3x leveraged ETF and comes with much higher volatility and decay, so I am not treating it as a short-term trade. For me, the recent weakness is creating a better entry point after the sector became overheated. Instead of chasing when sentiment is strong, I prefer to use pullbacks to build my position step by step. My semiconductor thesis has not changed. AI continues to require more GPUs, CPUs, networking chips, memory and advanced semiconductor infrastructure. The growth of AI data centers is also increasing demand for HBM, DRAM, N
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    • ShyonShyon
      ·09-16 18:28
      For me, the most useful takeaway is that headlines can hide what is really happening underneath. The labor market is a good example. Positive NFP can still mask weakness in white-collar sectors, so I prefer looking at the details rather than relying only on the headline. I also agree that the Fed and 30-year Treasury yield should be watched together. A Fed cut does not automatically mean long-term yields will fall, especially with inflation, debt and bond supply still important. If the two signals diverge, I would rather stay patient than make an aggressive trade. The calm VIX with large individual stock moves is also interesting. Even when the S&P 500 looks stable, individual names can still move significantly. For my approach, that means focusing more on company fundamentals and val
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    • ShyonShyon
      ·09-16 18:27
      For me, the 25bp hike is already largely priced in, so the real focus is on Warsh’s guidance and the dot plot. I want to see whether the Fed treats this as a one-off adjustment or signals that more tightening may be needed. The direction of the 2026 and 2027 rate projections could matter more than the hike itself. I am also watching the 10-year Treasury yield closely. If the Fed stays hawkish and yields move back above 5%, high-growth tech and other long-duration assets could face more valuation pressure. The dollar could strengthen as well, while gold and Bitcoin may become more volatile depending on liquidity and risk sentiment. Personally, I am not planning to react aggressively to the headline rate decision. I would rather wait for the dot plot and press conference before making any c
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    • ShyonShyon
      ·09-16 18:23
      For me, the 25bp hike is no longer the main story because it is largely priced in. I am more interested in the dot plot and how Chair Warsh frames the path ahead. If the Fed signals higher-for-longer rates, growth stocks and semiconductors could face renewed valuation pressure. My base case remains 25bp, but I am watching whether the 2026 and 2027 rate paths move higher. If the dot plot stays contained and guidance remains data-dependent, the market could see a “sell the rumor, buy the fact” reaction. A higher rate path, however, could keep Treasury yields and the dollar firm. Personally, I am not making a major move based on the headline alone. I would rather wait for the dot plot and press conference before deciding whether this is another tightening cycle or simply a one-off adjustment
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