Shyon

🎓 Mechanical Engineer 📦 SCM Certification 📊 Technical Analysis 🌏 Investor 🇺🇸🇸🇬🇲🇾🇭🇰 Tesla

    • ShyonShyon
      ·04-03 23:52
      This Easter, my basket isn’t full of chocolates… it’s full of emotional damage 😅 🥚 Most dramatic stock: TSLA — one day I feel like a genius, next day I question my entire life strategy. The volatility is unreal. 🥚 Biggest letdown: SOFI — had high hopes for its growth story, but it just kept underdelivering. Every rally felt short-lived, and the patience is really being tested. 🥚 Best fake comeback: SOXL — every time it starts to run, I think “this is it”… then boom, back down again. 🥚 Still holding for no reason: TME — honestly, I don’t even know why I’m still holding. It’s just… there. Not exciting, not terrible, just stuck in limbo. 🥚 The stock that ruined my peace: UOB — this one really plays with my emotions. Looks stable, but somehow still manages to stress me out with its slow grind
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    • ShyonShyon
      ·04-02 18:07
      The recent whiplash shows how fragile sentiment is right now. Just yesterday, I was watching the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ rally on easing oil and strong moves in semis like $Intel(INTC)$ , SanDisk & $Micron Technology(MU)$ —only to see everything reverse as oil spiked again. To me, that confirms macro is back in control, with tech reacting more to oil and rates than fundamentals. I still see this as a valuation reset, not a structural breakdown. Memory fundamentals remain solid, with stable pricing and rising earnings expectations. That suggests we’re in a mid-cycle correction driven by multiple compression, not a late-cycle downturn where fundamentals deteriorate
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    • ShyonShyon
      ·04-02 13:35
      When Warren Buffett says “this is nothing,” I actually agree. If you zoom out on the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ , this feels more like a sentiment reset than real capitulation. To me, a “big decline” means another 10–20% down, with genuine panic—forced selling, liquidity stress, and valuations finally breaking from fundamentals. We’re not there yet. If I were in his position, I’d still be waiting. Not because I’m bearish, but because opportunity cost matters. Deploying heavily for a 5–6% upside doesn’t make sense when true dislocations can offer much better risk-reward. I’d rather stay patient and keep dry powder for when quality assets are sold indiscriminately. As for my positioning, I’m still invested but selective. I continue to DCA into high-convi
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    • ShyonShyon
      ·04-02 11:46
      Oil is back in focus after Donald Trump hinted at possible military escalation, pushing Brent crude back above $100. Oil stocks and ETFs reacted sharply, with names like Devon $Devon(DVN)$ and $ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil(UCO)$ moving higher. My stock in focus today will be oil plays, as this setup favors short-term momentum. At the same time, storage and semiconductor names such as $Micron Technology(MU)$ and $Western Digital(WDC)$ pulled back, s
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    • ShyonShyon
      ·04-01 23:49
      This rally in the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and NASDAQ Composite Index looks strong, but I’m not convinced it’s a true bottom. It feels more driven by easing tensions than fundamentals, so I’d be cautious chasing. Volatility is still elevated, and any flare-up in geopolitics or hawkish signals from the Fed could quickly reverse gains. The bigger shift is in AI — stocks like $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ now need to prove real monetization, not just hype. I still trust NVIDIA the most near term given its
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    • ShyonShyon
      ·04-01 23:43
      March felt like a regime shift — when the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ , $S&P 500(.SPX)$ , and even Gold all sold off together, it showed liquidity was driving markets more than fundamentals. Oil and inflation fears quickly flipped expectations back to “higher for longer.” My Q1 performance was decent, but mainly driven by risk control. It was a reminder that diversification doesn’t always protect you in these environments. During the selloff, I stayed disciplined — trimmed some crowded AI exposure and held more cash, but didn’t panic. To me, this felt more like a positioning unwind than a true fundamental breakdown. Preserving capital mattered more than chasing short-term rebounds. For April, I don’t think th
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    • ShyonShyon
      ·04-01 23:40
      March has been rough for the Singapore market, but the divergence stands out. While many sectors sold off, $AEM SGD(AWX.SI)$ , $ST Engineering(S63.SI)$ and $Keppel(BN4.SI)$ moved higher — showing the market is rotating into names with strong earnings visibility and structural themes. For me, AEM is the most interesting but also the most speculative. The AI/HPC shift and cash flow recovery are real positives, but the sharp rally already prices in a lot, so I’d be cautious chasing here. ST Engineering (S63.SI) and Keppel Corporation (BN4.SI) feel more stable. ST Engineering has strong order visibility but looks fully valued, while Keppel’s data center a
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    • ShyonShyon
      ·04-01 23:37
      Today’s rebound in the KOSPI Index stands out, especially with export data confirming stronger demand. The rally led by Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix reinforces my view that semiconductors remain the core driver of Korea’s market. I wouldn’t chase aggressively yet, but if geopolitical risks ease, I’d consider gradual exposure. Broad ETFs like $iShares MSCI South Korea ETF(EWY)$ or $Franklin FTSE South Korea ETF(FLKR)$ make more sense to me, while I’d
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    • ShyonShyon
      ·04-01 11:29
      Today, my stock in focus is $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ , following the $2 billion investment from $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ . This move goes beyond funding—it signals a deeper push to scale custom AI chips alongside Nvidia’s ecosystem. The market reaction, with MRVL up over 12%, shows rising confidence in its role within the AI infrastructure stack. What’s interesting is how Nvidia is evolving its strategy. As companies shift toward custom silicon, it’s staying central by integrating its CPUs, networking & interconnects with Marvell’s capab
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    • ShyonShyon
      ·03-31
      My stock in focus today is $Micron Technology(MU)$ . The recent ~30% pullback looks more like panic than fundamentals breaking. Despite concerns around Google’s $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ TurboQuant, AI memory demand still appears strong, and efficiency gains may even expand total usage over time. What’s striking is the disconnect: record revenue, strong guidance, and HBM supply already booked, yet valuation has compressed to around 7x forward earnings. The market seems to be pricing in a slowdown that hasn’t shown up in the actual data. That said, risks remain—memory is cyclical, and heavy capex could backfire if demand softens. For now, I see this as a “watch closely” setup; if fundamentals hold, this drop in
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