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Anonymousone
Anonymousone
·
2021-08-09
$Eton Pharmaceuticals, Inc.(ETON)$
Whats with the sudden fall ?
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Anonymousone
Anonymousone
·
2021-08-04
$Blue Apron Holdings Inc.(APRN)$
Add oil!!! ?
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Anonymousone
Anonymousone
·
2021-07-29
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$
Doing great come on rise more
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Anonymousone
Anonymousone
·
2021-07-29
$Blue Apron Holdings Inc.(APRN)$
Bruhhhh
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Anonymousone
Anonymousone
·
2021-07-28
$RLX Technology(RLX)$
Thank god i sold early ?
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Anonymousone
Anonymousone
·
2021-07-14
Nice
Sorry, this post has been deleted
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Anonymousone
Anonymousone
·
2021-07-01
$Blue Apron Holdings Inc.(APRN)$
✈️✈️✈️✈️✈️ pls fly more
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Anonymousone
Anonymousone
·
2021-06-25
Oooo
Meme Stocks: How The Most Popular Have Performed in 2021
Meme mania has been one of the most unexpected phenomena in the equities market in an already atypic
Meme Stocks: How The Most Popular Have Performed in 2021
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Anonymousone
Anonymousone
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2021-06-23
??
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Anonymousone
Anonymousone
·
2021-06-23
Ooo
Why U.S. stocks face a tough decade ahead even if corporate revenues are strong
Stock market’s return will grow at the same rate as the U.S. economy. Might there be hope, after al
Why U.S. stocks face a tough decade ahead even if corporate revenues are strong
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RLX\">$RLX Technology(RLX)$</a>Thank god i sold early ?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RLX\">$RLX Technology(RLX)$</a>Thank god i sold early ?","text":"$RLX Technology(RLX)$Thank god i sold early 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APRN\">$Blue Apron Holdings Inc.(APRN)$</a>✈️✈️✈️✈️✈️ pls fly more ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APRN\">$Blue Apron Holdings Inc.(APRN)$</a>✈️✈️✈️✈️✈️ pls fly more ","text":"$Blue Apron Holdings Inc.(APRN)$✈️✈️✈️✈️✈️ pls fly more","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3eb72b99574cf467189065a8efdcc096","width":"1170","height":"2026"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/151824268","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2145,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":122500024,"gmtCreate":1624626053068,"gmtModify":1703842030440,"author":{"id":"3576829339208644","authorId":"3576829339208644","name":"Anonymousone","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f6b2dd127f540025387c4ad6041fae7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576829339208644","idStr":"3576829339208644"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oooo","listText":"Oooo","text":"Oooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/122500024","repostId":"1147153207","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147153207","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624592020,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1147153207?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-25 11:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Meme Stocks: How The Most Popular Have Performed in 2021","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147153207","media":"thestreet","summary":"Meme mania has been one of the most unexpected phenomena in the equities market in an already atypic","content":"<p>Meme mania has been one of the most unexpected phenomena in the equities market in an already atypical pandemic environment. The “meme attacks” have rarely been based on business fundamentals, but instead fueled by momentum and discussions on web forums that catalyze vicious rallies.</p>\n<p>Below, the Wall Street Memes channel lists some of the most popular meme stocks and how each has performed so far in 2021.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac11607753df2d587eff881c858546dd\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"798\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 1: GameStop store.</span></p>\n<p><b>GME - GameStop Corp.</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Largest gain in 2021:<b>1,914%</b></li>\n <li>Largest loss in 2021:<b>-88%</b></li>\n <li>Peak price:<b>$347.51</b></li>\n <li>Current price:<b>$200.18</b>(at last check).</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc5e113c20912daf07551e09179fe9f2\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"519\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>AMC - AMC Theaters</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Largest gain in 2021:<b>2,850%</b></li>\n <li>Largest loss in 2021:<b>-72%</b></li>\n <li>Peak price:<b>$62.55</b></li>\n <li>Current price:<b>$55.14</b>(at last check).</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e55df7c82d93174a0b4c088c17946a1\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"533\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Google Finance</span></p>\n<p><b>BB - BlackBerry Limited</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Largest gain in 2021:<b>281%</b></li>\n <li>Largest loss in 2021:<b>-68%</b></li>\n <li>Peak price:<b>$25.10</b></li>\n <li>Current price:<b>$12.82</b>(at last check).</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00f988c9dcc4545d783ac29b2061f44d\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"525\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Google Finance</span></p>\n<p><b>CLNE - Clean Energy Fuels Corp.</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Largest gain in 2021:<b>137%</b></li>\n <li>Largest loss in 2021:<b>-59%</b></li>\n <li>Peak price:<b>$18.64</b></li>\n <li>Current price:<b>$11.22</b>(at last check).</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42e24ea5dd3ca3f186eab5451fa7fcbc\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"524\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Google Finance</span></p>\n<p><b>CLOV - Clover Health Investments</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Largest gain in 2021:<b>224%</b></li>\n <li>Largest loss in 2021:<b>-56%</b></li>\n <li>Peak price:<b>$22.15</b></li>\n <li>Current price:<b>$12.10</b>(at last check).</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ddfd7742b5b929d9febee80c5926f08f\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"507\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Google Finance</span></p>\n<p><b>CLF - Cleveland-Cliff</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Largest gain in 2021:<b>83%</b></li>\n <li>Largest loss in 2021:<b>-28%</b></li>\n <li>Peak price:<b>$24.44</b></li>\n <li>Current price:<b>$20.75</b>(at last check).</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15c8accc6baf5e68f5a1088eb8a75c4d\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"524\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Google Finance</span></p>\n<p><b>TLRY - Tilray Pharmaceuticals</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Largest gain in 2021:<b>610%</b></li>\n <li>Largest loss in 2021:<b>-78%</b></li>\n <li>Peak price:<b>$63.91</b></li>\n <li>Current price:<b>$17.23</b>(at last check).</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc9ed19b51e752ceff9a6534d4afd089\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Google Finance</span></p>\n<p><b>NOK - Nokia Corporation</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Largest gain in 2021:<b>69%</b></li>\n <li>Largest loss in 2021:<b>-41%</b></li>\n <li>Peak price:<b>$6.55</b></li>\n <li>Current price:<b>$5.14</b>(at last check).</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33e920e940ac016540520a46acbcb0d5\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"511\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Google Finance</span></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Meme Stocks: How The Most Popular Have Performed in 2021</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMeme Stocks: How The Most Popular Have Performed in 2021\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-25 11:33 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.thestreet.com/memestocks/other-memes/meme-stocks-how-the-most-popular-have-performed-in-2021><strong>thestreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Meme mania has been one of the most unexpected phenomena in the equities market in an already atypical pandemic environment. The “meme attacks” have rarely been based on business fundamentals, but ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/memestocks/other-memes/meme-stocks-how-the-most-popular-have-performed-in-2021\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TLRY":"Tilray Inc.","CLF":"克利夫兰克里夫","BB":"黑莓","CLNE":"Clean Energy Fuels Corp","NOK":"诺基亚","GME":"游戏驿站","CLOV":"Clover Health Corp","AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/memestocks/other-memes/meme-stocks-how-the-most-popular-have-performed-in-2021","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147153207","content_text":"Meme mania has been one of the most unexpected phenomena in the equities market in an already atypical pandemic environment. The “meme attacks” have rarely been based on business fundamentals, but instead fueled by momentum and discussions on web forums that catalyze vicious rallies.\nBelow, the Wall Street Memes channel lists some of the most popular meme stocks and how each has performed so far in 2021.\nFigure 1: GameStop store.\nGME - GameStop Corp.\n\nLargest gain in 2021:1,914%\nLargest loss in 2021:-88%\nPeak price:$347.51\nCurrent price:$200.18(at last check).\n\nAMC - AMC Theaters\n\nLargest gain in 2021:2,850%\nLargest loss in 2021:-72%\nPeak price:$62.55\nCurrent price:$55.14(at last check).\n\nGoogle Finance\nBB - BlackBerry Limited\n\nLargest gain in 2021:281%\nLargest loss in 2021:-68%\nPeak price:$25.10\nCurrent price:$12.82(at last check).\n\nGoogle Finance\nCLNE - Clean Energy Fuels Corp.\n\nLargest gain in 2021:137%\nLargest loss in 2021:-59%\nPeak price:$18.64\nCurrent price:$11.22(at last check).\n\nGoogle Finance\nCLOV - Clover Health Investments\n\nLargest gain in 2021:224%\nLargest loss in 2021:-56%\nPeak price:$22.15\nCurrent price:$12.10(at last check).\n\nGoogle Finance\nCLF - Cleveland-Cliff\n\nLargest gain in 2021:83%\nLargest loss in 2021:-28%\nPeak price:$24.44\nCurrent price:$20.75(at last check).\n\nGoogle Finance\nTLRY - Tilray Pharmaceuticals\n\nLargest gain in 2021:610%\nLargest loss in 2021:-78%\nPeak price:$63.91\nCurrent price:$17.23(at last check).\n\nGoogle Finance\nNOK - Nokia Corporation\n\nLargest gain in 2021:69%\nLargest loss in 2021:-41%\nPeak price:$6.55\nCurrent price:$5.14(at last check).\n\nGoogle Finance","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TLRY":0.9,"NOK":0.9,"GME":0.9,"CLNE":0.9,"AMC":0.9,"CLF":0.9,"CLOV":0.9,"BB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2330,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121644676,"gmtCreate":1624463615795,"gmtModify":1703837624676,"author":{"id":"3576829339208644","authorId":"3576829339208644","name":"Anonymousone","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f6b2dd127f540025387c4ad6041fae7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576829339208644","idStr":"3576829339208644"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"??","listText":"??","text":"??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/121644676","repostId":"1104273824","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2436,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121645593,"gmtCreate":1624463577812,"gmtModify":1703837623547,"author":{"id":"3576829339208644","authorId":"3576829339208644","name":"Anonymousone","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f6b2dd127f540025387c4ad6041fae7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576829339208644","idStr":"3576829339208644"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ooo","listText":"Ooo","text":"Ooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/121645593","repostId":"1198462718","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198462718","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624448358,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1198462718?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-23 19:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why U.S. stocks face a tough decade ahead even if corporate revenues are strong","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198462718","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Stock market’s return will grow at the same rate as the U.S. economy.\n\nMight there be hope, after al","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>Stock market’s return will grow at the same rate as the U.S. economy.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Might there be hope, after all, for the U.S. stock market’s return over the next decade? I ask as a follow up tomy column earlier this monthin which I concluded that even under optimistic assumptions, the S&P 500SPX,+0.51%over the next 10 years is unlikely to produce an annualized total real return greater than the low single-digits.</p>\n<p>My argument was that the stock market will not be able to count on the three pillars that have propped it up over the past decade — increasing valuations, profit margins and more buybacks than new shares issued (net buybacks).</p>\n<p>Some readers responded that I had overlooked an escape hatch which would enable the market to produce decent returns: corporate revenues can grow faster than the overall U.S. economy. To the extent this is so, then the stock market does not need any of those three pillars to do well.</p>\n<p>This escape hatch appears to have solid evidence behind it. Consider a recent note to clients from Jonathan Golub, chief U.S. equity strategist and head of quantitative research at Credit Suisse. He reported that, according to an econometric model he constructed based on S&P 500 sales and GDP since 2000, “every 1% upside in nominal GDP drives 2½–3% improvement in revenues.”</p>\n<p>If so, this certainly would be good for stock investors. It would mean that even without increasing valuations, profit margins or net buybacks, the stock market could significantly outperform the overall economy.</p>\n<p>Unfortunately, this argument is too good to be true. I analyzed S&P 500 sales back to the early 1970s (courtesy of data from Ned Davis Research), and found almost a 1:1 correlation between sales growth and GDP growth.</p>\n<p>This is entirely what we should expect, according to Robert Arnott, chairman and founder of Research Affiliates. In an email, he said that “aggregate sales should offer a pretty clean 1:1 relationship to GDP. Any other ratio makes no sense on a sustained basis.”</p>\n<p>How then did Golub come up with such a different answer? My hunch is that it traces to how he measured sales. In an email, Golub’s colleague Manish Bangard, an equity strategist at Credit Suisse, explained that they focused on sales per share. But, as Arnott points out, this per-share number reflects the impact of net buybacks. So the high sales-to-GDP ratio that Golub reports is not a pure measure of how sales growth relates to GDP. (I did not receive a response to my requests for additional comment.)</p>\n<p><b>Investment implication</b></p>\n<p>The implication is that we should not expect the U.S. stock market over the next decade to grow faster than the economy. It may in fact grow much more slowly if P/E ratios or profit margins regress even partway to their historical mean, or if net buybacks turn out to be negative (as they’ve been for most of U.S. history).</p>\n<p>But even if P/E ratios and profit margins stay constant between now and 2031 and there are no net buybacks, the lesson of history is that the U.S. market will grow no faster than the economy.</p>\n<p>Consider what that means. TheCongressional Budget Office is projectingthat real GDP from 2022 through 2031 will grow at a 1.8% annualized rate. Even that may be optimistic, because the CBO projects no recession between now and then.</p>\n<p>The bottom line: The stock market has its work cut out to produce even a fraction of the past decade’s fabulous return.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why U.S. stocks face a tough decade ahead even if corporate revenues are strong</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy U.S. stocks face a tough decade ahead even if corporate revenues are strong\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-23 19:39 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-u-s-stocks-face-a-tough-decade-ahead-even-if-corporate-revenues-are-strong-11624429824?siteid=yhoof2><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Stock market’s return will grow at the same rate as the U.S. economy.\n\nMight there be hope, after all, for the U.S. stock market’s return over the next decade? I ask as a follow up tomy column earlier...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-u-s-stocks-face-a-tough-decade-ahead-even-if-corporate-revenues-are-strong-11624429824?siteid=yhoof2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-u-s-stocks-face-a-tough-decade-ahead-even-if-corporate-revenues-are-strong-11624429824?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198462718","content_text":"Stock market’s return will grow at the same rate as the U.S. economy.\n\nMight there be hope, after all, for the U.S. stock market’s return over the next decade? I ask as a follow up tomy column earlier this monthin which I concluded that even under optimistic assumptions, the S&P 500SPX,+0.51%over the next 10 years is unlikely to produce an annualized total real return greater than the low single-digits.\nMy argument was that the stock market will not be able to count on the three pillars that have propped it up over the past decade — increasing valuations, profit margins and more buybacks than new shares issued (net buybacks).\nSome readers responded that I had overlooked an escape hatch which would enable the market to produce decent returns: corporate revenues can grow faster than the overall U.S. economy. To the extent this is so, then the stock market does not need any of those three pillars to do well.\nThis escape hatch appears to have solid evidence behind it. Consider a recent note to clients from Jonathan Golub, chief U.S. equity strategist and head of quantitative research at Credit Suisse. He reported that, according to an econometric model he constructed based on S&P 500 sales and GDP since 2000, “every 1% upside in nominal GDP drives 2½–3% improvement in revenues.”\nIf so, this certainly would be good for stock investors. It would mean that even without increasing valuations, profit margins or net buybacks, the stock market could significantly outperform the overall economy.\nUnfortunately, this argument is too good to be true. I analyzed S&P 500 sales back to the early 1970s (courtesy of data from Ned Davis Research), and found almost a 1:1 correlation between sales growth and GDP growth.\nThis is entirely what we should expect, according to Robert Arnott, chairman and founder of Research Affiliates. In an email, he said that “aggregate sales should offer a pretty clean 1:1 relationship to GDP. Any other ratio makes no sense on a sustained basis.”\nHow then did Golub come up with such a different answer? My hunch is that it traces to how he measured sales. In an email, Golub’s colleague Manish Bangard, an equity strategist at Credit Suisse, explained that they focused on sales per share. But, as Arnott points out, this per-share number reflects the impact of net buybacks. So the high sales-to-GDP ratio that Golub reports is not a pure measure of how sales growth relates to GDP. (I did not receive a response to my requests for additional comment.)\nInvestment implication\nThe implication is that we should not expect the U.S. stock market over the next decade to grow faster than the economy. It may in fact grow much more slowly if P/E ratios or profit margins regress even partway to their historical mean, or if net buybacks turn out to be negative (as they’ve been for most of U.S. history).\nBut even if P/E ratios and profit margins stay constant between now and 2031 and there are no net buybacks, the lesson of history is that the U.S. market will grow no faster than the economy.\nConsider what that means. TheCongressional Budget Office is projectingthat real GDP from 2022 through 2031 will grow at a 1.8% annualized rate. Even that may be optimistic, because the CBO projects no recession between now and then.\nThe bottom line: The stock market has its work cut out to produce even a fraction of the past decade’s fabulous return.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1509,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"followers","isTTM":true}