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KZY89

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- KZY89KZY89
  ·2022-01-12
  It took a ragtag bunch of "Rogues" to shootdown the Death Star due to one critical weakness. So dont tell me the Citadel cant fall.
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- KZY89KZY89
  ·2021-06-25
  The increased volume and demand for Gamestop after the rebalancing could be a potential catalyst. At the very least it would lead to a price surge.
  Gamestop In, AMC Out? Which Meme Stocks Will Be Impacted In Today's Russell Rebalance?
  As we detailed previously, every June, the Russell Index rebalances by removing stocks that no longe
  Gamestop In, AMC Out? Which Meme Stocks Will Be Impacted In Today's Russell Rebalance?
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- KZY89KZY89
  ·2021-06-24
  i hope Tiger Brokers allow us to trade crypto soon
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- KZY89KZY89
  ·2021-06-22
  $AMC Entertainment(AMC)$please be green soon
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- KZY89KZY89
  ·2021-06-14
  $Apple(AAPL)$doing well tonight
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- KZY89KZY89
  ·2021-06-14
  Finally Apple is showing signs of life
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- KZY89KZY89
  ·2021-06-13
  $Apple(AAPL)$gogogo
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- KZY89KZY89
  ·2021-06-12
  Its time to short the market again. Or buy stocks with negative beta like GME
  The Hangover Arrives: Explosive Inflation Leads To Record Collapse In Home, Car Purchase Plans
  For the past several months we have warned about the pernicious effects soaring prices are having on
  The Hangover Arrives: Explosive Inflation Leads To Record Collapse In Home, Car Purchase Plans
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- KZY89KZY89
  ·2021-06-11
  $AMC Entertainment(AMC)$lol
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- KZY89KZY89
  ·2021-06-02
  Buy AMC for short squeeze
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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took a ragtag bunch of \"Rogues\" to shootdown the Death Star due to one critical weakness.&nbsp;So dont tell me the Citadel cant fall.","listText":"It took a ragtag bunch of \"Rogues\" to shootdown the Death Star due to one critical weakness.&nbsp;So dont tell me the Citadel cant fall.","text":"It took a ragtag bunch of \"Rogues\" to shootdown the Death Star due to one critical weakness. So dont tell me the Citadel cant fall.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9002604286","repostId":"2202780089","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3917,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":122709844,"gmtCreate":1624631917388,"gmtModify":1703842315367,"author":{"id":"3570568072112084","authorId":"3570568072112084","name":"KZY89","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/071f393bbae2f59b995168be45caa82a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570568072112084","authorIdStr":"3570568072112084"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"The increased volume and demand for Gamestop after the rebalancing could be a potential catalyst. At the very least it would lead to a price surge.","listText":"The increased volume and demand for Gamestop after the rebalancing could be a potential catalyst. At the very least it would lead to a price surge.","text":"The increased volume and demand for Gamestop after the rebalancing could be a potential catalyst. At the very least it would lead to a price surge.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/122709844","repostId":"1179245434","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1179245434","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624620760,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1179245434?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-25 19:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Gamestop In, AMC Out? Which Meme Stocks Will Be Impacted In Today's Russell Rebalance?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179245434","media":"zerohedge","summary":"As we detailed previously, every June, the Russell Index rebalances by removing stocks that no longe","content":"<p>As we detailed previously, every June, the Russell Index rebalances by removing stocks that no longer meet their criteria (and incorporating recently improving names).</p>\n<p>As SpotGamma notes,<b>many traders are starting to discuss the upcoming&nbsp;Russell Index rebalances, and the prospect of GME, AMC or other&nbsp;meme stocks being added to Russell 1000.</b></p>\n<p>Each year in June<u><i><b>(today - Friday, June 25 this year)</b></i></u>the FTSE Russell uses a set ofcriteria&nbsp;to determine which companies stock will be tracked by their benchmark indices.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8620fa3c3147d2c806038327c9efd6e4\" tg-width=\"947\" tg-height=\"659\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>The new constituents will be announced after the bell today.</b></p>\n<p>There are many ways investors can track these indices, such as through an ETF like&nbsp;IWM.</p>\n<p>For massive assets like pension funds, they track by owning the individual stock components of the index.</p>\n<p><b>For example if the FTSE adds a 1% weighting of GameStop to the Russell 2000 Index, everyone that tracks the Russell 2000 must buy GME shares. To offset this addition, the Russell will reduce or remove other stock(s) that not longer meet their criteria.</b></p>\n<p><i>*Note: While this post discusses the Russell, the mechanics are the same for the S&amp;P Indices, too.</i></p>\n<p>Analysts spend a lot of time trying to assess which stocks will be added or removed from the indices during this annual rebalance.</p>\n<p>According to the FTSE Russell approximately&nbsp;$16 trillion assets track the Russell indices, so a lot of shares may have to be bought and sold so that all of these various funds conform to the appropriate benchmark.</p>\n<p>With volume like that, one can see the value of knowing which stocks may be bought and sold&nbsp;<i>before</i>&nbsp;these large funds start their adjustment.</p>\n<p><u>Knowing what stocks will be added or removed from indices, such as Russell, is a huge opportunity for traders</u></p>\n<p>TSLA was a prime example of how traders got ahead of these additions. In late November 2020, it was announced that&nbsp;TSLA would be added to the S&amp;P500 Index. As you can see on the chart below, the stock traded nearly 50% higher from the announcement date to the actual addition date.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b5a1b955bc2c60236833e65ad22e8c9\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>It’s important to mention that&nbsp;Tesla’s massive move into the index&nbsp;addition was quite an aberration, and traders should not expect ~50% moves for all index events.</p>\n<p><u>Mechanically, this is how an index rebalance trade may take place</u></p>\n<p><b>Theoretical Example:</b></p>\n<p>The Huge State Pension Fund (like: CALPERS,&nbsp;Texas Teachers, etc.) has $1 billion tracking the Russell 2000 Index. It’s announced that at the close of trading on June 25th, GME will be added to the Russell 2000.</p>\n<p>Huge State Pension Fund must therefore buy:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>$1,000,000,000 (AUM) * 1.0% (index weighting) = $10,000,000 notional of GME stock</li>\n <li>$10,000,000/$225 (GME share price) =</li>\n <li><b>44,444 shares of GME stock</b></li>\n</ul>\n<p>The index fund’s goal is to track the benchmark, and so they often work with bank dealers to try and buy these shares at the close of trading on June 25. Accordingly, bank dealers may start to build an inventory of shares in the days leading to the actual rebalance.</p>\n<p>The hypothetical example above shows how many shares would be bought with just&nbsp;<i>one</i>&nbsp;relatively small fund. You can imagine how the share count increases when you start to allocate trillions of dollars of capital to the index re-weighting.</p>\n<p><u><b>So, who will make it?</b></u></p>\n<p>To be included in the Russell 1,000 Index - a group of the largest US stocks -<b>a company should be worth at least $5.2 billion by May 7</b>, according to&nbsp;a chart from FTSE Russell, which creates the indexes.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/186872b8bba306cc607661671efeaed7\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"270\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><u><i><b>That puts retail-trader icon GameStop, which was worth about $12 billion as of the market close on May 7, in the running to be included.</b></i></u></p>\n<p><u><i><b>But AMC Entertainment might have just missed the cutoff.</b></i></u></p>\n<p>And finally, here's Goldman's best guess at the additions and deletions...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39e95e31f337f982f86d79aef5cc0e34\" tg-width=\"794\" tg-height=\"1197\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b><u>Potential Additions to the Russell 1000 Index</u></b></p>\n<p>Investors can use the results of our analysis to<b>anticipate potential price moves and buying/selling pressure for stocks being added to and deleted from</b>the widely-followed large-cap and small-cap benchmark indices.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gamestop In, AMC Out? Which Meme Stocks Will Be Impacted In Today's Russell Rebalance?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGamestop In, AMC Out? Which Meme Stocks Will Be Impacted In Today's Russell Rebalance?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-25 19:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gamestop-amc-out-which-meme-stocks-will-be-impacted-todays-russell-rebalance?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>As we detailed previously, every June, the Russell Index rebalances by removing stocks that no longer meet their criteria (and incorporating recently improving names).\nAs SpotGamma notes,many traders ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gamestop-amc-out-which-meme-stocks-will-be-impacted-todays-russell-rebalance?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线","GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gamestop-amc-out-which-meme-stocks-will-be-impacted-todays-russell-rebalance?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179245434","content_text":"As we detailed previously, every June, the Russell Index rebalances by removing stocks that no longer meet their criteria (and incorporating recently improving names).\nAs SpotGamma notes,many traders are starting to discuss the upcoming Russell Index rebalances, and the prospect of GME, AMC or other meme stocks being added to Russell 1000.\nEach year in June(today - Friday, June 25 this year)the FTSE Russell uses a set ofcriteria to determine which companies stock will be tracked by their benchmark indices.\n\nThe new constituents will be announced after the bell today.\nThere are many ways investors can track these indices, such as through an ETF like IWM.\nFor massive assets like pension funds, they track by owning the individual stock components of the index.\nFor example if the FTSE adds a 1% weighting of GameStop to the Russell 2000 Index, everyone that tracks the Russell 2000 must buy GME shares. To offset this addition, the Russell will reduce or remove other stock(s) that not longer meet their criteria.\n*Note: While this post discusses the Russell, the mechanics are the same for the S&P Indices, too.\nAnalysts spend a lot of time trying to assess which stocks will be added or removed from the indices during this annual rebalance.\nAccording to the FTSE Russell approximately $16 trillion assets track the Russell indices, so a lot of shares may have to be bought and sold so that all of these various funds conform to the appropriate benchmark.\nWith volume like that, one can see the value of knowing which stocks may be bought and sold before these large funds start their adjustment.\nKnowing what stocks will be added or removed from indices, such as Russell, is a huge opportunity for traders\nTSLA was a prime example of how traders got ahead of these additions. In late November 2020, it was announced that TSLA would be added to the S&P500 Index. As you can see on the chart below, the stock traded nearly 50% higher from the announcement date to the actual addition date.\n\nIt’s important to mention that Tesla’s massive move into the index addition was quite an aberration, and traders should not expect ~50% moves for all index events.\nMechanically, this is how an index rebalance trade may take place\nTheoretical Example:\nThe Huge State Pension Fund (like: CALPERS, Texas Teachers, etc.) has $1 billion tracking the Russell 2000 Index. It’s announced that at the close of trading on June 25th, GME will be added to the Russell 2000.\nHuge State Pension Fund must therefore buy:\n\n$1,000,000,000 (AUM) * 1.0% (index weighting) = $10,000,000 notional of GME stock\n$10,000,000/$225 (GME share price) =\n44,444 shares of GME stock\n\nThe index fund’s goal is to track the benchmark, and so they often work with bank dealers to try and buy these shares at the close of trading on June 25. Accordingly, bank dealers may start to build an inventory of shares in the days leading to the actual rebalance.\nThe hypothetical example above shows how many shares would be bought with just one relatively small fund. You can imagine how the share count increases when you start to allocate trillions of dollars of capital to the index re-weighting.\nSo, who will make it?\nTo be included in the Russell 1,000 Index - a group of the largest US stocks -a company should be worth at least $5.2 billion by May 7, according to a chart from FTSE Russell, which creates the indexes.\nThat puts retail-trader icon GameStop, which was worth about $12 billion as of the market close on May 7, in the running to be included.\nBut AMC Entertainment might have just missed the cutoff.\nAnd finally, here's Goldman's best guess at the additions and deletions...\n\nPotential Additions to the Russell 1000 Index\nInvestors can use the results of our analysis toanticipate potential price moves and buying/selling pressure for stocks being added to and deleted fromthe widely-followed large-cap and small-cap benchmark indices.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9,"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3216,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121291730,"gmtCreate":1624464365520,"gmtModify":1703837660134,"author":{"id":"3570568072112084","authorId":"3570568072112084","name":"KZY89","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/071f393bbae2f59b995168be45caa82a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570568072112084","authorIdStr":"3570568072112084"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"i hope Tiger Brokers allow us to trade crypto soon","listText":"i hope Tiger Brokers allow us to trade crypto soon","text":"i hope Tiger Brokers allow us to trade crypto soon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/121291730","repostId":"2145531099","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3511,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129293332,"gmtCreate":1624372951426,"gmtModify":1703834830737,"author":{"id":"3570568072112084","authorId":"3570568072112084","name":"KZY89","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/071f393bbae2f59b995168be45caa82a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570568072112084","authorIdStr":"3570568072112084"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>please be green soon","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>please be green soon","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$please be green soon","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/492f64196acf243d6691f3e9212308b8","width":"750","height":"1300"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/129293332","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3767,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184961226,"gmtCreate":1623681181565,"gmtModify":1704208587660,"author":{"id":"3570568072112084","authorId":"3570568072112084","name":"KZY89","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/071f393bbae2f59b995168be45caa82a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570568072112084","authorIdStr":"3570568072112084"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>doing well tonight","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>doing well tonight","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$doing well tonight","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c185383fbd935e098788c61b53c2dd60","width":"750","height":"1300"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/184961226","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3028,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184989002,"gmtCreate":1623680823406,"gmtModify":1704208570633,"author":{"id":"3570568072112084","authorId":"3570568072112084","name":"KZY89","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/071f393bbae2f59b995168be45caa82a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570568072112084","authorIdStr":"3570568072112084"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Finally Apple is showing signs of life","listText":"Finally Apple is showing signs of life","text":"Finally Apple is showing signs of life","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/184989002","repostId":"2143784913","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3408,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186554141,"gmtCreate":1623514007283,"gmtModify":1704205374572,"author":{"id":"3570568072112084","authorId":"3570568072112084","name":"KZY89","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/071f393bbae2f59b995168be45caa82a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570568072112084","authorIdStr":"3570568072112084"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>gogogo","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>gogogo","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$gogogo","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb26830bc9cd4576d941f08f33060e08","width":"750","height":"1300"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186554141","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2824,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188863450,"gmtCreate":1623428234170,"gmtModify":1704203571556,"author":{"id":"3570568072112084","authorId":"3570568072112084","name":"KZY89","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/071f393bbae2f59b995168be45caa82a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570568072112084","authorIdStr":"3570568072112084"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Its time to short the market again. Or buy stocks with negative beta like GME","listText":"Its time to short the market again. Or buy stocks with negative beta like GME","text":"Its time to short the market again. Or buy stocks with negative beta like GME","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/188863450","repostId":"1114257617","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114257617","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623425495,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1114257617?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-11 23:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Hangover Arrives: Explosive Inflation Leads To Record Collapse In Home, Car Purchase Plans","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114257617","media":"zerohedge","summary":"For the past several months we have warned about the pernicious effects soaring prices are having on","content":"<p>For the past several months we have warned about the pernicious effects soaring prices are having on both corporations (\"Buckle Up! Inflation Is Here!\") and consumers (\"\"This Is Not Transitory\": Hyperinflation Fears Are Soaring Across America\"), prompting even otherwise boring sellside research to get&nbsp; (hyper) exciting, with Deutsche Bank (which warned this week that \"Inflation Is About To Explode \"Leaving Global Economies Sitting On A Time Bomb\"\") and Bank of America (which \"Just Threw Up All Over The Fed's \"Transitory\" Argument\") now openly claiming that<i>the Fed is wrong</i>, and the US is facing an unprecedented period of far higher, non-transitory inflation, with DB going so far as towarn<i>\"policymakers will face the most challenging years since the Volcker/Reagan period in the 1980s.\"</i></p>\n<p>But none of this has spooked the Fed into conceding - or believing - that inflation is anything more than transitory. And maybe just this once, the Fed has a point because all else equal, by which we mean lack of rising wages, the best cure to higher prices is, well... higher prices.</p>\n<p><b>Presenting Exhibit A</b>: two weeks ago,we observed that anticipatingan end to Biden's stimmy bonanza end and that soon they will have to live again within their means, Americans' buying intentions (6 months from today) as measured by the Conference Board, had cratered across the 3 major spending categories: homes, automobiles and major household appliances.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/440125680ea111da38a7c9adbc47f811\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The drop was so massive, it amounted to the biggest one-month drop in intentions to purchase appliances...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/483ef9fdbbe4fe34fc94863262839a85\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"264\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>... and homes...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea40a948d838e7eaa00fbde1f60e1906\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"264\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>This confirms what wenoted earlier, namely a record divergence between crashing homebuyer confidence (due to record home prices) and soaring homebuilder confidence (also due to record home prices). Guess which one will matter in the end.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a49f04b77740aab4ba75d00085dd8ada\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"275\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Fast forward to today when we just got<b>Exhibit B: the June UMichigan Sentiment Survey.</b></p>\n<p>While there wassome good news here, in that inflation expectations for both the 1-year and 5-10 look ahead periods dropped slightly...</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f0cf98553bfedc6500457c9aa3cbe0f\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"289\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>... what we found more concerning is what chief economist, Richard Curtin said namely that since \"Rising inflation remained a top concern of consumers\", the spontaneous references to market prices for homes, vehicles, and household durables fell to their worst level since the all-time record in November 1974.</p>\n<p>And as Curtin adds, \"<b>these unfavorable perceptions of market prices reduced overall buying attitudes for vehicles and homes to their lowest point since 1982.</b>These declines were especially sharp among those with incomes in the top third, who account for more than half of the dollar volume of retail sales.\"</p>\n<p>This can be seen in the following chart showing records across the board for \"bad buying conditions\" due to high prices for houses, durable goods and autos. In other words, due to soarking prices is America is going on a buyers' strike.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b46f5f27af1090c20579d573274a9f52\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"288\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>This, for better or worse,<b>screams not only stagflation but also permanently higher prices,</b>as Curting elaborates:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>... in the emergence from the pandemic, consumers are temporarily less sensitive to prices due to pent-up demand and record savings as well as improved job and income prospects.</i> \n <i><b>The acceptance of price increases as due to the pandemic, makes inflationary psychology more likely to gain a foothold if the exit is lengthy.</b></i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>The problem: sooner or laters the stimmies will end, but prices by then will already be fixed higher, and good luck trying to pull them down.</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>While expansive monetary and fiscal policies are still warranted, the accompanying rise in inflation will cause uneven distributional impacts. Those impacts have already been noticed in June among the elderly and lower income households. A shift in the Fed's policy language could douse any incipient inflationary psychology, it would be no surprise to consumers, as two-thirds already expect higher interest rates in the year ahead.</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Oh, and for those saying wage hikes may be permanent we have some bad news: employers know very well that the extended unemployment benefits bonanza ends in September at which point millions of currently unemployed workers will flood back into the labor force sending wages sharply lower, and is why instead of raising base pay, most potential employers offer one-time bonuses, which - as the name implies - are one-time. As for higher wage pressures, well... just wait until October when everything reverses, Uncle Sam is no longer a better paying competitor to the US private sector, and wages slump.</p>\n<p>What does that mean for the economy? Well, all those producers and retailers who got used to bumper demand and pushed their prices sharply and not so sharply higher, will face a stark choice: either drag prices right back down, or sell far fewer goods and services. That, or just await the next bailout.</p>\n<p>One thing is certain:<b>six months from today, the US economy will be far, far uglier.</b></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Hangover Arrives: Explosive Inflation Leads To Record Collapse In Home, Car Purchase Plans</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Hangover Arrives: Explosive Inflation Leads To Record Collapse In Home, Car Purchase Plans\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-11 23:31 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/hangover-arrives-explosive-inflation-leads-record-collapse-home-car-purchase-plans><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>For the past several months we have warned about the pernicious effects soaring prices are having on both corporations (\"Buckle Up! Inflation Is Here!\") and consumers (\"\"This Is Not Transitory\": ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/hangover-arrives-explosive-inflation-leads-record-collapse-home-car-purchase-plans\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/hangover-arrives-explosive-inflation-leads-record-collapse-home-car-purchase-plans","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114257617","content_text":"For the past several months we have warned about the pernicious effects soaring prices are having on both corporations (\"Buckle Up! Inflation Is Here!\") and consumers (\"\"This Is Not Transitory\": Hyperinflation Fears Are Soaring Across America\"), prompting even otherwise boring sellside research to get  (hyper) exciting, with Deutsche Bank (which warned this week that \"Inflation Is About To Explode \"Leaving Global Economies Sitting On A Time Bomb\"\") and Bank of America (which \"Just Threw Up All Over The Fed's \"Transitory\" Argument\") now openly claiming thatthe Fed is wrong, and the US is facing an unprecedented period of far higher, non-transitory inflation, with DB going so far as towarn\"policymakers will face the most challenging years since the Volcker/Reagan period in the 1980s.\"\nBut none of this has spooked the Fed into conceding - or believing - that inflation is anything more than transitory. And maybe just this once, the Fed has a point because all else equal, by which we mean lack of rising wages, the best cure to higher prices is, well... higher prices.\nPresenting Exhibit A: two weeks ago,we observed that anticipatingan end to Biden's stimmy bonanza end and that soon they will have to live again within their means, Americans' buying intentions (6 months from today) as measured by the Conference Board, had cratered across the 3 major spending categories: homes, automobiles and major household appliances.\n\nThe drop was so massive, it amounted to the biggest one-month drop in intentions to purchase appliances...\n\n... and homes...\n\nThis confirms what wenoted earlier, namely a record divergence between crashing homebuyer confidence (due to record home prices) and soaring homebuilder confidence (also due to record home prices). Guess which one will matter in the end.\n\nFast forward to today when we just gotExhibit B: the June UMichigan Sentiment Survey.\nWhile there wassome good news here, in that inflation expectations for both the 1-year and 5-10 look ahead periods dropped slightly...\n\n... what we found more concerning is what chief economist, Richard Curtin said namely that since \"Rising inflation remained a top concern of consumers\", the spontaneous references to market prices for homes, vehicles, and household durables fell to their worst level since the all-time record in November 1974.\nAnd as Curtin adds, \"these unfavorable perceptions of market prices reduced overall buying attitudes for vehicles and homes to their lowest point since 1982.These declines were especially sharp among those with incomes in the top third, who account for more than half of the dollar volume of retail sales.\"\nThis can be seen in the following chart showing records across the board for \"bad buying conditions\" due to high prices for houses, durable goods and autos. In other words, due to soarking prices is America is going on a buyers' strike.\n\nThis, for better or worse,screams not only stagflation but also permanently higher prices,as Curting elaborates:\n\n... in the emergence from the pandemic, consumers are temporarily less sensitive to prices due to pent-up demand and record savings as well as improved job and income prospects.\nThe acceptance of price increases as due to the pandemic, makes inflationary psychology more likely to gain a foothold if the exit is lengthy.\n\nThe problem: sooner or laters the stimmies will end, but prices by then will already be fixed higher, and good luck trying to pull them down.\n\nWhile expansive monetary and fiscal policies are still warranted, the accompanying rise in inflation will cause uneven distributional impacts. Those impacts have already been noticed in June among the elderly and lower income households. A shift in the Fed's policy language could douse any incipient inflationary psychology, it would be no surprise to consumers, as two-thirds already expect higher interest rates in the year ahead.\n\nOh, and for those saying wage hikes may be permanent we have some bad news: employers know very well that the extended unemployment benefits bonanza ends in September at which point millions of currently unemployed workers will flood back into the labor force sending wages sharply lower, and is why instead of raising base pay, most potential employers offer one-time bonuses, which - as the name implies - are one-time. As for higher wage pressures, well... just wait until October when everything reverses, Uncle Sam is no longer a better paying competitor to the US private sector, and wages slump.\nWhat does that mean for the economy? Well, all those producers and retailers who got used to bumper demand and pushed their prices sharply and not so sharply higher, will face a stark choice: either drag prices right back down, or sell far fewer goods and services. That, or just await the next bailout.\nOne thing is certain:six months from today, the US economy will be far, far uglier.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3527,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181704520,"gmtCreate":1623410094760,"gmtModify":1704202833121,"author":{"id":"3570568072112084","authorId":"3570568072112084","name":"KZY89","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/071f393bbae2f59b995168be45caa82a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570568072112084","authorIdStr":"3570568072112084"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>lol","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>lol","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$lol","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ac401a2ee865b2e89dfe32c0ccceaf1","width":"750","height":"1300"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/181704520","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4852,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3559742442220848","authorId":"3559742442220848","name":"Naaaiiviv","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f960362e5c51023817630505ca72c17e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3559742442220848","authorIdStr":"3559742442220848"},"content":"Hope it can break through tonight [Miser]","text":"Hope it can break through tonight [Miser]","html":"Hope it can break through tonight [Miser]"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113471421,"gmtCreate":1622637256463,"gmtModify":1704187784069,"author":{"id":"3570568072112084","authorId":"3570568072112084","name":"KZY89","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/071f393bbae2f59b995168be45caa82a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570568072112084","authorIdStr":"3570568072112084"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Buy AMC for short squeeze","listText":"Buy AMC for short squeeze","text":"Buy AMC for short squeeze","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/113471421","repostId":"1119736871","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3857,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}