To The Moon

Q4 2025 earnings season has just kickstarted this week. Major US banks will be leading the way this week, reporting their earnings, following a year of robust performance in the financial sector. Outlook for Big Bank Earnings The probability of US big banks delivering "stellar" earnings remains high, although the drivers of profit are shifting. Analysts expect a 10th consecutive quarter of S&P 500 earnings growth, with the financial sector as a primary engine. Investment Banking Rebound: A +65% YoY surge in M&A volume during Q4 2025 is expected to bolster fee income for firms like $Goldman Sachs(GS)$ and JP Morgan. Trading Performance: Increased market volatility in late 2025—marked by a sharp November dip and a record-breaking December are

Fri, 9 Jan 2026 deadline came and went, without the Supreme Court of the United States (SCOTUS) ruling on Trump’s "Liberation Day" tariffs. It has all along been a practice of SCOTUS, not to announce in advance what cases will be decided. As such, the financial world is now looking toward Wed, 14 Jan 2026, as the next likely date for a verdict. After the SCOTUS’s decision: Attention will fall on US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent (how he will react to court’s decision). Projected consequences for the US stock market and retail sector. The "IEEPA" Showdown The core of the legal battle rests on the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) of 1977. The Trump administration argues that the $1.2 trillion trade deficit and the fentanyl crisis constitute a "national emergency" justify

As the curtains draw on a historic 2025, $MP Materials Corp.(MP)$ (in my humble opinion) stands as the centerpiece of a high-stakes geopolitical drama. After a year defined by a staggering +228.8% surge in share price, the company is not merely resting on its laurels. Instead, MP is preparing for a "Phase II" breakout in 2026, fueled by the commissioning of the West’s first heavy rare earth facility and a unique $1.1 billion government-backed pricing safety net. Before we look at MP materials in 2025 retrospectively, below are posts I have shared previously - Enjoy ! 14 Jul 2025 - AAPL pushed $MP to $62 Intraday. OMG! 11 Jul 2025 -

The market pendulum swings back to employment this week with a series of new US jobs reports due to be published. Before that, it's a good idea to recap the US economic reports released so far. They reflect the current state of US economy and may have a ripple effect on US stock market, especially when they are less than ideal. New Home Sales. Before US New Home Sales report for September 2025 is out on 13 Jan 2025, enclosed is a recap of what have transpired in 2025. The US Census Board did not get back to reporting after US shutdown ended. For 2025 - January to August as a whole is characterized by choppy growth: (see above) A strong February–April run‑up. A sharp May correction. A flat June–July. And a powerful August snap‑back rather than a smooth, consistent uptrend. Despit

The market pendulum swings back to employment this week with a series of new US jobs reports due to be published. Before that, it's a good idea to recap the US economic reports released so far. They reflect the current state of US economy and may have a ripple effect on US stock market, especially when they are less than ideal. New Home Sales. Before US New Home Sales report for September 2025 is out on 13 Jan 2025, enclosed is a recap of what have transpired in 2025. The US Census Board did not get back to reporting after US shutdown ended. For 2025 - January to August as a whole is characterized by choppy growth: (see above) A strong February–April run‑up. A sharp May correction. A flat June–July. And a powerful August snap‑back rather than a smooth, consistent uptrend. Despit

With 2025 officially over, EV ‘titan’ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ finds itself at a precarious crossroads. While the broader markets have enjoyed a year defined by AI fervor, TSLA’s impending Q4 2025 earnings report is shaping up to be a sobering "reality check" for his fan-base investors. Far from the "to the moon" narrative often peddled by its leadership, recent data suggests continual significant disconnect between its valuation and fundamental performance. The Vanishing US$2.9 Billion Fortune: The L&F Warning The most damning evidence for a disappointing Q4 lies in the collapse of TSLA's supply chain relationships, with L&F Co., the South Korean producer of high-nickel cathodes. On 29 Dec 2025, L&F disclosed a staggering regulatory updat

With 2025 officially over, EV ‘titan’ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ finds itself at a precarious crossroads. While the broader markets have enjoyed a year defined by AI fervor, TSLA’s impending Q4 2025 earnings report is shaping up to be a sobering "reality check" for his fan-base investors. Far from the "to the moon" narrative often peddled by its leadership, recent data suggests continual significant disconnect between its valuation and fundamental performance. The Vanishing US$2.9 Billion Fortune: The L&F Warning The most damning evidence for a disappointing Q4 lies in the collapse of TSLA's supply chain relationships, with L&F Co., the South Korean producer of high-nickel cathodes. On 29 Dec 2025, L&F disclosed a staggering regulatory updat

I first covered the above saga, almost the minute news broke and in quick succession. This is because it is the deal of the century and it will definitely disrupt the global entertainment landscape in a big way forever. Click on the titles to read my previous two posts: 8 Dec 2025 - The Winner Is NFLX... Errh, Not So Fast ! 10 Dec 2025 - WBD bid war begins : NFLX vs PSKY vs Trump (?) So Far. As we enter 2026, battle for $Warner Bros. Discovery(WBD)$ has shifted from a boardroom negotiation to a high-stakes standoff between the incumbent favorite, $Netflix(NFLX)$