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kckckckckkck

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- kckckckckkckkckckckckkck
  ·2024-02-08
  Such bullish sentiments typically means local top is near. Just joking dont take it too seriously
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- kckckckckkckkckckckckkck
  ·2024-01-24
  For this amount, i would go for US growth stocks. Wont touch dividend stocks until a higher amount as the dividends would be low.
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- kckckckckkckkckckckckkck
  ·2023-12-20
  Alrdy crashing now. Too little too late
  Singapore Raises Rental Occupancy Cap to Meet High Demand
  Singapore will allow more tenants to occupy a single property under a temporary two-year measure to meet higher rental demand in the financial hub.Starting next year, larger public and private residential properties will be allowed to house up to eight unrelated persons from the current cap of six, Minister for National Development Desmond Lee said in a Facebook post on Wednesday.Rents in the city-state have surged since the pandemic, largely due to strong demand amid Covid-19 construction delay
  Singapore Raises Rental Occupancy Cap to Meet High Demand
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- kckckckckkckkckckckckkck
  ·2023-11-14
  Oh crap time to sell
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- kckckckckkckkckckckckkck
  ·2023-10-05
  Good day
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- kckckckckkckkckckckckkck
  ·2023-09-11
  Nice day
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- kckckckckkckkckckckckkck
  ·2023-07-11
  [Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser] [Miser]
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- kckckckckkckkckckckckkck
  ·2023-04-28
  Flow back to HK.
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- kckckckckkckkckckckckkck
  ·2023-04-11
  Buy high Sell low
  It's Almost Time To Load Up On Tesla
  SummaryTesla, Inc.'s massive rally has consolidated for months now.I see some reasons for caution at
  It's Almost Time To Load Up On Tesla
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- kckckckckkckkckckckckkck
  ·2023-03-29
  The aim of tesla is
  Tesla Stock - I Have Warned You
  SummaryTesla, Inc.'s prices for the most expensive models have been reduced.This is obviously a prob
  Tesla Stock - I Have Warned You
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Just joking dont take it too seriously","listText":"Such bullish sentiments typically means local top is near. Just joking dont take it too seriously","text":"Such bullish sentiments typically means local top is near. Just joking dont take it too seriously","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/271680688353560","repostId":"2409204850","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":448,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":266349497049224,"gmtCreate":1706062378642,"gmtModify":1706062383639,"author":{"id":"3560390573137204","authorId":"3560390573137204","name":"kckckckckkck","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5ad99a7937657632195fb799a2b28e69","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560390573137204","authorIdStr":"3560390573137204"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"For this amount, i would go for US growth stocks. Wont touch dividend stocks until a higher amount as the dividends would be low.","listText":"For this amount, i would go for US growth stocks. Wont touch dividend stocks until a higher amount as the dividends would be low.","text":"For this amount, i would go for US growth stocks. Wont touch dividend stocks until a higher amount as the dividends would be low.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/266349497049224","repostId":"2405348443","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":364,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":254044749779136,"gmtCreate":1703059472742,"gmtModify":1703059477267,"author":{"id":"3560390573137204","authorId":"3560390573137204","name":"kckckckckkck","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5ad99a7937657632195fb799a2b28e69","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560390573137204","authorIdStr":"3560390573137204"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Alrdy crashing now. Too little too late","listText":"Alrdy crashing now. Too little too late","text":"Alrdy crashing now. Too little too late","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/254044749779136","repostId":"1163836111","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1163836111","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1703048542,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1163836111?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-12-20 13:02","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Singapore Raises Rental Occupancy Cap to Meet High Demand","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163836111","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Singapore will allow more tenants to occupy a single property under a temporary two-year measure to meet higher rental demand in the financial hub.Starting next year, larger public and private residential properties will be allowed to house up to eight unrelated persons from the current cap of six, Minister for National Development Desmond Lee said in a Facebook post on Wednesday.Rents in the city-state have surged since the pandemic, largely due to strong demand amid Covid-19 construction delay","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Singapore will allow more tenants to occupy a single property under a temporary two-year measure to meet higher rental demand in the financial hub.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Starting next year, larger public and private residential properties will be allowed to house up to eight unrelated persons from the current cap of six, Minister for National Development Desmond Lee said in a Facebook post on Wednesday.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Rents in the city-state have surged since the pandemic, largely due to strong demand amid Covid-19 construction delays, Lee said. The government has committed to ramp up housing supply, with close to 100,000 homes expected to be completed by 2025.</p><p>The momentum in rental price rises has moderated and demand is expected to be restrained by high interest rates and moderation in wage growth, the country’s central bank said last month.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Still, Lee anticipates the need to maintain a healthy rental supply for buyers waiting to move into their new homes and foreigners who work and study in the city-state.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The new measures will only apply to four-bedroom apartments or larger, Lee said. Singapore will review the need to extend the temporary rules in end-2026.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Singapore Raises Rental Occupancy Cap to Meet High Demand</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSingapore Raises Rental Occupancy Cap to Meet High Demand\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-12-20 13:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-12-20/singapore-eases-rental-occupancy-rules-to-meet-high-demand?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Singapore will allow more tenants to occupy a single property under a temporary two-year measure to meet higher rental demand in the financial hub.Starting next year, larger public and private ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-12-20/singapore-eases-rental-occupancy-rules-to-meet-high-demand?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-12-20/singapore-eases-rental-occupancy-rules-to-meet-high-demand?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163836111","content_text":"Singapore will allow more tenants to occupy a single property under a temporary two-year measure to meet higher rental demand in the financial hub.Starting next year, larger public and private residential properties will be allowed to house up to eight unrelated persons from the current cap of six, Minister for National Development Desmond Lee said in a Facebook post on Wednesday.Rents in the city-state have surged since the pandemic, largely due to strong demand amid Covid-19 construction delays, Lee said. The government has committed to ramp up housing supply, with close to 100,000 homes expected to be completed by 2025.The momentum in rental price rises has moderated and demand is expected to be restrained by high interest rates and moderation in wage growth, the country’s central bank said last month.Still, Lee anticipates the need to maintain a healthy rental supply for buyers waiting to move into their new homes and foreigners who work and study in the city-state.The new measures will only apply to four-bedroom apartments or larger, Lee said. 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[Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/196775940059152","repostId":"2350150577","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":533,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9947113450,"gmtCreate":1682664369771,"gmtModify":1682664374010,"author":{"id":"3560390573137204","authorId":"3560390573137204","name":"kckckckckkck","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5ad99a7937657632195fb799a2b28e69","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560390573137204","authorIdStr":"3560390573137204"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Flow back to HK.","listText":"Flow back to HK.","text":"Flow back to HK.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9947113450","repostId":"1190454623","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":589,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9942203686,"gmtCreate":1681223486345,"gmtModify":1681223489892,"author":{"id":"3560390573137204","authorId":"3560390573137204","name":"kckckckckkck","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5ad99a7937657632195fb799a2b28e69","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560390573137204","authorIdStr":"3560390573137204"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy high Sell low","listText":"Buy high Sell low","text":"Buy high Sell low","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9942203686","repostId":"1116529806","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1116529806","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1681216371,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1116529806?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-11 20:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"It's Almost Time To Load Up On Tesla","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116529806","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryTesla, Inc.'s massive rally has consolidated for months now.I see some reasons for caution at","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">Summary</h2><ul><li><p>Tesla, Inc.&#39;s massive rally has consolidated for months now.</p></li><li><p>I see some reasons for caution at the moment, but remain longer-term bullish.</p></li><li><p>Risk/reward here is terrific if you use stops prudently.</p></li></ul><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e94c2a45c7301b8ea00c807d826e5dd\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"563\"/></p>Growth stocks have been absolutely outstanding so far this year, after being truly awful for most of 2022. My viewpoint on the U.S. market for 2023 is quite bullish, and that’s predicated on growth and tech continuing to outperform. We’ll see consolidation periods and selloffs, of course, but I maintain that we’ll see much higher prices in the U.S. equity markets at the end of this year than where we started.<p></p><p>Perhaps the most followed growth stock is <strong>Tesla, Inc.</strong> (NASDAQ:TSLA), and the last time I covered the stock was about seven months ago. Much has occurred since then, to say the least. TSLA stock went to a well-publicized low of $101, but quite swiftly <em>doubled</em> off of that low. It’s one of the best performing stocks in the U.S. market so far this year, which is incredible given its size.</p><p>The stock has been consolidating since the high, and we’ll touch on that below. However, so long as we hold the zone of support below, I’m maintaining my buy rating on Tesla. I’m not uber-bullish right now, but I still believe the medium and long-term trajectory is higher.</p><h2>Charting the course</h2><p>We’ll begin as we always do, with the chart. Tesla is in a consolidatory phase right now, having lost key moving average support in recent days.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9bd969b308166473c523851a9fe245ed\" alt=\"Chart\" title=\"Chart\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"714\"/><span>Chart</span></p><p></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>StockCharts</strong></p><p></p><p>We have three local tops, which I’ve connected with the blue line above. There are lower highs being made, and there’s very strong support in the area of ~$165, which <em>has </em>to hold for the bulls; if that level is lost, look out below for a potential test of $100. I don’t think that’s going to happen, but I would not recommend Tesla should it lose that support level.</p><p>I mentioned the moving average support that was lost, and you can see where the rising 50-day simple moving average in blue above was used as support in early March. That line was lost a few days ago, and the stock fell further after losing it. This is not a bullish development and it’s giving me pause in terms of wanting to run out and buy the stock.</p><p>The accumulation/distribution line still looks outstanding, and very bullish. It measures whether big institutional money is buying dips or selling rips, and we are firmly in the former category for Tesla. That’s a bullish sign that the stock is being accumulated, which tends to indicate longer-term bullishness.</p><p>The 14-day RSI looks good as it continues to hold the 40 level, which is bull market behavior. The PPO is also testing the centerline, and we’ll need to see a bounce fairly soon to keep that bullishness alive.</p><p>To sum this up, given the loss of the moving average support, and lower highs being made, I would not be surprised to see a test of the $165 area. Should that occur, Tesla would be a great buy as the risk/reward would be outstanding. For now, it’s in no-man’s land.</p><p>The bottom panel has the stock’s correlation to the 10-year Treasury yield, which is key given the rate environment we’re in today. We can see Tesla’s long-term correlation to the 10-year Treasury is highly negative, which means 10-year Treasury yields and Tesla stock move in different directions. This makes perfect sense as higher rates mean lower valuations for growth stocks, and vice versa. Given that, it makes sense to look at yields, and we’ll do that now.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df23caaa9d1b39024f979a6cda4535bb\" alt=\"Chart\" title=\"Chart\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"517\"/><span>Chart</span></p><p></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>StockCharts</strong></p><p></p><p>The 10-year is testing absolutely critical support in the area of 3.3%, and given the look of momentum, I would be absolutely shocked if we don’t get a breakdown of yield, which is the same thing as a breakout of price, given price and yield move inversely. Point being, if I’m right about the direction of rates, Tesla and other growth stocks should do very well indeed.</p><h2>Fundamentals a mixed bag</h2><p>We all know the automakers are struggling with supply chain issues, and have been for some time. Of course, there are plenty of industries still grappling with the challenges that COVID presented across the globe. That means there are still wait times across the industry for various types of vehicles, dealer lots remain under-inventoried compared to pre-COVID norms, and rising loan interest rates that are crimping consumers’ ability to pay.</p><p>It is, perhaps, no wonder that estimates have come down for Tesla from a revenue perspective in recent months.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6db56943296955b720ccc22605349e2\" alt=\"vehicle deliveries\" title=\"vehicle deliveries\" tg-width=\"488\" tg-height=\"663\"/><span>vehicle deliveries</span></p><p></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Investor presentation</strong></p><p></p><p>Tesla has seen dips and pauses in vehicle delivery numbers in the past, but it appears to my eye that another one is a low probability. The company is seeing massive growth in China, as well as continuing to play around with U.S. pricing of its models. Much digital ink has been spilled about pricing actions from Tesla, but it seems pretty clear to me that these actions are being done out of a position of strength, not weakness.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3aa5e5e33f385e932756392920212de\" alt=\"market share\" title=\"market share\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"303\"/><span>market share</span></p><p></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Investor presentation</strong></p><p></p><p>So long as these lines move up and to the right, I’m not bothered with pricing actions. Every firm in every industry wants market share gains, and Tesla has them.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd8229ac2f452d6c4265fab68ea84bb9\" alt=\"revenue revisions\" title=\"revenue revisions\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"220\"/><span>revenue revisions</span></p><p></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></p><p></p><p>That being said, revenue estimates are headed lower in the past several months, which is less than ideal. So long as revenue estimates are falling, the stock may struggle to make a significant move higher. However, if/when they do turn higher again, look out above in terms of the stock price.</p><p>I normally would place more weight on revenue estimates, except that Tesla’s margin profile has continued to get better and better over time. What that means is that it is in a position to generate higher profitability on each dollar of revenue, and gives it the freedom to do things like cut prices. As I said, strength, not weakness.</p><p>Below, we have gross and operating margins on a trailing-twelve-months basis for the past few years for some context.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/16a5716422a4230b2d626cd03ab40b35\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"185\"/></p>Both have moved sharply higher over time, but what’s interesting is that operating margins have continued to grow while gross margins have actually declined in recent quarters. In the first quarter of 2022, gross margins were 27.1% of revenue, while operating margins were 15.5%. That’s a difference of 11.6%. The most recent quarter (with fresh earnings due out in a couple of weeks) was 25.6% and 16.8%, respectively. That’s a difference of 8.8%, which means the gap between operating margin and gross margin is contracting fairly rapidly. That’s an excellent development as it means that each dollar of revenue is becoming more profitable, <em>despite declining gross margins</em>. Imagine what would happen should the company focus on building gross margins again.<p></p><p>Regardless of whether the company continues to focus on market share, or decides to go after more margin, the future is bright and be in no doubt; pricing actions are being done from a position of strength.</p><h2>Cash is king</h2><p>One problem Tesla used to have – and one that I was very concerned about a few years ago – is cash burn. We all know Tesla expanded extremely rapidly over the past few years, which takes cash. However, not only does the company not burn cash any longer, but its balance sheet is absolutely outstanding.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c719393fec512ae018e4c836fbc4def\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"184\"/></p>Net debt is now down to a net cash position of more than $16 billion, which has numerous benefits. Tesla no longer needs to borrow money or issue stock to fund development. It can make acquisitions, it can invest that cash for additional income, or it can expand at whatever pace it deems necessary. That includes things like rapid expansion of gigafactories, development and refinement of new and existing models, etc. Cash used to be the single biggest issue for Tesla, but now is a massive source of strength.<p></p><p>How has Tesla built a fortress balance sheet? Free cash flow (&#34;FCF&#34;).</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d1a3f6a321d63b4d9ce1cf8d2a4cce6\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"/></p>TTM FCF is up to $7+ billion, and FCF margin is consistently in the area of 9% to 11% of revenue. These are terrific numbers, and judging by the build in cash on the balance sheet – which is happening simultaneously with factory expansion globally – it’s more than sufficient. Should these numbers decline over time, concern will reign again. But I see no cause for concern here.<p></p><p>Finally, let’s take a look at EPS estimates, which, like revenue, don’t exactly look that great.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/996a5c22b8f9ff33f0550deb49ce1a5b\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"221\"/></p>EPS estimates have come way down since late last year, but have plateaued. Is that it in terms of downward revisions? Time will tell, but anyone that’s familiar with my work knows I very much prefer rising EPS and revenue estimates. We don’t have that here, and that’s why I’m more cautious than I normally would be.<p></p><h2>A look at valuations</h2><p>Let’s start the valuation conversation with price to sales, which we have below for the past three years on a forward basis.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/769ab0ae3f0e5ce9168c55cbb27da5e1\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"215\"/></p>Today’s forward P/S ratio is 5.7X, which is very near the bottom of the range. We could argue the days of 19X forward sales were frothy, and they almost certainly were. But the point stands that – from my perspective – Tesla is stronger than ever in many ways, while sporting what can only be considered a low forward P/S ratio.<p></p><p>Similarly, the forward P/E ratio just continues to fall, as the stock is seeing 46X forward earnings today, compared to an average of 110X in the past three years.</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfed176bb7172af777a5dd39de6d86b9\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"214\"/></p>I’m not going to try to convince anyone that 48X forward earnings is cheap, because we all have our own feelings on relative value. I’m also not going to value Tesla like a traditional automaker, because it isn’t one, and that’s a pointless exercise. I will, however, value the stock against its own historical tendencies, and just like revenue, I cannot see how Tesla, Inc. stock shouldn’t be considered reasonably valued at worst here.<p></p><p>Do I think we’ll see 110X forward earnings again? No. Is there upside potential to 60X or 70X? If I’m right about lower interest rates and a tech/growth bull market, then absolutely there is. For me, that’s the consideration. If we get a bull market in tech and growth this year, more so than what we’ve already seen, stocks like Tesla have enormous upside potential. If I’m wrong, you have the $165 area where you can stop out and take your loss. From a risk/reward perspective, we’re looking at Tesla, Inc. perhaps $20 on the downside, but ~$60 to the upside given $4 in EPS estimates times a 60 forward P/E.</p><p>I can already hear the laughing of value investors scoffing at the idea, but I follow the money, and it looks to me like Tesla, Inc. is attracting it in a big way. I’m maintaining my buy rating on Tesla stock, but am refraining from a strong buy given some of the concerns listed above. The closer we get to $165, the better the buy.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>It's Almost Time To Load Up On Tesla</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIt's Almost Time To Load Up On Tesla\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-04-11 20:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4593228-its-almost-time-to-load-up-on-tesla><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryTesla, Inc.'s massive rally has consolidated for months now.I see some reasons for caution at the moment, but remain longer-term bullish.Risk/reward here is terrific if you use stops prudently....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4593228-its-almost-time-to-load-up-on-tesla\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4593228-its-almost-time-to-load-up-on-tesla","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1116529806","content_text":"SummaryTesla, Inc.'s massive rally has consolidated for months now.I see some reasons for caution at the moment, but remain longer-term bullish.Risk/reward here is terrific if you use stops prudently.Growth stocks have been absolutely outstanding so far this year, after being truly awful for most of 2022. My viewpoint on the U.S. market for 2023 is quite bullish, and that’s predicated on growth and tech continuing to outperform. We’ll see consolidation periods and selloffs, of course, but I maintain that we’ll see much higher prices in the U.S. equity markets at the end of this year than where we started.Perhaps the most followed growth stock is Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA), and the last time I covered the stock was about seven months ago. Much has occurred since then, to say the least. TSLA stock went to a well-publicized low of $101, but quite swiftly doubled off of that low. It’s one of the best performing stocks in the U.S. market so far this year, which is incredible given its size.The stock has been consolidating since the high, and we’ll touch on that below. However, so long as we hold the zone of support below, I’m maintaining my buy rating on Tesla. I’m not uber-bullish right now, but I still believe the medium and long-term trajectory is higher.Charting the courseWe’ll begin as we always do, with the chart. Tesla is in a consolidatory phase right now, having lost key moving average support in recent days.ChartStockChartsWe have three local tops, which I’ve connected with the blue line above. There are lower highs being made, and there’s very strong support in the area of ~$165, which has to hold for the bulls; if that level is lost, look out below for a potential test of $100. I don’t think that’s going to happen, but I would not recommend Tesla should it lose that support level.I mentioned the moving average support that was lost, and you can see where the rising 50-day simple moving average in blue above was used as support in early March. That line was lost a few days ago, and the stock fell further after losing it. This is not a bullish development and it’s giving me pause in terms of wanting to run out and buy the stock.The accumulation/distribution line still looks outstanding, and very bullish. It measures whether big institutional money is buying dips or selling rips, and we are firmly in the former category for Tesla. That’s a bullish sign that the stock is being accumulated, which tends to indicate longer-term bullishness.The 14-day RSI looks good as it continues to hold the 40 level, which is bull market behavior. The PPO is also testing the centerline, and we’ll need to see a bounce fairly soon to keep that bullishness alive.To sum this up, given the loss of the moving average support, and lower highs being made, I would not be surprised to see a test of the $165 area. Should that occur, Tesla would be a great buy as the risk/reward would be outstanding. For now, it’s in no-man’s land.The bottom panel has the stock’s correlation to the 10-year Treasury yield, which is key given the rate environment we’re in today. We can see Tesla’s long-term correlation to the 10-year Treasury is highly negative, which means 10-year Treasury yields and Tesla stock move in different directions. This makes perfect sense as higher rates mean lower valuations for growth stocks, and vice versa. Given that, it makes sense to look at yields, and we’ll do that now.ChartStockChartsThe 10-year is testing absolutely critical support in the area of 3.3%, and given the look of momentum, I would be absolutely shocked if we don’t get a breakdown of yield, which is the same thing as a breakout of price, given price and yield move inversely. Point being, if I’m right about the direction of rates, Tesla and other growth stocks should do very well indeed.Fundamentals a mixed bagWe all know the automakers are struggling with supply chain issues, and have been for some time. Of course, there are plenty of industries still grappling with the challenges that COVID presented across the globe. That means there are still wait times across the industry for various types of vehicles, dealer lots remain under-inventoried compared to pre-COVID norms, and rising loan interest rates that are crimping consumers’ ability to pay.It is, perhaps, no wonder that estimates have come down for Tesla from a revenue perspective in recent months.vehicle deliveriesInvestor presentationTesla has seen dips and pauses in vehicle delivery numbers in the past, but it appears to my eye that another one is a low probability. The company is seeing massive growth in China, as well as continuing to play around with U.S. pricing of its models. Much digital ink has been spilled about pricing actions from Tesla, but it seems pretty clear to me that these actions are being done out of a position of strength, not weakness.market shareInvestor presentationSo long as these lines move up and to the right, I’m not bothered with pricing actions. Every firm in every industry wants market share gains, and Tesla has them.revenue revisionsSeeking AlphaThat being said, revenue estimates are headed lower in the past several months, which is less than ideal. So long as revenue estimates are falling, the stock may struggle to make a significant move higher. However, if/when they do turn higher again, look out above in terms of the stock price.I normally would place more weight on revenue estimates, except that Tesla’s margin profile has continued to get better and better over time. What that means is that it is in a position to generate higher profitability on each dollar of revenue, and gives it the freedom to do things like cut prices. As I said, strength, not weakness.Below, we have gross and operating margins on a trailing-twelve-months basis for the past few years for some context.Both have moved sharply higher over time, but what’s interesting is that operating margins have continued to grow while gross margins have actually declined in recent quarters. In the first quarter of 2022, gross margins were 27.1% of revenue, while operating margins were 15.5%. That’s a difference of 11.6%. The most recent quarter (with fresh earnings due out in a couple of weeks) was 25.6% and 16.8%, respectively. That’s a difference of 8.8%, which means the gap between operating margin and gross margin is contracting fairly rapidly. That’s an excellent development as it means that each dollar of revenue is becoming more profitable, despite declining gross margins. Imagine what would happen should the company focus on building gross margins again.Regardless of whether the company continues to focus on market share, or decides to go after more margin, the future is bright and be in no doubt; pricing actions are being done from a position of strength.Cash is kingOne problem Tesla used to have – and one that I was very concerned about a few years ago – is cash burn. We all know Tesla expanded extremely rapidly over the past few years, which takes cash. However, not only does the company not burn cash any longer, but its balance sheet is absolutely outstanding.Net debt is now down to a net cash position of more than $16 billion, which has numerous benefits. Tesla no longer needs to borrow money or issue stock to fund development. It can make acquisitions, it can invest that cash for additional income, or it can expand at whatever pace it deems necessary. That includes things like rapid expansion of gigafactories, development and refinement of new and existing models, etc. Cash used to be the single biggest issue for Tesla, but now is a massive source of strength.How has Tesla built a fortress balance sheet? Free cash flow (\"FCF\").TTM FCF is up to $7+ billion, and FCF margin is consistently in the area of 9% to 11% of revenue. These are terrific numbers, and judging by the build in cash on the balance sheet – which is happening simultaneously with factory expansion globally – it’s more than sufficient. Should these numbers decline over time, concern will reign again. But I see no cause for concern here.Finally, let’s take a look at EPS estimates, which, like revenue, don’t exactly look that great.EPS estimates have come way down since late last year, but have plateaued. Is that it in terms of downward revisions? Time will tell, but anyone that’s familiar with my work knows I very much prefer rising EPS and revenue estimates. We don’t have that here, and that’s why I’m more cautious than I normally would be.A look at valuationsLet’s start the valuation conversation with price to sales, which we have below for the past three years on a forward basis.Today’s forward P/S ratio is 5.7X, which is very near the bottom of the range. We could argue the days of 19X forward sales were frothy, and they almost certainly were. But the point stands that – from my perspective – Tesla is stronger than ever in many ways, while sporting what can only be considered a low forward P/S ratio.Similarly, the forward P/E ratio just continues to fall, as the stock is seeing 46X forward earnings today, compared to an average of 110X in the past three years.I’m not going to try to convince anyone that 48X forward earnings is cheap, because we all have our own feelings on relative value. I’m also not going to value Tesla like a traditional automaker, because it isn’t one, and that’s a pointless exercise. I will, however, value the stock against its own historical tendencies, and just like revenue, I cannot see how Tesla, Inc. stock shouldn’t be considered reasonably valued at worst here.Do I think we’ll see 110X forward earnings again? No. Is there upside potential to 60X or 70X? If I’m right about lower interest rates and a tech/growth bull market, then absolutely there is. For me, that’s the consideration. If we get a bull market in tech and growth this year, more so than what we’ve already seen, stocks like Tesla have enormous upside potential. If I’m wrong, you have the $165 area where you can stop out and take your loss. From a risk/reward perspective, we’re looking at Tesla, Inc. perhaps $20 on the downside, but ~$60 to the upside given $4 in EPS estimates times a 60 forward P/E.I can already hear the laughing of value investors scoffing at the idea, but I follow the money, and it looks to me like Tesla, Inc. is attracting it in a big way. I’m maintaining my buy rating on Tesla stock, but am refraining from a strong buy given some of the concerns listed above. The closer we get to $165, the better the buy.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":379,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9941123323,"gmtCreate":1680065226163,"gmtModify":1680065230023,"author":{"id":"3560390573137204","authorId":"3560390573137204","name":"kckckckckkck","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5ad99a7937657632195fb799a2b28e69","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3560390573137204","authorIdStr":"3560390573137204"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The aim of tesla is&nbsp;","listText":"The aim of tesla is&nbsp;","text":"The aim of tesla is","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9941123323","repostId":"1129951895","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1129951895","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1680056088,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1129951895?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-29 10:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock - I Have Warned You","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129951895","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryTesla, Inc.'s prices for the most expensive models have been reduced.This is obviously a prob","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Tesla, Inc.&#39;s prices for the most expensive models have been reduced.</li><li>This is obviously a problem for the EV maker&#39;s profit margins.</li><li>A recession is near, and the EV market is not going through its best days.</li><li>Tesla stock is ridiculously overvalued.</li><li>I would not recommend to short sell Tesla stock, either.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15402ca3ce706835733f8b286527cedb\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>jetcityimage</p><p><b>Tesla, Inc.</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA) stock has gained sincemy last article. Yet, the recent banking crisis and, most importantly, the fact the company was forced to decrease its Model S and Model X prices make me somewhat concerned. I mentioned inmy previous article that as a popular stock,Tesla might well risein value. However, the fundamentals were not there and are even worse now. But let me explain this later on.</p><h2>Tesla&#39;s news</h2><p>Let me first mention that Model S and Model X models are considered to beluxurious. In my view, electric vehicles generally are considered to be premium-class goods. Indeed, it is much cheaper to buy a used car powered on normal petrol than it is to buy an electric vehicle (&#34;EV&#34;). But Model S and Model X are more expensive than other cars produced by Tesla. The demand for such premiumgoods produced by Tesla is normally inelastic to price cuts. Let me explain.</p><p>Higher-income, environmentally cautious consumers that also like Elon Musk&#39;s brand are likely to be Tesla&#39;s potential customers. They want to buy a higher-class good and are not prevented from doing so even if the price of this good rises somewhat. But recently Tesla&#39;s management even had to decrease the prices of its higher-class cars<i>twice</i>. To me, this signals a substantial fall in demand. And the management is doing the best it can to somehow mitigate the situation.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc37395688a1638838e425bc1117e759\" tg-width=\"565\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Oilprice.com</p><p>Please have a lookat the table above. Before January 12, Tesla&#39;s Model X Plaid used to cost $138,990. Now its price is only $109 990. This is Tesla&#39;s most expensive model, and the costs to produce it are also the highest of the whole product range. The prices for other models were also substantially cut.</p><p>Obviously, this means that Tesla&#39;s profit margins should fall even lower. The impact of these price cuts on<i>long-term</i>demand still remains to be seen.</p><p>Theinvestor&#39;s presentationalso signaled that Tesla did not provide specifics about the company&#39;s new models. There is nothing tragic about a<i>conservative</i>company not coming up with new products and outstanding innovations every year, indeed. But in order to compensate for this, it has to be a very stable cash cow to provide real value for its investors. Tesla, however, positions itself as a high-growth company but has not<i>recently</i>come up with any innovations. Instead, a lot has been said about the company&#39;s past achievements.</p><h2>The industries Tesla operates in</h2><p>I would rather agree with the thesis that the industries Tesla operates in, namely electric vehicles, energy storage, and artificial intelligence, all have a bright future. After all, the green energy trend is very popular in many countries. Climate-conscious consumers are all of Tesla&#39;s existing and potential customers. However, there are too many unknowns, in my opinion.</p><p>The whole electric vehicle market is facing fairly thin profit margins. But it is still quite strange to say that only Tesla would be the one to gain as soon as the whole sector manages to lower the costs and boost the revenues. I know many Tesla fans expect Elon Musk&#39;s company to become the next Apple (AAPL) in terms of profitability and cash reserves. They also say Tesla would maintain its leading market position and become a cash cow. But too many assumptions are made here.</p><p>A relatively small proportion of Tesla&#39;s business is indeed devoted to energy storage. Obviously, quite little revenue is generated by this. Although this business division has been showing excellent growth, the company reportedly postponed its solar roof installations. Moreover, in autumn 2022 one of its Megapack batteries caught fire at a power storage site in California.</p><p>As concerns Tesla&#39;s artificial intelligence technologies, the company is not monetizing these just yet. It has splendid projects to use AI to cut production costs, but these plans have not come true just yet. Moreover, artificial intelligence technologies are quite new and we cannot accurately predict just how profitable they may be for Tesla. Yet, the valuations take these mega-plans into account.</p><h2>Macroeconomic risks for Tesla stock</h2><p>The risks for Tesla stock are obvious, in my view, now when the banking system is not going through its best days. TSLA is a typical glamorous and overvalued stock. It is rising during fair days and is doing bad when the global economy is suffering. The Fed still predicts one more interest hike this year in spite of the whole banking turmoil. All investors, myself included, would not do well in that case. But particularly at risk are companies that are not very profitable. Also, stocks that are overvalued would not do particularly well. The most obvious example is that of TSLA stock. I will explain this in the next section of my article.</p><h2>Valuations</h2><p>Tesla&#39;s stock is still overvalued in spite of the fact it is trading sufficiently below its all-time highs.</p><p>Let&#39;s start with the company&#39;s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio history.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cad2e820c78b04f89b43d3fdd949bf1d\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Data byYCharts</p><p>Sure, compared to what it used to be before, TSLA stock seems to be excellent value for money. But a P/E of 53 is unreasonable, even for a high-tech company with a bright future.</p><p>The same is true of the company&#39;s price-to-free cash flow (P/CF) ratio.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dacbf517cc9f522da89e3c5d66eaee2\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Data byYCharts</p><p>The current P/FCF of 88 is extremely high, especially given the fact the company&#39;s cash position has improved.</p><p>To finish off my valuation analysis, let me also show you Tesla&#39;s price-to-book (P/B) ratio graph.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/632086a60cde6f6501cd8eefe9a3cb58\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Data byYCharts</p><p>Just a friendly reminder that a &#34;good&#34; P/B ratio should ideally be between 1 and 3. Tesla&#39;s is almost 14.</p><p>So, TSLA is extremely overvalued, especially if we assume a recession is near.</p><h2>Risks to my thesis</h2><ul><li>The first risk is the fact Tesla stock is very popular and many investors seek opportunities to add to their positions.</li><li>The Fed will start easing, thus preventing recession. This is obviously bullish for all companies, not just Tesla.</li><li>Tesla will become the &#34;next Apple&#34; in terms of debt, cash, profitability, and market size. However, it is still a risk to pay so much money for a company that is forced to substantially reduce its profit margins and is facing so much competition.</li><li>After all, the company&#39;s cash position has improved. The revolving credit facility has been extended and Tesla&#39;s credit rating is finally one notch above junk.</li><li>Tesla has some new technologies, including artificial intelligence and smart production innovations. I gave the company credit for these inmy previous article.</li></ul><h2>Conclusion</h2><p>Overall, Tesla, Inc. is being forced to cut its pricing even for the most luxurious models, which is quite a worrying sign. TSLA stock is overvalued. We might face a recession in the near future, which would mean even more downside for both Tesla&#39;s EV business and its stock price. At the same time, I would not short-sell TSLA stock, either, given Tesla&#39;s cash and debt improvements. So, overall, I remain cautiously bearish on TSLA stock.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock - I Have Warned You</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock - I Have Warned You\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-03-29 10:14 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4590615-tesla-stock-i-have-warned-you><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryTesla, Inc.'s prices for the most expensive models have been reduced.This is obviously a problem for the EV maker's profit margins.A recession is near, and the EV market is not going through ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4590615-tesla-stock-i-have-warned-you\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4590615-tesla-stock-i-have-warned-you","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1129951895","content_text":"SummaryTesla, Inc.'s prices for the most expensive models have been reduced.This is obviously a problem for the EV maker's profit margins.A recession is near, and the EV market is not going through its best days.Tesla stock is ridiculously overvalued.I would not recommend to short sell Tesla stock, either.jetcityimageTesla, Inc.(NASDAQ:TSLA) stock has gained sincemy last article. Yet, the recent banking crisis and, most importantly, the fact the company was forced to decrease its Model S and Model X prices make me somewhat concerned. I mentioned inmy previous article that as a popular stock,Tesla might well risein value. However, the fundamentals were not there and are even worse now. But let me explain this later on.Tesla's newsLet me first mention that Model S and Model X models are considered to beluxurious. In my view, electric vehicles generally are considered to be premium-class goods. Indeed, it is much cheaper to buy a used car powered on normal petrol than it is to buy an electric vehicle (\"EV\"). But Model S and Model X are more expensive than other cars produced by Tesla. The demand for such premiumgoods produced by Tesla is normally inelastic to price cuts. Let me explain.Higher-income, environmentally cautious consumers that also like Elon Musk's brand are likely to be Tesla's potential customers. They want to buy a higher-class good and are not prevented from doing so even if the price of this good rises somewhat. But recently Tesla's management even had to decrease the prices of its higher-class carstwice. To me, this signals a substantial fall in demand. And the management is doing the best it can to somehow mitigate the situation.Oilprice.comPlease have a lookat the table above. Before January 12, Tesla's Model X Plaid used to cost $138,990. Now its price is only $109 990. This is Tesla's most expensive model, and the costs to produce it are also the highest of the whole product range. The prices for other models were also substantially cut.Obviously, this means that Tesla's profit margins should fall even lower. The impact of these price cuts onlong-termdemand still remains to be seen.Theinvestor's presentationalso signaled that Tesla did not provide specifics about the company's new models. There is nothing tragic about aconservativecompany not coming up with new products and outstanding innovations every year, indeed. But in order to compensate for this, it has to be a very stable cash cow to provide real value for its investors. Tesla, however, positions itself as a high-growth company but has notrecentlycome up with any innovations. Instead, a lot has been said about the company's past achievements.The industries Tesla operates inI would rather agree with the thesis that the industries Tesla operates in, namely electric vehicles, energy storage, and artificial intelligence, all have a bright future. After all, the green energy trend is very popular in many countries. Climate-conscious consumers are all of Tesla's existing and potential customers. However, there are too many unknowns, in my opinion.The whole electric vehicle market is facing fairly thin profit margins. But it is still quite strange to say that only Tesla would be the one to gain as soon as the whole sector manages to lower the costs and boost the revenues. I know many Tesla fans expect Elon Musk's company to become the next Apple (AAPL) in terms of profitability and cash reserves. They also say Tesla would maintain its leading market position and become a cash cow. But too many assumptions are made here.A relatively small proportion of Tesla's business is indeed devoted to energy storage. Obviously, quite little revenue is generated by this. Although this business division has been showing excellent growth, the company reportedly postponed its solar roof installations. Moreover, in autumn 2022 one of its Megapack batteries caught fire at a power storage site in California.As concerns Tesla's artificial intelligence technologies, the company is not monetizing these just yet. It has splendid projects to use AI to cut production costs, but these plans have not come true just yet. Moreover, artificial intelligence technologies are quite new and we cannot accurately predict just how profitable they may be for Tesla. Yet, the valuations take these mega-plans into account.Macroeconomic risks for Tesla stockThe risks for Tesla stock are obvious, in my view, now when the banking system is not going through its best days. TSLA is a typical glamorous and overvalued stock. It is rising during fair days and is doing bad when the global economy is suffering. The Fed still predicts one more interest hike this year in spite of the whole banking turmoil. All investors, myself included, would not do well in that case. But particularly at risk are companies that are not very profitable. Also, stocks that are overvalued would not do particularly well. The most obvious example is that of TSLA stock. I will explain this in the next section of my article.ValuationsTesla's stock is still overvalued in spite of the fact it is trading sufficiently below its all-time highs.Let's start with the company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio history.Data byYChartsSure, compared to what it used to be before, TSLA stock seems to be excellent value for money. But a P/E of 53 is unreasonable, even for a high-tech company with a bright future.The same is true of the company's price-to-free cash flow (P/CF) ratio.Data byYChartsThe current P/FCF of 88 is extremely high, especially given the fact the company's cash position has improved.To finish off my valuation analysis, let me also show you Tesla's price-to-book (P/B) ratio graph.Data byYChartsJust a friendly reminder that a \"good\" P/B ratio should ideally be between 1 and 3. Tesla's is almost 14.So, TSLA is extremely overvalued, especially if we assume a recession is near.Risks to my thesisThe first risk is the fact Tesla stock is very popular and many investors seek opportunities to add to their positions.The Fed will start easing, thus preventing recession. This is obviously bullish for all companies, not just Tesla.Tesla will become the \"next Apple\" in terms of debt, cash, profitability, and market size. However, it is still a risk to pay so much money for a company that is forced to substantially reduce its profit margins and is facing so much competition.After all, the company's cash position has improved. The revolving credit facility has been extended and Tesla's credit rating is finally one notch above junk.Tesla has some new technologies, including artificial intelligence and smart production innovations. I gave the company credit for these inmy previous article.ConclusionOverall, Tesla, Inc. is being forced to cut its pricing even for the most luxurious models, which is quite a worrying sign. TSLA stock is overvalued. We might face a recession in the near future, which would mean even more downside for both Tesla's EV business and its stock price. At the same time, I would not short-sell TSLA stock, either, given Tesla's cash and debt improvements. So, overall, I remain cautiously bearish on TSLA stock.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":517,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"following","isTTM":true}