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KDL

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- KDLKDL
  ·2022-10-08
  Thanks for sharing
  AMD's Q3 Sales Warning Seen As "Not Surprising" By Analysts, but Some Wonder If Gets Worse
  Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) tumbled more than 5% on Friday as the semiconductor company prel
  AMD's Q3 Sales Warning Seen As "Not Surprising" By Analysts, but Some Wonder If Gets Worse
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- KDLKDL
  ·2022-09-17
  Thanks for sharing
  Nvidia: Ethereum Merge Unleashes A Tsunami Of Used Graphics Cards
  SummaryEthereum completes its transition to proof-of-stake, ending lucrative and energy-consuming “m
  Nvidia: Ethereum Merge Unleashes A Tsunami Of Used Graphics Cards
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- KDLKDL
  ·2022-08-19
  It is sad to see this actually. Will cinemas become a thing in the past?
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- KDLKDL
  ·2022-07-21
  $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$650 and below.
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- KDLKDL
  ·2022-05-10
  Hope the market will stablize soon
  @Lynn098：
  $RBLX 20220520 20.0 PUT$With the sharp fall in Roblox overnight, looks like I am going to be able to buy Roblox at $20.
  $RBLX 20220520 20.0 PUT$With the sharp fall in Roblox overnight, looks like I am going to be able to buy Roblox at $20.
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- KDLKDL
  ·2022-05-10
  Thanks for sharing.
  Palantir: Market Has Completely Misunderstood Its Latest Earnings
  SummaryPalantir's post-earning sell-off underscores the market's disappointment with another weak sh
  Palantir: Market Has Completely Misunderstood Its Latest Earnings
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- KDLKDL
  ·2022-04-20
  Is this Gordon?
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- KDLKDL
  ·2022-04-01
  They probably sold two days ago, then pump out this news, prepare to scoop it at a great price, pump it again by upgrading it, rinse and repeat.
  AMD Shares Dropped More Than 5% in Morning Trading
  AMD shares dropped more than 5% in morning trading on Barclays Downgrade to Equal Weight.Barclays,s
  AMD Shares Dropped More Than 5% in Morning Trading
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- KDLKDL
  ·2022-03-09
  As a consumer, I hate ads. As a shareholder, I love ads.😅😂
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- KDLKDL
  ·2022-03-04
  What happens if they report a rebound on govt sector the next ER? 🤔
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for sharing","listText":"Thanks for sharing","text":"Thanks for sharing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9914183367","repostId":"1177490519","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1177490519","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1665144901,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1177490519?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-07 20:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMD's Q3 Sales Warning Seen As \"Not Surprising\" By Analysts, but Some Wonder If Gets Worse","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177490519","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) tumbled more than 5% on Friday as the semiconductor company prel","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) tumbled more than 5% on Friday as the semiconductor company preliminarily announced third-quarter figures, with sales missing by a wide margin. Most analysts were not surprised by the miss, but others wondered if the weaknessin the semiconductor market will get worse.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e522b19e2baf38ffcf9a23445bfd5c13\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>JHVEPhoto</span></p><p>Bank of America analyst Vivek Arya, who has a buy rating and a $90 price target on AMD (AMD), pointed out that the shortfall was &#34;almost entirely&#34; due to the PC segment, but a &#34;barely inline&#34; data center segment suggested frailty in the enterprise.</p><p>&#34;AMD did not update its Q4 outlook but we expect trends to remain sluggish and model sales to decline further [quarter-over-quarter] on Client weakness,&#34; Arya wrote in a note to clients.</p><p>The analyst lowered 2022 and 2023 earnings per share estimates to $3.32 and $4.02, respectively, but reiterated the firm&#39;s buy rating on continued share gains from Intel (INTC) and an attractive valuation, trading at 16 times 2023 earnings estimates, near the low end of its historical range.</p><p>Truist analyst William Stein, who rates AMD (AMD) hold with a $70 price target, noted that he is more concerned with competitive challenges.</p><p>&#34;We recognize AMD&#39;s impressive share gains but see a reinvigorated Intel and emerging DPU/CPU products from Nvidia as intensifying competitive challenges,&#34; Stein wrote in a note to clients. Stein also lowered 2023 earnings estimates to $3.88 per share, down from $4.45 per share.</p><p>The analyst added that AMD&#39;s (AMD) weakness in the PC market is also likely to keep hitting Intel (INTC), given it is 50% exposed to PCs, as well as Nvidia (NVDA), Diodes (DIOD) and Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR), each of which have 45%, 18% and 15% exposure to the PC industry, respectively.</p><p>Benchmark analyst Cody Acree, who has a buy rating on AMD (AMD), along with a $95 price target, noted the pre-announce &#34;not surprisingly&#34; blamed the PC space, but added that with the stock having declined more than 54% this year, it&#39;s largely baked in.</p><p>&#34;With the firm’s share price already suffering to an outsized degree this year, we believe this pre-announcement is already largely priced into the company’s stock and therefore reiterate our Buy rating but are reducing our price target to $95 from $135 on our lowered estimates,&#34; Acree wrote in a note to clients.</p><p>On Wednesday, Wells Fargo cut estimates on Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) due to PC market weakness and emerging concerns in the data center business.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMD's Q3 Sales Warning Seen As \"Not Surprising\" By Analysts, but Some Wonder If Gets Worse</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMD's Q3 Sales Warning Seen As \"Not Surprising\" By Analysts, but Some Wonder If Gets Worse\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-07 20:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3889593-amds-q3-sales-warning-seen-as-not-surprising-by-analysts-but-some-wonder-if-gets-worse><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) tumbled more than 5% on Friday as the semiconductor company preliminarily announced third-quarter figures, with sales missing by a wide margin. Most analysts were ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3889593-amds-q3-sales-warning-seen-as-not-surprising-by-analysts-but-some-wonder-if-gets-worse\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3889593-amds-q3-sales-warning-seen-as-not-surprising-by-analysts-but-some-wonder-if-gets-worse","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177490519","content_text":"Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) tumbled more than 5% on Friday as the semiconductor company preliminarily announced third-quarter figures, with sales missing by a wide margin. Most analysts were not surprised by the miss, but others wondered if the weaknessin the semiconductor market will get worse.JHVEPhotoBank of America analyst Vivek Arya, who has a buy rating and a $90 price target on AMD (AMD), pointed out that the shortfall was \"almost entirely\" due to the PC segment, but a \"barely inline\" data center segment suggested frailty in the enterprise.\"AMD did not update its Q4 outlook but we expect trends to remain sluggish and model sales to decline further [quarter-over-quarter] on Client weakness,\" Arya wrote in a note to clients.The analyst lowered 2022 and 2023 earnings per share estimates to $3.32 and $4.02, respectively, but reiterated the firm's buy rating on continued share gains from Intel (INTC) and an attractive valuation, trading at 16 times 2023 earnings estimates, near the low end of its historical range.Truist analyst William Stein, who rates AMD (AMD) hold with a $70 price target, noted that he is more concerned with competitive challenges.\"We recognize AMD's impressive share gains but see a reinvigorated Intel and emerging DPU/CPU products from Nvidia as intensifying competitive challenges,\" Stein wrote in a note to clients. Stein also lowered 2023 earnings estimates to $3.88 per share, down from $4.45 per share.The analyst added that AMD's (AMD) weakness in the PC market is also likely to keep hitting Intel (INTC), given it is 50% exposed to PCs, as well as Nvidia (NVDA), Diodes (DIOD) and Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR), each of which have 45%, 18% and 15% exposure to the PC industry, respectively.Benchmark analyst Cody Acree, who has a buy rating on AMD (AMD), along with a $95 price target, noted the pre-announce \"not surprisingly\" blamed the PC space, but added that with the stock having declined more than 54% this year, it's largely baked in.\"With the firm’s share price already suffering to an outsized degree this year, we believe this pre-announcement is already largely priced into the company’s stock and therefore reiterate our Buy rating but are reducing our price target to $95 from $135 on our lowered estimates,\" Acree wrote in a note to clients.On Wednesday, Wells Fargo cut estimates on Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) due to PC market weakness and emerging concerns in the data center business.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2320,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9937692462,"gmtCreate":1663411072056,"gmtModify":1676537267356,"author":{"id":"3555537259700212","authorId":"3555537259700212","name":"KDL","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555537259700212","idStr":"3555537259700212"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks for sharing","listText":"Thanks for sharing","text":"Thanks for sharing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9937692462","repostId":"1129633132","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129633132","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663378125,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1129633132?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-17 09:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia: Ethereum Merge Unleashes A Tsunami Of Used Graphics Cards","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129633132","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryEthereum completes its transition to proof-of-stake, ending lucrative and energy-consuming “m","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Ethereum completes its transition to proof-of-stake, ending lucrative and energy-consuming “mining”.</li><li>Correcting the Ethereum hash rate model to account for used graphics card sales accounts for Nvidia’s fiscal Q2 results.</li><li>The impact of the Merge on Nvidia’s sales will be, at best, ugly.</li><li>How will the Merge affect Nvidia’s expected RTX 40 series launch?</li><li>Investor takeaways: Will Nvidia need to restate guidance for this quarter?</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f531f7b392a181968ec72c4a8f89f8e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"613\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>vzphotos/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p>The Ethereum Foundation, which manages the Ether cryptocurrency, has announced completion of what it calls the Merge, whereby validation of new blocks of transactions no longer takes place by &#34;mining&#34;. The millions of high-end graphics cards that are used for this will no longer beneeded for the new &#34;proof-of-stake&#34; approach, so that most of these will likely find their way into the used card market. This will depress demand for new graphics cards just when Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) is set to announce its next-generation GeForce 40 series.</p><p><b>Ethereum completes its transition to proof-of-stake, ending lucrative and energy consuming &#34;mining&#34;</b></p><p>The transition of Ethereum to proof-of-stake was called the Merge because it involved combining the parallel block chain that was already using proof-of-stake experimentally with the main block chain that was using traditional mining, called proof-of-work. This is shown below in this diagram from the Ethereum Foundation:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4872c823bfeb3e06182d2d3f6ab87879\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"574\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Ethereum.org</span></p><p>Mining was really just transaction processing, in which a number of Ethereum transactions would be bundled into a block and encrypted. But the encryption process was made artificially difficult, requiring millions of high end graphics cards in the mining pool to process a block in a reasonable period of time.</p><p>In the new proof-of-stake approach, the artificial difficulty is removed, so that hardware requirements can be met by almost any computer, ending the need for graphics card processing and the attendant energy consumption. Ethereum claims this will reduce energy consumption by 99.95%.</p><p>Some miners may go to work on a &#34;hard fork&#34; of Ethereum, in effect, a secession of the currency into a new one called EthereumPOW. This currency will continue to use proof-of-work, but it&#39;s unclear whether mining this will be profitable.</p><p>Probably, the vast majority of cards will go on the used card market and be sold on venues such as eBay.</p><p><b>Correcting the Ethereum hash rate model to account for used graphics card sales</b></p><p>Following Nvidia&#39;s revised guidance for its fiscal 2023 Q2, I realized that I needed to revise my model of Ethereum-related sales of graphics cards. I had published an article detailing the model in July.</p><p>The problem with the model was that it only accounted for sales into the Ethereum mining pool when the pool was adding capacity, i.e., adding new cards to the pool. It worked fine as long as the pool was still growing.</p><p>However, starting in mid-May, the Ethereum mining pool hash rate, a measure of mining capacity, started to decline, as shown in the following chart from BitInfoCharts:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe36f2d53f47c0d7e5cdf964d09c67fa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"408\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BinInfoCharts</span></p><p>This implied that a substantial number of graphics cards were being removed from the pool. If I assumed that these cards were comparable to current generation Nvidia and AMD (AMD) cards, then it was reasonable to assume that every used card sold was a lost new card sale.</p><p>This turned out to account very well for Nvidia&#39;s fiscal Q2 results, if we assume that a normal quarterly revenue in Nvidia&#39;s Gaming segment is about $2.5 billion. During the Fiscal Q2 conference call, Nvidia specifically claimed that this would be their normal average Gaming segment revenue without crypto. In my spreadsheet calculations, it was easy to calculate the used card effect simply by allowing the change in mining pool cards to go negative, with a negative net revenue for the cards:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8223bcd7d3f44c30f5c60970c616fe0f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Mark Hibben</span></p><p>Note that the revenue impact doesn&#39;t only fall on Nvidia, but the timing of Nvidia&#39;s fiscal Q2 lined up better with the fall in Ethereum mining capacity and likely release of cards into the used card market. AMD will likely feel the impact in its Q3 results.</p><p><b>The impact of the Merge on Nvidia&#39;s sales will be, at best, ugly</b></p><p>The model provides a means of anticipating what happens when the Ethereum hash rate effectively goes to zero, post Merge. And it&#39;s not pretty. In an article on August 21, I gave my subscribers a heads-up concerning the impact of the Merge, and I further revised my model results on September 11.</p><p>If we assume that the entire mining pool consists of newer graphics cards released since September 2020 (RTX 30 series for Nvidia), then Nvidia&#39;s RTX 30 series sales for Q3 are completely wiped out, as shown in the spreadsheet calculations extended to Q3:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c00465fed542c67659f55786fcdf366b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"358\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Mark Hibben</span></p><p>The model deducts the hash rate contribution due to Nvidia Crypto Mining Processors (CMP). These cannot be sold into the used graphics cards market, since they lack display outputs.</p><p>This amounts to assuming that all of the cards used in mining before September 2020 (about when the RTX 30 series launched) were replaced with newer cards. This probably isn&#39;t absolutely correct, and the mining pool has consisted of a mixture of older and newer cards.</p><p>As a lower bound, we can assume that none of the older cards were replaced. These cards would not impact new card sales, since they aren&#39;t comparable to current generation cards. The model can deduct these cards from the calculated revenue impact by simply deducting the pre-September 2020 hash rate of 228.2361 terahash/sec (THASH) for the mining pool:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac0a909d1edae7870adea14e3f987d28\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"351\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Mark Hibben</span></p><p>So the lost revenue impact for Nvidia looks to be in the range of $2-3 billion, and it probably won&#39;t fall all in Q3 but be distributed over several quarters. The effect of the Merge is to effectively zero out Nvidia&#39;s crypto revenue over time. The revenue made during Ethereum&#39;s mining pool expansion is negated by lost revenue post Merge, with the exception of CMP revenue and revenue from older graphics cards that might still have been in the pool at the time of the Merge.</p><p><b>How will the Merge affect Nvidia&#39;s expected RTX 40 series launch?</b></p><p>Nvidia has been expected to announce its GeForce RTX 40 series cards for some time, and Nvidia posted this announcement on its website:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c5990337b62c49447e21da39a199e14\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"400\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Nvidia</span></p><p>Various tech pundits are claiming that this is the worst time for Nvidia to launch a new generation of gaming graphics cards. One important feature expected of the RTX 40 series is support for PCIE 5.0. This could be important in reducing the impact of the Ethereum Merge.</p><p>The current generation of Nvidia and AMD cards only support PCIE 4.0, the prevailing standard at the time of their introduction in late 2020. PCIE 5.0 will double the communication bandwidth compared to 4.0. It&#39;s not clear how critical that will be to gaming performance, but it should eliminate PCIE as a bottleneck, if it ever was.</p><p>Just as important, new generation CPUs will have to support PCIE 5.0, since the GPU is typically linked directly to the CPU through a built in PCIE 16 lane (x16) interface. This is the preferred architecture for maximum gaming performance, and all modern CPUs provide at least 16 lanes of PCIE for this purpose.</p><p>Intel (INTC) already supports PCIE 5.0 in its latest Alder Lake 12th generation Core series of desktop CPUs. Since Alder Lake launched early this year, there have been no PCIE 5.0 graphics cards to take advantage of the interface, but the current installed base of Alder Lake systems represents a waiting market for the new PCIE 5.0 cards.</p><p>Unfortunately, I don&#39;t have an estimate of Alder Lake sales, so I have no idea what the size of that market might be. Current generation AMD Ryzen 5000 series desktop CPUs only offer PCIE 4.0, but the Ryzen 7000 series has been announced with support for PCIE 5.0, with a launch expected in October. AMD&#39;s next-generation GPUs have only been &#34;teased&#34; but are expected to support PCIE 5.0 as well.</p><p>The performance desktop market (mostly gamers) is moving rapidly to PCIE 5.0, and Nvidia will have, at least for a few months, the only graphics cards that support it. Gamers tend to be early adopters and favor the highest performance technology.</p><p>Since<i>none</i>of the used cards released from the Merge will support PCIE 5.0, this may serve to somewhat isolate the RTX 40 series launch from the impact of the Merge. How much isolation is still unclear.</p><p>Most of the current population of gaming systems will only support PCIE 4.0, so this part of the market would probably not buy RTX 40 series in any case. Most 40 series sales will go into new system builds.</p><p>Certainly, the impact of the Merge will be to weaken sales of the RTX 40 series at launch. However, overall sales in the Gaming segment will probably benefit from the launch. The 40 series launch will give the segment a revenue stream it would not have had otherwise.</p><p><b>Investor takeaways: will Nvidia need to restate guidance for this quarter?</b></p><p>Nvidia guided to revenue of $5.9 billion for fiscal Q3 during the Q2 conference call, and this implies revenue in the gaming segment of about $1 billion. Did Nvidia account for the Merge in their guidance?</p><p>When asked specifically about the impact of the Merge, Nvidia management had no comment, and professed an inability to account for the crypto impact. The guidance was claimed to be due to a retail channel inventory glut.</p><p>If Nvidia really wasn&#39;t accounting for the Merge, then almost certainly it will need to restate guidance for Q3. Probably, the RTX 40 series launch will not be enough to provide the roughly $1 billion in Gaming segment revenue.</p><p>In my Nvidia integrated financial model, I&#39;m assuming a $3 billion hit due to the Merge and another $1 billion due to inventory correction. In the model, this is distributed over the next four quarters from fiscal 2023 Q3 to fiscal 2024 Q2, with Gaming segment sales only starting to recover in fiscal 2024 Q3.</p><p>Despite this, I&#39;m still modeling growth in the all-important Data Center segment. Nvidia&#39;s next-generation data center accelerator, the Hopper H100, is testing out to be very impressive and is in production now with deliveries expected by the end of the calendar year.</p><p>Hopper should ensure continued growth in the Data Center segment, and the advent of Grace, Nvidia&#39;s ARM architecture CPU for the data center, should further enhance growth. Data Center growth largely compensates for revenue declines expected in Gaming for this year and next, according to the model:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8026f845d3af92219bdc2bb1bc67be19\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"458\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Mark Hibben</span></p><p>According to my long-term Discounted Cash Flow model, Nvidia has a fair value of $192. I consider Nvidia&#39;s future to be very bright, despite the impact of crypto in the near term.</p><p>Currently, I have Nvidia rated at Hold, and Nvidia has been a relatively small part of the Rethink Technology portfolio since selling most of my Nvidia shares (at a substantial profit) in April. I&#39;m pretty close to upgrading Nvidia to Buy, but I&#39;m waiting to see if the Merge (and possible guidance restatement) will drive Nvidia&#39;s price even lower.</p><p>Also, I&#39;m waiting to see what Nvidia has to offer in its new 40 series on September 20. Nvidia has consistently set the performance bar in the desktop graphics card market. Most likely, Nvidia is already undervalued.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia: Ethereum Merge Unleashes A Tsunami Of Used Graphics Cards</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia: Ethereum Merge Unleashes A Tsunami Of Used Graphics Cards\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-17 09:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541459-nvidia-ethereum-merge-unleashes-tsunami-of-used-graphics-cards?source=content_type%3Areact%7Csection%3AAll%7Csection_asset%3AAnalysis%7Cfirst_level_url%3Asymbol%7Cbutton%3ATitle%7Clock_status%3ANo%7Cline%3A1><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryEthereum completes its transition to proof-of-stake, ending lucrative and energy-consuming “mining”.Correcting the Ethereum hash rate model to account for used graphics card sales accounts for ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541459-nvidia-ethereum-merge-unleashes-tsunami-of-used-graphics-cards?source=content_type%3Areact%7Csection%3AAll%7Csection_asset%3AAnalysis%7Cfirst_level_url%3Asymbol%7Cbutton%3ATitle%7Clock_status%3ANo%7Cline%3A1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4541459-nvidia-ethereum-merge-unleashes-tsunami-of-used-graphics-cards?source=content_type%3Areact%7Csection%3AAll%7Csection_asset%3AAnalysis%7Cfirst_level_url%3Asymbol%7Cbutton%3ATitle%7Clock_status%3ANo%7Cline%3A1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129633132","content_text":"SummaryEthereum completes its transition to proof-of-stake, ending lucrative and energy-consuming “mining”.Correcting the Ethereum hash rate model to account for used graphics card sales accounts for Nvidia’s fiscal Q2 results.The impact of the Merge on Nvidia’s sales will be, at best, ugly.How will the Merge affect Nvidia’s expected RTX 40 series launch?Investor takeaways: Will Nvidia need to restate guidance for this quarter?vzphotos/iStock Editorial via Getty ImagesThe Ethereum Foundation, which manages the Ether cryptocurrency, has announced completion of what it calls the Merge, whereby validation of new blocks of transactions no longer takes place by \"mining\". The millions of high-end graphics cards that are used for this will no longer beneeded for the new \"proof-of-stake\" approach, so that most of these will likely find their way into the used card market. This will depress demand for new graphics cards just when Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) is set to announce its next-generation GeForce 40 series.Ethereum completes its transition to proof-of-stake, ending lucrative and energy consuming \"mining\"The transition of Ethereum to proof-of-stake was called the Merge because it involved combining the parallel block chain that was already using proof-of-stake experimentally with the main block chain that was using traditional mining, called proof-of-work. This is shown below in this diagram from the Ethereum Foundation:Ethereum.orgMining was really just transaction processing, in which a number of Ethereum transactions would be bundled into a block and encrypted. But the encryption process was made artificially difficult, requiring millions of high end graphics cards in the mining pool to process a block in a reasonable period of time.In the new proof-of-stake approach, the artificial difficulty is removed, so that hardware requirements can be met by almost any computer, ending the need for graphics card processing and the attendant energy consumption. Ethereum claims this will reduce energy consumption by 99.95%.Some miners may go to work on a \"hard fork\" of Ethereum, in effect, a secession of the currency into a new one called EthereumPOW. This currency will continue to use proof-of-work, but it's unclear whether mining this will be profitable.Probably, the vast majority of cards will go on the used card market and be sold on venues such as eBay.Correcting the Ethereum hash rate model to account for used graphics card salesFollowing Nvidia's revised guidance for its fiscal 2023 Q2, I realized that I needed to revise my model of Ethereum-related sales of graphics cards. I had published an article detailing the model in July.The problem with the model was that it only accounted for sales into the Ethereum mining pool when the pool was adding capacity, i.e., adding new cards to the pool. It worked fine as long as the pool was still growing.However, starting in mid-May, the Ethereum mining pool hash rate, a measure of mining capacity, started to decline, as shown in the following chart from BitInfoCharts:BinInfoChartsThis implied that a substantial number of graphics cards were being removed from the pool. If I assumed that these cards were comparable to current generation Nvidia and AMD (AMD) cards, then it was reasonable to assume that every used card sold was a lost new card sale.This turned out to account very well for Nvidia's fiscal Q2 results, if we assume that a normal quarterly revenue in Nvidia's Gaming segment is about $2.5 billion. During the Fiscal Q2 conference call, Nvidia specifically claimed that this would be their normal average Gaming segment revenue without crypto. In my spreadsheet calculations, it was easy to calculate the used card effect simply by allowing the change in mining pool cards to go negative, with a negative net revenue for the cards:Mark HibbenNote that the revenue impact doesn't only fall on Nvidia, but the timing of Nvidia's fiscal Q2 lined up better with the fall in Ethereum mining capacity and likely release of cards into the used card market. AMD will likely feel the impact in its Q3 results.The impact of the Merge on Nvidia's sales will be, at best, uglyThe model provides a means of anticipating what happens when the Ethereum hash rate effectively goes to zero, post Merge. And it's not pretty. In an article on August 21, I gave my subscribers a heads-up concerning the impact of the Merge, and I further revised my model results on September 11.If we assume that the entire mining pool consists of newer graphics cards released since September 2020 (RTX 30 series for Nvidia), then Nvidia's RTX 30 series sales for Q3 are completely wiped out, as shown in the spreadsheet calculations extended to Q3:Mark HibbenThe model deducts the hash rate contribution due to Nvidia Crypto Mining Processors (CMP). These cannot be sold into the used graphics cards market, since they lack display outputs.This amounts to assuming that all of the cards used in mining before September 2020 (about when the RTX 30 series launched) were replaced with newer cards. This probably isn't absolutely correct, and the mining pool has consisted of a mixture of older and newer cards.As a lower bound, we can assume that none of the older cards were replaced. These cards would not impact new card sales, since they aren't comparable to current generation cards. The model can deduct these cards from the calculated revenue impact by simply deducting the pre-September 2020 hash rate of 228.2361 terahash/sec (THASH) for the mining pool:Mark HibbenSo the lost revenue impact for Nvidia looks to be in the range of $2-3 billion, and it probably won't fall all in Q3 but be distributed over several quarters. The effect of the Merge is to effectively zero out Nvidia's crypto revenue over time. The revenue made during Ethereum's mining pool expansion is negated by lost revenue post Merge, with the exception of CMP revenue and revenue from older graphics cards that might still have been in the pool at the time of the Merge.How will the Merge affect Nvidia's expected RTX 40 series launch?Nvidia has been expected to announce its GeForce RTX 40 series cards for some time, and Nvidia posted this announcement on its website:NvidiaVarious tech pundits are claiming that this is the worst time for Nvidia to launch a new generation of gaming graphics cards. One important feature expected of the RTX 40 series is support for PCIE 5.0. This could be important in reducing the impact of the Ethereum Merge.The current generation of Nvidia and AMD cards only support PCIE 4.0, the prevailing standard at the time of their introduction in late 2020. PCIE 5.0 will double the communication bandwidth compared to 4.0. It's not clear how critical that will be to gaming performance, but it should eliminate PCIE as a bottleneck, if it ever was.Just as important, new generation CPUs will have to support PCIE 5.0, since the GPU is typically linked directly to the CPU through a built in PCIE 16 lane (x16) interface. This is the preferred architecture for maximum gaming performance, and all modern CPUs provide at least 16 lanes of PCIE for this purpose.Intel (INTC) already supports PCIE 5.0 in its latest Alder Lake 12th generation Core series of desktop CPUs. Since Alder Lake launched early this year, there have been no PCIE 5.0 graphics cards to take advantage of the interface, but the current installed base of Alder Lake systems represents a waiting market for the new PCIE 5.0 cards.Unfortunately, I don't have an estimate of Alder Lake sales, so I have no idea what the size of that market might be. Current generation AMD Ryzen 5000 series desktop CPUs only offer PCIE 4.0, but the Ryzen 7000 series has been announced with support for PCIE 5.0, with a launch expected in October. AMD's next-generation GPUs have only been \"teased\" but are expected to support PCIE 5.0 as well.The performance desktop market (mostly gamers) is moving rapidly to PCIE 5.0, and Nvidia will have, at least for a few months, the only graphics cards that support it. Gamers tend to be early adopters and favor the highest performance technology.Sincenoneof the used cards released from the Merge will support PCIE 5.0, this may serve to somewhat isolate the RTX 40 series launch from the impact of the Merge. How much isolation is still unclear.Most of the current population of gaming systems will only support PCIE 4.0, so this part of the market would probably not buy RTX 40 series in any case. Most 40 series sales will go into new system builds.Certainly, the impact of the Merge will be to weaken sales of the RTX 40 series at launch. However, overall sales in the Gaming segment will probably benefit from the launch. The 40 series launch will give the segment a revenue stream it would not have had otherwise.Investor takeaways: will Nvidia need to restate guidance for this quarter?Nvidia guided to revenue of $5.9 billion for fiscal Q3 during the Q2 conference call, and this implies revenue in the gaming segment of about $1 billion. Did Nvidia account for the Merge in their guidance?When asked specifically about the impact of the Merge, Nvidia management had no comment, and professed an inability to account for the crypto impact. The guidance was claimed to be due to a retail channel inventory glut.If Nvidia really wasn't accounting for the Merge, then almost certainly it will need to restate guidance for Q3. Probably, the RTX 40 series launch will not be enough to provide the roughly $1 billion in Gaming segment revenue.In my Nvidia integrated financial model, I'm assuming a $3 billion hit due to the Merge and another $1 billion due to inventory correction. In the model, this is distributed over the next four quarters from fiscal 2023 Q3 to fiscal 2024 Q2, with Gaming segment sales only starting to recover in fiscal 2024 Q3.Despite this, I'm still modeling growth in the all-important Data Center segment. Nvidia's next-generation data center accelerator, the Hopper H100, is testing out to be very impressive and is in production now with deliveries expected by the end of the calendar year.Hopper should ensure continued growth in the Data Center segment, and the advent of Grace, Nvidia's ARM architecture CPU for the data center, should further enhance growth. Data Center growth largely compensates for revenue declines expected in Gaming for this year and next, according to the model:Mark HibbenAccording to my long-term Discounted Cash Flow model, Nvidia has a fair value of $192. I consider Nvidia's future to be very bright, despite the impact of crypto in the near term.Currently, I have Nvidia rated at Hold, and Nvidia has been a relatively small part of the Rethink Technology portfolio since selling most of my Nvidia shares (at a substantial profit) in April. I'm pretty close to upgrading Nvidia to Buy, but I'm waiting to see if the Merge (and possible guidance restatement) will drive Nvidia's price even lower.Also, I'm waiting to see what Nvidia has to offer in its new 40 series on September 20. Nvidia has consistently set the performance bar in the desktop graphics card market. Most likely, Nvidia is already undervalued.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2961,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9998931090,"gmtCreate":1660916133411,"gmtModify":1676536422755,"author":{"id":"3555537259700212","authorId":"3555537259700212","name":"KDL","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555537259700212","idStr":"3555537259700212"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It is sad to see this actually. Will cinemas become a thing in the past?","listText":"It is sad to see this actually. Will cinemas become a thing in the past?","text":"It is sad to see this actually. Will cinemas become a thing in the past?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9998931090","repostId":"2260493813","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2003,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9074259729,"gmtCreate":1658365945361,"gmtModify":1676536147908,"author":{"id":"3555537259700212","authorId":"3555537259700212","name":"KDL","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555537259700212","idStr":"3555537259700212"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>650 and below.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>650 and below.","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$650 and below.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9074259729","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2173,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9065177116,"gmtCreate":1652162131635,"gmtModify":1676535043787,"author":{"id":"3555537259700212","authorId":"3555537259700212","name":"KDL","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555537259700212","idStr":"3555537259700212"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hope the market will stablize soon","listText":"Hope the market will stablize soon","text":"Hope the market will stablize soon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9065177116","repostId":"9065178474","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9065178474,"gmtCreate":1652161541498,"gmtModify":1676535043678,"author":{"id":"4098071185322490","authorId":"4098071185322490","name":"Lynn098","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/3597fa2f7b2f99b627545d626f3746b1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4098071185322490","idStr":"4098071185322490"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/RBLX 20220520 20.0 PUT\">$RBLX 20220520 20.0 PUT$</a>With the sharp fall in Roblox overnight, looks like I am going to be able to buy Roblox at $20.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/RBLX 20220520 20.0 PUT\">$RBLX 20220520 20.0 PUT$</a>With the sharp fall in Roblox overnight, looks like I am going to be able to buy Roblox at $20.","text":"$RBLX 20220520 20.0 PUT$With the sharp fall in Roblox overnight, looks like I am going to be able to buy Roblox at $20.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/97313939b14737e189d3f3e82163e0b3","width":"720","height":"1280"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9065178474","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2076,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9065167178,"gmtCreate":1652156248494,"gmtModify":1676535042619,"author":{"id":"3555537259700212","authorId":"3555537259700212","name":"KDL","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555537259700212","idStr":"3555537259700212"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks for sharing.","listText":"Thanks for sharing.","text":"Thanks for sharing.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9065167178","repostId":"2234773775","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2234773775","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1652144038,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2234773775?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-10 08:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Market Has Completely Misunderstood Its Latest Earnings","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2234773775","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryPalantir's post-earning sell-off underscores the market's disappointment with another weak sh","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Palantir&#39;s post-earning sell-off underscores the market&#39;s disappointment with another weak showing for government sector revenues.</li><li>It also accentuates the market&#39;s ongoing ignorance of Palantir&#39;s success in achieving commercial acceleration despite tightening financial conditions and an increasingly uncertain economic growth outlook.</li><li>Palantir&#39;s continued effectiveness in deploying its &#34;land and expand&#34; business growth strategy, as evidence by 1Q22 government contract wins, has also been faced with market disregard.</li><li>Although the ongoing development of macroeconomic challenges continue to fuel the contracting valuation environment across growth stocks, Palantir&#39;s fundamental outlook continues to be supported by a robust demand environment.</li><li>In addition to continued commercial acceleration, Palantir is expected to benefit from backloaded government growth in the latter half as increasing global military spending in response to ongoing war efforts bolsters favourable near-term trends for the segment.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23d0f121f38325521c0b8ebbb42b26b3\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Michael Vi/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p>Palantir&#39;s stock (NYSE:PLTR) has taken a monthslong beating since reporting two consecutive quarters of mixed results, and after the Fed pivoted towards an aggressive policy stance in November upended the stock market. But regaining footing in the first quarter with a sales beat continues to underscore the company’s fundamental strength, bolstering the outlook on its multi-year growth target of 30% on an annual basis. Palantir continues to demonstrate market share gains across both the public and private sectors by encouraging adoption of its Foundry, Gotham and Apollo solutions through different deployment strategies, including modularization of existing offerings and industry-tailored solutions to better address different end user needs.</p><p>On the government front, the market appears disappointed still in the segment’s slowing growth, with the stock plummeting close to 20% in pre-market trading. But Palantir continues to demonstrate improvements by expanding existing opportunities with non-defense public agencies. Many renewed contracts with non-defense agencies this year, such as the U.S. Center for Disease Control and Prevention (“CDC”), are reflective of the value created by adoption of Palantir’s software under non-recurring COVID-era contracts, and underscores the continued effectiveness of the company’s “land and expand” strategy. Palantir has also played a supportive role in bolstering defense for the U.S. and its allies, as well as war relief efforts as the Russia-Ukraine conflict continues. The combination of increased market penetration into both non-defense and defense public agencies continues to reinforce sustained growth in Palantir’s government segment.</p><p>Meanwhile, Palantir’s commercial segment is also demonstrating continued strength, underscoring effectiveness of its recent roll-out of modularized enterprise solutions to break the barrier of IT resistance to complex new software structures like Foundry. By tailoring Foundry solutions to better suit end users’ needs, Palantir makes its offerings easier to digest and more relevant as digital transformation across the enterprise sector rapidly accelerates, driving better capitalization of related growth opportunities ahead. Recent management rhetoric on slowing SPAC investments are also welcomed news by many investors, as previous concerns of over-reliance on affiliated commercial sector revenues are putting sustainability of Palantir’s topline growth into question.</p><p>While the market performance of growth stocks like Palantir have continued to be challenged by the Fed pivot towards a more aggressive monetary policy stance to quell 40-year-high inflation, the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war and rapid acceleration of digital transformation trends continues to support the company’s fundamental performance by highlighting the value its technologies bring to the table. However, the stock likely faces further near-term volatility as investors continue to mull on the “[durability of Palantir’s] government business and yields on recent investments in commercial”, while broader markets await for further clarity on where current macroeconomic conditions are headed. Yet, with Palantir pushing through on its longer-term growth initiatives, including further expansion into non-U.S. opportunities and continued modularization of its offerings, to encourage mass market adoption and better capitalization of digitization opportunities in coming years, we expect favourable risk/reward at the stock’s current price levels for investors with patience.</p><p><b>Palantir - Brief Recap of 1Q22 Fundamental Performance</b></p><p>Palantir reported first quarter revenues of $446 million (+31% y/y; +3% q/q), beating consensus estimate of $443.51 million (+30% y/y; +2% q/q) and its previous guidance of $443 million (+30% y/y; +2% q/q). But government revenues continued to decelerate at 16% year-on-year growth in the first quarter, providing no respite to investors’ concerns experienced over the past two quarters. Meanwhile, commercial segment growth remains strong, with revenues increasing 54% year-on-year. In the U.S., enterprise opportunities drew in revenue growth of more than 136% year-on-year, which are impressive results that resonate with signs of an inflationary-resistant demand environment ahead of robust digitization trends.</p><p>Earnings fell short of expectations at $0.02 per share, compared with consensus estimate of $0.04 per share. But losses continue to narrow, showing positive progress towards profit realization by mid-decade.</p><p>Meanwhile, cash from operations remain strong, coming in at $35 million for the first quarter (8% margin), while adjusted free cash flows totalled $30 million (7% margin). As discussed in our previous coverage, Palantir’s robust balance sheet with $2.3 billion in cash on hand and zero debt remains a competitive advantage that will minimize its exposure to rising costs of capital ahead and maintain its ability to invest in continued growth.</p><p><b>Expectations for Backloaded Government Growth</b></p><p>Palantir continues to show favourable developments this year across both its government and commercial segments based on recent deal wins observed, bolstering sustainability of its multi-year growth target of more than 30% on an annual basis. While government revenue growth continued to decelerate for the third consecutive quarter, we are expecting some of the new deal wins in response to the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war to materialize further in the latter half of the year. This is also corroborated by management’s expectations for a “wide range of potential upside to [its second quarter guidance], including those driven by [Palantir’s] role in responding to developing geopolitical events”. Paired with continuing momentum from Palantir’s commercial segment, the company continues to show favourable fundamental growth prospects in line with its long-term target despite tightening financial conditions in the current market climate.</p><p><b>Boosted Global Military Spending Tailwinds</b></p><p>On the military front, global governments have been bolstering their defense spending in response to the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war. U.S. allies in Europe are increasing adoption of Palantir’s solutions to facilitate current war efforts spanning “the distribution of materials such as food and beds to Ukrainian refugees…, [to powering] military response against Russia’s invasion of Ukraine”. The war-driven tailwinds for Palantir are further corroborated by the spike in global military spending this year, which has surpassed $2 trillion for the first time and “looks set to rise further as European countries beef up their armed forces in response to Ukraine war”.</p><p><b>Europe:</b>European military expenditures have been increasing for seven years straight, and the trend is expected to “accelerate and intensify” in response to the latest geopolitical crisis in Ukraine. The development bodes favourably with Palantir’s amped up efforts in penetrating opportunities outside of the U.S., especially in Europe. Last quarter, the company announced plans to expand its salesforce in Europe with at least 175 experienced hires this year to accelerate market penetration across the region’s public sector. The announcement came shortly after the company appointed Philippe Mathieu as President of Palantir EMEA to take charge of leading Palantir’s penetration into the sizable addressable market in Europe. And these efforts have already started to pay off nicely, as evidenced by Palantir’s latest contract win with the U.K. Ministry of Defence (“MoD”). Valued at $12.5 million, the contract would require Palantir to implement its Foundry platform across the MoD to enable cost efficiencies by “automating work and reducing data-processing time”.</p><p>Defense spending by the European government alone accounts for a fifth of the global total, underscoring the massive growth opportunities that await Palantir. This is further bolstered by “early indications that modernizing and upgrading weapons systems will be a key priority” for the European governments. Many of the challenges observed in the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war have been “related to things like logistics, fuel, tires and secure communications”, which suggests that a war chest of weapons is insufficient in modern-day warfare and must be complemented by technologies like AI and data analytics to ensure adequate progress. This accordingly reflects Palantir’s improved position in benefiting from a “favourable government spending environment”, especially in Europe, over coming years.</p><p><b>U.S.:</b> Similar tailwinds are expected from the U.S., which is currently the world’s largest military spender. The U.S. government allocated $801 billion to the armed forces last year, representing “as much as 39% of global expenditures”. There has also been an increasing deployment of related funds towards “military research and development, suggesting that the U.S. is focusing more on next-generation technologies”, which bolsters Palantir’s longer-term government segment outlook. Looking ahead, President Biden has recently requested “$813.3 billion in national security spending, including $773 billion for the Pentagon, in the federal budget” for fiscal 2023. The proposed budget represents a 4% increase from the current fiscal year and exceeds the fiscal 2023 budget projected by the White House a year ago by more than $40 billion. In addition to the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, the U.S. government’s beefed-up budget also “reflects the increasing military challenge from China”.</p><p>A meaningful portion of the allocated budget to the Pentagon – about $130 billion of the $773 billion – will be deployed towards “development of costly new defense systems…, [including] accelerated research into hypersonics and AI”, representing an increase of $15.6 billion compared to projections outlined in the fiscal 2023 budget made last year. But with rising inflationary pressures, some industry experts are expending an even larger increase to related spending in the coming fiscal year, underscoring even greater opportunities for next-generation warfare technology providers like Palantir.</p><p><b>Expanding Adjacent Non-Military Opportunities</b></p><p>Palantir’s effective deployment of COVID-era solutions and support to various non-military public agencies in recent years has also continued to bolster its growing share of related government procurement contracts. In the core U.S. market alone, non-defense agency contracts represented more than 52% of total public sector awards received by the company to date. This continues to underscore Palantir’s ability in diversifying government segment growth drivers and benefiting from opportunities related to major non-defense government agencies. Continued penetration of non-defense government opportunities, which represents about 3% to 4% of annual GDP in the U.S. alone, paired with increased military expenditure in the near-term are expected to reinforce Palantir’s government segment performance:</p><ul><li>COVID-19 Response for the CDC: The latest contract forged between Palantir and the CDC pertaining to the U.S. government’s ongoing COVID-19 response efforts highlights the company’s continued effectiveness in executing its land and expand business strategy. The expanded partnership underscores Palantir’s effective job as a “trusted technology partner” during the pandemic-era. Specifically, the latest partnership with the CDC results from Palantir’s success in helping the Department of Health and Human Services (“HHS”) with vaccine distribution in mid-2020. Palantir’s solutions have been procured under the latest contract with the CDC, valued at $5.3 million, to support the department’s “key distribution and supply chain efforts” pertaining to ongoing COVID-19 response efforts.</li><li>CDC DCIPHER Program Extension: The CDC has expanded its use of Palantir’s solutions in support of the “Data Collation and Integration for Public Health Event Response” (“DCIPHER”) Program. Palantir has been supporting the roll-out of the CDC’s DCIPHER Program since 2010. The latest extension will further Palantir’s participation in the CDC’s ongoing efforts related to modernizing the agency’s data management system, and supporting “time-sensitive data integration, management and analysis that widespread events require”.</li><li>HHS SHARE Blanket Purchase Agreement: Earlier this month, Palantir was rewarded another contract by the HHS to support its “5-year Solutioning with Holistic Analytics Restructure for the Enterprise (“SHARE”)” program under a Blanket Purchase Agreement (“BPA”). Valued at $90 million, the BPA will require Palantir’s platform be implemented across the HHS’ “many agencies and missions…to support their work”. Palantir was selected based on its proven strength in delivering effective “built-in data protection features, innovative technology, and common security framework”, which further corroborates our observations that the company’s achievements with non-defense public agencies during the pandemic-era have been a beneficial trial period that is driving today’s expansion. Palantir’s initial obligation under the BPA is a “10.5 month, multi-million-dollar contract to support HHS’ core administrative data and applications through a vertically integrated platform that allows teams to configure low to no code applications to manage, ingest, and access data securely, across business domains” using its Foundry platform.</li></ul><p><b>Commercial Acceleration</b></p><p>Acceleration in Palantir’s commercial sector has been consistently gaining momentum in recent quarters. Despite tightening financial conditions in the economy, the segment’s latest results continue to underscore the critical role that Palantir plays in the enterprise sector’s ongoing digital transformation efforts. More than half of the corporate scene have expressed that they would rather “tighten the belt” in other parts of the business than to miss out on digital transformation, which is considered a strategic investment in differentiating themselves from competitors, while also enabling cost efficiencies. Commercial customers are increasing demand for tools to make sense of their massive data troves. To date, only 4% of companies claim to have a &#34;highly sophisticated approach to leveraging data”, leaving sizable growth opportunities for Palantir over coming years.</p><p><b>Modularization:</b>The company’s continued commitment to modularization and honing its offerings to better suit end users’ needs are also bolstering its capitalization of opportunities stemming from demand environment. In addition to Foundry for Builders, which we have previously analyzed as an effective tool for driving mass market adoption in the corporate sector over coming years, Palantir has also been ramping up deployment of modular offerings like “Carbon Emissions Management” and “Anti-Money Laundering / Know Your Client” solutions to increase its appeal to the commercial sector, including the emerging crypto sector, which stands to expose Palantir to a broader market that is expected to grow into a $67 billion opportunity by mid-decade.</p><p><b>Industry-Specific Solutions:</b>There has also been a consistent trend of leveraging third-party expertise in the development of industry-tailored versions of its Foundry platform. After forging a $25 million multi-year deal with Hyundai Heavy earlier this year to co-develop and commercialize software tools curated for breaking down siloed data fields across relevant workflows spanning shipbuilding to industrial machinery processes, Palantir is back at it again with a similar deal forged with Jacobs (J), a consulting and project delivery expert for both the public and private sectors.</p><p>Palantir and Jacobs will collaborate on the development and launch of a “joint data analytics offering to support public and private sector clients in solving their most complex water infrastructure problems”. Built on Palantir’s Foundry platform, the joint data analytics offering will also be leveraging Jacobs’ existing expertise in providing operations and maintenance (“O&amp;M”) solutions to the water sector, as well as its “proprietary machine learning modules and wastewater process optimization tools”. The joint analytics tool aims at driving insights that can help increase water plant performance, cost efficiencies, security from cyber threats, and compliance with ESG goals – all of which are pressing needs to support the evolution of critical water infrastructure required to satisfy rising “global demand for clean water, more stringent regulatory issues, and increasing environmental concerns”. With the global water and wastewater treatment addressable market expected to exceed $200 billion by mid-decade, Palantir’s latest foray into the water infrastructure sector with the help of Jacobs marks another significant step towards greater commercial penetration.</p><p><b>Seamless Digital Migration with Apollo:</b>In addition to developments made with Foundry that are accelerating growth for Palantir’s commercial segment, the company’s recent roll-out of a new suite of offerings available within Apollo also heightens its appeal to the enterprise sector. Apollo is an operating system developed by Palantir to facilitate “autonomous software deployment across environments” faster and in a more efficient way to ensure scalability. Apollo has already “managed the deployment, security, and upgrades for Palantir’s software, including 500+ independently released microservices across 300+ unique environments”, accentuating the system’s proven effectiveness.</p><p>The latest product additions within Apollo include “Cloud Portability”, which allows “organizations to maintain flexibility across cloud providers” by housing different cloud provider managed operating systems under <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> roof. This creates a particular appeal to the corporate sector’s increasing migration of workloads from legacy IT systems to the cloud, which is considered a business essential that drives “better economies, more innovation and greater speed”. With more than half of global corporations indicating plans to allocate a significant share of budgeted investments to cloud-related projects over the next two years, the Apollo operating system and its newly curated offerings stand to further Palantir’s reach into related opportunities over coming years.</p><p><b>Fundamental Estimate Update</b></p><p>Adjusting our latest Palantir financial forecast for its actual first quarter financial results, and growth outlook based on recent developments discussed in the foregoing analysis, the company remains on a positive track towards reaching +30% revenue growth this year. Our base case forecast expects revenues to total $2.0 billion by the end of the year (+30% y/y), driven by continued commercial acceleration, as well as restored government momentum in the latter half resulting from solution deployments related to the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war.</p><p>Consistent with narrowing losses observed in recent quarters, the company’s expected trajectory towards profits by mid-decade remains intact. Operating margins are expected to further improve over time as Palantir continues to ramp deployment of new and existing offerings and achieve greater economies of scale. Share-based compensation expenses, which investors consider a sore spot for the company, are also expected to further improve and taper towards lower levels by mid-decade. Share-based compensation as a percentage of total revenues has consistently improved from 116% in 2020 (4Q20: 75%) to about 50% in 2021 (4Q21: 39%) and 33% in 1Q22. This continues to signal Palantir&#39;s increasing balance between top talent retention through generous compensation packages and growth-driven economies of scale to facilitate meaningful margin expansion towards GAAP-based net profits by 2025.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd5dc583f4af09214f856ea934172fdd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"167\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Palantir Financial Forecast (Author)</span></p><p><b>PLTR</b> <b>Stock Valuation Update</b></p><p>The market continues to be extremely unforgiving towards signs of near-term underperformance in growth stocks like Palantir. The stock’s massive pullback in value in recent months as a result of three consecutive quarters of decelerating government growth has effectively erased Palantir’s previous premium to the broader SaaS peer group. At under $8 per share (May 9th), Palantir current trades at about 6x EV/’23 sales, which is below the SaaS mean of 8.1x and median of 7.8x. Considering Palantir’s continued fundamental strength, which includes 1) continued top-line growth expected at more than 30% per year as analyzed in the foregoing analysis, 2) self-sufficient, cash-positive day-to-day operations, and 3) a robust balance sheet with $2.3 billion in cash on hand and zero debt to facilitate continued growth with minimal exposure to rising costs of capital, we are confident in the return of a favourable risk-reward payoff at current price levels for patient long-term investors.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c2ba02fa1bb38f522606760ccfaf427\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"226\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Palantir Valuation Analysis (Author)</span></p><p>Considering the ongoing compression of valuation multiples observed across the SaaS peer group in response to still-evolving economic uncertainties stemming from macro challenges including runaway inflation and tightening monetary policy, we are adjusting our 12-month price target for the stock from $26 to $15. Our near-term price target implies a 10.8x EV/’23 sales to better reflect the currently contracted valuation environment for SaaS stocks, compensated by Palantir’s increasing appeal to commercial sector digitization needs, and its “favourable government spending environment” expected in the near-term as discussed in earlier sections.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95c199352b87f7154fdda41bff9f33ec\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"171\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Palantir Valuation Analysis (Author)</span></p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>While we have tapered our near-term expectations for the stock considering the current risk-off environment for growth equities, we remain optimistic on its longer-term upside potential. Palantir’s software solutions remain the best-in-class for addressing critical data management and analytics needs across both the public and private sector. With robust customer growth still, and a strong demand environment ahead of global digitization trends, Palantir continues to sit on a mountain of opportunities stemming from a market that is still significantly under-addressed. This accordingly underscores further fundamental growth in coming years, buoying better valuation prospects over the longer-term especially when the current market storm subsides.</p><p>Author&#39;s Note: Thank you for reading my analysis. Please note that we will be launching a Livy Investment Research Marketplace service on June 1. The service will allow you to follow my coverage portfolio, interact with me directly, and participate in chat rooms with other subscribers. Early subscribers will receive a legacy discount at $249 per year. Stay tuned for more details as we ramp up to launch in the coming months.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Market Has Completely Misunderstood Its Latest Earnings</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Market Has Completely Misunderstood Its Latest Earnings\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-10 08:53 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4509127-palantir-q1-earnings-stock-selloff-market-misunderstood><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryPalantir's post-earning sell-off underscores the market's disappointment with another weak showing for government sector revenues.It also accentuates the market's ongoing ignorance of Palantir'...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4509127-palantir-q1-earnings-stock-selloff-market-misunderstood\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4509127-palantir-q1-earnings-stock-selloff-market-misunderstood","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2234773775","content_text":"SummaryPalantir's post-earning sell-off underscores the market's disappointment with another weak showing for government sector revenues.It also accentuates the market's ongoing ignorance of Palantir's success in achieving commercial acceleration despite tightening financial conditions and an increasingly uncertain economic growth outlook.Palantir's continued effectiveness in deploying its \"land and expand\" business growth strategy, as evidence by 1Q22 government contract wins, has also been faced with market disregard.Although the ongoing development of macroeconomic challenges continue to fuel the contracting valuation environment across growth stocks, Palantir's fundamental outlook continues to be supported by a robust demand environment.In addition to continued commercial acceleration, Palantir is expected to benefit from backloaded government growth in the latter half as increasing global military spending in response to ongoing war efforts bolsters favourable near-term trends for the segment.Michael Vi/iStock Editorial via Getty ImagesPalantir's stock (NYSE:PLTR) has taken a monthslong beating since reporting two consecutive quarters of mixed results, and after the Fed pivoted towards an aggressive policy stance in November upended the stock market. But regaining footing in the first quarter with a sales beat continues to underscore the company’s fundamental strength, bolstering the outlook on its multi-year growth target of 30% on an annual basis. Palantir continues to demonstrate market share gains across both the public and private sectors by encouraging adoption of its Foundry, Gotham and Apollo solutions through different deployment strategies, including modularization of existing offerings and industry-tailored solutions to better address different end user needs.On the government front, the market appears disappointed still in the segment’s slowing growth, with the stock plummeting close to 20% in pre-market trading. But Palantir continues to demonstrate improvements by expanding existing opportunities with non-defense public agencies. Many renewed contracts with non-defense agencies this year, such as the U.S. Center for Disease Control and Prevention (“CDC”), are reflective of the value created by adoption of Palantir’s software under non-recurring COVID-era contracts, and underscores the continued effectiveness of the company’s “land and expand” strategy. Palantir has also played a supportive role in bolstering defense for the U.S. and its allies, as well as war relief efforts as the Russia-Ukraine conflict continues. The combination of increased market penetration into both non-defense and defense public agencies continues to reinforce sustained growth in Palantir’s government segment.Meanwhile, Palantir’s commercial segment is also demonstrating continued strength, underscoring effectiveness of its recent roll-out of modularized enterprise solutions to break the barrier of IT resistance to complex new software structures like Foundry. By tailoring Foundry solutions to better suit end users’ needs, Palantir makes its offerings easier to digest and more relevant as digital transformation across the enterprise sector rapidly accelerates, driving better capitalization of related growth opportunities ahead. Recent management rhetoric on slowing SPAC investments are also welcomed news by many investors, as previous concerns of over-reliance on affiliated commercial sector revenues are putting sustainability of Palantir’s topline growth into question.While the market performance of growth stocks like Palantir have continued to be challenged by the Fed pivot towards a more aggressive monetary policy stance to quell 40-year-high inflation, the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war and rapid acceleration of digital transformation trends continues to support the company’s fundamental performance by highlighting the value its technologies bring to the table. However, the stock likely faces further near-term volatility as investors continue to mull on the “[durability of Palantir’s] government business and yields on recent investments in commercial”, while broader markets await for further clarity on where current macroeconomic conditions are headed. Yet, with Palantir pushing through on its longer-term growth initiatives, including further expansion into non-U.S. opportunities and continued modularization of its offerings, to encourage mass market adoption and better capitalization of digitization opportunities in coming years, we expect favourable risk/reward at the stock’s current price levels for investors with patience.Palantir - Brief Recap of 1Q22 Fundamental PerformancePalantir reported first quarter revenues of $446 million (+31% y/y; +3% q/q), beating consensus estimate of $443.51 million (+30% y/y; +2% q/q) and its previous guidance of $443 million (+30% y/y; +2% q/q). But government revenues continued to decelerate at 16% year-on-year growth in the first quarter, providing no respite to investors’ concerns experienced over the past two quarters. Meanwhile, commercial segment growth remains strong, with revenues increasing 54% year-on-year. In the U.S., enterprise opportunities drew in revenue growth of more than 136% year-on-year, which are impressive results that resonate with signs of an inflationary-resistant demand environment ahead of robust digitization trends.Earnings fell short of expectations at $0.02 per share, compared with consensus estimate of $0.04 per share. But losses continue to narrow, showing positive progress towards profit realization by mid-decade.Meanwhile, cash from operations remain strong, coming in at $35 million for the first quarter (8% margin), while adjusted free cash flows totalled $30 million (7% margin). As discussed in our previous coverage, Palantir’s robust balance sheet with $2.3 billion in cash on hand and zero debt remains a competitive advantage that will minimize its exposure to rising costs of capital ahead and maintain its ability to invest in continued growth.Expectations for Backloaded Government GrowthPalantir continues to show favourable developments this year across both its government and commercial segments based on recent deal wins observed, bolstering sustainability of its multi-year growth target of more than 30% on an annual basis. While government revenue growth continued to decelerate for the third consecutive quarter, we are expecting some of the new deal wins in response to the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war to materialize further in the latter half of the year. This is also corroborated by management’s expectations for a “wide range of potential upside to [its second quarter guidance], including those driven by [Palantir’s] role in responding to developing geopolitical events”. Paired with continuing momentum from Palantir’s commercial segment, the company continues to show favourable fundamental growth prospects in line with its long-term target despite tightening financial conditions in the current market climate.Boosted Global Military Spending TailwindsOn the military front, global governments have been bolstering their defense spending in response to the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war. U.S. allies in Europe are increasing adoption of Palantir’s solutions to facilitate current war efforts spanning “the distribution of materials such as food and beds to Ukrainian refugees…, [to powering] military response against Russia’s invasion of Ukraine”. The war-driven tailwinds for Palantir are further corroborated by the spike in global military spending this year, which has surpassed $2 trillion for the first time and “looks set to rise further as European countries beef up their armed forces in response to Ukraine war”.Europe:European military expenditures have been increasing for seven years straight, and the trend is expected to “accelerate and intensify” in response to the latest geopolitical crisis in Ukraine. The development bodes favourably with Palantir’s amped up efforts in penetrating opportunities outside of the U.S., especially in Europe. Last quarter, the company announced plans to expand its salesforce in Europe with at least 175 experienced hires this year to accelerate market penetration across the region’s public sector. The announcement came shortly after the company appointed Philippe Mathieu as President of Palantir EMEA to take charge of leading Palantir’s penetration into the sizable addressable market in Europe. And these efforts have already started to pay off nicely, as evidenced by Palantir’s latest contract win with the U.K. Ministry of Defence (“MoD”). Valued at $12.5 million, the contract would require Palantir to implement its Foundry platform across the MoD to enable cost efficiencies by “automating work and reducing data-processing time”.Defense spending by the European government alone accounts for a fifth of the global total, underscoring the massive growth opportunities that await Palantir. This is further bolstered by “early indications that modernizing and upgrading weapons systems will be a key priority” for the European governments. Many of the challenges observed in the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war have been “related to things like logistics, fuel, tires and secure communications”, which suggests that a war chest of weapons is insufficient in modern-day warfare and must be complemented by technologies like AI and data analytics to ensure adequate progress. This accordingly reflects Palantir’s improved position in benefiting from a “favourable government spending environment”, especially in Europe, over coming years.U.S.: Similar tailwinds are expected from the U.S., which is currently the world’s largest military spender. The U.S. government allocated $801 billion to the armed forces last year, representing “as much as 39% of global expenditures”. There has also been an increasing deployment of related funds towards “military research and development, suggesting that the U.S. is focusing more on next-generation technologies”, which bolsters Palantir’s longer-term government segment outlook. Looking ahead, President Biden has recently requested “$813.3 billion in national security spending, including $773 billion for the Pentagon, in the federal budget” for fiscal 2023. The proposed budget represents a 4% increase from the current fiscal year and exceeds the fiscal 2023 budget projected by the White House a year ago by more than $40 billion. In addition to the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, the U.S. government’s beefed-up budget also “reflects the increasing military challenge from China”.A meaningful portion of the allocated budget to the Pentagon – about $130 billion of the $773 billion – will be deployed towards “development of costly new defense systems…, [including] accelerated research into hypersonics and AI”, representing an increase of $15.6 billion compared to projections outlined in the fiscal 2023 budget made last year. But with rising inflationary pressures, some industry experts are expending an even larger increase to related spending in the coming fiscal year, underscoring even greater opportunities for next-generation warfare technology providers like Palantir.Expanding Adjacent Non-Military OpportunitiesPalantir’s effective deployment of COVID-era solutions and support to various non-military public agencies in recent years has also continued to bolster its growing share of related government procurement contracts. In the core U.S. market alone, non-defense agency contracts represented more than 52% of total public sector awards received by the company to date. This continues to underscore Palantir’s ability in diversifying government segment growth drivers and benefiting from opportunities related to major non-defense government agencies. Continued penetration of non-defense government opportunities, which represents about 3% to 4% of annual GDP in the U.S. alone, paired with increased military expenditure in the near-term are expected to reinforce Palantir’s government segment performance:COVID-19 Response for the CDC: The latest contract forged between Palantir and the CDC pertaining to the U.S. government’s ongoing COVID-19 response efforts highlights the company’s continued effectiveness in executing its land and expand business strategy. The expanded partnership underscores Palantir’s effective job as a “trusted technology partner” during the pandemic-era. Specifically, the latest partnership with the CDC results from Palantir’s success in helping the Department of Health and Human Services (“HHS”) with vaccine distribution in mid-2020. Palantir’s solutions have been procured under the latest contract with the CDC, valued at $5.3 million, to support the department’s “key distribution and supply chain efforts” pertaining to ongoing COVID-19 response efforts.CDC DCIPHER Program Extension: The CDC has expanded its use of Palantir’s solutions in support of the “Data Collation and Integration for Public Health Event Response” (“DCIPHER”) Program. Palantir has been supporting the roll-out of the CDC’s DCIPHER Program since 2010. The latest extension will further Palantir’s participation in the CDC’s ongoing efforts related to modernizing the agency’s data management system, and supporting “time-sensitive data integration, management and analysis that widespread events require”.HHS SHARE Blanket Purchase Agreement: Earlier this month, Palantir was rewarded another contract by the HHS to support its “5-year Solutioning with Holistic Analytics Restructure for the Enterprise (“SHARE”)” program under a Blanket Purchase Agreement (“BPA”). Valued at $90 million, the BPA will require Palantir’s platform be implemented across the HHS’ “many agencies and missions…to support their work”. Palantir was selected based on its proven strength in delivering effective “built-in data protection features, innovative technology, and common security framework”, which further corroborates our observations that the company’s achievements with non-defense public agencies during the pandemic-era have been a beneficial trial period that is driving today’s expansion. Palantir’s initial obligation under the BPA is a “10.5 month, multi-million-dollar contract to support HHS’ core administrative data and applications through a vertically integrated platform that allows teams to configure low to no code applications to manage, ingest, and access data securely, across business domains” using its Foundry platform.Commercial AccelerationAcceleration in Palantir’s commercial sector has been consistently gaining momentum in recent quarters. Despite tightening financial conditions in the economy, the segment’s latest results continue to underscore the critical role that Palantir plays in the enterprise sector’s ongoing digital transformation efforts. More than half of the corporate scene have expressed that they would rather “tighten the belt” in other parts of the business than to miss out on digital transformation, which is considered a strategic investment in differentiating themselves from competitors, while also enabling cost efficiencies. Commercial customers are increasing demand for tools to make sense of their massive data troves. To date, only 4% of companies claim to have a \"highly sophisticated approach to leveraging data”, leaving sizable growth opportunities for Palantir over coming years.Modularization:The company’s continued commitment to modularization and honing its offerings to better suit end users’ needs are also bolstering its capitalization of opportunities stemming from demand environment. In addition to Foundry for Builders, which we have previously analyzed as an effective tool for driving mass market adoption in the corporate sector over coming years, Palantir has also been ramping up deployment of modular offerings like “Carbon Emissions Management” and “Anti-Money Laundering / Know Your Client” solutions to increase its appeal to the commercial sector, including the emerging crypto sector, which stands to expose Palantir to a broader market that is expected to grow into a $67 billion opportunity by mid-decade.Industry-Specific Solutions:There has also been a consistent trend of leveraging third-party expertise in the development of industry-tailored versions of its Foundry platform. After forging a $25 million multi-year deal with Hyundai Heavy earlier this year to co-develop and commercialize software tools curated for breaking down siloed data fields across relevant workflows spanning shipbuilding to industrial machinery processes, Palantir is back at it again with a similar deal forged with Jacobs (J), a consulting and project delivery expert for both the public and private sectors.Palantir and Jacobs will collaborate on the development and launch of a “joint data analytics offering to support public and private sector clients in solving their most complex water infrastructure problems”. Built on Palantir’s Foundry platform, the joint data analytics offering will also be leveraging Jacobs’ existing expertise in providing operations and maintenance (“O&M”) solutions to the water sector, as well as its “proprietary machine learning modules and wastewater process optimization tools”. The joint analytics tool aims at driving insights that can help increase water plant performance, cost efficiencies, security from cyber threats, and compliance with ESG goals – all of which are pressing needs to support the evolution of critical water infrastructure required to satisfy rising “global demand for clean water, more stringent regulatory issues, and increasing environmental concerns”. With the global water and wastewater treatment addressable market expected to exceed $200 billion by mid-decade, Palantir’s latest foray into the water infrastructure sector with the help of Jacobs marks another significant step towards greater commercial penetration.Seamless Digital Migration with Apollo:In addition to developments made with Foundry that are accelerating growth for Palantir’s commercial segment, the company’s recent roll-out of a new suite of offerings available within Apollo also heightens its appeal to the enterprise sector. Apollo is an operating system developed by Palantir to facilitate “autonomous software deployment across environments” faster and in a more efficient way to ensure scalability. Apollo has already “managed the deployment, security, and upgrades for Palantir’s software, including 500+ independently released microservices across 300+ unique environments”, accentuating the system’s proven effectiveness.The latest product additions within Apollo include “Cloud Portability”, which allows “organizations to maintain flexibility across cloud providers” by housing different cloud provider managed operating systems under one roof. This creates a particular appeal to the corporate sector’s increasing migration of workloads from legacy IT systems to the cloud, which is considered a business essential that drives “better economies, more innovation and greater speed”. With more than half of global corporations indicating plans to allocate a significant share of budgeted investments to cloud-related projects over the next two years, the Apollo operating system and its newly curated offerings stand to further Palantir’s reach into related opportunities over coming years.Fundamental Estimate UpdateAdjusting our latest Palantir financial forecast for its actual first quarter financial results, and growth outlook based on recent developments discussed in the foregoing analysis, the company remains on a positive track towards reaching +30% revenue growth this year. Our base case forecast expects revenues to total $2.0 billion by the end of the year (+30% y/y), driven by continued commercial acceleration, as well as restored government momentum in the latter half resulting from solution deployments related to the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war.Consistent with narrowing losses observed in recent quarters, the company’s expected trajectory towards profits by mid-decade remains intact. Operating margins are expected to further improve over time as Palantir continues to ramp deployment of new and existing offerings and achieve greater economies of scale. Share-based compensation expenses, which investors consider a sore spot for the company, are also expected to further improve and taper towards lower levels by mid-decade. Share-based compensation as a percentage of total revenues has consistently improved from 116% in 2020 (4Q20: 75%) to about 50% in 2021 (4Q21: 39%) and 33% in 1Q22. This continues to signal Palantir's increasing balance between top talent retention through generous compensation packages and growth-driven economies of scale to facilitate meaningful margin expansion towards GAAP-based net profits by 2025.Palantir Financial Forecast (Author)PLTR Stock Valuation UpdateThe market continues to be extremely unforgiving towards signs of near-term underperformance in growth stocks like Palantir. The stock’s massive pullback in value in recent months as a result of three consecutive quarters of decelerating government growth has effectively erased Palantir’s previous premium to the broader SaaS peer group. At under $8 per share (May 9th), Palantir current trades at about 6x EV/’23 sales, which is below the SaaS mean of 8.1x and median of 7.8x. Considering Palantir’s continued fundamental strength, which includes 1) continued top-line growth expected at more than 30% per year as analyzed in the foregoing analysis, 2) self-sufficient, cash-positive day-to-day operations, and 3) a robust balance sheet with $2.3 billion in cash on hand and zero debt to facilitate continued growth with minimal exposure to rising costs of capital, we are confident in the return of a favourable risk-reward payoff at current price levels for patient long-term investors.Palantir Valuation Analysis (Author)Considering the ongoing compression of valuation multiples observed across the SaaS peer group in response to still-evolving economic uncertainties stemming from macro challenges including runaway inflation and tightening monetary policy, we are adjusting our 12-month price target for the stock from $26 to $15. Our near-term price target implies a 10.8x EV/’23 sales to better reflect the currently contracted valuation environment for SaaS stocks, compensated by Palantir’s increasing appeal to commercial sector digitization needs, and its “favourable government spending environment” expected in the near-term as discussed in earlier sections.Palantir Valuation Analysis (Author)ConclusionWhile we have tapered our near-term expectations for the stock considering the current risk-off environment for growth equities, we remain optimistic on its longer-term upside potential. Palantir’s software solutions remain the best-in-class for addressing critical data management and analytics needs across both the public and private sector. With robust customer growth still, and a strong demand environment ahead of global digitization trends, Palantir continues to sit on a mountain of opportunities stemming from a market that is still significantly under-addressed. This accordingly underscores further fundamental growth in coming years, buoying better valuation prospects over the longer-term especially when the current market storm subsides.Author's Note: Thank you for reading my analysis. Please note that we will be launching a Livy Investment Research Marketplace service on June 1. The service will allow you to follow my coverage portfolio, interact with me directly, and participate in chat rooms with other subscribers. Early subscribers will receive a legacy discount at $249 per year. Stay tuned for more details as we ramp up to launch in the coming months.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2410,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9086659371,"gmtCreate":1650452969240,"gmtModify":1676534727008,"author":{"id":"3555537259700212","authorId":"3555537259700212","name":"KDL","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555537259700212","idStr":"3555537259700212"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Is this Gordon?","listText":"Is this Gordon?","text":"Is this Gordon?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9086659371","repostId":"1105569285","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3407,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3562670436095987","authorId":"3562670436095987","name":"hakunaurtata","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5631ba6526d1730e263ae54c0eab70e9","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3562670436095987","idStr":"3562670436095987"},"content":"some of seekingalpha's articles are becoming more negative on Tesla, really makes one think if there's any insidious intent behind their articles...","text":"some of seekingalpha's articles are becoming more negative on Tesla, really makes one think if there's any insidious intent behind their articles...","html":"some of seekingalpha's articles are becoming more negative on Tesla, really makes one think if there's any insidious intent behind their articles..."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9013515267,"gmtCreate":1648748077591,"gmtModify":1676534390510,"author":{"id":"3555537259700212","authorId":"3555537259700212","name":"KDL","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555537259700212","idStr":"3555537259700212"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"They probably sold two days ago, then pump out this news, prepare to scoop it at a great price, pump it again by upgrading it, rinse and repeat.","listText":"They probably sold two days ago, then pump out this news, prepare to scoop it at a great price, pump it again by upgrading it, rinse and repeat.","text":"They probably sold two days ago, then pump out this news, prepare to scoop it at a great price, pump it again by upgrading it, rinse and repeat.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9013515267","repostId":"1182345846","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1182345846","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1648734432,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1182345846?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-31 21:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMD Shares Dropped More Than 5% in Morning Trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1182345846","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"AMD shares dropped more than 5% in morning trading on Barclays Downgrade to Equal Weight.Barclays,s ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>AMD shares dropped more than 5% in morning trading on Barclays Downgrade to Equal Weight.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c14e6be106db768f3212d979c193a6f\" tg-width=\"843\" tg-height=\"618\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Barclays,s Analyst Blayne Curtis downgraded AMD to equal-weight and lowered its price target on the stock to $115 from $148, which is 3.5% below Wednesday’s close price. Curtis cited “cyclical risk across several end markets,” including PC and gaming, in 2023.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMD Shares Dropped More Than 5% in Morning Trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMD Shares Dropped More Than 5% in Morning Trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-03-31 21:47</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>AMD shares dropped more than 5% in morning trading on Barclays Downgrade to Equal Weight.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c14e6be106db768f3212d979c193a6f\" tg-width=\"843\" tg-height=\"618\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Barclays,s Analyst Blayne Curtis downgraded AMD to equal-weight and lowered its price target on the stock to $115 from $148, which is 3.5% below Wednesday’s close price. Curtis cited “cyclical risk across several end markets,” including PC and gaming, in 2023.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1182345846","content_text":"AMD shares dropped more than 5% in morning trading on Barclays Downgrade to Equal Weight.Barclays,s Analyst Blayne Curtis downgraded AMD to equal-weight and lowered its price target on the stock to $115 from $148, which is 3.5% below Wednesday’s close price. Curtis cited “cyclical risk across several end markets,” including PC and gaming, in 2023.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2452,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9038850612,"gmtCreate":1646794099739,"gmtModify":1676534163377,"author":{"id":"3555537259700212","authorId":"3555537259700212","name":"KDL","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555537259700212","idStr":"3555537259700212"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"As a consumer, I hate ads. As a shareholder, I love ads.😅😂","listText":"As a consumer, I hate ads. As a shareholder, I love ads.😅😂","text":"As a consumer, I hate ads. As a shareholder, I love ads.😅😂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9038850612","repostId":"2218405959","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3263,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3582520228861009","authorId":"3582520228861009","name":"CPCat","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3bafaf3d39abfb78a4bedf785310721a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3582520228861009","idStr":"3582520228861009"},"content":"well said. such dilemma! lol","text":"well said. such dilemma! lol","html":"well said. such dilemma! lol"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9033753519,"gmtCreate":1646363193707,"gmtModify":1676534122746,"author":{"id":"3555537259700212","authorId":"3555537259700212","name":"KDL","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555537259700212","idStr":"3555537259700212"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What happens if they report a rebound on govt sector the next ER? 🤔","listText":"What happens if they report a rebound on govt sector the next ER? 🤔","text":"What happens if they report a rebound on govt sector the next ER? 🤔","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9033753519","repostId":"1179022083","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2983,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"followers","isTTM":true}