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- twtrrtwtrr
  ·2022-08-26
  Ok
  Powell Warns of "Some Pain" Ahead As the Fed Fights to Bring Down Inflation
  Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell delivered a stern commitment Friday to halting inflation, war
  Powell Warns of "Some Pain" Ahead As the Fed Fights to Bring Down Inflation
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- twtrrtwtrr
  ·2022-08-20
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  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- twtrrtwtrr
  ·2022-07-07
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  VIX Traders Are Piling Into Bets That Fresh Stock Pain Is Ahead
  Options hedging returns after losing favor among the pros‘VIX hedging hasn’t worked like you’d expec
  VIX Traders Are Piling Into Bets That Fresh Stock Pain Is Ahead
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- twtrrtwtrr
  ·2022-06-10
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  @HelenJanet：
  $DAIRY FARM INT'L HOLDINGS LTD(D01.SI)$Not sure what happen suddenly the share price shot up by more than 3% from USD 2.85 to USD 2.95 this morning. Please continue to go up to above USD 3.00, then I will be able to sell and make some profits.
  $DAIRY FARM INT'L HOLDINGS LTD(D01.SI)$Not sure what happen suddenly the share price shot up by more than 3% from USD 2.85 to USD 2.95 this morning. Please continue to go up to above USD 3.00, then I will be able to sell and make some profits.
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But a failure to restore price stability would mean far greater pain.&#34;</p><p>The remarks come amid signs that inflation may have peaked but is not showing any marked signs of decline.</p><p>Two closely watched gauges, the consumer price index and the personal consumption expenditures price index,showed prices little changed in July, owing largely to a steep drop in energy costs.</p><p>At the same time, other areas of the economy are slowing. Housing in particular is falling off rapidly, and economists expect that the huge surge in hiring over the past year and a half is likely to cool.</p><p>However, Powell cautioned that the Fed&#39;s focus is broader than a month or two of data, and it will continue pushing ahead until inflation moves down closer to its 2% long-range goal.</p><p>“We are moving our policy stance purposefully to a level that will be sufficiently restrictive to return inflation to 2%,” he said. Looking into the future, the central bank leader added that “restoring price stability will likely require maintaining a restrictive policy stance for some time. The historical record cautions strongly against prematurely loosening policy.”</p><p><b>To the point</b></p><p>The speech was unusually brief.</p><p>Whereas Fed leaders, including Powell, often have used the Jackson Hole symposium as an opportunity to outline broad policy shifts, Powell’s remarks Friday clocked in at just six pages. He introduced the speech by noting that his “remarks will be shorter, my focus narrower, and my message more direct.”</p><p>“Price stability is the responsibility of the Federal Reserve and serves as the bedrock of our economy,” he said. “Without price stability, the economy does not work for anyone.”</p><p>The Fed is using a lesson from the past as its guidepost for current policy.</p><p>Specifically, Powell said the inflation of 40 years ago provides the current Fed with three lessons: That central banks like the Fed are responsible for managing inflation, that expectations are critical, and that “we must keep at it until the job is done.”</p><p>Powell noted that the Fed’s failure to act forcefully in the 1970s caused a perpetuation of high inflation expectations that led to the draconian rate hikes of the early 1980s. In that case, then-Fed Chairman Paul Volcker pulled the economy into recession to tame inflation.</p><p>While stating repeatedly that he doesn’t think recession is an inevitable outcome for the U.S. economy, Powell noted that managing expectations is critical if the Fed is going to avoid a Volcker-like outcome.</p><p>In the early 1980s, “a lengthy period of very restrictive monetary policy was ultimately needed to stem the high inflation and start the process of getting inflation down to the low and stable levels that were the norm until the spring of last year,” Powell said. “Our aim is to avoid that outcome by acting with resolve now.”</p><p>One concept molding Powell’s thinking is the concept of “rational inattention.” Essentially, that means people pay less attention to inflation when it is low and more when it is high.</p><p>&#34;Of course, inflation has just about everyone&#39;s attention right now, which highlights a particular risk today: The longer the current bout of high inflation continues, the greater the chance that expectations of higher inflation will become entrenched,&#34; he said.</p><p>U.S. stocks tumble, Treasury yields rise as Powell reiterates Fed’s commitment to curbing inflation.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/778d40aeaefca90b13d845038cc2e009\" tg-width=\"910\" tg-height=\"34\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Powell Warns of \"Some Pain\" Ahead As the Fed Fights to Bring Down Inflation</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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to the U.S. economy.</p><p>In his much-anticipated annual policy speech at Jackson Hole, Wyoming, Powell affirmed that the Fed will &#34;use our tools forcefully&#34; to attack inflation that is still running near its highest level in more than 40 years.</p><p>Even with a series of four consecutive interest rate increases totaling 2.25 percentage points, Powell said this is &#34;no place to stop or pause&#34; even though benchmark rates are probably around an area considered neither stimulative nor restrictive on growth.</p><p>&#34;While higher interest rates, slower growth, and softer labor market conditions will bring down inflation, they will also bring some pain to households and businesses,&#34; he said in prepared remarks. &#34;These are the unfortunate costs of reducing inflation. But a failure to restore price stability would mean far greater pain.&#34;</p><p>The remarks come amid signs that inflation may have peaked but is not showing any marked signs of decline.</p><p>Two closely watched gauges, the consumer price index and the personal consumption expenditures price index,showed prices little changed in July, owing largely to a steep drop in energy costs.</p><p>At the same time, other areas of the economy are slowing. Housing in particular is falling off rapidly, and economists expect that the huge surge in hiring over the past year and a half is likely to cool.</p><p>However, Powell cautioned that the Fed&#39;s focus is broader than a month or two of data, and it will continue pushing ahead until inflation moves down closer to its 2% long-range goal.</p><p>“We are moving our policy stance purposefully to a level that will be sufficiently restrictive to return inflation to 2%,” he said. Looking into the future, the central bank leader added that “restoring price stability will likely require maintaining a restrictive policy stance for some time. The historical record cautions strongly against prematurely loosening policy.”</p><p><b>To the point</b></p><p>The speech was unusually brief.</p><p>Whereas Fed leaders, including Powell, often have used the Jackson Hole symposium as an opportunity to outline broad policy shifts, Powell’s remarks Friday clocked in at just six pages. He introduced the speech by noting that his “remarks will be shorter, my focus narrower, and my message more direct.”</p><p>“Price stability is the responsibility of the Federal Reserve and serves as the bedrock of our economy,” he said. “Without price stability, the economy does not work for anyone.”</p><p>The Fed is using a lesson from the past as its guidepost for current policy.</p><p>Specifically, Powell said the inflation of 40 years ago provides the current Fed with three lessons: That central banks like the Fed are responsible for managing inflation, that expectations are critical, and that “we must keep at it until the job is done.”</p><p>Powell noted that the Fed’s failure to act forcefully in the 1970s caused a perpetuation of high inflation expectations that led to the draconian rate hikes of the early 1980s. In that case, then-Fed Chairman Paul Volcker pulled the economy into recession to tame inflation.</p><p>While stating repeatedly that he doesn’t think recession is an inevitable outcome for the U.S. economy, Powell noted that managing expectations is critical if the Fed is going to avoid a Volcker-like outcome.</p><p>In the early 1980s, “a lengthy period of very restrictive monetary policy was ultimately needed to stem the high inflation and start the process of getting inflation down to the low and stable levels that were the norm until the spring of last year,” Powell said. “Our aim is to avoid that outcome by acting with resolve now.”</p><p>One concept molding Powell’s thinking is the concept of “rational inattention.” Essentially, that means people pay less attention to inflation when it is low and more when it is high.</p><p>&#34;Of course, inflation has just about everyone&#39;s attention right now, which highlights a particular risk today: The longer the current bout of high inflation continues, the greater the chance that expectations of higher inflation will become entrenched,&#34; he said.</p><p>U.S. stocks tumble, Treasury yields rise as Powell reiterates Fed’s commitment to curbing inflation.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/778d40aeaefca90b13d845038cc2e009\" tg-width=\"910\" tg-height=\"34\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189921293","content_text":"Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell delivered a stern commitment Friday to halting inflation, warning that he expects the central bank to continue raising interest rates in a way that will cause \"some pain\" to the U.S. economy.In his much-anticipated annual policy speech at Jackson Hole, Wyoming, Powell affirmed that the Fed will \"use our tools forcefully\" to attack inflation that is still running near its highest level in more than 40 years.Even with a series of four consecutive interest rate increases totaling 2.25 percentage points, Powell said this is \"no place to stop or pause\" even though benchmark rates are probably around an area considered neither stimulative nor restrictive on growth.\"While higher interest rates, slower growth, and softer labor market conditions will bring down inflation, they will also bring some pain to households and businesses,\" he said in prepared remarks. \"These are the unfortunate costs of reducing inflation. But a failure to restore price stability would mean far greater pain.\"The remarks come amid signs that inflation may have peaked but is not showing any marked signs of decline.Two closely watched gauges, the consumer price index and the personal consumption expenditures price index,showed prices little changed in July, owing largely to a steep drop in energy costs.At the same time, other areas of the economy are slowing. Housing in particular is falling off rapidly, and economists expect that the huge surge in hiring over the past year and a half is likely to cool.However, Powell cautioned that the Fed's focus is broader than a month or two of data, and it will continue pushing ahead until inflation moves down closer to its 2% long-range goal.“We are moving our policy stance purposefully to a level that will be sufficiently restrictive to return inflation to 2%,” he said. Looking into the future, the central bank leader added that “restoring price stability will likely require maintaining a restrictive policy stance for some time. The historical record cautions strongly against prematurely loosening policy.”To the pointThe speech was unusually brief.Whereas Fed leaders, including Powell, often have used the Jackson Hole symposium as an opportunity to outline broad policy shifts, Powell’s remarks Friday clocked in at just six pages. He introduced the speech by noting that his “remarks will be shorter, my focus narrower, and my message more direct.”“Price stability is the responsibility of the Federal Reserve and serves as the bedrock of our economy,” he said. “Without price stability, the economy does not work for anyone.”The Fed is using a lesson from the past as its guidepost for current policy.Specifically, Powell said the inflation of 40 years ago provides the current Fed with three lessons: That central banks like the Fed are responsible for managing inflation, that expectations are critical, and that “we must keep at it until the job is done.”Powell noted that the Fed’s failure to act forcefully in the 1970s caused a perpetuation of high inflation expectations that led to the draconian rate hikes of the early 1980s. In that case, then-Fed Chairman Paul Volcker pulled the economy into recession to tame inflation.While stating repeatedly that he doesn’t think recession is an inevitable outcome for the U.S. economy, Powell noted that managing expectations is critical if the Fed is going to avoid a Volcker-like outcome.In the early 1980s, “a lengthy period of very restrictive monetary policy was ultimately needed to stem the high inflation and start the process of getting inflation down to the low and stable levels that were the norm until the spring of last year,” Powell said. “Our aim is to avoid that outcome by acting with resolve now.”One concept molding Powell’s thinking is the concept of “rational inattention.” Essentially, that means people pay less attention to inflation when it is low and more when it is high.\"Of course, inflation has just about everyone's attention right now, which highlights a particular risk today: The longer the current bout of high inflation continues, the greater the chance that expectations of higher inflation will become entrenched,\" he said.U.S. stocks tumble, Treasury yields rise as Powell reiterates Fed’s commitment to curbing inflation.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2106,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9998220404,"gmtCreate":1661008370511,"gmtModify":1676536438431,"author":{"id":"3554842264011911","authorId":"3554842264011911","name":"twtrr","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554842264011911","idStr":"3554842264011911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9998220404","repostId":"2260323630","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2190,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9079270240,"gmtCreate":1657209344980,"gmtModify":1676535970102,"author":{"id":"3554842264011911","authorId":"3554842264011911","name":"twtrr","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554842264011911","idStr":"3554842264011911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks","listText":"Thanks","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9079270240","repostId":"1105427498","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105427498","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1657207921,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1105427498?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-07 23:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"VIX Traders Are Piling Into Bets That Fresh Stock Pain Is Ahead","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105427498","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Options hedging returns after losing favor among the pros‘VIX hedging hasn’t worked like you’d expec","content":"<div>\n<p>Options hedging returns after losing favor among the pros‘VIX hedging hasn’t worked like you’d expect’: Danny Kirsch(Bloomberg) -- Volatility traders are putting their guard up just as US stocks ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-07/vix-traders-are-piling-into-bets-that-fresh-stock-pain-is-ahead\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>VIX Traders Are Piling Into Bets That Fresh Stock Pain Is Ahead</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nVIX Traders Are Piling Into Bets That Fresh Stock Pain Is Ahead\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-07 23:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-07/vix-traders-are-piling-into-bets-that-fresh-stock-pain-is-ahead><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Options hedging returns after losing favor among the pros‘VIX hedging hasn’t worked like you’d expect’: Danny Kirsch(Bloomberg) -- Volatility traders are putting their guard up just as US stocks ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-07/vix-traders-are-piling-into-bets-that-fresh-stock-pain-is-ahead\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"VXX":"短期VIX期货ETN","VIX":"标普500波动率指数"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-07/vix-traders-are-piling-into-bets-that-fresh-stock-pain-is-ahead","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105427498","content_text":"Options hedging returns after losing favor among the pros‘VIX hedging hasn’t worked like you’d expect’: Danny Kirsch(Bloomberg) -- Volatility traders are putting their guard up just as US stocks bounce back, with options signaling the highest level of anxiety since right before the 2020 pandemic crash.The call-put ratio on the Cboe Volatility Index, or VIX, jumped Wednesday to levels unseen for some two and a half years, driven by bets on fresh market turmoil.Options hedging is showing signs of revival after staying subdued during the recent equity selloff. The rush for protection reflects investor uneasiness in the face of the S&P 500’s longest streak of gains in three months.With a cost measure of VIX options hovering near the lowest level since 2019, traders are likely taking advantage of what looks like cheap insurance against the next bout of market chaos.The hedging activity stands out given the fact that the VIX, known as Wall Street’s fear gauge, failed to hit new highs since March even as the S&P 500 careened to fresh lows.“VIX hedging hasn’t worked like you’d expect,” said Danny Kirsch, head of options at Piper Sandler & Co. “Implied volatility moves have been muted all year. It’s been a terrible hedge so far.”Before this month, there were signs that professional investors were shunning equity options and instead flocking to stock futures to hedge positions.Now, demand for options appears to be back. More than 440,000 VIX calls changed hands Wednesday, outpacing puts by a margin of 5.8-to-1. That’s the highest reading since January 2020.The VIX fell for a second day, slipping to 25.91 as of 10:43 a.m. in New York, poised for a one-month low.Stocks advanced for a fourth day. Despite the bounce, the S&P 500 is down about 18% this year as investors reassess equity valuations in light of the Federal Reserve’s aggressive plan to tighten monetary policy.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"VIX":0.9,"VXX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2196,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9058282617,"gmtCreate":1654844535639,"gmtModify":1676535521886,"author":{"id":"3554842264011911","authorId":"3554842264011911","name":"twtrr","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554842264011911","idStr":"3554842264011911"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks&nbsp;","listText":"Thanks&nbsp;","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9058282617","repostId":"9051763677","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9051763677,"gmtCreate":1654740800299,"gmtModify":1676535502821,"author":{"id":"3581735774790928","authorId":"3581735774790928","name":"HelenJanet","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1730eb70f7129a82541df3a6f640a671","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581735774790928","idStr":"3581735774790928"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/D01.SI\">$DAIRY FARM INT'L HOLDINGS LTD(D01.SI)$</a>Not sure what happen suddenly the share price shot up by more than 3% from USD 2.85 to USD 2.95 this morning. Please continue to go up to above USD 3.00, then I will be able to sell and make some profits.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/D01.SI\">$DAIRY FARM INT'L HOLDINGS LTD(D01.SI)$</a>Not sure what happen suddenly the share price shot up by more than 3% from USD 2.85 to USD 2.95 this morning. Please continue to go up to above USD 3.00, then I will be able to sell and make some profits.","text":"$DAIRY FARM INT'L HOLDINGS LTD(D01.SI)$Not sure what happen suddenly the share price shot up by more than 3% from USD 2.85 to USD 2.95 this morning. Please continue to go up to above USD 3.00, then I will be able to sell and make some profits.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f52fc2928f8cbdf555912948fffad3f4","width":"579","height":"1015"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9051763677","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2335,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"followers","isTTM":true}