To The Moon

Color Legend 🔴 Red: Broke above/below the forecast range, or broke above/below the simulated strike alternative. 🟠 Orange: Briefly broke above/below the forecast range, but closed within the strike range. I. This Week's Simulation Results (All Four Seller Trades in Floating Profit) 🟢 SKHY Sell Put: Sold the September 18-expiry 130 Put, entry price 0.62, current price 0.33 — floating profit. ✅ DELL Sell Put: Sold the September 4-expiry 380 Put, entry price 2.66, current price 0.02 — profitable and closed. 🟢 MRNA Sell Put: Sold the September 18-expiry 120 Put, entry price 0.97, current price 0.70 — floating profit. 🟢 AMD Sell Put: Sold the September 11-expiry 410 Put, entry price 1.40, current price 0.82 — floating profit. II. Broader Market Assessment Volatility this week was generally at a

I. Key Events AVGO (Broadcom): Down 3% on Guidance Miss Q3 results slightly beat market expectations, Q4 in line, with clear FY2027/FY2028 outlook provided. However, FY2027 revenue guidance of $115 billion fell short of the market's $130 billion expectation; FY2028 expectations, in contrast, far exceeded Wall Street consensus. Growth is heavily dependent on Anthropic and OpenAI, introducing significant uncertainty to the outlook. Key level to watch: whether the stock pulls back to the 20-month MA at 320. SNOW (Snowflake): Surged 23% on Accelerating Growth Annual revenue growth is accelerating, with Q3 revenue growth of 37–38% (above market expectations of 30%), and full-year guidance raised from 31% to 36%. There may be further upside in the coming months. Approach: watch for Sell Put oppo

I. Key Events DELL (Dell Technologies): Guidance Beat, But Be Cautious of Sustainability FY2027 EPS guidance was raised by 40%, significantly beating expectations. However, caution is warranted — such high growth from a beat may itself be unsustainable; watch for realization risk. HPE (Hewlett Packard Enterprise): Earnings After Close Earnings are expected to be solid, with this week's implied volatility range at 45–55. However, weighed down by macro headwinds, the stock is likely to gap up and then sell off. A dual-sell strategy (Sell Put + Sell Call) to capture volatility could be considered. AVGO (Broadcom): Earnings After Close Implied volatility range is 335–400. The market is concerned about market share loss at GOOGL (Google) and the lack of clear FY27 guidance, leaning bearish. How

I. Key Events Rates and Dollar Both Rise, Risk Assets Broadly Decline: U.S. 30-year Treasury yields rebounded again, the dollar index strengthened, and U.S. equities pulled back, with Bitcoin, gold, and Hong Kong stocks all under pressure simultaneously. Geopolitical Disruption Lifts Oil Prices: Two very large crude carriers were attacked in the Strait of Hormuz, sending oil prices higher again. However, options flow shows large sell call openings on energy names expiring toward year-end, suggesting producers remain cautious on the upside for oil prices. DELL Earnings (Tuesday After Close): Expected to raise full-year guidance. II. Notable Block Trades (Directional Signals) VIX$VIX 20270317 47.5 CALL$ Buy Call, strike 47.5,

The above chart shows the weekly volatility ranges and simulated short put alternative strike prices for 17 key stocks, calculated based on various indicators — for simulation reference only 👆 📊 This table answers: Where the stock price is likely to be this week (the range). Whether the seller premium is expensive right now (IV percentile rank). How far out the strike price should be placed to stay safe (Column 8). The ranges calculated in this table are like "probability of rain," not a "guarantee of no rain." The usage is simple: place the sell put strike price further below the lower end of the range. The higher the percentile rank, the more favorable it is for sellers. 📊 Noteworthy Points AVGO has the highest implied weekly move (8.09%, IV 49%): an earnings stock this week, with the la

One-sentence theme: Low volatility is the calm before the storm — VIX block trades are betting on a volatility rebound, and the upcoming jobs report (Friday) could trigger a pullback regardless of whether the data is good or bad. I. Sentiment Focus: A Turning Point Is Approaching Friday Nonfarm Payrolls → Rate-Hike Expectation Trade (Key Variable) The data will be released one hour before the open, with expectations of August nonfarm payrolls at +58,000 and unemployment at 4.1%. ⚠️ Regardless of the data, the market could pull back: if weak = economic softness; if strong = rate hikes ahead — a lose-lose scenario. Gold and Bitcoin are expected to trend weaker before September 18 (rate-hike expectations weighing on sentiment). VIX Block Trade: Betting "Low Volatility Is About to End" VIX 10/

Color Legend 🔴 Red: Broke above/below the forecast range, or broke above/below the simulated strike alternative. 🟠 Orange: Briefly broke above/below the range, but closed within the strike range. I. This Week's Simulation Results: 3 Floating Profits TSLA Sell Put, 8/28 expiry at 336, entry price 1.44, current price 0.05 — profitable. GLD Sell Put, 9/18 expiry at 400, entry price 2.57, current price 2.41 — floating profit. COIN Sell Put, 9/4 expiry at 200, entry price 1.66, current price 0.61 — floating profit. Review: All three trades remain safe — TSLA is holding above 336, COIN above 200, and GLD above 400. The seller environment was favorable this week, supported by NVIDIA's earnings delivery and broad market stabilization. However, Jackson Hole (Warsh's debut) is the biggest variable t

One-sentence theme: NVIDIA beat earnings, breaking above 220 and challenging 225. But block trades are collectively betting on "gold / Hong Kong stocks / China ADRs topping out" ahead of Jackson Hole (betting on a hawkish Warsh and a dollar rebound). The tone: range-bound trading at key levels — don't chase highs; wait for Warsh to set the tone. I. Sentiment Focus NVIDIA Challenges 225 (Earnings Delivered) Post-earnings, the stock broke above 220, with revenue doubling YoY beating expectations, and next-year guidance calling for 70% revenue growth — strong execution. Key observation: Can it break 225? (GEX shows 225/230 is a super Call wall, a hard ceiling). If the breakout fails → consider Sell Calls (capture IV crush + cap upside). Block Trades Collectively Betting on "Top Formation" — H

One-sentence theme: NVIDIA reports earnings after the close tonight, with massive block trades betting on a surge to 230. Anthropic's "$30 trillion pie-in-the-sky" narrative continues to hype the AI atmosphere. I. Sentiment Focus: The Night Before NVIDIA Earnings Tonight (8/26) after the close is the make-or-break event for the entire market this week. Options block trades have already taken a clear side (see below). Outlook: GEX shows 200 is support / a Triple Witching magnet, while 230 is a super Call wall. IV is elevated. There is a high probability of a double beat, but "already fully priced in + circular financing concerns + historical post-earnings pullbacks" → the risk of failing to rally or even pulling back is higher. Strategic tone: Post-earnings IV crush + September 18 Triple Wi

I. Fundamentals Earnings expectations: Revenue and profit expected to double-beat, with strong guidance. Revenue is expected at $94–95 billion (guidance at $91 billion, beating by $3–4 billion), up 16% YoY. Next-quarter guidance is expected to be raised to $107–108 billion. Drivers: GB300 rack shipments ramping (total rack units up 15% QoQ to 17,000–18,000), initial Vera Rubin shipments + Vera CPU volume ramp, and solid cloud capex. Several key points to watch: China H200 is an upside lever: Approved but shipments are slow — every 100,000 units shipped generates approximately $3 billion in incremental revenue, making it an important variable for October guidance. Addressing competition: In response to the ASIC/AMD share-erosion narrative, management will emphasize platform flexibility + Ve