To The Moon

Despite mixed macro signals, select names are showing clean structure, strong follow-through, and actionable levels. This is a tape where execution matters more than direction — leaders are separating, and key triggers are clearly defined. 1. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ AMD moving towards our first target of $240-$250 🎯 2. $Plug Power(PLUG)$ PLUG first target hit and +40% move up since February Very thin volume on the VP If we sweep this $2.60 resistance, expect a passive rally up to $3.50 3. $Enphase Energy(ENPH)$ Pulled right back to $33 and respecting smart money zone $ENPH This is exactly what we want to see from a re-test 😎 4.

Remaining optimistic but objective $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ My fund is fully long and would only benefit from a push to all-time highs That said both of our bull cycle indicators are still red. Hope for the best, expect the worst Not to mention point of control & smart money zones are sitting right overhead All while Monthly BX is still red on $SPY I’m still fully long, but I’ve rotated out of tech into other sectors Still… this is starting to feel like a trap

Let me say this. I genuinely hope this is the bottom for $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ . I gain nothing from it falling more. If I miss the move, so be it. Plenty of other setups out there. My ego isn’t tied to being right. Maybe I’m the bottom indicator ❤️ I was loudly bullish TSLA to $550 by end of March 2026 I was wrong ❌ Price ran +51%, then gave most back. I closed the trade and my system is now OFF Tesla. PS： It’s built to catch multi-year breakouts. The long-term system, based on the monthly BX, enters a bull cycle about 50% of the time and typically sees moves of 125% to 250% over a 1–2 year period. It’s about positioning for the bigger cycle. And because of that, if the breakout doesn’t happen, it will naturally exit a bit late. I have no way to f

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Huge 2% move up for SPY after hours 🚀 Price is now pushing into the Daily and Weekly fair value bands which are both still red. If we are going to see a rejection this is the level where it happens. As we covered in last week's videos if the short term trend flips bullish again and the monthly BX closes a higher low this would confirm the bottom. For now I am staying cautious. Note: I want this to be the bottom for $SPY and $QQQ just as much as anyone. As you all know I do not short and my fund is fully exposed long right now. The market moving back toward all time highs would only help my positions. But I have to stay objective regardless of what I want to happen. The reason I am out of most big tech is simple. Th

We turned bearish on $Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ in October. The stock is down 60% since then. 🩸 Sellers are still in control and I am still not buying. Here is why. Price is sitting right on the monthly fair value band. That is long term support from an institutional standpoint and normally a level worth paying attention to. But support is not a signal. Buyers showing up is the signal. The monthly BX is not showing that yet. Until it does, I am not touching this. I know the temptation here. The stock is down 60% and sitting on a key level. It feels like the bottom. That feeling is exactly what gets people into trouble. We do not buy discounts. We buy strength. Will I miss the perfect bottom? Yes. Every time. That is fine. I would rather b

After a 217% and two year rally, our long term system is calling the $Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$ Bull Cycle Over ❌ The monthly BX has turned red. That tells me institutional strength is being pulled from this setup. When that happens, we do not fight it. We step aside. I want to be clear about what this is not. This is not a short signal. I never look to short positions. This is simply the system telling me the criteria for a long term hold is no longer met, so I stop holding. No drama. No guessing. The indicator flips, we move on. My worst case downside expectation from here is $35 to $40 over the next 3 to 4 months. I am not trading around that. I am just watching. When the monthly BX shows buying pressure again and the bull cycle criteria is met, I

This week’s market highlights show a mix of bullish and bearish setups across key stocks, with some poised for strong rallies while others remain under pressure. 1. $Plug Power(PLUG)$ $PLUG is now up 40% from this post Congrats to anyone who hit this First target level is now hit. Next target would be $3.50 2. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ As of last week, I’m no longer bullish on $TSLA ❌ My system is showing bear cycle criteria, so I have to respect it. As always, I hope I'm wrong. Base case is a move back into Monthly Fair Value around $300. When my criteria flip long again, I’ll get bullish again. 3. $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ I’m flat on $IREN and I hope I’m wrong. MBX is red a

$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ 's two year bull cycle ended March 1st. People keep asking if this is the bottom. Here is why I am not buying yet. Two things I look at before entering any long term position. The monthly BX and the fair value band. Right now both are telling me the same thing. Stay away. The monthly BX measures buying pressure. When it is dark red, there is no buying pressure in the market. No buying pressure means no entry. Simple as that. I do not care how cheap the stock looks. If institutions are not buying, I am not buying. A lot of people want to time the bottom perfectly. I get it. It feels great when it works. But the downside of being wrong is holding a falling stock for months waiting to break even. That is not a trade. Th

$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ is up 4% since our initial entry. The system says stay long. Here is the full picture. Our long term and short term systems are both bullish on AMD right now. 69% of the time when this setup appears, price rallies around 20%. We are 4% into that move. Buying pressure on the monthly BX has dipped a bit. We are staying the course anyway. Our criteria is still met. The system says hold, so we hold. Now here is the part people are going to push back on. I am bearish on $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ . $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ is not looking strong to me either. And I do not care. My job is not to have opinions. My job is to trade my system. If the system is not

$NEBIUS(NBIS)$ has been in a bull cycle since June 2024. The stock is up over 200%. It just pulled back into discount range with the monthly BX still green. 68% of the time, that means a breakout to a higher high is coming. I'm still not buying. Here's the honest reason why. Last time this exact setup appeared, $NBIS rallied 20% in 5 weeks. We called it. The setup is back. But here is the thing about trading a long-term system. Every bull cycle eventually ends. And when it ends, you are going to take a loss. That is not a problem as long as you made enough money on the way up to absorb it. I have not taken every $NBIS setup in this cycle. That is on me. Which means if I enter now and the cycle turns in two months, I take a 20-30% loss without enou