Markets Aren't Pricing in an Iran Oil Shock Yet -- WSJ-To The Moon - Tiger Brokers Online Investing Community - To The Moon

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Markets Aren't Pricing in an Iran Oil Shock Yet -- WSJ

Dow Jones03-03 01:49

By David Uberti

Oil prices retreated somewhat from their early Monday highs, suggesting traders are pulling back on bets that the war with Iran could spark a global energy shock.

Even after a runup in prices in recent weeks, benchmark U.S. crude futures are trading around $71 a barrel. That is far below their inflation-adjusted average over the past two decades of roughly $96.

Previous shocks pushed up prices much higher:

-- Following Russia's full-on invasion of Ukraine in 2022, U.S. futures neared $140 a barrel in inflation-adjusted terms.

-- A surge in Chinese demand helped propel futures in 2008 above $200 a barrel in real terms.

Today, energy analysts believe oil prices would have to veer far above their current levels for a sustained period to inflict economic pain on the U.S.

This item is part of a Wall Street Journal live coverage event. The full stream can be found by searching P/WSJL (WSJ Live Coverage).

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

March 02, 2026 12:49 ET (17:49 GMT)

Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.

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The full stream can be found by searching P/WSJL (WSJ Live Coverage). \n\n\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n\n\n  March 02, 2026 12:49 ET (17:49 GMT)\n\n\n  Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":false,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":true,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComments":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"isCrawlerRequest":true}