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Chipotle slightly beats Q4 revenue estimates, expects FY comparable restaurant sales to be about flat

Reuters02-04

Chipotle slightly beats Q4 revenue estimates, expects FY comparable restaurant sales to be about flat

Overview

  • Mexican restaurant chain's Q4 revenue rose 4.9%, slightly beating analyst expectations

  • Adjusted EPS for Q4 beat analyst expectations

  • Company opened 132 new restaurants, including 97 with Chipotlanes

Outlook

  • Chipotle expects full-year comparable restaurant sales to be about flat

  • Company plans 350 to 370 new restaurant openings in 2026

  • Chipotle anticipates effective tax rate between 24% and 26% before discrete items for 2026

Result Drivers

  • NEW RESTAURANT OPENINGS - Revenue growth driven by opening 132 new restaurants, including 97 with Chipotlanes, enhancing guest access and convenience

  • MENU PRICE INCREASES - Decrease in food, beverage, and packaging costs attributed to menu price increases and cost efficiencies, despite inflation in beef and chicken

  • LABOR COST INCREASE - Labor costs rose due to wage inflation and lower sales volumes, partially offset by menu price increases

Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q4 Revenue

Slight Beat*

$2.98 bln

$2.96 bln (29 Analysts)

Q4 Adjusted EPS

Beat

$0.25

$0.24 (31 Analysts)

Q4 EPS

$0.25

Q4 Comparable Restaurant Sales Growth

-2.50%

Q4 Operating Margin

14.10%

*Applies to a deviation of less than 1%; not applicable for per-share numbers.

Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 26 "strong buy" or "buy", 12 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the restaurants & bars peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc is $45.00, about 16.9% above its February 2 closing price of $38.51

  • The stock recently traded at 32 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 26 three months ago

Press Release: ID:nPn6Kl0zBa

For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.

(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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