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GLOBAL MARKETS-US stocks turn negative, Treasury yields slide amid revived valuation concerns, Fed uncertainty

Reuters11-21

GLOBAL MARKETS-US stocks turn negative, Treasury yields slide amid revived valuation concerns, Fed uncertainty

European stocks gain; U.S. stocks turn negative

Nvidia's results ease AI bubble concerns, boosting tech stocks

Delayed/mixed jobs clouds Fed policy expectations

Bitcoin slides on souring risk appetite

Updates to mid-afternoon

By Stephen Culp

NEW YORK, Nov 20 (Reuters) - Wall Street reversed earlier gains that were driven by a relief rally on Nvidia's earnings beat on Thursday, as a mixed employment report diminished hopes for further easing by the U.S. Federal Reserve this year.

All three major U.S. stock indexes turned lower led by weakness in artificial intelligence-related momentum stocks, dragging tech-heavy Nasdaq down most. Benchmark Treasury yields dipped and bitcoin tumbled, offering further signs of market participants' souring risk appetite.

But jitters over inflated tech valuations resurfaced as the session progressed.

Chipmaker and AI darling Nvidia NVDA.O posted its hotly anticipated results after Wednesday's closing bell, delivering consensus-beating earnings and stronger-than-expected forward guidance, which initially soothed fears over inflated valuations in the sector.

"There was a lot of anticipation about NVIDIA and it was a good report," said Thomas Martin, Senior Portfolio Manager at GLOBALT in Atlanta. "But the other questions are still there; what is happening with inflation? Employment? What is the Fed going to do? There's still confusion about tariffs."

"People just aren't done selling yet," Martin added. "The market is adjusting, this is what an adjustment process look like."

Employment data, unavailable throughout the longest-ever U.S. federal government shutdown, reported more jobs than expected, but a surprising uptick in the unemployment rate suggested a softening in labor market conditions.

A separate report showed ongoing jobless claims hitting their highest level in nearly four years.

But the September jobs report is stale, and as a result of the decision to combine the October and November reports, the U.S. Federal Reserve will have just one month of dated employment numbers to inform its rate decision at next month's policy meeting.

Financial markets are pricing in a 43.8% likelihood that the central bank will implement its third interest rate cut of the year at the meeting, down from about 50% at the same time last week and a near certainty a month ago, according to CME's FedWatch tool.

But not everyone agrees.

"The Fed is going to have to go on its own guts, and from a contrarian viewpoint, I believe that they will cut by 25 basis points," said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities in New York.

"The rhetoric that we're hearing from a lot of Fed members is just playing it safe," Cardillo added. "But I think the dovish members are probably going to win, and they are going to be right."

FROM RALLY TO SELLOFF

The CBOE Market Volatility index .VIX, considered a barometer of investor anxiety, touched its highest level since mid-October.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI fell 192.15 points, or 0.42%, to 45,946.62, the S&P 500 .SPX fell 62.94 points, or 0.95%, to 6,579.22 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC fell 320.59 points, or 1.43%, to 22,242.50.

European shares gained following Nvidia's earnings beat, but pared their advance amid renewed uncertainty regarding the Fed's monetary policy path.

MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe .MIWD00000PUS fell 5.19 points, or 0.53%, to 972.02.

The pan-European STOXX 600 .STOXX index rose 0.4%, while Europe's broad FTSEurofirst 300 index .FTEU3 rose 8.72 points, or 0.39%.

Emerging market stocks .MSCIEF rose 10.24 points, or 0.75%, to 1,370.52. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS closed higher by 0.86%, to 703.93, while Japan's Nikkei .N225 rose 1,286.24 points, or 2.65%, to 49,823.94.

U.S. Treasury yields dropped in the wake of mixed employment data as investors assessed the probability of further easing from the Fed before year-end.

The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes US10YT=RR fell 2.5 basis points to 4.106%, from 4.131% late on Wednesday.

The 30-year bond US30YT=RR yield fell 2 basis points to 4.7318% from 4.752% late on Wednesday.

The 2-year note US2YT=RR yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations for the Federal Reserve, fell 3.8 basis points to 3.56%, from 3.598% late on Wednesday.

The dollar firmed as jobs data tempered monetary policy expectations.

The dollar index =USD, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, rose 0.07% to 100.16, with the euro EUR= up 0.01% at $1.1537.

Against the Japanese yen JPY=, the dollar strengthened 0.25% to 157.54.

In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin BTC= fell 4.15% to $86,777.29. Ethereum ETH= declined 5.15% to $2,835.10.

Oil prices got a boost from a bigger-than-expected draw on U.S. crude stockpiles amid the tailwind of the broader equities rally.

U.S. crude CLc1 dipped 0.55% to settle at $59.14 per barrel, while Brent LCOc1 settled at $63.38 per barrel, down 0.2% on the day.

Gold prices inched higher as investors assessed the delayed jobs report. Spot gold XAU= rose 0.14% to $4,085.48 an ounce. U.S. gold futures GCc1 fell 0.38% to $4,062.40 an ounce.

The road to $5 trillion https://reut.rs/47GDhlG

Nonfarm payrolls https://www.reuters.com/graphics/USA-STOCKS/dwvkqedojvm/nfpr.png

(Reporting by Stephen Culp; Additional reporting by Caroline Valetkevitch in New York and Marc Jones in LondonEditing by Rod Nickel and Deepa Babington)

((stephen.culp@thomsonreuters.com))

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