• 13
  • 6
  • 2

Michael Burry Challenges the AI Trade with Big Short Bets on Nvidia and Palantir

Dow Jones11-04

Michael Burry, hedge fund manager of “The Big Short” fame, is calling the top in two of the stock market’s favorite plays — and somewhat contradicting himself in the process.

Burry’s Scion Asset Management has bought put options covering 5 million shares of Palantir, a trade valued at about $912 million, and puts for 1 million shares of Nvidia, valued at about $187 million, a regulatory filing for the quarter ending Sept. 30 shows.

Equity put options allow the purchaser to buy a stock at a lower level, the strike price, by a specified time, the expiry date. Such positions are usually taken if the buyer expects the stock price to fall.

Burry’s 13-F filing to the Securities and Exchange Commission, which was sent about a week ahead of deadline, shows that the two short positions account for 80% of Scion’s portfolio and therefore constitute a significant bet on a souring of the extremely popular AI trade.

Burry’s skepticism over the AI frenzy was shown in a new social media post late Monday when he highlighted the sector’s circular capex.

Other positions for Scion include a $153 million call option bet on Pfizer, and $61.5 million call bet position on Halliburton.

Shares of both Nvidia, which makes AI-chips, and Palantir, an AI-focused software group, hit record highs on Monday, having gained 48% and 305% respectively over the last 12 months.

However, many analysts have warned that Palantir in particular is very richly valued. The software group went into Monday’s results announcement on 2025 price-to-earnings multiple of just over 300, according to FactSet.

And despite delivering forecast-beating numbers, Palantir shares are down 4% in pre-market action on Tuesday. Nvidia’ shares are slipping fractionally.

The Scion Asset Management filing does not specify the details of the puts purchased, but option market observers on social media focused on some big trades occurring recently in out-of-the money contracts expiring later in 2026.

Such a timeline would match with Burry’s famous bets against subprime assets ahead of the 2007-08 financial crisis, when he realized it might take a while for the market to finally crack.

However, Burry’s move may be seen as contradicting what he said just last week. In a social media post he implied there was a stock market bubble, but that “sometimes, the only winning move is not to play.”

Burry’s latest “Big Short” shows he is playing with much gusto.

At the request of the copyright holder, you need to log in to view this content

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Report

Comment6

  • mark2012
    ·11-05
    Haha Michael burry, betting against AI, he"s loosing millions. [LOL]  
    Reply
    Report
  • mark2012
    ·11-05
    I initially took Michael's view, but have changed. I wonder whether AI is being talked down so Michael Burry and other fund managers  can buy more AI stock at cheaper prices.  Palantir income  balance  and cash flow sheets are doing very well. So  I am taking the opposite Position of Michael.  AI s true  value is to save conpanies money and to provide tools for governments. The ones with the wallets and very deep pockets. I think AI will accelerate.  It may just not be good the for the future of individual freedoms.  But  That's a totally different argument.
    Reply
    Report
  • mark2012
    ·11-04
    I think situation is slightly different from 2008. Subprime mortgages were always going to fail, when you loan money to everybody and anybody and to people who can't pay. Vs  Ai companies who are returning real financial returns.  The real value is real savings for company  profits. I think it's just market jitters. Money printing  is the real problem. Mister Market, Please pay my dividends in gold thanks
    Reply
    Report
  • Let's burn Michael burry....
    Reply
    Report
  • Lancelotz
    ·11-04
    Burry’s short positions on PLTR and NVDA (via put options) were established sometime last quarter, based on his latest 13F filing as of September 30, 2025.  Depending on when he entered those trades, they’re likely deep underwater now, especially with both stocks up 10-15% since the end of Q3, not to mention theta decay eating away at the options’ value.   Burry’s made plenty of short bets in the past, but many haven’t played out in his favor. You be the judge.
    Reply
    Report
  • Huat 888
    ·11-04
    Equity put options allow purchaser to sell, bro
    Reply
    Report
 
 
 
 

Most Discussed

 
 
 
 
 

7x24