$ORCL$ If OpenAI’s commercialization engine were truly firing on all cylinders, Oracle’s stock reaction to this earnings report would likely look very different. With the same earnings data, price action tells its own story — and it’s underwhelming. As a result, whether $ORCL$ becomes a dip-buying opportunity hinges almost entirely on OpenAI’s ability to monetize, or on the emergence of another AI heavyweight with a “killer product” that convinces the market current server capacity is nowhere near enough — positioning Oracle as a future infrastructure winner. At Thursday’s open, a trader made a precisely timed move, buying 10,000 contracts of the weekly 190P $ORCL 20251212 190.0 PUT$ . Separately, just before Wednesday’s

$NVDA$ — NVIDIA Stock Forecast 2025: Can the Trend Strengthen? With the recent lift of the H200 export restrictions, NVIDIA’s lower support zone has improved significantly, while the upper boundary has shifted slightly higher toward 187.5. Given the unusually high open interest across December and January expirations, NVDA is likely to remain range-bound unless a major bullish catalyst emerges — such as a breakthrough AI application that reignites sector-wide growth. Without such a catalyst, the realistic expectation is for NVDA to trade between $160–$200 until the January 16th monthly expiration. The Jan 16 200C has 159k OI, and the Jan 19 200C has 106k OI, forming a large open-interest wall that makes a breakout above $200 unlikely for now. The H200 news has pushed put-opening strikes hi

$NVDA$ The market has rebounded to recent highs, making the next three weeks uncertain once again. One notable risk signal ahead of FOMC is the reduction of 14k contracts in the long-dated 170C $NVDA 20260220 170.0 CALL$ . It’s uncommon to see institutions trimming long calls, but this doesn’t necessarily point to a big drop — it could simply reflect expectations for a prolonged consolidation phase, which would decay option time value. This week’s institutional call selling is centered on the 187.5C $NVDA 20251212 187.5 CALL$ , hedged with the 195C $NVDA 20251212 195.0 CALL$  — simil

$GOOGL$ The broader market looks set to continue its rebound today, with $SPY$ potentially pushing toward 688. But not all names are participating — year-end sector rotation is becoming more obvious. This time, rotation moved against Google. Bears opened a sizeable position by purchasing 10,000 contracts of the Jan 9th 315P $GOOGL 20260109 315.0 PUT$ , spending roughly $12 million in premium. Outside of this put activity, $GOOGL$’s options flow remains generally strong, implying a probable trading range of $315–325. However, that large bearish bet does add caution — Google may hold above 315 this week, but the outlook beyond next week is less stable. $NVDA$ The base case remains a $180–185 range. For this week, selling t

$NVDA$ Following Trump’s comments hinting at his preferred Fed chair nominee, the market initially gapped up before fading, leaving a clear bearish upper wick. Interestingly, a large amount of downside exposure was closed out — including 28k contracts of this week’s 165P $NVDA 20251205 165.0 PUT$  — suggesting short sellers are easing off immediate aggressive bets. Bearish headlines such as OpenAI pausing ads to speed up new model releases and Amazon advancing its custom chips had surprisingly little negative effect on $NVDA$. For now, the likely closing range for the week appears to be $180–185. $SPY$ The threat of a sudden drop toward 650 has lessened. That said, a pullback into the 670 area remains possible. Overall tr

Selling calls into strength still fits the current setup, ideally using strikes above 190. Monday’s flow increased the odds of a pullback toward 160 within the next month. The Dec 5th 165P $NVDA 20251205 165.0 PUT$  saw 41k new contracts, and despite the overall positive delta (implying seller control), that amount of open interest still adds downside pressure. A retest of 170 is on the table this week. If you’re considering selling puts, it’s safer to pair the position with a protective long put — or wait for an actual dip before entering. Broad open interest shows NVDA may struggle to break above 200 before the Jan 16 monthly expiration. The two largest call OI levels are the Jan 200C and Dec 200C, which reinforces that

$SPY$December feels like a “survive the month” environment — not necessarily bearish, but definitely lacking strong upside momentum.Based on opening flow, $SPY$ may continue grinding higher into this week’s FOMC while staying inside the 675–690 range.The largest trade was a complex bearish structure:Sell Feb ’27 719C $SPY 20260227 719.0 CALL$ Buy Feb ’27 647P $SPY 20260227 647.0 PUT$ Sell Feb ’27 545P $SPY 20260227 545.0 PUT$ This setup leans bearish below 647, but the trader only spent ~$1.7M — far cheaper than buying the long 647 put outright. Cheap hedges like this usually imply the ma

$NVDA This week, $NVDA$ closed in the ~$170–185 range, and price is likely to keep swinging roughly between $160–190 next week. Institutions are still actively selling the $185–190 calls ($NVDA 20251205 190.0 CALL$ ) as a hedge, which makes a clean breakout above that zone harder in the short term. On the downside, the $160 puts ($NVDA 20251205 160.0 PUT$ ) saw around 29k new contracts, hinting that markets are starting to accept a lower support area. Heavy put opening for next week’s expiry also signals expectations of a pullback – which could turn into a potential volatility-selling setup. If that scenario plays out, short-dated cash-secured puts may