TRIGGER TRADES
TRIGGER TRADES
Leader In Elliott Wave | Futures Trader
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avatarTRIGGER TRADES
03-22 14:14

S&P 500 Correction on Track, Targets 5100–5600 Remain

6 weeks ago I told you $S&P 500(.SPX)$ was entering a 20-25% correction. SPX is now down 380+ points from the top and tracking the weekly projection EXACTLY. The target hasn't changed. 5600-5100. We're not done. "Bookmark this. You'll want the receipts later." Here they are. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ -11.51% since $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ -10.18% since $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ -9.25% since $S&P 500(.SPX)$ -7.55% since Halfway to the 20-25% targets. And we're not done. A lot of people are going to wish they paid attention sooner. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and e
S&P 500 Correction on Track, Targets 5100–5600 Remain
avatarTRIGGER TRADES
03-21 08:37

$SPX $NDX $DJI Breakdown + $SMCI Short +27% Win

For a bounce, I needed to see at least one index hold the November lows while the others broke them. That's an SMT divergence — it warns that momentum is fading and a reversal is setting up. Instead, $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ all broke those lows together. No divergence. No warning sign. FULL SYNC. When correlated assets move together like this, it confirms the trend — not a reversal. Bearish until a divergence develops. 🎯 $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ Short — CLOSED +27.1% Entered $30.53 on 3/18. Target hit in 2 DAYS. W5 did the rest. Straight into the 100% extension at $22.15. 📍 Entry: $
$SPX $NDX $DJI Breakdown + $SMCI Short +27% Win
avatarTRIGGER TRADES
03-21 08:34

$SPX Playbook Works: 6,500 Hit, Trend Continues

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ hit our 6,500 mid-term target ✅ But momentum says the wave count is EVOLVING. Leaning toward a bit more downside in the 3rd wave. Then a 4th wave BOUNCE. Then a 5th wave LOWER. The playbook hasn't missed. No reason to stop following it now. Sheesh, my indicator that I developed LAST WEEK is getting better and BETTER. In beta testing, but it helped frame a short today. Nice +25 GAIN 🔥 ALL members of EWC will be able to test it out once I am done refining. $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606(ESmain)$ 🚨 TARGET HIT. I told you MONTHS ago — Monthly FVG at 6,550–6,500. I never moved the target. Not ONCE. The sell signal triggered. Wave 3 confirmed. $SPX delivered. This is what trusting the S
$SPX Playbook Works: 6,500 Hit, Trend Continues

$SPX Wave 4 Rejection in Play: $TSLA Short Hits +12.83%, Wave 5 Down Next

AS WARNED, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ resolved lower and hit the equal lows in the 3rd wave — EXACTLY as projected. Now in the 4th wave. If its not already complete, expect a rejection at the new bearish Daily FVG at 6,636–6,710 That sets up the 5th wave drop to sweep the November lows at 6,508. If you've been following, you already knew this was coming. Every level. Every wave. MAPPED. Bias remains lower against 6,700. One more leg down to go. Then we'll talk about a bounce. Meanwhile — just closed our $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ short from $438.50. Covered at $382.25. +12.83% on commons. No options. No leverage. Just structure and patience. 3 for 3 in Q1. 100% win rate. 5 more trades open — all green. This isn't luck
$SPX Wave 4 Rejection in Play: $TSLA Short Hits +12.83%, Wave 5 Down Next

$SPX 3rd Wave Down Confirmed, Path Lower Clear

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ rejected the Daily FVG resistance exactly as expected and the 3rd wave down is back underway. Path of least resistance: equal lows at $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606(ESmain)$ 6635 | SPX 6585. This leg resolves into the Monthly FVG at 6,550–6,500. Bias remains lower against today's high. No reason to fight this. Pre-FOMC Analysis: "My lean is that we ultimately resolve lower and break last week's lows, targeting the equal lows on the Daily / Weekly at ES 6635" Now -77 points and counting... Projected the rejection. Projected the path. Projected the target. $Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$ delivered. I crush every market I touch. For SG users
$SPX 3rd Wave Down Confirmed, Path Lower Clear

$SPX Bearish Bias Holds, 6500 Target Unless 6760 Break Confirms Rally

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ has now retraced over 50% of Wave 3 — the first warning that a larger Wave 2 / B-Wave correction may be developing. That said, price rejected the nearest Daily FVG resistance, while the fractal count off the lows continues to look corrective. Primary lean: We resolve lower following FOMC targeting the 6550-6500 Monthly FVG As long as today’s high holds, the bearish bias remains valid. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 -
$SPX Bearish Bias Holds, 6500 Target Unless 6760 Break Confirms Rally

Bull Trap? $SPX Rejects 50%, Downtrend Intact Below 6,760

🚨 BULL TRAP Today's bounce was a corrective 3-wave move within the bearish 3rd wave. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ rejected the 50% retrace with a bearish SMT vs $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ . $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606(ESmain)$ equal lows at roughly ~6,580 remain the path of least resistance. Daily close above 6,760 needed to shift the picture. Until then, this rally gets SOLD. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2606(NQmain)$
Bull Trap? $SPX Rejects 50%, Downtrend Intact Below 6,760

Major Indexes Signal Tops with Multi-Month Correction Expected

I'm leaning the tops are now all in for $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ SPX, DJI, and IWM all sent SELL SIGNALS this week while NDX rejected at resistance. SPX topped Jan 28 NDX topped Oct 29 DJI topped Feb 10 IWM topped Jan 21 Expecting a multi-month correction in 2026 with 20–25% drawdown across the board. The path of least resistance is DOWN. SPX has no support until the Monthly FVG at 6,550–6,500. The 3rd wave is confirmed and I'm firmly bearish until NDX, SPX, or DJI crosses their November lows. No reason to be bullish right now. SPX Forecast: 2026–2030 Market Cy
Major Indexes Signal Tops with Multi-Month Correction Expected

SPX Next Down Leg Underway, Shallow Bounces Only

3rd wave CONFIRMED. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ rejected the bearish Daily FVG and made a lower low. The next leg down is underway. There is NO SUPPORT until the Monthly FVG at 6,550–6,500. Bearish below 6,735. Only shallow bounces expected. The drop I've been warning about? You're watching it. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2603(NQmain)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$
SPX Next Down Leg Underway, Shallow Bounces Only

$SPX Turns Bearish After Losing FVG Support

Bulls dropped the ball. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ inverted its H4 FVG support and formed a new bearish Daily FVG at 6,740–6,760. The 3rd wave decline is now PRIMARY. A bounce into the Daily FVG that rejects? That's the trigger. Targets: 6,550-6500 Only a Daily close above 6,760 changes the picture. The window is closing. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2603(NQmain)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$
$SPX Turns Bearish After Losing FVG Support

$SPX Eyes 6883 to 6915 Daily FVG if Bulls Push One More Leg Higher

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ produced a corrective decline into the H4 FVG support. Ideal short setup: another leg higher to sweep the weekly high — with potential to extend into the Daily FVG at 6883–6915. But an H4 close below 6734 validates the 3rd wave is already underway — targeting 6550. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2603(NQmain)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$
$SPX Eyes 6883 to 6915 Daily FVG if Bulls Push One More Leg Higher

Optimal Short Zone at 6883–6915 as SPX Approaches Key Daily FVG

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ kissed the 61.8% retrace and respected ~6811 FVG resistance. The 2nd wave is either complete or one leg away from terminating. Leaning toward one more push higher, but CPI can change that fast. An H4 iFVG favors it — and CPI tomorrow becomes the catalyst for the 3rd wave decline into the Monthly FVG at 6550. But the cleaner setup is a push into 6883–6915 — the Daily FVG that already rejected price twice. ▸ That's the optimal short zone. H4 FVG at 6760–6734 is the decision zone. ▸ Holds — another leg higher. ▸ Inverts — 3rd wave is underway. CPI decides. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$
Optimal Short Zone at 6883–6915 as SPX Approaches Key Daily FVG

$SPX Rally Near 6900 May Precede Major Wave 3 Decline

Today's snapback rally just confirmed the structure. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 1st wave decline — complete. Now correcting in the 2nd wave. Watching for a 61.8–78.6% retrace into the Daily FVG at 6883–6915. That zone already rejected price hard twice — don't expect the third time to be friendly. If this correction completes there, the 3rd wave down will DWARF what we just saw. ALT: If we can't close above the first FVG resistance ~6811, CPI Wednesday could kickstart the 3rd wave without the deeper retrace. Feb 12: " $E-mini Dow Jones - main 2603(YMmain)$ now has a SELL SIGNAL on deck." Since then? The largest decline since April. The sell signal worked. The top is in. And it's not done. I don't miss. For SG
$SPX Rally Near 6900 May Precede Major Wave 3 Decline

$NQ $ES $DJI Futures Turn Red as C-Wave Downside Looms

Sunday night and it's already blood red. I've been calling this for WEEKS. Every top. Every level. Every index. Warnings were sent. $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2603(NQmain)$ $E-mini Dow Jones - main 2603(YMmain)$ $E-mini Russell 2000 - main 2603(RTYmain)$ NQ just terminated a bearish B-Wave at last week's high. What comes next is the C-Wave flush — targeting a sweep of the November lows with downside to 24,000–23,750. While below 25,500, this is strongly favored. CPI Wednesday could light the fuse. From last week’s Weekly Projections,
$NQ $ES $DJI Futures Turn Red as C-Wave Downside Looms

$SPX Near 3rd Wave Trigger as CPI Becomes Key Catalyst

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ missed the 3rd wave confirmation by 1 point. But the damage is done. Odds strongly favor the 3rd wave is already in progress. A cross below 6,710 confirms it. If that occurs, 6,550 is coming. New bearish Daily FVG at 6,773–6,811 should act as resistance on a bounce. Daily close above 6,811 delays it. CPI Wednesday. Catalyst incoming. ALTERNATE: Since SPX did not cross its weekly low at 6,710, the bullish SMT with $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ persists. If price rallies without crossing 6,710 and closes above 6,811 on the Daily, the new Daily FVG inverts — meaning the 2nd wave is still progressing to target the higher Daily FVG at 6,883–6,915. CPI then terminates the 2nd wave and charges the 3rd wa
$SPX Near 3rd Wave Trigger as CPI Becomes Key Catalyst

SPX Loses 6,770 Support, Downside Opens Toward 6,500

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ just lost its last line of defense. Price closed the week below 6,770 — inverting the Weekly FVG that held as support since December. 2 months of support. GONE. No support until the Monthly FVG at 6,550–6,500. Open air underneath. Clock is ticking. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2603(NQmain)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ $iShares Russell
SPX Loses 6,770 Support, Downside Opens Toward 6,500

SPX Eyes 6,883–6,915 Resistance as CPI Looms

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ rejected the Daily FVG, but held the weekly low with a bullish SMT vs DJI. The 2nd wave rally likely isn't done. Expecting one more push into the Daily FVG resistance at 6,883–6,915 before the 3rd wave fires. CPI Wednesday is now the likely catalyst. Bearish warning: Daily close below 6,800. Bullish warning: Daily close above 6,915. Invalidation: 7,002. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2603(NQmain)$
SPX Eyes 6,883–6,915 Resistance as CPI Looms

SPX Tests FVG Resistance, Bearish Setup Targets 6,550

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ rallied into the Daily FVG at 6,883–6,915 — the same resistance zone that keeps rejecting price. The ideal setup: price pushes deeper into this zone tomorrow, forms a bullish Daily FVG, then inverts it for the sell signal to trigger the 3rd wave decline to 6,550. NFP Friday is the likely catalyst. Warning: Daily close above 6,915. Invalidation: 7,002. The setup is loading. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2603(NQ
SPX Tests FVG Resistance, Bearish Setup Targets 6,550

$SPX Hits 6,720 as Forecast Rally Sets Up Next Leg to 6,550

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ swept 6,720. Exactly as projected ✅ Don't let this bounce fool you. This rally is a bearish 2nd wave — setting up the 3/4/5 wave sequence flush to 6,550. The Daily FVG at 6,883–6,915 should once again act as resistance. NFP Friday could be the match that lights the 3rd wave. The bigger move is still down. $E-mini Dow Jones - main 2603(YMmain)$ was the tell last night... Supporting the potential that the E-Wave is already complete, YM retraced 50% of its 3rd wave. If so, the 4th wave should be complete to begin declining for the 5th wave down. The path of least resistance looks like 48,092 level as there are now equallows there. However, above today's high would invalidatethe 4th wa
$SPX Hits 6,720 as Forecast Rally Sets Up Next Leg to 6,550

$SPX Triangle Complete Target 6,720–6,500 Watch 6,915 Close

The triangle I've been tracking on $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is nearing completion, if not already complete. A-B-C-D-E. Textbook. Right into the Daily FVG resistance at 6,883–6,915. This is where it terminates. What follows is a sharp C-Wave decline to SPX 6,720–6,500. ⚠️: Daily close above 6,915 threatens crossing the triangle invalidation at 6,953. The setup is here. The move is next. Bookmark this. PS: New weekly update — setting the stage for a pivotal week. $SPX holds a bearish triangle setup and could see a sharp resolution lower as soon as this week. 6,720 is the high probability target with downside scope to 6,500. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG,
$SPX Triangle Complete Target 6,720–6,500 Watch 6,915 Close

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