$S&P 500(.SPX)$ just hit daily resistance right into the gap, while the $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ divergence near the highs raises another warning. Another push higher? Sure, it’s possible. But the bigger picture hasn’t changed. 🎯 My target: October lows. The next multi-week move is likely lower. Don’t confuse a short-term bounce with a trend reversal. Stay disciplined. Respect resistance. Let price action confirm the move. Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move is knowing what works for you. With Treasury yields, oil prices and rate expectations keeping markets on edge this week, investors are once again thinking carefully about where to position next. There’s no one-size-fits-all choice in
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$SPX TAGGED DAILY RESISTANCE
$SPX TAGGED DAILY RESISTANCE
$SPX Relief Rally Fading? Next Move Could Be Lower
The latest setups point to downside risk for equities, with $S&P 500(.SPX)$ potentially running out of room to rally while oil continues to push higher. Here’s what I’m watching. 👇 📉 $SPX — Relief Rally May Be Over Five waves down. Three waves up. That’s a bearish structure, suggesting the relief rally could be nearing its end. 🎯 Key levels to watch: 7,616: Equal lows and the first downside target September low: The next potential target if support gives way Even if we see more upside first, daily resistance could cap the move. The bias? Lower, unless price action proves otherwise. ✅ The Previous $SPX Low Call The low was called at 8:59 AM, with an ABC move into the target. The setup combined: Higher-timeframe candle sweep Bullish divergence A
$SPX Relief Rally Fading? Next Move Could Be Lower
$SPX Relief Rally vs. $ES Bottom Call
Hi Tigers! 🐯 📉 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ — Relief Rally Underway Five waves down from the October high appear complete, setting the stage for a relief bounce. I'm watching daily resistance levels for signs of the rally stalling. My view: this bounce gets sold, and the October lows remain the downside magnet. ⚠️ 🚀 $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$ — Bottom Called Live At 10:12 AM, bullish divergence appeared alongside a trigger signal at the low. The target was clear: equal highs at 7,752. Price ripped straight to the target. 🎯 📌 Two charts, two different setups: The $ES trade showed how divergence and a clear trigger can identify a short-term opportunity. But for $SPX, I'm treating the rally as a po
$SPX Relief Rally vs. $ES Bottom Call
$SPX Hits a New ATH, but $ES Is Lagging
The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ just made a new all-time high. But $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$ didn’t. 👀 We saw the same divergence in February 2025. What followed? A 20% selloff in just seven weeks. Could history repeat itself? Maybe not. There’s no guarantee we’ll see another 20% drop this time. But this divergence is a warning sign worth watching. 🚨 📉 New highs without confirmation from futures deserve attention. Don't assume the market will crash. But don't ignore the signal, either. Stay alert. Protect your capital. Let price action confirm the next move. 🛡️ Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move is knowing what works for you. With Treasury yields, oil prices and rate expec
$SPX Hits a New ATH, but $ES Is Lagging
$SPX DAILY SELL SIGNAL CONFIRMED
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ The bearish setup we flagged on Wednesday is now playing out. The ending diagonal has been confirmed, strengthening the case that October’s high could hold for weeks, not just days. 🎯 Downside targets: 7,600 — First target 7,500 — Next downside level Bulls had their chance to defend the structure, but the breakdown has shifted the near-term outlook. ⚠️ Watch how price reacts at 7,600. Until the market shows a convincing reversal, the risk of further downside remains. The top may be in. Now the levels matter. 📊 Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move is knowing what works for you. With Treasury yields, oil prices and rate expectations keeping markets on edge this week, investors are once again thinking carefully
$SPX DAILY SELL SIGNAL CONFIRMED
$ES Weekly Sell Signal Is One Close Away ⚠️
$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$ WEEKLY SELL SIGNAL LOADING The SMT divergence with $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2612(NQmain)$ and $E-mini Dow Jones - main 2612(YMmain)$ is already in place at a key level. Now it comes down to the CISD trigger: a weekly close below these levels. $ES → 7,781$S&P 500(.SPX)$ → 7,729$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ → 769.50 Friday’s close is critical. Bulls need to defend these levels to keep the setup from confirming. Lose them on a weekly close, and the ending diagonal top is confirmed. 📉 And $SPX W4 RELIEF RALLY CALLED ✅ Bull
$ES Weekly Sell Signal Is One Close Away ⚠️
$SPX Daily Sell Signal Fires — 7,600 Is the First Target
The bearish $S&P 500(.SPX)$ setup is now taking shape. The ABC-up within the final 5th wave is confirmed, and the daily iFVG has triggered. The weekly signal could be next. My read: the ending diagonal is complete, and the all-time high may hold as the market turns lower. 🎯 First downside target: 7,600 — where the B-wave low aligns with the 2/4 channel. The key now is whether the weekly signal confirms the daily bearish setup. Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move is knowing what works for you. With Treasury yields, oil prices and rate expectations keeping markets on edge this week, investors are once again thinking carefully about where to position next. There’s no one-size-fits-all choice in investing — and the same goes f
$SPX Daily Sell Signal Fires — 7,600 Is the First Target
$SPX Final Push to 7,865–7,900 Before a Sharp Reversal?
I’m looking for early strength this week, followed by a pullback toward last week’s low, then one final extension higher. 🎯 Final upside targets $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : 7,865–7,900 $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ : 783.50–787 That’s the zone where I expect the final 5th wave to terminate and the ending diagonal to complete. But the reversal signal matters more than the target. 🚨 The trigger to watch $SPX daily close below 7,754 Equivalent $SPY level: 772.65 A daily close below that threshold would trigger my sell signal and point to the start of a sharp move lower. The plan: Watch for early strength, let the final extension develop, and stay alert for confirmation of the reversal. The upside targets are co
$SPX Final Push to 7,865–7,900 Before a Sharp Reversal?
$SPX FAKE BULLISH REVERSAL. The Sell Signal Is Still Active
🚨 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ FAKE BULLISH REVERSAL The sell signal TRIGGERED. $SPX pushed lower, then recovered sharply into the close. That rebound looks more like a setup for a short than a confirmed reversal. 👀 I’m watching for the short setup tomorrow. If sellers step back in, the rally could get SOLD. 🎯 Key downside levels: → 7,600 | $SPY 758 next → 7,500 | $SPY 747 if it flushes The key question now: does tomorrow’s bounce attract buyers, or does it become another opportunity for sellers? ⚠️ Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move is knowing what works for you. With Treasury yields, oil prices and rate expectations keeping markets on edge this week, investors are once again thinking carefully about where to position next. There’s n
$SPX FAKE BULLISH REVERSAL. The Sell Signal Is Still Active
$SPX SELL SIGNAL TRIGGERED, Bearish W3 Is Now in Play
🚨 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ SELL SIGNAL TRIGGERED. The setup just shifted decisively lower. 🔻 Bearish SMT with $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ at the August high 🔻 Closed below 7,657 🔻 Daily FVG support has now inverted 🔻 Bearish W3 decline is officially in play The levels I’m watching next: 🎯 $SPX 7,600 If that breaks: ⚠️ $SPX 7,500 And if the selling really accelerates: 💥 $SPY 747 The key change here is the loss of 7,657. That level was holding the structure together. Now it has been lost, and the former support zone has flipped into resistance. 📉 Momentum has shifted. Now we watch whether $SPX can stabilize around 7,600 — or whether the W3 move starts accelerating. Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move
$SPX SELL SIGNAL TRIGGERED, Bearish W3 Is Now in Play
$SPX Crossed Last Week’s Low. The Downside Setup Is Still Active
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ MORE DOWNSIDE. ⚠️ Price crossed last week’s low and came close to triggering the Daily sell signal — but did NOT trigger it. The next level I’m watching: $SPX below 7,657 = A = C For $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ , 762 is the trigger. If that level breaks, watch for a potentially sharper bearish W3 decline. $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$ is already showing a bearish setup: • Bearish WXY structure confirmed • Bearish SMT with $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2612(NQmain)$ remains active • ABC downside targets are now in play The setup is getting more aggressive. 7,657 on $SPX and 762 on $
$SPX Crossed Last Week’s Low. The Downside Setup Is Still Active
$SPY BEARISH SETUP IS FORMING
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Price has rallied straight back into Daily FVG resistance and is now showing rejection. 📉 I’m leaning toward the 2/B-wave rally topping here. Key levels matter: 🔻 Below 762 on a daily close → SELL SIGNAL → Daily FVG could invert → Opens the door to the next larger wave DOWN 🚀 Above 772.57 → Bearish setup invalidated → Bias flips bullish → ATHs back in play For now, the market is sitting right at the decision zone. 762 = breakdown trigger772.57 = bullish reclaim 👀 Let price confirm the next move. Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move is knowing what works for you. With Treasury yields, oil prices and rate expectations keeping markets on edge this week, investors are once again thinking carefully a
$SPY BEARISH SETUP IS FORMING
$SPX Tagged the .618 Extension Then Reversed
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ sold straight into the target. 🎯 The 5-3-5 model was calling for the bounce to get sold, and that’s exactly how it played out. 📐 Price tagged the .618 extension almost to the point — then reversed sharply. That’s the key part of the setup. C-waves commonly terminate around the 50%–61.8% extension of the A-wave, with the 90%–100% range also among the levels I watch. The model projects those potential termination zones before price reaches them. So when price hits the projected level and reverses, the setup is playing out according to the structure rather than simply reacting after the fact. 🔥 This is Elliott Wave 2.0. Map the structure. Project the levels. Wait for price to confirm. Then trade the reaction. Markets are always mo
$SPX Tagged the .618 Extension Then Reversed
$SPX Bull Trap Back in Play as 7,657 Becomes the Key Level
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ just reversed sharply from the highs, and the bearish structure is getting clearer. 📉 The current move is shaping up as a 5-3-5 pattern: 🔻 5 waves down from the highs 🔺 Looking for a 3-wave bounce 🔻 Then potentially another 5 waves down That makes any bounce tomorrow something I’ll be watching closely for a potential sell-the-rally setup. 🎯 First downside target: The weekly low / open weekly gap. But there’s another important signal developing. ⚠️ Bearish SMT vs $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $SPX is now sitting inside Daily FVG support, while a fresh bearish SMT has appeared against $NDX around the August high. That adds another layer of caution to the setup. 📍 The level that matters most: 7,657 A
$SPX Bull Trap Back in Play as 7,657 Becomes the Key Level
$SPX ATHs? I’m Still Not Chasing This Rally
📈 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is pushing into ATH territory, but I’m still not chasing this rally. The C-wave extended further than expected, and price has now reached the last Daily FVG resistance zone. That puts the market at an important inflection point. ⚠️ 🔍 The structure matters We now have: 5-wave decline → 3-wave rally → Daily FVG resistance That sequence is keeping me cautious. The rebound has been strong, but from a wave-structure perspective, I still view it as corrective rather than the beginning of a fresh impulsive advance. 🎯 What I’m watching next There are two main scenarios: 🟢 Shallow pullback If buyers keep control and the pullback stays shallow, $SPX could print new highs first before the larger decline develops. 🔴 Sharp selloff If we
$SPX ATHs? I’m Still Not Chasing This Rally
$CL Is Setting Up for Another Push Higher
$Colgate-Palmolive(CL)$ W4 may be almost done. 👀 The W4/W5 model is still suggesting HIGHER. This is a Grade A setup on the Daily. We already have equal highs sitting above, which gives us a clear W5 objective. 🎯 But before that happens, I want to see one thing: A TAP into the FVG below to complete W4. If we get that reaction, I’ll be watching for the next W5 push HIGHER — ideally with a CISD or iFVG trigger. That would give me the confirmation I want before looking for the next leg up. And there’s another reason I’m watching $CL closely: If crude starts expanding again, it becomes another headwind for equities. ⚠️ That’s exactly why I made the model public. Go test it. Don’t just take my word for it. 👇 Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the
$CL Is Setting Up for Another Push Higher
$SPX BULL TRAP IS STILL IN PLAY. 🐻⚠️
The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ bounce still has room to run. Price hasn’t reached the bearish Daily FVG resistance yet, so I’m not looking to short too early. 👀 That resistance zone lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement — exactly the kind of area where I’d expect sellers to step back in. 📉 Until $SPX gets there, I’m giving this rally some room. But once price reaches that zone? That’s where I’ll be watching closely for rejection. 🎯 The bigger picture remains the same: ➡️ Let the bounce extend ➡️ Wait for the resistance zone ➡️ Look for the rally to get sold ➡️ Then target the higher-degree move LOWER 📉 Patience here. The trap isn’t confirmed until the resistance does its job. 🐻 Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move is knowing w
$SPX BULL TRAP IS STILL IN PLAY. 🐻⚠️
$SPX W4 Is Invalidated as the Bounce Sets Up Another Selloff
The short-term count has changed. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ W4 setup is now invalid, which makes yesterday’s flush look more like W5.e than the start of a sustained rebound. From here, I’m watching for the 2nd/B-wave rally to keep pushing higher into the next bearish FVG resistance. 👀 That’s the area where I want to see bearish SMT divergence with $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ start showing up. If that signal develops, the plan is simple: 🚨 Let the bounce extend 🎯 Watch the FVG resistance ⚠️ Look for bearish SMT 📉 Then sell the rally The larger structure hasn’t changed. The bounce may have more room to run first, but the bigger path still points LOWER. 🔻 Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move is knowi
$SPX W4 Is Invalidated as the Bounce Sets Up Another Selloff
$SPX FOMC Bounce Fails as Sellers Take Back Control
The post FOMC pop didn’t have much follow through. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ managed only a shallow rebound before sellers stepped back in and pushed price sharply lower. That keeps the short term structure leaning toward another leg down rather than a clean bullish reversal. For now, I’m treating the current rebound as W4. If that count holds, the bounce should remain below today’s high before W5 brings another move lower. 🔻 The key levels are pretty clear: ⚠️ Above 7632: the immediate W4/W5 setup is invalidated. 🚦 Daily close above 7637: that would shift the setup into a more bullish posture. Until either level is reclaimed, I’m treating rallies as opportunities to sell rather than chasing strength. The next move matters more than the noise around the
$SPX FOMC Bounce Fails as Sellers Take Back Control
$SPX Could Get a Relief Rally Before the Next Drop
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ The selloff has delivered the W5 leg lower, and now the setup is starting to look a little different. 👀 Bullish SMT against $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ is giving the S&P 500 room for a corrective bounce into the FOMC. I’d expect the first move to stay fairly modest, with 7650–7700 as the initial zone to watch. But I’m not treating that bounce as a trend change. ⚠️ The bigger picture still looks vulnerable. If $SPX reaches that 7650–7700 area, I’d be watching closely for the relief move to run out of steam and sellers to step back in. So for now: 📈 W5 downside leg appears in place 🔄 Bullish SMT supports a corrective rebound 🎯 First bounce zone: 7650–7700 ⚠️ FOMC could provide the catalyst 📉 An
$SPX Could Get a Relief Rally Before the Next Drop
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