News and my thoughts from the past week (10Aug2026) Amazon is building a natural gas plant in Pecos County, Texas, to power an AI data center. Its permits allow 33 million tons of carbon dioxide a year, which would make it the single largest source of climate pollution in the country. For comparison, the dirtiest plant operating in America today emits about 16 million tons, so Amazon's is permitted for roughly double that. Amazon co-founded The Climate Pledge in 2019 and promised net-zero emissions by 2040. - X user Hedgie Jamie Dimon warns America could lose its reserve currency status within 25 years. - X user Whale Insider Meta CTO Andrew Bosworth told employees that AI productivity gains should go into more work, not more time off. When a staffer asked about bringing back extra vacatio

Market Outlook of S&P500 (10Aug2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 is on an uptrend. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows that the last candlestick has been above the 50-day (MA50) and 200-day (MA200) moving average lines. This pattern indicates a bullish shift in both the short and long term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have continued to trend upward, indicating a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. Exponential Moving Averages This is showing a bearish trend. Chaikin Money Flow CMF index shows a score of 0.00, which implies buying momentum cancelling out the selling momentum. Other Technical Analysis Based on the daily interva

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 10Aug2026) Singapore Market Holiday Singapore markets will be closed on 10 August as the country observes the National Day holiday. Key Inflation Indicators The key data releases to watch in the coming week are CPI and core CPI. These are widely used inflation indicators and among the data points the Federal Reserve considers when assessing its next interest rate decision. If inflation remains persistent or rises further, the Fed may need to consider raising rates rather than cutting them, which could introduce volatility into equity markets. The Producer Price Index (PPI) for July will also be released. As PPI captures inflationary pressure at the producer level, it can provide an early signal of costs that may later be passed on to consumers.

My Investing Muse (03Aug2026) Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies Between July 27 and August 2, 2026, the tide of restructuring swept through industries with quiet force, as Porsche sealed an agreement to shed five thousand more roles toward a nine-thousand total by 2035 amid fading demand. Yet several claimed cuts fell just before the window: Centrica’s thirteen hundred, Telefónica Germany’s eleven hundred store-closing plan, K&L Gates’ ten-percent non-lawyer trim, and Amazon’s cloud software reductions had already echoed days earlier, while Intel’s Data Center moves and Magic Leap’s nearly two-hundred waveguide pivot gained only confirmatory notes within the week. Fresh waves arrived nonetheless—BMW offering voluntary exits for up to eight thousand German administrative and research

News and my thoughts from the past week (03Aug2026) To prevent Japan from selling even more US assets, he joined Japan in a massive coordinated intervention. But instead of selling USD, the US sold EUR. To keep this war going, the US has to bail out major holders of US assets to prevent them from selling... especially Treasuries. - X user Lukas Ekwueme More than 1.2 million leveraged retail trading accounts in South Korea triggered margin calls as ​of July 13th, with an estimated 320,000–360,000 accounts fully liquidated, per Goldman Sachs. This means around 3.4% of the adult ⁠population in South Korea has received margin calls. The KOSPI is currently down another ~18% since July 13th. We believe that the total number of fully liquidated accounts is now above 500,000. - X user The Kobeissi

Market Outlook of S&P500 (03Aug2026) Technical Analysis Overview Source: Yahoo Finance dated 02Aug2026 MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 is on a downtrend. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows that the last candlestick has been above the 200-day (MA200) moving average but cut the 50-day (MA50) moving average. This pattern indicates a bullish shift in the long term and uncertain in the short term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have continued to trend upward, indicating a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. Exponential Moving Averages This is showing a bearish trend. Chaikin Money Flow The CMF index shows a score of 0.09, indicating more buying momentum than sell

Earnings Calendar (03Aug2026) In the coming week we have some highly anticipated earnings that included Palantir, Pfizer, McDonald’s, Walt Disney, Uber and SpaceX. McDonald’s earnings are a global bellwether for consumer health and economic conditions. Same-store sales can show whether lower- and middle-income consumers are under budget pressure, while weaker foot traffic may point to inflation-driven pullbacks in value meals and discretionary dining. Menu prices also provide insight into commodity and labour cost pressures, including inputs such as beef and dairy. In a downturn, a shift by higher-income consumers from sit-down restaurants to fast food may signal weaker consumer sentiment. - from Google Gemini. McDonald’s price has fallen by 10.65% from a year ago. Technical analysis has a

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 03Aug2026) Key macroeconomic releases in the coming week will provide important signals on growth, inflation, labour-market conditions, and energy demand. Manufacturing and Inflation Indicators The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for July is expected at 53.8, indicating continued expansion in global manufacturing activity. The ISM Manufacturing PMI and ISM Manufacturing Prices Index for July will also be released. The previous ISM Manufacturing Prices reading of 73.0 pointed to inflationary pressure, which could eventually be passed on to consumers. Labour-Market Data Several labour-market indicators will be closely watched by the Federal Reserve ahead of its upcoming interest-rate decision: JOLTS job openings for June will be announced, follow

My Investing Muse (27Jul2026) Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies (by Gemini & Grok) Key corporate and market stress signals (week of ~July 20, 2026): Major Layoffs British American Tobacco: ~9,000 roles (~20% of non-US workforce). Microsoft: ~4,800 global positions. Telefónica Germany: up to 1,100 roles (~16%). Verizon: ~3,000 affected (mostly store transfers + corporate cuts). Samsung: 800+ U.S. roles affected (many relocation offers). Entain: 500 positions. Closures/Restructuring Metro (Singapore): exiting Paragon and Causeway Point stores. Volkswagen: cutting model lines by up to 50% and reviewing European plants. Bankruptcies U.S. larger corporates: S&P reports 372 filings YTD—a 16-year high, led by industrial, consumer, and healthcare. Small businesses: Subchapter V filings u

News and my thoughts from the past week (27Jul2026) META $12 billion bond offer comes in at 7.6% on “weak demand”. So much pain coming to Oracle. On Monday, whose bonds are rapidly selling off at 7.9% to 8.1% while Meta was around 6.7%. - X user Roger Will this save Oracle? Are people leaving a sinking ship in BlackRock? JUST IN: OpenAI caught one of its AI agents leaving instructions for future versions to escape internal controls. - X user Watcher Guru Nike is planning to cut off thousands of online distributors in China beginning in January as the sneaker giant looks to clean up what’s become a messy digital marketplace and get the region back to growth, the company said Tuesday. Starting next year, Nike’s online footprint will shift primarily to the retailer’s official website and app,

Market Outlook of S&P500 (27Jul2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 just completed a crossover and is on a downtrend. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows that the last candlestick has been above the 200-day (MA200) moving average but below the 50-day (MA50) moving average. This pattern indicates a bullish shift in both the long term and bearish in the short term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have continued to trend upward, indicating a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. We had some issues with the charts from both Yahoo Finance and Investing. Pardon missing the other indicators like Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) and the Exponential

Earnings Calendar (27Jul2026) This week features several major earnings releases, including Baker Hughes, PayPal, Coca-Cola, Boeing, UPS, Visa, Apple, Amazon, ExxonMobil, Moderna, and Chevron. We begin with UPS. Here is how UPS earnings serve as an economic reference (Google): UPS is a reliable economic bellwether because its logistics network handles about 6% of U.S. GDP and 3% of global GDP. By moving raw materials, finished goods, and e-commerce orders, its earnings offer a timely snapshot of broad economic health.Rising package volumes and express shipping suggest stronger business investment, retail activity, and consumer confidence. Falling volumes or a shift to cheaper delivery options can signal tighter spending, inventory slowdowns, and economic. UPS Valuation and M

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 27Jul2026) Consumption and Consumer Sentiment June’s Durable Goods orders are forecast to rise by 1.6%, a notable improvement from the previous reading of -4.5%. This rebound is a positive indicator for consumption and suggests stronger demand momentum. The CB Consumer Confidence reading for July is forecast at 92.1. This points to weaker consumer confidence and lower market optimism, which may influence future consumption patterns. Energy Demand Indicator Crude oil inventories remain an important reference point for assessing producer expectations and future consumption. If inventories come in above expectations, it may suggest stronger supply conditions; if they fall below expectations, it could point to firmer demand. Federal Reserve Interest

We can offer sympathy, but will the market offer mercy? Remember to hedge.

My Investing Muse (20Jul2026) Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies GOOGLE WORKERS ARE BRACING FOR LAYOFFS. 4,500 signed a petition demanding guaranteed severance and an end to performance quotas. 100+ rallied at HQ to deliver it to CEO Sundar Pichai. 4 in 10 tech workers now say they fear being laid off within a year. - X user Layoff Hedge "Millions of Americans want jobs but can't find them, and the number now exceeds the Great Financial Crisis," per Benzinga The total number of job cuts attributed to AI are 87,714 2026, per Challenger and Gray. This is 22% of all 2026 layoffs. - X user Unusual Whale "Midsize companies that employ millions of workers are now shedding jobs and relocating overseas to cut costs," per WSJ Summary of news (compiled by Gemini) The week starting July 13, 2026, sa

News and my thoughts from the past week (20Jul2026) Meta is having a moment... again. Facebook, Instagram, and Messenger are glitching for users around the world, with desktop Facebook logins failing and Instagram throwing up “something went wrong” messages. The apps appear to be working for some people, so this isn’t a total blackout, just enough chaos to make everyone wonder whether they’ve been hacked. Nope. Meta is simply falling apart again. Source: The Independent / Writer: Ian The US is spending $50 billion on data center construction, exceeding the combined spending on airports, ports, and mass transit, per Bloomberg. "We replaced Salesforce with a vibe-coded CRM built for our own workflows. The custom system integrated our AI agents more effectively, worked better for the team, an