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12-21 23:14

(Part 5 of 5) My investing Muse (15Dec25) - Layoffs, closure, AI bubble?

My Investing Muse (15Dec25) Layoffs, Bankruptcy & Closure news New Fortress Energy, a company that builds liquified natural gas terminals, is reportedly in big financial trouble. Bloomberg reports the company has missed interest payments on its loans and says it can’t repay large chunks of debt due soon. To avoid immediate collapse, lenders have agreed to temporarily hold off demanding their money until January 9, 2026. Ford LAYOFFS: 1,600 people at a factory that barely opened. Why? Because EVs didn’t make money... and apparently AI data centers do. They spent $5.8B building the Kentucky EV battery plant. So now, 1,600 workers laid off, EV production cancelled, Plant converted to serve AI data centers & utilities, $19.5B EV profit hit - X user Amanda Goodall Howard’s Appliances, a
(Part 5 of 5) My investing Muse (15Dec25) - Layoffs, closure, AI bubble?
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12-21 23:13

News and my thoughts (22Dec25) - real estate, electricity & shadow banking

News and my thoughts from the past week (22Dec25) More than $61 billion has flowed into the data center market so far this year. Hyperscalers are increasingly turning to outside capital in the form of debt to fund the energy-intensive infrastructure. S&P Global expects demand to continue to grow next year, despite high valuations and funding concerns leaving investor worried about a bubble. - CNBC JAPAN TO SELL $530 BILLION OF U.S. STOCKS TO STABILIZE THE ECONOMY. JGB 10-YEAR YIELD RISES TO 2%, HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE THE DOT-COM BUBBLE IN 1999. BEARISH NEWS FOR GLOBAL MARKETS. - X user OxNobler Morgan Stanley declares the end of the US recession and eyes early-cycle gains in 2026 - The Edge Singapore China now has a record 3.75 terawatts of power generation capacity. That capacity has dou
News and my thoughts (22Dec25) - real estate, electricity & shadow banking
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12-21 23:11

(Part 3 of 5) S&P500 outlook (22Dec25)

Market Outlook of S&P500 (22Dec25) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator Following the recent top crossover, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is now signalling a downtrend. Moving Averages The price action, as depicted by the candlesticks, is currently situated above both the 50-day and 200-day moving average (MA) lines. This positioning indicates a bullish trend in both the short-term and long-term outlooks. Furthermore, both the 50 MA and the 200 MA are trending upward, reinforcing the positive trend. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) The three Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines have recently converged and are showing a bullish outlook. This convergence and subsequent uptrend further support the case for continued bullish momentum in the market. C
(Part 3 of 5) S&P500 outlook (22Dec25)
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12-21 23:09

How to qualify a business for portfolio - using financials? (22Dec25)

Earnings Calendar (22Dec25) With Christmas approaching, there will be fewer earnings in the coming week. Without any personal earnings at stake, I will share how I quantify business. How to conduct fundamental analysis To qualify an investment business, I utilise a fundamental analysis approach that focuses on long-term performance and financial health. I typically review 10 years of data to evaluate how a company builds resilience and recovers during economic downturns. Here is the framework I use to group and analyse key metrics: 1. Income Statement & Growth I look for consistent upward trends in the following areas: Revenue & Net Profit: Steady growth in both. For startups, I look for a clear trend of reducing losses. Earnings Per Share (EPS): Evidence of gro
How to qualify a business for portfolio - using financials? (22Dec25)
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12-21 23:06

(Part 1 of 5) Economic Calendar - PCE, CB, GDP (22Dec25)

Economic Calendar: Key Market Movers (week of 22Dec25) In the coming week, several countries will be observing Christmas. In the United States, there will be an early market closure beginning on 24 December to mark the occasion. Christmas Day, 25 December, will be celebrated in America, Singapore, and Hong Kong, with all three regions observing the holiday. Additionally, Hong Kong will remain closed for an extra day on 26 December in recognition of the extended holiday period. On the other hand, China will not have any public holidays during this week and normal operations are expected to continue there. Federal Reserve’s Preferred Inflation Measure: PCE The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, which is the Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge of inflation, is scheduled for release
(Part 1 of 5) Economic Calendar - PCE, CB, GDP (22Dec25)
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12-21 23:00

(Full Article) - Preview of the week (22Dec25) - Blessed Christmas next to AI bubble

Economic Calendar: Key Market Movers (week of 22Dec25) In the coming week, several countries will be observing Christmas. In the United States, there will be an early market closure beginning on 24 December to mark the occasion. Christmas Day, 25 December, will be celebrated in America, Singapore, and Hong Kong, with all three regions observing the holiday. Additionally, Hong Kong will remain closed for an extra day on 26 December in recognition of the extended holiday period. On the other hand, China will not have any public holidays during this week and normal operations are expected to continue there. Federal Reserve’s Preferred Inflation Measure: PCE The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, which is the Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge of inflation, is scheduled for release
(Full Article) - Preview of the week (22Dec25) - Blessed Christmas next to AI bubble
avatarKYHBKO
12-19
There is an empire hiding within $Amazon.com(AMZN)$   Not investing advice. Please do due diligence. 
avatarKYHBKO
12-19

BOJ is expected to announce interest rate hike - more uncertainty?

We may be seeing market volatility. Nikkei Asia is expecting a 75bps interest rate hike from Bank of Japan that is expected to rattle the market. From X user Wimar.X: BITCOIN DUMPS 20%+ EVERY TIME JAPAN HIKES RATES Image THIS FRIDAY, BOJ WILL HIKE RATES TO 75 BPS. FIRST TIME IN 17 YEARS. BUT HOW DOES IT WORK? JAPAN IS THE CHEAP MONEY HUB. INSTITUTIONS BORROW JPY AND PUMP IT IN RISK ASSETS LIKE $BTC. → RATE HIKES → YEN UP → CARRY TRADES UNWIND → LIQUIDITY DRAINS → BTC GETS SOLD $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$ $Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust(BTC)$ @TigerStars
BOJ is expected to announce interest rate hike - more uncertainty?
avatarKYHBKO
12-19

the greater concerns from a falling inflation (CPI)

CONSUMER PRICE INDEX - NOVEMBER 2025 The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.2 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis over the 2 months from September 2025 to November 2025, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 2.7 percent before seasonal adjustment. BLS did not collect survey data for October 2025 due to a lapse in appropriations. - BLS From BLS - CPI (official) CPI is based on a basket of goods. With most items missing from this data, 2.7% should be worrying as the other items are yet to be accounted. What is concerning is not the incomplete data? What is concerning is the willingness to publish this and claim that inflation has gone down. This is a part of transparency, accountability and
the greater concerns from a falling inflation (CPI)
avatarKYHBKO
12-16
These are some of the top companies in the world by market cap. Have you considered any for your portfolio? Source: CompaniesMarketCap.com/USD $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$
avatarKYHBKO
12-16
Microsoft is reportedly cutting AI sales targets for Copilot after weak adoption $Microsoft(MSFT)$
avatarKYHBKO
12-16
Some of us are not waiting for the AI bubble to burst. The AI revolution is here to stay. It is the returns and expected returns that we have concerns with. There is more hope than value and investments; thus, it is concerning. If we cannot reduce infrastructural and energy costs, it does not seem sustainable in America. $Oracle(ORCL)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$
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12-16

Oracle pays the price for its OpenAI bet

The Yahoo Finance article (13Dec2025) discusses the market's fluctuating reaction to Oracle's massive commitment to supporting OpenAI's infrastructure, suggesting the initial excitement is now tempered by significant investor concerns. Here is a summary of the article's main points: The Bet: Oracle announced a landmark deal with OpenAI, reported to be a commitment of approximately $300 billion for cloud computing services (specifically for the "Stargate" AI data center project) over a period of about five years. This deal accounts for a massive portion of Oracle's "remaining performance obligations" (RPO), or future contracted revenue. The Initial Reward: The announcement of the deal in late 2025 initially sent Oracle's stock soaring, with shares rising dramatically and briefly making co-f
Oracle pays the price for its OpenAI bet
avatarKYHBKO
12-15
These are some of the most valuable brands in the world. How many of them are in our portfolio? Source: V Graph. $Apple(AAPL)$ $LVMH-Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton(LVMHF)$ $Coca-Cola(KO)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$
avatarKYHBKO
12-14

(Part 5 of 5) My investing muse (15Dec25) - layoffs, debts & deficits

My Investing Muse (15Dec25) Layoffs, Bankruptcy & Closure news The number of company insolvencies in Germany are set to reach 23,900 in 2025, the most in 11 YEARS, according to credit agency Creditreform. This would mark the 5th consecutive annual increase. German economy is struggling. - X user Global Markets Investor Wells Fargo LAYOFFS! They finally said AI isn’t ‘efficiency’... it’s headcount reduction. A pattern is forming you guys!!!! “We’re going to have lower headcount in the future.” CEO, Charlie Scharf. This is after shrinking from 275,000 down to 210,000 employees since 2019… and now they’re warning the next round is coming this quarter. - X user Amanda Goodall We’ve now knocked 9,500 truck drivers out of service for failing to speak our national language — ENGLISH! - Secret
(Part 5 of 5) My investing muse (15Dec25) - layoffs, debts & deficits
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12-14

(Part 4 of 5) - Market news and my thoughts (15Dec25)

News and my thoughts from the past week (15Dec25) McDonald’s removed its AI-generated Christmas commercial after it went viral for being terrible. - X user HedgieMarket. Not every AI product is good and tasteful. I think it’s part of what I call the AI Dunning-Kruger effect. The people excited to use AI aren’t equipped to judge its outputs. Those who are equipped tend not to use it. - X user David V Stewart. EVERY TIME JAPAN HIKES RATES, BITCOIN DUMPS 20–25%. NEXT WEEK, THEY WILL HIKE RATES TO 75 BPS AGAIN. IF THE PATTERN HOLDS, $BTC WILL DUMP BELOW $70,000 ON DECEMBER 19. POSITION ACCORDINGLY. - X user OxNobler. Crypto whale ‘James Wynn’ says a major crash is coming and longs will be “annihilated.” - X user Bitcoin Junkies We have been informed about earthquakes, famines,
(Part 4 of 5) - Market news and my thoughts (15Dec25)
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12-14

(Part 3 of 5) - S&P500 outlook (15Dec25)> will we hit an all time high?

Market Outlook of S&P500 (15Dec25) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator Following the recent bottom crossover, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is now signalling an uptrend. A top crossover is expected soon, suggesting a potential reversal of the current trend. Moving Averages The price action, as depicted by the candlesticks, is currently situated above both the 50-day and 200-day moving average (MA) lines. This positioning indicates a bullish trend in both the short-term and long-term outlooks. Furthermore, both the 50 MA and the 200 MA are trending upward, reinforcing the positive trend. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) The three Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines have recently converged and are now showing an upward trajectory. This convergenc
(Part 3 of 5) - S&P500 outlook (15Dec25)> will we hit an all time high?
avatarKYHBKO
12-14

(Part 2 of 5) Earnings Calendar (15Dec25) - What does FedEx say about the outlook?

Earnings Calendar (15Dec25) I’m interested in the coming earnings of Jabil, Micron, Accenture, FactSet, Nike, FedEx, Blackberry and Carnival. Let us look into FedEx. FedEx Overview Stock Performance and Analyst Ratings The stock price for FedEx has experienced a modest increase of 2.2% compared to the same period last year. Technical analysis currently indicates a “Strong Buy” recommendation, reflecting positive momentum in the stock’s performance. Furthermore, analyst sentiment supports a “Buy” rating, suggesting continued confidence in the company’s outlook. Despite this optimism, the consensus target price is set at $282.54, which implies a potential downside of approximately 0.63% from the current trading level. Revenue Growth FedEx has demonstrated significant revenue growth over
(Part 2 of 5) Earnings Calendar (15Dec25) - What does FedEx say about the outlook?
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12-14

(Part 1 of 5) - Economic Calendar (15Dec25) - PCE, CPI, Global PMI hits the news

Economic Calendar: Key Market Movers (week of 15Dec25) Labour Market and Federal Reserve Indicators These reports are critical inputs for the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions. The highly anticipated Non-Farm Payroll figures for November will be released. The previous reading was 119,000 jobs added. The Unemployment Rate for November is also due, with the previous forecast standing at 4.4%. Average Hourly Earnings for November will be published, which serves as a key indicator of wage inflation. The previous month-over-month increase was 0.2%. The latest Initial Jobless Claims data will be reported; the previous level was 236,000. Inflation Measures Inflation data is the most closely watched category, as unexpected increases ca
(Part 1 of 5) - Economic Calendar (15Dec25) - PCE, CPI, Global PMI hits the news
avatarKYHBKO
12-14

(Full Article) Preview of the week (15Dec25) - What will FedEx say about the market?

Economic Calendar: Key Market Movers (week of 15Dec25) Labour Market and Federal Reserve Indicators These reports are critical inputs for the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions. The highly anticipated Non-Farm Payroll figures for November will be released. The previous reading was 119,000 jobs added. The Unemployment Rate for November is also due, with the previous forecast standing at 4.4%. Average Hourly Earnings for November will be published, which serves as a key indicator of wage inflation. The previous month-over-month increase was 0.2%. The latest Initial Jobless Claims data will be reported; the previous level was 236,000. Inflation Measures Inflation data is the most closely watched category, as unexpected increases can cause significant market volatility and disrupt the F
(Full Article) Preview of the week (15Dec25) - What will FedEx say about the market?

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