Michael Esther
Michael Esther
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avatarMichael Esther
10-07 18:24

$AMD $MU $NVDA $AVGO The Earnings Growth Behind My Long-Term Positions

$99,171 on the day. $2.8M in open profit. The biggest change in my trading wasn’t a new indicator or a better entry. It was learning to think in quarters instead of watching every candle. I still day trade. But I also build positions that give strong companies time to grow. πŸ“ˆ Start With Earnings Growth I go on Nasdaq and look for companies with strong EPS growth. What are they earning? How fast are those earnings growing? And is that growth continuing into the next quarter? I want a reason to own the company that goes beyond a chart looking good. Strong earnings growth gets my attention. Then price and risk determine whether I take the trade. That’s why I’m long: $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $Micron Technology(
$AMD $MU $NVDA $AVGO The Earnings Growth Behind My Long-Term Positions
avatarMichael Esther
10-07 18:21

$ARM +680% and the $SPCX Long-Term Playbook

My long-term $ARM Holdings(ARM)$ calls are up 680%+ in this screenshot. And I’m approaching $SpaceX(SPCX)$ with a similar playbook. I waited for the pullback after the IPO, started buying around $110, and kept adding. My $SPCX shares now average around $115, up roughly 50%, while my December 2028 calls are up nearly 68%. Here’s what gave me the conviction to keep holding. πŸ‘‡πŸ» πŸ›°οΈ Long-Term Demand In May, SpaceX won a $4.16B Space Force agreement to develop satellites capable of tracking airborne threats globally. That came on top of a national security launch contract with an anticipated value of nearly $6B. These aren’t one-quarter catalysts. They represent years of potential work ahead. SpaceX still has to
$ARM +680% and the $SPCX Long-Term Playbook
avatarMichael Esther
10-06 19:41

$AMZN Above $253 Could Trigger a Bigger Breakout

A close above $253 would be ultra-bullish for $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ . The breakout targets I’m watching: 🎯 $270+ first 🎯 $300 by Q1 2027 Similar breakout setups have already played out in $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Micron Technology(MU)$ $AMZN reclaiming key levels would put the stock back on traders’ radar, with the chart now showing a potential trendline break attempt. The next step is simple: Can buyers sustain momentum and push through overhead resistance? We’ve been
$AMZN Above $253 Could Trigger a Bigger Breakout
avatarMichael Esther
10-06 19:38

$AAPL +556% 🍎 Stay Invested, Don’t Chase Every Move

You don’t have to catch every daily move to catch a big winner. πŸ‘€ My $Apple(AAPL)$ positions: 🍎 Shares β€” DCA every month 🍎 Long-term calls β€” +556% This is why shares + long-term LEAPS remains one of my favorite strategies. Build ownership in companies you believe in. Add measured options exposure for upside. Give your thesis time to play out. You don’t need to catch every move. You need to stay positioned for the big one. 🍎 Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move is knowing what works for you. With Treasury yields, oil prices and rate expectations keeping markets on edge this week, investors are once again thinking carefully about where to position next. There’s no one-size-fits-all choice in investing β€” and the same goes for Tige
$AAPL +556% 🍎 Stay Invested, Don’t Chase Every Move

3 Big Watches: $AMD, $AAPL, $NVDA

πŸ”₯ 3 BIG WATCHES FOR THE NEXT MOVE I’m watching three very different setups: 1️⃣ $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ β€” Continuation Setup Double hammer candles on the daily chart. πŸ”¨πŸ”¨ If the continuation confirms, I’m watching: 🎯 $635 β†’ $640 Calls are the trade I’m watching here. $AMD closed at $633.91 on Oct. 2, putting those levels directly in focus. 2️⃣ $Apple(AAPL)$ β€” Bottom Confirmation $AAPL had a big reversal yesterday. Now I’m watching for confirmation that the bottom is in. πŸ”‘ $325 is the level. If price can hold/reclaim that area, I’m watching for the upside move. πŸ“ˆ Calls are on my radar. $AAPL closed at $333.69 on Oct. 2, above that $325 level. 3️⃣ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$
3 Big Watches: $AMD, $AAPL, $NVDA

$MU Could Add $1,000 to Reach the $2,200 Street-High Target

🚨 $Micron Technology(MU)$ IS GETTING SOME SERIOUS WALL STREET TARGETS After earnings, analysts continued raising their expectations for Micron. The highest target is now $2,200 from Melius Research. D.A. Davidson is at $2,100, while Cantor Fitzgerald sits at $2,000. Current analyst data also shows a low target of $1,200. That $2,200 target would mean roughly another $1,000/share from the recent ~$1,200 level. πŸ“Š The targets πŸ”₯ $2,200 β€” Melius πŸ”₯ $2,100 β€” D.A. Davidson πŸ”₯ $2,000 β€” Cantor Fitzgerald πŸ”₯ $1,900 β€” Rosenblatt πŸ”₯ $1,750 β€” KeyBanc πŸ”₯ $1,650 β€” Needham πŸ”₯ $1,625 β€” UBS πŸ”₯ $1,600 β€” TD Cowen πŸ”₯ $1,550 β€” BofA πŸ”₯ $1,540 β€” J.P. Morgan πŸ”₯ $1,520 β€” Baird πŸ”₯ $1,500 β€” Stifel πŸ”₯ $1,400 β€” Wedbush πŸ”₯ $1,400 β€” Mizuho πŸ”₯ $1,300 β€” Bernstein πŸ”₯ $1,300 β€” Citi 🟑 $1,250 β€” Goldm
$MU Could Add $1,000 to Reach the $2,200 Street-High Target

$AMD Hammer Candle Before the Reversal

πŸ”¨ FIND THIS $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ HAMMER CANDLE ON THE DAILY CHART. This is what $AMD looked like before the reversal. Scary, right? πŸ‘€ But here’s the key: The hammer itself isn’t the buy signal. The confirmation is. 🎯 The setup 1️⃣ Wait for confirmation The next day, let price break above the hammer’s high. 2️⃣ Enter on strength Don’t anticipate the reversal.Let buyers prove they’re taking control. 3️⃣ Define the risk Place your stop below the hammer’s low. If that level breaks, the setup failed. 4️⃣ Target the bounce Look for the next major resistance level or roughly 2–3R. 5️⃣ Follow the plan ❌ Don’t chase ❌ Don’t average down ❌ Don’t turn a reversal trade into a long-term hold πŸ’‘ The $AMD hammer tells you where buyers showed up. The con
$AMD Hammer Candle Before the Reversal

$TSLA Deliveries Beat. Here’s the Gamma Squeeze Setup

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Q3 DELIVERIES BEAT EXPECTATIONS Tesla delivered 486,532 vehicles in Q3, well above estimates around 463K–464K. Production came in at 464,391. That delivery beat is already getting attention, with $TSLA shares jumping roughly 5% after the report. πŸ“Š The key numbers πŸš— Q3 deliveries: 486,532 🏭 Q3 production: 464,391 πŸ“ˆ Est. deliveries: ~463,761 πŸ”‹ Energy storage deployments: 13.7 GWh Deliveries were down roughly 2% YoY from 497,099, but improved from 480,126 in Q2. Model 3 and Model Y accounted for 98% of deliveries. 🎯 Here’s my gamma squeeze setup The level I’m watching is: $359.79 β€” previous day high If $TSLA can hold above $359.79 or reclaim it, I’ll be watching: πŸ”₯ Oct. 2 $360–$365 calls for a potential move toward $365+. No chas
$TSLA Deliveries Beat. Here’s the Gamma Squeeze Setup

$AVGO Is Nearly 30% Below Its High. I’m Watching This Setup

🚨 $Broadcom(AVGO)$ IS NEARLY 30% BELOW ITS $495 HIGH. Meanwhile, Broadcom just delivered: πŸ“ˆ Revenue growth: +86% YoY πŸ“ˆ Adjusted EPS growth: +96% YoY πŸ”₯ AI semiconductor revenue: +221% YoY And management expects AI revenue growth of 236% next quarter. That’s why this pullback has my attention. πŸ‘€ 🎯 The setup I’m watching $AVGO is around $347 on this chart. A move back to the previous $495 high would represent roughly 43% upside from here. Key levels: 🟒 $330–345 β†’ Buyers need to defend πŸ”‘ $360–365 β†’ Reclaim would strengthen the setup πŸš€ $400 β†’ First upside level πŸš€ $430 β†’ Next target 🎯 $495 β†’ Previous high ⚠️ I don’t want to chase the first bounce. I want to see price confirm the reversal before taking the swing. If $330–345 fails, the setup weakens. St
$AVGO Is Nearly 30% Below Its High. I’m Watching This Setup

$SPY Could Be in Trouble If Yields Keep Climbing

⚠️ The bond market is flashing a warning that stocks can’t ignore. The 10Y and 30Y Treasury yields just hit their highest levels since 2002: πŸ“ˆ 10Y: ~5.33% πŸ“ˆ 30Y: ~5.67% And here’s the part that gets my attention: The last time yields were around these levels, $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ was in the middle of a 49% crash. πŸ“‰ Why are yields rising? This time, the pressure is coming from several directions: πŸ”₯ Sticky energy-driven inflation 🏦 A Fed that just hiked for the first time in 3 years πŸ’° Fiscal concerns pushing investors to demand more compensation for holding US debt Higher long-term yields mean higher discount rates. And that creates the most pressure on long-duration growth stocks β€” exactly the AI and tech names carrying the index. 🚨 T
$SPY Could Be in Trouble If Yields Keep Climbing

$MU Hit $1,100, I’m Still Bullish Toward $1,250

I said to buy $Micron Technology(MU)$ at $80. Now it’s trading above $1,000 β€” and the crazy part? $MU is cheaper right now. πŸ‘€ 🎯 I didn’t just call $MU to $1,100. I called $1,100 as the earnings target for this quarter. Then $MU hit it. At that point, I said the earnings move was already priced in and told members to consider a $1,000 / $1,100 / $1,200 butterfly instead of chasing calls. Now earnings are out, and the $1,100 target was right on the money. πŸ”₯ But I’m not done with the thesis. I’m still bullish on $MU into Q4, with $1,250 as my next target. $80 β†’ $1,100 was the first leg. Now I’m watching what comes next. πŸ“ˆ Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move is knowing what works for you. With Treasury yields, oil prices and rate ex
$MU Hit $1,100, I’m Still Bullish Toward $1,250

3 Stocks That Could Follow the $INTC Playbook

$Intel(INTC)$ went from $20 to $140 in one year. That’s roughly a 7x move. Now the market is starting to look for the next companies with a similar strategic setup β€” small enough to rerate dramatically, but tied to sectors Washington considers strategically important. Here are 3 names on my radar πŸ‘‡ 1️⃣ $Aeluma, Inc.(ALMU)$ πŸ”¬ Small-cap semiconductor + photonics play. Aeluma has signed a letter of intent involving CHIPS Act funding in exchange for a government equity stake. The company is tiny relative to the other names here, which means the upside could be substantial if the deal closes and execution follows. 2️⃣ $USA Rare Earth Inc.(USAR)$ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Washington is back
3 Stocks That Could Follow the $INTC Playbook

$DKNG Could Be the 52-Week Low Ready to Reverse

πŸ“‰ Stocks sitting at 52-week lows $Trade Desk Inc.(TTD)$ $12.60$DraftKings Inc.(DKNG)$ $22.02$Papa John's(PZZA)$ $19.55$Campbell Soup(CPB)$ $19.37$Li Auto(LI)$ $11.50$Simply Good Foods Company(SMPL)$ $9.60$Beyond Meat, Inc.(BYND)$ $8.35$Sunrun(RUN)$ $8.11$Weibo(WB)$ $6.49$Fermi Inc.(FRMI)$ $4.52 Out of this list, $DKNG is the one I’m watching for a potential reversal. Here’s
$DKNG Could Be the 52-Week Low Ready to Reverse

$MU HIT MY $1,100 TARGET

I called $Micron Technology(MU)$ to $1,100 when it was still trading in the $900s. I first posted the target on Sep 3 ahead of earnings, then repeated it on Sep 4, Sep 9, Sep 15 and Sep 17. On Sep 25, MU printed $1,108.72 β€” five days before earnings. πŸ”₯ +$159.28 per share πŸ”₯ +16.8% from my original call 🎯 $1,100 TARGET: NAILED Now the options tape is pointing to the next levels: β€’ 200 Oct 2 $1,100 calls β†’ $510K premium β€’ 9,048 OI at the $1,100 strike β€’ ~$2.93M across long-dated $1,200 calls β€’ ~$6.18M in visible opening $1,000-call activity across Oct/Nov The $1,100 target is done. Now the question is how far the positioning can push the next leg. πŸ‘€ Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move is knowing what works for you. With Treasury y
$MU HIT MY $1,100 TARGET

10Y Hits 5.23%. Does That Mean $SPY Is About to Crash?

The 10Y just hit 5.23%, its highest level since June 2007. The immediate reaction is obvious: πŸ“‰ Higher yields πŸ“‰ Higher discount rates πŸ“‰ β€œ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ crash incoming” But history tells a more nuanced story. Since 1953, the 10Y has broken above 5% nine times. Over the following 12 months: πŸ“Š Average $SPY return: +2% πŸ“Š Normal 12-month return: +9% πŸ”» 4 of 9 periods were negative πŸ“‰ Average worst drawdown: -10% That's not a comfortable setup. But it also doesn't automatically equal a crash. The bigger question is why yields are rising. πŸ”₯ 1️⃣ AI earnings boom Hyperscalers are spending hundreds of billions on AI infrastructure. If that spending continues translating into real earnings growth, stocks don't need multiple expansion alone t
10Y Hits 5.23%. Does That Mean $SPY Is About to Crash?

πŸ”₯ 1 Trade Is All You Need

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ went from $2 β†’ $18 on this trade. Here’s the setup I was watching πŸ‘‡ Last night, $MSFT dropped to around $490, right into a major support level. Then came the first clue: πŸ“ˆ Price bounced straight back toward $500. But the real signal came in the premarket. Instead of breaking below $490, $MSFT held the level. That tells you buyers were still defending the downside β€” and potentially positioning for a move higher at the open. 🎯 The setup: Major support β†’ sharp bounce β†’ premarket holds β†’ buyers confirm β†’ opening breakout This is the kind of structure that can precede a big green candle when the market opens. Don't chase the candle. Watch the level first. If support holds and premarket refuses to break down, the risk/reward can change
πŸ”₯ 1 Trade Is All You Need

TSMC Just Raised AI Spending. These 6 Stocks Target the Bottlenecks Beyond Chips

🚨 AI’s Next Bottleneck Is Bigger Than Chips $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ just delivered record Q2 profit, raised 2026 capex to $60–$64B, and committed another $100B to U.S. chip production. CEO C.C. Wei says conviction in the multi-year AI megatrend remains very high. But here’s the bigger picture: 🧠 AI infrastructure is becoming a full-stack buildout. The bottleneck is no longer just silicon. πŸ”Ή $Broadcom(AVGO)$ β€” Custom Silicon Hyperscalers are building chips optimized for their own workloads. Broadcom sits at the intersection of custom accelerators and the networking that connects them. πŸ”Ή $Arista Networks(ANET)$ β€” Networking Thousands of processor
TSMC Just Raised AI Spending. These 6 Stocks Target the Bottlenecks Beyond Chips

$NKE Is Down 80%, but Earnings Expectations Are Starting to Turn

🚨 $Nike(NKE)$ Is Down 80% From Its All-Time High. The Setup Is Getting Interesting. $179.10 β†’ $35.75 That’s an 80% drawdown β€” and a return to the former high would represent roughly +401% from current levels. But the bigger story is what could change the setup from here. πŸ“… Oct. 1 | Earnings after the close πŸ’° EPS estimate: $0.44 vs. $0.20 last quarter β†’ +120% sequentially πŸ“ˆ Nike has also delivered 4 consecutive EPS beats, with surprises of: +81.8% +20.7% +43.2% +81.5% πŸ“‰ Meanwhile, monthly RSI is sitting near 27, pointing to deeply oversold conditions. That creates an interesting combination: Low expectations + improving EPS momentum + deeply oversold price + a near-term catalyst. The key question now is whether earnings can finally give $NKE the fun
$NKE Is Down 80%, but Earnings Expectations Are Starting to Turn

$SPY Closed Almost Exactly Where the Gamma Map Said It Could

This is why I pay attention to levels before the close, not after it. Earlier, with $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ at $767.39, the gamma map had three levels on watch: $769 β†’ Call Wall$766 β†’ Put Wall$765 β†’ Pin Magnet The setup was pretty straightforward: Above $766 β†’ expect price to stay relatively contained and chop into the close. Lose $766 β†’ $765 becomes the next level to watch. No need to predict every candle. Just know where the structure changes. And then $SPY closed at: $767.18 🎯 Almost exactly inside the range the gamma structure had suggested could contain price. That’s the part I find useful about @GEXEdgeIO. It isn't about predicting the next candle. It's about having the important levels before price gets there. You can then use tho
$SPY Closed Almost Exactly Where the Gamma Map Said It Could

πŸ”₯ PUTS AT THE OPEN. CALLS AT THE BOTTOM.

We caught both sides of the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ move today. πŸ“‰ At the open: We took the 771 puts and captured 400%+ as the market moved lower. πŸ“ˆ At the bottom: Instead of staying stubbornly bearish, we flipped bullish with bull puts and calls as the levels shifted. βœ… 400%+ on the puts βœ… Caught the reversal βœ… $18,150 realized on $SPX 🎯 No stubborn bias. We followed the levels, adjusted when the setup changed, and traded both sides of the move. The market doesn’t care about your bias. Price action does. Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move is knowing what works for you. With Treasury yields, oil prices and rate expectations keeping markets on edge this week, investors are once again thinking carefully about where to position next.
πŸ”₯ PUTS AT THE OPEN. CALLS AT THE BOTTOM.

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