π¨ $Nike(NKE)$ Is Down 80% From Its All-Time High. The Setup Is Getting Interesting.
$179.10 β $35.75
Thatβs an 80% drawdown β and a return to the former high would represent roughly +401% from current levels.
But the bigger story is what could change the setup from here.
π Oct. 1 | Earnings after the close
π° EPS estimate: $0.44
vs. $0.20 last quarter
β +120% sequentially
π Nike has also delivered 4 consecutive EPS beats, with surprises of:
+81.8%
+20.7%
+43.2%
+81.5%
π Meanwhile, monthly RSI is sitting near 27, pointing to deeply oversold conditions.
That creates an interesting combination:
Low expectations + improving EPS momentum + deeply oversold price + a near-term catalyst.
The key question now is whether earnings can finally give $NKE the fundamental catalyst needed to break out of its long-term downtrend.
π $NKE is firmly on my long watch heading into earnings.
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