Market Turnaround! Is the Crisis Over?

After another black monday overnight trading, us stocks closed up as trump taco. Is the crisis over? Have you bought the dip?

avatarKYHBKO
06-07 23:09

Part 1 of 5: Economic Calendar review (08Jun2026)

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 08Jun2026) Housing Market Existing home sales data for May will be released, with forecasts pointing to an annualized rate of 4.08 million units. This will be an important indicator for the direction of the U.S. housing market. Inflation Indicators The main focus in the coming week will be the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May. Headline CPI is expected to rise 4.2% year over year, up from 3.8% in the previous month. Core CPI is also projected to increase, with a monthly gain of 0.5%, compared with 0.4% previously. Another key release will be the Producer Price Index (PPI) for May. PPI measures inflation at the producer level and often provides an early signal of price pressures that may later be passed on to consumers. The forecast stands at 0.
Part 1 of 5: Economic Calendar review (08Jun2026)
avatarKYHBKO
06-07 21:54

Full article - Preview of the week (08Jun2026) - Oracle has risen 24%

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 08Jun2026) Housing Market Existing home sales data for May will be released, with forecasts pointing to an annualized rate of 4.08 million units. This will be an important indicator for the direction of the U.S. housing market. Inflation Indicators The main focus in the coming week will be the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May. Headline CPI is expected to rise 4.2% year over year, up from 3.8% in the previous month. Core CPI is also projected to increase, with a monthly gain of 0.5%, compared with 0.4% previously. Another key release will be the Producer Price Index (PPI) for May. PPI measures inflation at the producer level and often provides an early signal of price pressures that may later be passed on to consumers. The forecast stands at 0.
Full article - Preview of the week (08Jun2026) - Oracle has risen 24%
avatarKYHBKO
06-01

Part 5 of 5 - my investing muse (01Jun2026)

My Investing Muse (01Jun2026) Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies More than 20 trucking-related companies filed either Chapter 7 liquidation or Chapter 11 restructuring cases during the past 30 days, according to bankruptcy filings compiled by FreightWaves. Low-cost holiday carrier Magnicharters filed for bankruptcy protection in Mexico City approximately a month after suspending all flights for what it initially hoped would be a period of two weeks. In China, northwestern regional carrier Joy Air filed for bankruptcy protection and entered the early stage of the restructuring process at the start of the week after canceling all flights back in April. Zenith Aviation in administration over “cashflow issues, unpaid debtors” - The Street My thoughts 1. The Realities of AI Implementation: Gov
Part 5 of 5 - my investing muse (01Jun2026)
avatarKYHBKO
06-01

Part 4 of 5 - News from last week (01Jun2026)

News and my thoughts from the past week (01Jun2026) @TigerStars $UVXY 20270115 55.0 CALL$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$
Part 4 of 5 - News from last week (01Jun2026)
avatarKYHBKO
06-01

Part 3 of 5 - S&P500 outlook (01Jun2026)

Market Outlook of S&P500 (01Jun2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 has started a downtrend but a reversal could be in the cards. Chaikin Money Flow The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at 0.19, indicating there is more buying momentum than selling pressure in the market. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows the last candlestick has been above the 50-day moving average (MA50) and the 200-day moving average (MA200). This pattern indicates a bullish shift in both the short and long term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have begun to trend upwards, which indicates a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. Exponential Moving Averages Th
Part 3 of 5 - S&P500 outlook (01Jun2026)
avatarKYHBKO
06-01

Part 1 of 5 - Economic Calendar (01Jun2026)

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 01Jun2026) The following sections outline key macroeconomic forecasts and indicators spanning manufacturing, services, labor markets, and energy sectors, with particular emphasis on metrics influencing upcoming Federal Reserve monetary policy decisions. 1. Manufacturing Sector Indicators S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May): The forecast is projected at 55.3, indicating continued expansion and growth within global manufacturing. ISM Manufacturing PMI (May): The index is forecasted at 53.3, signalling anticipated growth within the domestic American manufacturing sector. ISM Manufacturing Prices (May): A significant point of concern is the high forecast of 85.3. This elevated metric indicates rising producer costs, which are highl
Part 1 of 5 - Economic Calendar (01Jun2026)
avatarKYHBKO
05-31

(Full Article) Preview of the week - 01Jun2026

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 01Jun2026) The following sections outline key macroeconomic forecasts and indicators spanning manufacturing, services, labor markets, and energy sectors, with particular emphasis on metrics influencing upcoming Federal Reserve monetary policy decisions. 1. Manufacturing Sector Indicators S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May): The forecast is projected at 55.3, indicating continued expansion and growth within global manufacturing. ISM Manufacturing PMI (May): The index is forecasted at 53.3, signalling anticipated growth within the domestic American manufacturing sector. ISM Manufacturing Prices (May): A significant point of concern is the high forecast of 85.3. This elevated metric indicates rising producer costs, which are highly likely to be
(Full Article) Preview of the week - 01Jun2026
avatarTBI
05-27

[49] COP, DHI, RTX

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit
[49] COP, DHI, RTX
avatarJC888
05-26

US Market soars on last week of May 2026 ?

For the whole of last week, there were a handful of US economic reports out. I half suspect that they did not make any meaningful impact on the US market. This is because, even the increasing negative CPI inflation report, hardly dented the US market, the week before when it was released. Click here ! for more details, give a “Like” or “Repost” ok. Thanks. Reports out last week’s include: 19 May 2026 - Pending Home Sales. 20 May 2025 - Minutes of Fed’s FOMC  21 May 2026 - US jobless claims. 21 May 2026 - S&P Flash US services PMI. 21 May 2026 - S&P Flash US manufacturing PMI 22 May 2026 - US Leading Economic Indicators (LEI). 22 May 2026 - US Consumer Sentiments (Final) for May 2026 Pending Home Sales. Ac
US Market soars on last week of May 2026 ?
avatarKYHBKO
05-26

(part 5 of 5) - my investing muse (25May2026)

My Investing Muse (25May2026) Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies Bosch is slashing 22,000 jobs in Germany and slowly abandoning its own homeland just to survive. Germany lost 486,000 jobs in just 3 months, mostly in industry. The “economic miracle” is dying in real time. - X user Global Dissident Goldman Sachs warned that AI could impact 300 million jobs globally. Many laughed it off. Now, companies are cutting thousands of roles while openly blaming AI, even as they post record profits. Meta just laid off 8,000 people while pouring over $100B into AI this year alone. And we’re still in the 1st inning. - Source: Goldman Sachs Meta cut 8,000 people today. A survivor wrote about a teammate who slept 4 hours a night for months. Commits at 3am. Commits at 6am. IC4. Strong reviews. No PIP. Cut
(part 5 of 5) - my investing muse (25May2026)
avatarKYHBKO
05-26

(part 4 of 5) news and my thoughts (25May2026)

News and my thoughts from the past week (25May2026) Starbucks is retiring its AI inventory system across North America after the tool reportedly miscounted and mislabeled store inventory. - X user Unusual Whales @TigerStars $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$ $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$
(part 4 of 5) news and my thoughts (25May2026)
avatarKYHBKO
05-26

(Part 3 of 5) S&P500 weekly outlook (25May2026)

Market Outlook of S&P500 (25May2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 has completed a top crossover and has started a downtrend. Chaikin Money Flow The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at 0.25, indicating there is more buying momentum than selling pressure in the market. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows the last candlestick has been above the 50-day moving average (MA50) and the 200-day moving average (MA200). This pattern indicates a bullish shift in both the short and long term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have begun to trend upwards, which indicates a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. Exponential Moving Averages The e
(Part 3 of 5) S&P500 weekly outlook (25May2026)
avatarKYHBKO
05-26

(Part 1 of 5) - Economic Calendar (25May20026)

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 25May2026) Market Holidays Hong Kong will be closed on 25 May in observance of Buddha’s Birthday. The United States will also be closed on Monday for Memorial Day. In addition, Singapore will be closed on 27 May for Hari Raya Haji. Inflation and Consumer Sentiment The Conference Board’s consumer confidence reading for May is due, with consensus expectations at 91.9. This would represent a decline from the previous reading and may point to softer consumer sentiment. Markets will be watching the Core PCE Index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measurement of inflation. As a key input into interest-rate expectations, this release could have a meaningful impact on market direction and volatility. Growth and Business Activity US first-q
(Part 1 of 5) - Economic Calendar (25May20026)
avatarJC888
04-27

US Market ruled by Earnings not Reports.

Last week (week ending 24 Apr 2026), there weren’t significant US economic reports to leave a mark on the US market. As a result, US listed companies quarterly earnings hogged the limelight, notably $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ and $Intel(INTC)$. Still, the reports out last week included: Tue, 21 Apr 2026 - US retail sales for March 2026. Thu, 23 Apr 2026 - US jobless claims - weekly and continuing. Thu, 23 Apr 2026 - S&P Flash US services & manufacturing PMI for April 2026 (preliminary). Fri, 24 Apr 2026 - Consumer sentiments (final) for April 2026. US Retail sales. US Census Bureau’s Retail sales report for March 2026, released on 21 Apr 2026, provides a complex snapshot of a consumer base that is resil
US Market ruled by Earnings not Reports.
The Market is Bleeding. Premiums Are Not. Let me share what I've been doing this week. SPY down almost 10% from ATH. VIX spiked past 30. Iran war headlines dropping every day, oil at $107, and the fear is real — I get it, it's been a rough few weeks for a lot of people. But here's the thing. If you've been running a wheel strategy through all this, the premium collection has been quietly doing its job in the background. Higher VIX means fatter premiums. More fear means more people paying up for protection. And all of that flows to the seller. The market is bleeding. The premiums are not. You don't need to call the direction perfectly. You just need a strategy that keeps paying you while you wait for the dust to settle. That's the whole idea behind the wheel — and this kind of environment i

Is the sharp drop in Japanese equities a buying opportunity?

On March 30, Japanese equities weakened significantly. The Nikkei 225 Index closed down 2.79%, with deeper losses seen intraday, while the Topix Index also declined by around 2.9%. The market structure was highly concentrated, with heavyweight technology stocks dragging down the index. Advantest fell 5.19%, SoftBank Group dropped 6.31%, TDK declined 4.42%, Fanuc fell 4.22%, and Tokyo Electron also moved lower. These companies are concentrated in semiconductor equipment, electronic components, and automation, forming the core growth segment of the Japanese market. Due to the high concentration of weights, technology stocks had an outsized impact on the index. Advantest accounts for more than 12%, SoftBank over 5%, while TDK and Fanuc both exceed 2%. When these stocks correct simultaneously,
Is the sharp drop in Japanese equities a buying opportunity?
avatarKYHBKO
03-19

The Private Credit Fallout (thanks to Grok)

Banks have ~$300B+ in loans to private credit funds (Moody's, mid-2025 data), with JPM marking some down amid software strains. Insurers average 35% US portfolio exposure for yields (IMF/Moody's). Interconnections raise contagion risk if defaults spike (UBS downside: 15% on AI/software hits), but it's not systemic meltdown—regulators watching, many exposures managed. Gulf SWFs hit first per that article; banks/insurers next in line but buffered. Known: US banks' loans to private credit funds hit ~$300B as of June 2025 (Moody's/Fed data), plus $285B to PE & $340B unused commitments—part of $1.2T+ to non-bank lenders. PC "lends back" via synthetic risk transfers, partnerships (e.g. Citi-Apollo), & buying bank debt/securitisations. Unknown: Granular counterparty details, off-balance-s
The Private Credit Fallout (thanks to Grok)