Iran-Israel Tensions: Will Oil Rebound or Hit New Low?

The sharp drop in oil prices has also led major Wall Street banks to lower their target prices. Goldman Sachs predicted an average oil price of $76 per barrel in 2025. The bank’s analysts noted that geopolitical risk premiums are limited, with no significant impact currently on Iran's supply facilities. Citigroup also adjusted its Brent crude oil price forecast for Q4, lowering it from the previous $74 per barrel to $70 per barrel. ----------------- Will oil hit new low? Or time to rebound?

avatarKYHBKO
03-19 23:33

From semiconductors to our food ... the impact of the war with Iran (19Mar2026)

Impacts of Oil, Helium & Fertiliser Shortages (March 2026) The Iran conflict, attacks on Qatar’s Ras Laffan hub, and Strait of Hormuz closure have triggered acute global shortages. The chokepoint normally handles ~20% of oil/gas flows and roughly one-third of helium and fertiliser trade. Oil: Pre-crisis oversupply forecasts have reversed sharply. Prices have spiked toward $100–150/bbl, raising fuel, transport, and household energy costs, feeding inflation and threatening economic slowdowns and global trade. Helium: Qatar (33% of global supply) halted exports, doubling prices. This disrupts semiconductors (chip cooling and AI production), healthcare (MRI magnets), rocketry, and research—risking tech supply-chain bottlenecks and higher medical costs. Fertilisers: Blocked Gulf exports (ne
From semiconductors to our food ... the impact of the war with Iran (19Mar2026)
avatarKYHBKO
03-17

MIDDLE EAST SUMMARY (10-17 Mar 2026)

MIDDLE EAST SUMMARY 10–17 March 2026 | Days 10–17 of Operation Epic Fury --- ⚔️ MILITARY — US/ISRAEL - Iran fired 2,410 missiles and 3,560 drones since Day 1 — but launch rates have collapsed 90%+ as US/Israeli strikes systematically destroy capability. [FDD's Long War Journal](https://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2026/03/israel-shifts-to-hyperlocal-targeting-in-iran-as-regime-military-power-degrades-march-11-13-updates.php) - ~6,000 targets struck in Iran; 90+ Iranian vessels destroyed; 4,000–5,000 IRGC/Basij personnel killed. [Al Jazeera](https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/12/iran-war-what-is-happening-on-day-13-of-us-israel-attacks) - US war cost: $11.3B in the first six days. ~200 troops wounded; 6 killed. [Al Jazeera](https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/12/iran-war-what-is-hap
MIDDLE EAST SUMMARY (10-17 Mar 2026)
avatarKYHBKO
03-16

(Part 3 of 5) S&P500 market outlook

Market Outlook of S&P500 (16Mar2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 is currently showing a downtrend. This momentum indicator, which tracks the relationship between two moving averages of a security’s price, signals that bearish sentiment is prevailing in the market for the time being. Chaikin Money Flow The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at 0.19, indicating there is more buying momentum than selling pressure in the market. A positive CMF value suggests accumulation, meaning investors are still showing interest in buying, which can sometimes act as a counterbalance to technical weakness in other indicators. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price actio
(Part 3 of 5) S&P500 market outlook
avatarKYHBKO
03-16

Preview of the week starting 16Mar2026 - FedEx's earnings

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 16Mar2026)Inflation InsightsOne key indicator for forecasting inflation trends is the Producer Price Index (PPI). For February, the PPI is expected to rise by 0.3%. This index is particularly valuable because increases in producer-level prices often translate into higher costs for consumers over time, helping us anticipate changes in consumer inflation.Crude Oil Inventory and ConsumptionCrude oil inventory serves as another important tool for predicting shifts in consumer behavior. Oil producers adjust their output based on anticipated demand, making inventory levels a useful gauge of overall economic consumption. Monitoring these figures can provide insights into the health of the broader economy.Upcoming Federal Reserve DecisionThe most closel
Preview of the week starting 16Mar2026 - FedEx's earnings
avatarKYHBKO
03-14
Middle East Updates (14Mar2026) Several Asian nations are hit hardest by the Hormuz disruptions & LNG/oil supply crunch: - Japan & South Korea: Major LNG importers for electricity; facing price spikes & potential shortages. - India & Pakistan: High Qatar reliance; risk of industrial rationing, reduced demand. - Europe: Italy & Belgium most exposed to Qatari LNG cuts. Global oil >$100/bbl ripples to all importers. Taiwan officials say short-term LNG secured (no 10-day crisis), but summer risks remain. This does spotlight supply chain fragility—redrawing trade ties (more US/Aus LNG, nuclear ramps, renewables) is underway, like musical chairs amid rerouting. The above is from Grok. The energy crisis is going to spread globally. This is something that most of us are not
avatarKYHBKO
03-09

Week 1 summary (Middle East war) - 09Mar2026

Summary of the US-Israel War with Iran (as of March 9, 2026, ~Day 10-11) Overview: Conflict began Feb 28, 2026, with US-Israel airstrikes killing Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and senior officials, targeting nuclear/missile sites and leadership. Iran retaliated with missiles/drones on Israel, US bases, and Gulf states. War remains active with no ceasefire; Iran named Mojtaba Khamenei (son) as the new supreme leader on March 8-9, defying US/Israel warnings. Current Status: US-Israel maintain air superiority, striking Iranian missile infrastructure, oil depots, Tehran targets, Beirut (Hezbollah), and other sites at a record pace. Iran launched multiple fresh missile/drone waves (including 5+ on March 9) targeting Israel (Tel Aviv, etc.) and Gulf states; Hezbollah is active in Lebanon
Week 1 summary (Middle East war) - 09Mar2026
avatarNAI500
03-04

Oil Prices Soar, Target Price Hiked—Is This Oil Giant’s Stock Poised for a Rally?

Oil prices are surging on Middle East tensions, and ExxonMobil (XOM) is in the spotlight with BofA hiking its target price to $151! 43 years of dividend growth + oil price upside—does this make XOM a buy? Or are you worried the geopolitical premium will fade fast? Will you jump on the energy rally, or wait for a pullback? Share your thoughts on XOM and the oil market below! As Middle East geopolitical tensions erupted over the weekend, the global crude oil market witnessed long-awaited sharp volatility on Monday. Amid shipping disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and concerns over the safety of Iranian oil facilities, international oil prices skyrocketed like a rocket. Amid this turmoil, a familiar name has once again captured all investors’ attention—oil giant
Oil Prices Soar, Target Price Hiked—Is This Oil Giant’s Stock Poised for a Rally?

📊 Oil Near $70: ERX, DIG, XLE & DBC — Momentum in Focus

Hi, Tigers 🐯 Geopolitical risks remain elevated. Rising friction between the U.S. and Iran, along with potential retaliation risks, has reignited concerns over Middle East supply disruptions, especially near the Strait of Hormuz. Oil prices have climbed sharply 📈, with WTI trading above $62/barrel near six-month highs and Brent testing the upper channel around $70/barrel,—lifting energy ETFs higher. In such volatile conditions, leveraged products can be especially effective for capturing short-term momentum ⚡. So Tigers 💹, what’s your move in this energy sector? Any trades or insights to share? 💬 If you’re still bullish on these ETFs, you can consider leveraging your buying power with Tiger’s
📊 Oil Near $70: ERX, DIG, XLE & DBC — Momentum in Focus
avatarIvan_Gan
2025-09-29

Celebrate National Day, stay alert to market moves

The cheerful National Day holiday arrives next week—wishing a happy break to all! For financial markets, however, long holidays often mean that volatility accumulates, and for domestic markets the post‑holiday session is frequently highly turbulent, making the long breaks—Spring Festival and National Day—the two recurring hurdles investors must face each year. Since 2020, every major Chinese holiday has tended to coincide with outsized, unexpected swings in overseas markets, leading to large gaps at the domestic open and even limit‑up or limit‑down moves. For domestic volatility to intensify, it often implies that overseas markets move one‑way during the National Day break, which could present a decent short‑term trading window for investors focused on overseas assets.Will October nonfarm
Celebrate National Day, stay alert to market moves
avatarIvan_Gan
2025-06-25

Market Volatility Driven by Iran-Israel Conflict

The current market remains highly sensitive to developments in the Iran-Israel conflict, with prices fluctuating in response to changes in the situation.1. Can Oil Prices Continue to Surge?Oil prices are a leading indicator of inflation and play a pivotal role in shaping sentiment across the commodities market. As long as oil is not already at an exceptionally high level, a sharp increase in oil prices will inevitably raise concerns about rising production costs, which in turn are passed on to other commodities. At present, unless Iran completely abandons its nuclear ambitions, any easing of the conflict will be gradual, making oil prices more likely to rise than fall.A critical factor is Iran’s control over the Strait of Hormuz. Should Iran implement a blockade, it would deal a severe blo
Market Volatility Driven by Iran-Israel Conflict

GOLD: The King of Hedge During the Middle East Tensions

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!Wednesday (June 18) Asian market, gold prices are currently trading at 3392 U.S. dollars near. $Gold - main 2508(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Gold as the global financial market ‘king of hedge’, in the recent geopolitical and economic uncertainty under the dual drive, showing the bottom of the resilience. On Tuesday, gold prices touched a low of 3366 U.S. dollars after a strong rebound, closed at 3388.40 U.S. dollars near the K line pattern close to the cross, showing that the market more than the short game intense. Meanwhile, the price of silver soared to $37.22 per ounce, the highest level since 2012, triggering a hot de
GOLD: The King of Hedge During the Middle East Tensions
avatar程俊Dream
2025-06-18

Will the Iran-Israel Conflict Spur Further Oil Price Gains?

While the market eagerly anticipates developments in US-China negotiations and tariff issues, Israel has once again stirred the scene. Sensitive geopolitical factors have made oil prices last week’s biggest winner, as prices quickly rebounded above $65 and began to climb toward $80, approaching the median price range that prevailed during the Biden administration. How the Israel-Iran situation unfolds will introduce significant uncertainty for oil prices and other markets, which have so far remained relatively calm.According to JPMorgan, in the worst-case scenario where the Strait of Hormuz is closed, oil prices could surge to $120 per barrel, though this remains relatively unlikely at present. The bank also believes the fair value for US crude is in the $60–$65 range, as persistently high
Will the Iran-Israel Conflict Spur Further Oil Price Gains?
avatarkoolgal
2024-12-10
🌟🌟🌟OPEC members have decided to postpone plans to increase production due to a lukewarm outlook for global demand of oil.  OPEC is now restricting its combined production to 39.725 million barrels per day until December 31 2026. With Donald Trump as President of the US in January 2025, he plans to unleash the output of oil in the US and that may lead to further drops in oil prices.  However there is still conflict in the Middle East and Ukraine.  So if there is any additional increase in geopolitical conflicts, oil prices could still rise.  @Tiger_comments  @TigerStars  
@期貨茄哩虎:【🎁有獎話題】OPEC+繼續推遲增產!原油期貨仲要震盪幾耐?
avatarIykyk
2024-10-30
Look long term. Price remain steady 
avatarBull Huang
2024-10-29
$Exxon Mobil(XOM)$ $Occidental(OXY)$  [Miser]  Will oil prices rebound due to these geopolitical strains, or are we heading towards new lows? In my opinion, the mounting tensions are likely to cause oil prices to rebound rather than hit new lows. As of October 2023, relations between Iran and Israel have deteriorated significantly. Incidents ranging from cyber-attacks to skirmishes involving proxy groups have heightened fears of a broader conflict in the Middle East. Given that this region is a crucial hub for global oil production and transportation, any instability here tends to have immediate repercussions on oil markets. Historical Impact of Middle East Tensions on Oil Prices Historically
avatarIvan_Gan
2024-10-29

How a war between Israel and Iran could impact oil prices and the whole market?

After the U.S. stock market closed over the weekend, it was suddenly reported that Israel's retaliation plan for the Iranian attack had been implemented. Judging from the time when it occurred, it was obvious that Israel chose to close the financial market because it did not want things to expand. This is related to the approaching time of the U.S. election. Not unrelated. At the same time, the focus of Israel's retaliation is to attack Iran's related military facilities, avoiding crude oil and nuclear facilities, which is lower than market expectations. Therefore, if Iran does not take further actions after Israel's retaliation, the market will return to calm. But the question is, will Iran suck it up?Profound impact on the crude oil marketIf this "retaliation cycle" does not have a stron
How a war between Israel and Iran could impact oil prices and the whole market?
avatarKonii
2024-10-29
Stay
avatarBenshine
2024-10-29
Clean energy cannot fight the wars. Oil is need to be in power. Everywhere still need oil.
avatar2024贏
2024-10-29
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