2025 Outlook: How Will Story Unfold?

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq eked out record closing highs recently, with tech-related shares extending recent gains. Major institutions have released research reports, with most optimistic about a rally in 2025. The highest target for the S&P 500 has been set at 7,000 points. What are your expectations for 2025? How do you plan to trade?

avatarKYHBKO
2025-03-22

Is it time to plough into Dollar Tree - Preview of the week starting 24 Mar 2025

Public Holidays Singapore, Hong Kong, China & the USA have no public holidays in the coming week. Economic Calendar (24 Mar 2025) Notable Highlights The most watched economic data for the coming week would be the Core PCE price index. This is one of the references used by the Fed for inflation. The result will impact the Fed’s interest rate decision. S&P Global Manufacturing PMI and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI will be released. An amount above 50 would suggest global growth in either sector. This would be a good indication for the global economy. CB Consumer Confidence is an important reference for consumption outlook. Sentiment can have more impact on consumption than statistics. New Home Sales is a good reference for the real estate. Durable Goods Orders is one of the indica
Is it time to plough into Dollar Tree - Preview of the week starting 24 Mar 2025
avatarKYHBKO
2025-03-16

Can FedEx foretell the future? - Preview of the week starting 17 Mar 2025

Public Holidays Singapore, Hong Kong, China & the USA have no public holidays in the coming week. Economic Calendar (17 Mar 2025) from Investing Notable Highlights Core retail sales and retail sales figures will be released in the coming week. This will provide a good overview of consumption in America. The most watched news would be the Fed’s interest rate decision. The forecast is expecting the interest rate to remain status quo. A different outcome is expected to introduce volatility into the market. Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index will bring understanding about the manufacturing sector. Existing home sales is a good barometer about the real estate market in the USA. Initial jobless claims will be announced. The Federal Reserve uses this as one of the key macro data references
Can FedEx foretell the future? - Preview of the week starting 17 Mar 2025
avatarKYHBKO
2025-03-31

Is the S&P500 going to keep falling? S&P500 outlook for the week 31Mar25

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 31 Mar 2025 Let us monitor the volume of the S&P 500. Chart of the S&P 500 dated 29 Mar 2025 Observations: The MACD indicator may experience a bottom crossover in a few days. This should form a “double bottom”. Typically, a “recovery” can happen after a double bottom. Moving Averages (MA). The MA50 line has started a downtrend, while the MA200 line is on an uptrend. This implies a downtrend in the mid-term and a bullish in the long term. Candle. The last candle is below the MA50 and MA200 lines, implying a bearish outlook for the medium and long term. The three Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing a downtrend. Chaikin’s Monetary Flow (CMF) is in the “uptrend zone” (above the 0 line). However, it is possible to see a trend change as
Is the S&P500 going to keep falling? S&P500 outlook for the week 31Mar25
avatarKYHBKO
2025-03-16

Has S&P500 recovered from last week's red tide? Outlook for week starting 17Mar25

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 17 Mar 2025 Volume tells of the momentum of the trend. The average volume is over 4.6 B, and the latest volume is 3.0 B. This suggests a weak strength to the current momentum. One day does not make a trend, and let us monitor. There is a difference between buying the dip and catching a falling knife. Observations: The MACD indicator is starting a downtrend. Moving Averages (MA). The MA50 line has started a downtrend, while the MA200 line is on an uptrend. This implies a downtrend in the mid-term and bullish in the long term. Candle. The last candle is below the MA50 and MA200 lines, implying a bearish outlook for the medium and long term. The 3 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing a downtrend. Chaikin’s Monetary Flow (CMF) shows a downtren
Has S&P500 recovered from last week's red tide? Outlook for week starting 17Mar25
avatarTBI
2025-02-15

#TBI2025[6]: Deckers Outdoor Corporation (NYSE: DECK), Novo Nordisk A/S (NYSE: NVO)

Hi everyone, it’s been a while! Disclaimer: The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publicatio
#TBI2025[6]: Deckers Outdoor Corporation (NYSE: DECK), Novo Nordisk A/S (NYSE: NVO)
avatarKYHBKO
2025-03-09

Will last week's red tide continue for the S&P500? Outlook for the week starting 10Mar2025

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 10 Mar 2025 S&P500 dated 10 Mar 2025 Observations: The MACD indicator is starting a downtrend. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 and MA200 lines are on an uptrend. The MA50 line may soon change direction. The last candle touched the MA200 line and is sitting below the MA50 line. This implies a bearish outlook for the mid-term, and a similar bearish trend should be seen for the long term. The 3 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing a downtrend. Chaikin’s Monetary Flow (CMF) shows an uptrend (above the 0 line). However, the trend has been falling for the last few days. The S&P500 Technical Analysis (Daily) is showing a “Strong Sell” rating. 20 indicators show a “Sell” rating, and 5 indicators show a “Sell” rating. The candlestick pa
Will last week's red tide continue for the S&P500? Outlook for the week starting 10Mar2025
avatarTBI
2025-02-15

#TBI2025[5]: Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT)

Hi everyone. Well, it’s been a while… Disclaimer: The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publ
#TBI2025[5]: Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT)
avatarKYHBKO
2025-03-13
Has the S&P500 hit the bottom? Based on the chart, I would recommend caution. Let us look at some technicals. Using the 1D interval, MACD has yet to complete its bottom crossover. The average daily trading volume is about 4,661,370,689. The last trading day volume (ending 12 Mar 2025) is about 3,450,861,000. Thus, there may not be enough sustainable volume to drive the momentum of a bull run. There are also other macro data like PPI to be released. On top of this, the tariff war continues with more reciprocal actions. I recommend to monitor. Not Financial Advice - please do our own due diligence. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Cboe
avatarPigpen
2025-04-01
2025 is the year you put your portfolio to bed and took a study break. Or a holiday. Or a nice looooong snooze.
avatarKYHBKO
2025-02-16

Why have over 20 indicators have pointed to a bullish run? preview of S&P500 - 17Feb2025

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 17Feb2025 Observations: The MACD indicator is showing an uptrend. A top crossover is expected soon. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is above both the MA50 line and the MA200 line. This implies a bullish outlook for both the mid-and long-term. The 3 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing an uptrend. Chaikin’s Monetary flow (CMF) shows an uptrend. The S&P500 has risen 21.57% from a year ago. From the S&P500 Technical Analysis, Investing dot com recommends a “Strong Buy” rating based on the following technical indicators. Of the 20 indicators, all of them are showing a “Buy” rating with none showing a “Sell” rating. From the recent candlestick patterns, we noticed that there are
Why have over 20 indicators have pointed to a bullish run? preview of S&P500 - 17Feb2025
avatarmster
2025-02-13
Replying to @DeltaDrift:Your knowledge on these subjects are applaudable 👏//@DeltaDrift:AI and robotics leverage existing, rapidly advancing technologies, while quantum computing requires foundational breakthroughs that take longer to materialize. For now, robotic AI doesn’t need quantum computing to reach new heights, which is why the two fields are progressing at different rates. More to add, the breakthrough of $IBM(IBM)$ and $谷歌(GOOG)$ in quantum computing is only favored to enhancement of the quantum computer itself, and the application of quantum computing for now are: cryptography, optimiz
avatarKYHBKO
2025-02-15
David Tepper increased $BABA again! Now it's 15% of his portfolio He added $PDD $JD $BIDU $FXI $KWEB and reduced $META $AMZN RECAP: more China and less USA. What do you think about this strategy? (From X user Natan Investing)