Shyon
05-13
What stood out most to me is Jensen Huang being added at the very last minute. That makes me think semiconductors and AI exports became a key agenda item after the delegation was already finalized. If this trip leads to even limited easing on AI chip restrictions, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ could regain part of a market that was once one of its biggest growth drivers.

I think $Micron Technology(MU)$ and $Qualcomm(QCOM)$ may actually see the fastest direct earnings benefit from improving US-China relations because of their large China exposure. For NVIDIA, the upside is massive, but expectations going into May 20 earnings are already extremely high, so “buy the rumor, sell the news” remains a real risk after the recent rally.

Long term though, I still believe the AI infrastructure cycle has much more room to run. Even small progress on export licensing or supply chain cooperation could become a new catalyst the market hasn’t fully priced in yet.

@TigerStars @Tiger_comments @TigerClub

Trump Leaves, Q1 Portfolio Drops! What Trading Clues to Follow?
Trump departed Beijing today, wrapping up his China visit. Outcomes: energy and agriculture purchasing framework, no AI chip export relaxation announced. But the bigger story today is the Office of Government Ethics disclosure: 3,642 trades in Q1 alone, estimated at $220M-$750M total, roughly 58 trades per day. How do you read Trump's portfolio? Trump sold software, bought NVDA/SNDK/AVGO — do you follow the same rotation, or is the portfolio disclosure itself the signal to trade against?
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