(Part 1 of 5) Economic Calendar (22Mar2026)

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 23Mar2026)

The upcoming week will feature several important economic reports and indicators for the United States, providing insight into productivity, demand, inflation, employment, and consumer sentiment.

Productivity Report

U.S. productivity figures for the fourth quarter are scheduled for release, with forecasts estimating a 1.8% increase. This projection marks a decline from the previous quarter’s growth of 2.8%. It is important to closely monitor this trend, especially in light of recent retrenchments, which could influence overall economic performance.

PMI Releases

The SMP flash U.S. services PMI for March, along with the SMP flash U.S. manufacturing PMI, will be published in the upcoming weeks. These reports serve as critical references for assessing demand within both the services and manufacturing sectors of the U.S. economy.

Import Price Index

The import price index for February is estimated at 0.7%, representing a significant jump from the prior figure of 0.2%. If confirmed, this increase could suggest inflationary pressures within the economy.

Initial Jobless Claims

Initial jobless claims are expected to come in at 210,000, up from 205,000 in the previous report. This upward trend may indicate increasing joblessness, a metric the Federal Reserve will carefully consider as it formulates its upcoming interest rate decision.

Federal Reserve Speeches

Several Federal Reserve governors are scheduled to speak in the coming week. These speeches may introduce additional volatility to the financial markets as investors interpret their remarks.

Consumer Sentiment

The final consumer sentiment reading for March is anticipated to be 54.0. This metric will serve as a valuable reference for evaluating consumer spending patterns during the month.

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Oil Traders Bullish Bets: How Long Will Oil Stay Above $100?

Bullish oil traders are girding themselves for even costlier crude, stepping up their exposure as Mideast hostilities threaten to keep global energy flows in a chokehold. Net long positions for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures have surged sharply this year, and concerns of a prolonged supply shock could keep crude's risk premium wide. WTI could stay above $100 a barrel if supply constraints persist. Institutions expect oil to stay above $100, while when war ends the mean reversion may bring it back to $70. How do you view?

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