$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  

I believe Tesla's short-term stock movement will largely depend on how much of the Q1 delivery weakness has already been priced in. Given that analysts have revised estimates downward, a miss in deliveries could reinforce the bearish sentiment, pushing the stock lower, potentially toward the $220-$230 support range. The broader market sentiment, along with how investors interpret Elon Musk's exit from DOGE, will also play a role in shaping Tesla's near-term trajectory.

That said, I see Tesla's current struggles as a mix of macroeconomic pressures, increased competition, and self-inflicted brand perception challenges. Musk's political involvement has clearly hurt Tesla's reputation in certain markets, and with growing EV competition from companies like BYD $BYD COMPANY(01211)$  and Xiaomi $XIAOMI-W(01810)$  , Tesla must innovate aggressively to regain momentum. The upcoming earnings report will be crucial in assessing whether Tesla can stabilize its margins and sustain demand growth. If margins continue to compress, the stock could remain under pressure for an extended period.

In the longer term, I remain cautiously optimistic, provided Tesla refocuses on execution and new product innovation. The Robotaxi event in August could be a major catalyst, shifting the narrative back to Tesla's AI and software potential. Additionally, if Musk stepping away from political distractions allows him to fully realign with Tesla's core business, investor sentiment may gradually improve. While short-term volatility is likely, I am watching key technical and fundamental levels to assess strategic buying opportunities.

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