To The Moon

Today isn't just another green or red day on the screen – it"s FOMC rate-cut day, and the market has already been pricing in soft landing perfection for weeks. When expectations are this high, the reaction often matters more than the decision. I'm watching three layers: macro reaction, mega-cap flows, and high-beta trades. 1. Macro: Three Paths After the Cut 🟢 Scenario A – Dovish & Done (Bullish risk assets) Powell signals confidence in disinflation and hints that cuts will be gradual, not panicky. Yield curve stabilises, the dollar softens, and we likely see a classic everything rally into year-end – growth, tech, and even small caps. In this scenario, I expect momentum to resume in AI leaders and quality growth. 🟡 Scenario B – Dovish but Worried (Choppy, rotation) Fed cuts, but tone

Before we jumped at the news of President Trump’s approval for Nvidia's H200 chips export to china, we might need to ask ourselves whether $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ is benefitting from this approval, and what are some factors and uncertainities we need to be aware of. The headline “approval” helps remove one big permission roadblock, but the 25% surcharge + Beijing’s likely curbs create a large accounting & commercial uncertainty that can meaningfully dent Nvidia’s reported revenue and margins depending on who legally/contractually ends up paying that 25%. In this article, I would like to share how we can walk through the mechanics, 3 quantified scenarios (optimistic / base / bearish), accounting consequences, and the exact signals to watch. What the new

Morgan Stanley calling 2026 the "robotaxi singularity moment" matches what I've been expecting for some time — the autonomous driving curve is finally steepening. As U.S. cities accelerate regulatory approvals and commercial pilots, we're entering the first real monetization phase for autonomy. For me, this is the first time the industry has both technological readiness and enough political momentum to enable scale deployment. In terms of Tesla, I don't think the robotaxi story is fully priced in. The market has been overly focused on margins, short-term delivery softness, and macro noise, while assigning almost zero value to Tesla's autonomy optionality. If FSD V12.x continues to improve and Tesla manages to demonstrate a genuine L4 experience by 2026, then the valuation model changes ent

I'm leaning toward participating in the silver breakout, but I'm doing it with a balanced mindset. Silver hitting a fresh all-time high while gold is still consolidating tells me the market is clearly rotating toward higher-beta precious metals. With the Fed now almost fully priced in for a 25bp cut, liquidity expectations are shifting, and silver tends to respond more aggressively than gold when real yields begin to soften. That macro setup alone makes the current momentum more believable than a simple speculative spike. That said, I'm not chasing blindly at the top. Silver's historical behavior is fast up, fast down, and AGQ $ProShares Ultra Silver(AGQ)$  — being a leveraged ETF — will amplify not just returns

Market Overview Global markets ended mixed as investors focused on the Federal Reserve’s year-end policy decision. While Wall Street rallied strongly on confirmation of a rate cut, Europe remained cautious and Asia traded unevenly amid China data concerns and Fed anticipation. Overall sentiment improved, led by US equities reacting positively to easing monetary policy. US Markets – Fed Spark Ignites Rally US stocks surged after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points. Chair Jerome Powell’s confidence in inflation control and economic growth boosted confidence. The Dow Jones$DJIA(.DJI)$   jumped 1.1% to 48,057.75, the S&P 500$S&P 500(.SPX)$ 

I am sharing one of the popular recent trades today. Yes, it's a long time coming home run... I have been patiently gathering silver related miners and ETF, even physical silver itself over the decade or so. Today's sharing focuses only on those buys within the last couple of years. Like those ever-unwavering cryptocurrency or Elon Musk's fan, I am a silver fan. In the early days of silver obsession, my primary focus was in US silver miners or streamers, like $Wheaton Precious Metals(WPM)$ and $Newmont Mining(NEM)$ .  When I moved to Australia more than a decade ago, it gives me the proximity access to understand Australian miners a little bit more. That is when I started phase 2 of my accumu

For the past two years, the stock market has been a tale of two cities. Large-cap tech stocks ( $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ , $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ ) soared, immune to high interest rates because they are cash-rich and hold almost no debt. Meanwhile, small businesses and the Russell 2000 ( $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ ) have been suffocated. The Fed's recent rate cut changes the economic physics for small companies overnight. While the media focuses on what a rate cut means for mortgage rates, the real explosion is happening in the small-cap sector. The reaso

$FE HORIZON(03360)$ Added position, it's good value for me, it let me earn 5% in two days. I don't understand why it can fluctuate so much.

$NKE 20260102 73.0 CALL$ This is the rolled position of the diagonal spread. The long call strike is $65. this trade can collect some premium while waiting for price to go up. In the daily chart, the notable resistance are $67 and $69. I think $73 should have sufficient margin of safety across earnings.

$QQQ 20251226 644.0 CALL$ This is the rolled position of the diagonal spread. Decided to open this trade when price was at $628. I may close the trade if 50% of the premium has been achieved.