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2025-10-02
Reasoned View Why Nvidia PT $200+ By End-Dec 2025 Is Plausible (Or Optimistic)
We have seen analysts at Citi raised $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ price target from $200 to $210 this Tuesday, the reason being there is an increased forecast for AI infrastructure spending after the OpenAI announcements. As I mentioned in my previous article that I am holding NVDA for long term, only to contemplate to take some profit gains recently, while playing options. You can refer to my past article on that. In this article, I would like to share the breakdown of the key factors and a reasoned view on whether $200+ by end-Dec 2025 for Nvidia (NVDA) is plausible (or optimistic). What the current landscape suggests Tailwinds in Nvidia’s favor AI / data center demand dominance : Nvidia remains a leading provider of GPUs and AI infrastructure, with many larg
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2025-10-02
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Why I’m Buying Tesla in Simple Terms 🚗⚡ I’m buying Tesla because the chart looks like it has found a “floor” around $210–$214. That level has stopped the price from falling further a few times already, so I see it as a strong support zone. It gives me comfort knowing there’s a cushion if the stock dips again. Tesla is also trading above its short-term moving average (like a guide that shows the average price trend). When a stock can stay above this level, it often means buyers are stepping in and the price is trying to climb. If it pushes higher and moves closer to the long-term average, that’s usually a good sign that big funds and institutions might come back to buy more. The RSI indicator, which tells me if a stock is
TOPValerie Archibald: Any "bad news" is already priced in. This unlocks the door to $1000 +
796
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2025-10-02
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ Why I’m Buying Palantir on a Retracement 📉➡️📈 I buy Palantir (PLTR) on retracements because I see it as a chance to enter at a discount during temporary pullbacks. The stock often runs up quickly on AI-related news and excitement, then cools off as short-term traders take profits. These dips are healthy in an uptrend, and that’s when I step in. The support zones give me confidence. For example, when Palantir falls back toward $28–$30, it often finds buying interest. These levels act like a floor, where the price bounces back after sellers get exhausted. By buying on retracement, I lower my entry cost and avoid chasing when the price is overheated. The RSI indicator also helps. When Palantir surges, RSI gets
PLTR
10-02 22:01
USPalantir Technologies Inc.
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Buy Open | 184.77 0 | -- Closed |
TOPPalantir’s valuation is excessively inflated, with a P/E ratio that’s unsustainable unless near-perfect growth continues, making this an ideal time to trim and secure profits.
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2025-10-02
$iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ Strengths of IWM 1. Exposure to U.S. Small-Cap Stocks IWM tracks the Russell 2000 index, which covers ~2,000 U.S. companies with smaller market capitalizations. This gives investors exposure to the small-cap sector, which often has higher growth potential compared to large caps, especially when economic conditions favor expansion.  2. Diversification The fund holds nearly 2,000 stocks, spanning many sectors. No single stock dominates, so it spreads out risk. If one company or sector has problems, others can help cushion the blow.  3. Liquidity and Size It’s large (tens of billions in assets under management) and has high trading volume. That makes buying and selling relatively easy, with smaller bid-ask spread
IWM
10-02 22:08
USiShares Russell 2000 ETF
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Buy Open | 242.26 0 | -- Closed |
625
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2025-10-02
$Manulife(MFC)$ The Dangers and Common Mistakes of Stock Investing ⚠️📉 Investing in stocks can be one of the most rewarding ways to build wealth, but it comes with its own set of dangers and common mistakes that many beginners — and even experienced investors — fall into. One of the biggest dangers is emotional investing. Many people buy when prices are high because of hype and sell when prices drop out of fear. This “buy high, sell low” pattern destroys wealth rather than builds it. Stocks often move in cycles, and without patience or discipline, it is easy to get caught in these emotional traps. Another common mistake is lack of diversification. Putting too much money into a single stock means that if the company struggles, your portfolio ca
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2025-10-03
$UNH 20251017 370.0 CALL$ UNH: collect $395 (1.05%) from this covered call with strike at $370 and expiring in 3 weeks in 17th Oct. Earlier, had closed the expiring UNH covered call with small profit as it approaches $350 strike and as of writing trading above it. Sold new call at the $370 strike to rebalance the trade and set as upper resistance. Happy for UNH to be gradually building back some momentum to push up to higher price level.
UNH CALL
10-02 23:35
US20251017 370.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Sell Open | 3.95 1Lot(s) | -- Closed |
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2025-10-03
$MSFT VERTICAL 251107 PUT 480.0/PUT 485.0$ MSFT price is in tight range during the past weeks. Could be heading for breakout. Its a fundamentally strong stock and in the forefront of AI. Probability of price going up is high, with earning call happening this month, 29 October. Used the premium to buy shares while it's still below its fair value and while on dip today.
MSFT Vertical
10-03 00:47
US480.0/485.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Credit Open | -1.03 4 | -- Closed |
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2025-10-03
$META VERTICAL 260320 CALL 780.0/CALL 725.0$ In the daily chart, META has been moving down from $790. Yesterday looks to be a reversal as price opens and close higher than the previous day high. Hence, I have decided to open this long term bull call spread. i'm prepared to ride with the wave.
META Vertical
10-02 21:35
US780.0/725.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Debit Open | 24.10 1 | -- Closed |
TOPIve been waiting for it to come down to $705. I sell next week at $730
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2025-10-03
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ I’ve increased my position in Tesla as the stock continues its remarkable rally, climbing 34% since late August and outperforming the S&P 500. The surge is fueled by optimism over strong Q3 deliveries, Musk’s renewed focus, and momentum from retail investors and options activity. Tesla’s unique status as the original “meme stock” also amplifies speculative enthusiasm. While analysts like Barclays remain cautious with a $275 target, Tesla’s ability to rally above $440 highlights its strong market presence among tech leaders, making it a compelling high-risk, high-reward play.
TOPAI and EV sectors are heating up again and TSLA especially is getting some serious spikes in this morning session. Time to sit back and enjoy the fun folks.
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2025-10-03
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ I made an additional investment in Nvidia stock as the company remains the undisputed leader in AI chip technology. Nvidia’s semiconductors currently power an estimated 70% to 95% of artificial intelligence data centers, giving it a commanding market share and a critical advantage over rivals. In the most recent quarter, sales from its data center segment surged 56% to $41.1 billion, reflecting strong demand as enterprises expand their AI capabilities. With Nvidia CFO Colette Kress projecting global data center spending could hit $4 trillion by 2030, Nvidia is strategically positioned to capture significant long-term growth.
TOPWould love to see NVDA jump up like AMD !!!!
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2025-10-03
$Microsoft(MSFT)$ I added to my Microsoft position given its strong momentum in AI and cloud computing. Microsoft’s early integration of ChatGPT into its services has already driven adoption of its Copilot AI, boosting sales 18% to $76 billion and earnings 24% in Q4. The bigger story is Azure, which commands 20% of the cloud market and grew 34% year-over-year to $75 billion in fiscal 2024. With AI cloud revenue projected to hit $2 trillion by 2030, Microsoft is well-positioned for sustained long-term growth.
TOPMSFT is lying about their depreciation costs. Their profits are fake. $30billion CAPEX a quarter is $8 billion in depreciation per quarter for data centers.
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2025-10-03
$Dover(DOV)$ I added to my investment in Dover (DOV) following its latest earnings report, which showed revenues of $2.05 billion, up 5.2% year-on-year and slightly ahead of analysts’ expectations. While the company did miss on adjusted operating income and organic revenue, management highlighted strong production performance and solid execution despite global market challenges. CEO Richard J. Tobin’s confidence in navigating a dynamic environment reinforces my view that Dover remains well-positioned for long-term growth, making the current weakness an opportunity to strengthen my position.
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2025-10-03
$Broadcom(AVGO)$ I added to my position in Broadcom (AVGO) as the stock’s recent pullback offers a constructive entry point. Despite being up 44% year to date and offering a modest 0.7% dividend yield, AVGO has slipped in eight of the last 12 sessions, now trading 11% below its 52-week high. The weakness brings it near the 50-day SMA and close to filling the Sept. 4 gap, creating a technical setup for a potential year-end rally. Entered at $320 with a $290 stop, targeting a move toward the $400 level.
TOPEOY will definitely hit $400.00+ Great chip company ....
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2025-10-03
$Apple(AAPL)$ I added to my Apple position as the iPhone 17 series continues to show stronger demand than the iPhone 16 during the same launch window. JPMorgan’s tracking highlights that delivery lead times remain elevated, especially for the base, Pro, and Pro Max models, signaling robust sales despite weaker performance of the Air variant. With U.S. supply-demand still tight and Chinese regulatory delays holding back the Air, Apple’s higher-end models are proving resilient. This strong demand backdrop supports revenue stability and provides confidence in Apple’s product-driven growth momentum.
TOPThe huge difference between Nvidia and Apple is Nvidia has 6 customers while Apple has 2.3b. Nvidia revenue concentration carries incredible risk.
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2025-10-03
$Globalstar(GSAT)$ GSAT: bought in addition batch of GSAT while the stock is rising. My new holding average is now $31.06 and up 34%. So far the stock rose quite well after my initial investment, and this new batch of buy is to average up and hope to ride it higher on a bullish market day.
10.47K
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2025-10-03
$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$
TOPIs it possible to see low $20s this week?
533
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2025-10-03
$TSLA 20251010 260.0 PUT$ 雖然我經常強調我是不喜歡這間公司，但看著利益[财迷] ，我仍然都係會賣put它的期權。唔中意還唔中意，錢還錢，睇錢份上[贱笑] ，事實賣它的遠期期權的確比較容易賺錢，出來行，求財，我也不會跟錢作對，今次賣put260。我覺得應該無問題又等收錢[胜利]
TSLA PUT
10-03 23:18
US20251010 260.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Sell Open | 0.13 2Lot(s) | -- Closed |
773
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2025-10-03
🍎📉📊 Apple Under Pressure: Jefferies Rings the Alarm on iPhone 18 Expectations 🍎📉📊
$Apple(AAPL)$ $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ $Qualcomm(QCOM)$ I’m watching Apple with heightened focus as Jefferies has just cut the stock to Underperform, flagging inflated expectations for the iPhone 18 cycle that could unravel over the next 12–24 months. Beneath the surface, both the options market and technical structure are flashing signs that investors are finally starting to price in risk after months of relentless upside. 🌀 Volatility Surface Signals Short-Term Caution Apple’s options volatility surface shows a sharp spike in near-term implied vols at higher strike prices, reflecting traders hedging aggressively and speculating on near-dated mov
TOP🍏The downgrade makes sense given how stretched Fold demand projections are. QCOM could feel it too if modem volumes fall short. The compression on that 4H chart is tight, and it usually doesn’t stay quiet for long when AAPL vol looks like this.
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2025-10-03
🔥📊🚀 SPX at a Crossroads: Elevated Positioning, Earnings Power, and Historical Echoes Signal a High-Stakes Inflection
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ I’m watching the S&P 500 approach a critical juncture where elevated institutional exposure, strong earnings momentum, balanced sentiment, and striking historical analog patterns are converging to create one of the most pivotal setups of the year. This isn’t just another market checkpoint; it’s the kind of inflection point that often defines leadership, direction, and risk for months ahead. 🇺🇸 Positioning Active managers continue to lean aggressively into US equities. The latest NAAIM Exposure Index reads 80.66, a level that historically aligns with strong institutional conviction. Such elevated exposure often coincides with late-stage rally extensi
TOP😳 I’m struck by how the historical analogs mirror the current SPX path. That 92–98% correlation isn’t something I ignore. The valuation section ties it together perfectly and makes me think about risk-reward across both AMD and QQQ.
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2025-10-03
Market Master 101 | Howard: Where Do We Stand in 2025?
In his recent memo to Oaktree’s clients, Howard Marks outlined his views on the current high levels of the market. He believes the market has not yet entered a phase of irrational exuberance, but still advises clients to adopt a Level 5 defense—reducing aggressive positions and increasing defensive holdings. When I first read that line, I stopped and let it sink in. Howard isn’t calling for a crash. He isn’t saying the Magnificent 7 are worthless. He’s simply saying: slow down, respect the altitude. And honestly, that’s how I’ve been feeling lately. The Magnificent 7 and the S&P 500: Stretched but Not Broken Let’s start with the obvious question: are the Magnificent 7 and the S&P 500 overpriced? On one hand, the Magnificent 7 have been unstoppable. Nvidia generates enormous profits