ASX’s Epic Climb to 10,000: Is CBA’s Valuation a Trap?
$ASX LTD(ASX.AU)$ The Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) is charging toward a historic 10,000 milestone, with the ASX 200 hitting 9,087.2 on August 28, 2025, fueled by easing tariff fears, a recent Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) interest rate cut, Wall Street’s record highs, and robust earnings from local giants. The S&P 500 stands at 6,512.34, Nasdaq at 21,918.45, and oil at $74.50/barrel, while Bitcoin holds at $123,456 amid a VIX of 14.12. Yet, with Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) soaring to $176.25, questions swirl about its lofty valuation. Here’s a breakdown of the market’s momentum, CBA’s role, and trading strategies to navigate this pivotal moment. Market Momentum: The Push to 10,000 The ASX is riding a wave of optimism: Reco
Unlock Your Wealth: ROE or PE for Long-Term Investing Mastery?
$S&P 500(.SPX)$$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ On August 28, 2025, with the S&P 500 at 6,512.34, Nasdaq at 21,918.45, and Bitcoin steady at $123,456, the debate over long-term investing metrics heats up. Charlie Munger’s idea that long-term compounding mirrors return on equity (ROE) has gained traction, echoed by Warren Buffett’s 1981 insight that a 14% ROE could yield a 14% compound return if the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio holds steady. As investors eye a decade-long horizon, the question looms: Should ROE or PE guide your stock picks? Are return on invested capital (ROIC) and free cash flow (FCF) the real compounding kings? If forced to pick one metric for a 10-year decision, which wins? Dive into this anal
Canada Goose’s Buyout Boom: Will a $1.5 Billion Bid Steal the Show?
$Canada Goose(GOOS)$ Canada Goose stock soared 15% to $11.30 today, August 28, 2025, following explosive news of take-private bids valuing the luxury outerwear giant at approximately $1.4 billion. Bain Capital, holding a 60.5% stake, has received verbal offers from Boyu Capital and Advent International, pegging the company at $1.35 billion—14% above its $1.18 billion market cap. With the S&P 500 at 6,512.34, Nasdaq at 21,918.45, and Bitcoin at $123,456, the VIX at 14.12 signals stability, though tariffs (30% on EU/Mexico, 35% on Canada) and oil at $74.50/barrel stir uncertainty. Could Anta, Arc’teryx’s parent, swoop in with a higher bid? Is arbitrage still viable post-rally? This in-depth look unpacks the buyout frenzy, market dynamics, and tr
$Alibaba(BABA)$ Alibaba: Earnings, Value Outlook & Technical Insights 💼📈🔍 On to Alibaba for quite a bit as good long and diversification with $75usd. Now it's relative fair value and hope it goes higher. Coz still have options to sell. Let's see. Hope the New AI Chip is gonna be a big mega star. China market Wise, Alicloud is the preferred one. So long term is an advantage. And Alipay still a leader and probably a southeast Asian Leader too,... and growing to more markets For Now... here we go 1. Earnings Recap: Cloud Shines Despite Retail Headwinds • Mixed results: In the quarter ending June 2025, Alibaba’s total revenue was ¥247.65 billion (~US$34.6 billion)—slightly below estimates of ¥252.
$Royal Caribbean Cruises(RCL)$ RCL: taking loss. Closed all my short positions on RCL at $363 and eat my humble pie. The reversal off recent bottom on 11th Aug at $297.84 was very strong and stock is back up 22% just in the past 2 weeks. Another one of the large positions that I've closed these few weeks in my attempt to rebalance my portfolio and cut off dead weights. Taking loss is a part of the trading game but taking large losses is not. For this case, I was over exposed with large trade that went sour. Bitter this might be, I'm owning my trade decision and share this out just like I've shared the other 1000+ trades since Trade Feed function was enabled. A lesson for myself to remember and what don't kill me makes me stronger 💪.
Trump Eyes Stakes in Defense Contractors: Who's Next After Intel? Just days after the U.S. government acquired a 10% stake in Intel for approximately $9 billion, Commerce Secretary Lutnick appeared on CNBC's "Squawk Box" and stated that top Pentagon officials are considering whether the United States should take equity positions in leading defense contractors, particularly those with significant government business like $Lockheed Martin(LMT)$ , $Boeing(BA)$ , or data analytics firm $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ . He specifically highlighted $Lockheed M
US Blockchain Boom: Crypto Gains Take Center Stage
The U.S. Department of Commerce has boldly declared its intent to cement America’s status as the "blockchain capital of the world," marking a seismic shift in global financial landscapes. With the S&P 500 at 6,512.34, Nasdaq at 21,918.45, and Bitcoin steady at $123,456, this move aligns with a 50% surge in crypto market caps this year. Tariffs (30-35% on Canada/EU/Mexico) and oil at $74.50/barrel shape the backdrop, but the focus is on blockchain’s rise. From GDP data on-chain to regulatory clarity, here’s how this pivot is reshaping investments, spotlighting overbought risks, and offering trading opportunities. Blockchain Breakthrough: America’s New Frontier The Commerce Department’s bold stance is gaining traction: GDP on Blockchain: Starting with Q2 2025 GDP data released today, the
Chainlink Soars: Onchain Data Sparks Crypto Revolution
$Grayscale Chainlink Trust (LINK)(GLNK)$ The U.S. Department of Commerce has partnered with Chainlink ($LINK) to bring government macroeconomic data onchain, a groundbreaking move to enhance transparency and trust in financial systems. With the S&P 500 at 6,512.34, Nasdaq at 21,918.45, and Bitcoin holding at $123,456, Chainlink’s price jumped 24% to $15.60 today, pushing the total crypto market cap past $3 trillion. Tariffs (30-35% on Canada/EU/Mexico) and oil at $74.50/barrel set the stage, but this partnership could redefine blockchain’s role. Explore the implications, overbought risks, and trading strategies in this dynamic shift. Onchain Breakthrough: A New Era for Data The Commerce-Chainlink alliance is a game-changer: Macro Data Onchain:
🎁Happy Chinese Valentine’s Day! What’s Your Pick for Gift?
Labubu 4.0 was released yesterday. Despite the decline in quality and the steep price of 79 RMB, people’s enthusiasm to buy hasn’t faded. Now, mini Labubus are already trading for over 100 RMB on the secondary market. $POP MART(09992)$ But for this Chinese Valentine’s Day, wouldn’t it be creative to spell out “LOVE” with the newly released 26 alphabet Labubus? Plus, Labubus tend to hold their value! Just like in this viral picture shared by netizens.Or maybe something more practical: skincare products? If the budget allows, perhaps jewelry? The most cost-effective option might even be buying stocks—they can appreciate, while most other gifts are likely to depreciate.Will you celebrate Chinese Valentine’s Day? What gift would you choose?This week,
US GDP Surge to 3.3%: Is This the Economic Turnaround?
The U.S. has revised its Q2 2025 GDP growth to 3.3%, the strongest quarter since Q3 2023’s 3.4%, signaling a robust rebound from Q1’s -0.5% contraction. With the S&P 500 at 6,512.34, Nasdaq at 21,918.45, and Bitcoin steady at $123,456, this upward revision outpaces the initial 3.0% estimate, defying tariff pressures (30-35% on Canada/EU/Mexico) and oil at $74.50/barrel. Consumer strength and trade shifts drove the gain, but risks linger. Dive into the data, sector insights, and trading strategies to navigate this economic pivot. The GDP Revival: What’s Driving the 3.3% Jump? The revision paints a resilient picture: Growth Surge: The 3.3% annualized rate, up from 3.0%, reflects a trade balance turnaround, with imports dropping 30.3% after a Q1 surge, adding 5.0 points to GDP. Consumer P
Wall Street wrapped a volatile session with mixed results, as Tesla gained 2%, Nvidia and Alphabet rose 1%, while Strategy and Coinbase sank 4%. Interactive Brokers is set to join the S&P 500, Talen Energy the S&P MidCap 400, and Kinetik the S&P SmallCap 600. Trump wants more deals like Intel's, worrying the business community, and the administration signals a 50% tariff to hit India soon. Nvidia's new "robot brain" goes on sale for $3,499 as the company targets robotics for growth, and Musk sues Apple and OpenAI, saying they hurt AI competition. With the S&P 500 at 6,466.58, Nasdaq at 21,713.14, and Bitcoin at $115,000, the VIX at 14.49 signals low volatility, but tariffs (30% on EU/Mexico, 35% on Canada) and oil at $75/barrel add tension. What movements are shaping the ma
$Royal Caribbean Cruises(RCL)$ RCL: taking loss. Closed all my short positions on RCL at $363 and eat my humble pie. Another one of the large positions that I've closed these few weeks in my attempt to rebalance my portfolio and cut off dead weights. Taking loss is a part of the trading game but taking large losses is not. For this case, I was over exposed with large trade that went sour. Bitter this might be, I'm owning my trade decision and share this out just like I've shared the other 1000+ trades since Trade Feed function was enabled. A lesson for myself to remember and what don't kill me makes me stronger 💪.
I. Performance and Valuation of Global Equity Indices Source: Bloomberg, Tiger Key Highlights ◼ Last week, global capital markets experienced mixed performance, with the phenomenon of “East rising, West wavering” becoming increasingly evident. Greater China equity assets surged across the board, with Chinese A-shares standing out as the strongest performers—the CSI 300 and Shanghai Composite Index gained 4.45% and 3.74% for the week, respectively. Meanwhile, U.S. equities saw heightened volatility and an internal rotation between large- and small-cap stocks: the large-cap Nasdaq edged down slightly, while the small-cap Russell Index posted significant gains. ◼ Recently, Fed Chair Jerome Powell struck a dovish tone at the annual Jackson Hole symposium, highlighting the severity of the curre
Market at a Crossroads: SoFi’s Retreat and the Overbought Dilemma
$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ For much of 2025, markets have been on an unstoppable run, with risk-on assets charging higher, volatility subdued, and retail traders showing renewed enthusiasm for growth names. Yet even in the strongest bull markets, certain stocks begin to look overextended, leaving investors asking: is this momentum sustainable, or is it a sign of greed overtaking discipline? One stock that perfectly captures this dynamic is SoFi Technologies (SOFI). After surging to $26 per share, SoFi has begun to pull back from those highs—a pattern the stock has repeated multiple times before. The retreat doesn’t necessarily spell the end of its bull case, but it does highlight the need to reassess how investors should handle stocks that sta
Nvidia’s Growth Slows: Post-Earnings Dip or Long-Term Opportunity?
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Nvidia’s latest earnings report was strong, but perhaps not strong enough to keep up with the towering expectations Wall Street has attached to the company. For over a year, Nvidia has been the face of the artificial intelligence (AI) boom, posting record-breaking results and guiding the market higher quarter after quarter. Yet, the latest results tell a slightly different story: still impressive, but not breathtaking. The reaction from investors has been cautious, even skeptical. Nvidia’s stock, which has soared this year, pulled back after earnings. That begs the critical question: does this post-earnings dip represent a chance for long-term investors to accumulate shares at more reasonable levels, or is it the first sign of a pla
When it comes to building consistent cash flow in the market, few strategies are as practical and efficient as selling cash-secured puts. Recently, I executed such a trade on UP Fintech Holding Limited (TIGR), targeting the September 26, 2025 expiration with a strike price of $9.50. The premium received was $0.07 per share, which translates to $7 per contract. At first glance, the dollar amount might appear modest, but when you scale it across time and consider the percentage return, the picture becomes much more attractive. ⸻ The Mechanics of the Trade ⚙️ By selling a cash-secured put, I am essentially agreeing to purchase 100 shares of TIGR at $9.50 if the stock closes below that strike price on expiration day. To secure this obligation, I set aside $950 in buying power. In return, I imm
On Fri, 29 Aug 2025, US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) will release US’s July 2025 personal consumption expenditure (PCE) readings just before US stock market resumes trading on the last day of the week. There were questions on why US central bank prefers PCE over CPI report. Why PCE and not CPI ? The PCE report, calculated by BEA, covers a broader field. It includes not only expenses paid directly by households, but also those paid on their behalf, such as healthcare financed by employers or public programs. Its more flexible methodology better incorporates changes in consumer behavior. For example, switching from beef to chicken if red meat prices soar. In other words, the PCE more accurately reflects the reality of American consumption. This is also the reason why US Federal Reserves