China Market's New High Paradox: Cash Out or Double Down Now?
The Shanghai Composite Index has soared to 3,868.38, its highest level in nearly a decade, marking a 35.79% year-on-year gain and a 7.52% monthly rise as of August 26, 2025. Yet, sentiment remains subdued, with WeChat search trends for "bull market" at just 30% of last year's September 24 peak, and chat groups abuzz with debates on cashing out amid fears the run might stall. With the S&P 500 at 6,466.58 and Bitcoin at $109,887, the contrast is stark, though tariffs (30% on EU/Mexico, 35% on Canada) and oil at $75/barrel add caution. The VIX at 14.49 suggests calm, but the index's RSI at 62 hints at overbought conditions. Do you hold Chinese assets? With long-term undervaluation (market cap-to-GDP at 60% vs. U.S. 190%), is this the time to buy into China? This deep dive explores the par
The Chinese stock market has indeed been on a tear, with the Shanghai Composite Index hitting decade highs and the CSI 300 Index climbing over 20% from its yearly low, driven by record household savings, easing U.S.-China trade tensions, and government stimulus measures. But deciding whether to double down or take profits depends on a few key factors, and the picture isnt straightforward. Reasons to Double Down:Valuations Still Attractive: Even after the rally, Chinese equities trade at relatively low multiples—around 11.4 times forward earnings for MSCI China, compared to the S&P 500’s much higher valuations. This suggests room for growth, especially if corporate earnings improve alongside government support for sectors like tech and consumption. Policy Support: Beijing’s aggressive s
Data Never Lies, But CEOs Do Sell—Karp Dumps 400K Shares
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ Executive Moves Put Palantir Back in the Spotlight Palantir Technologies (NYSE: PLTR) is no stranger to controversy. The data analytics firm—long hailed as one of Silicon Valley’s most mysterious yet influential players—has once again grabbed headlines. This time, the focus isn’t on new government contracts, AI integrations, or growth forecasts. Instead, it centers on CEO Alex Karp, who recently sold more than 400,000 shares of Palantir stock in a high-profile insider transaction. According to a filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Karp unloaded 409,072 shares last week at prices ranging from $142.46 to $157.56 per share. Such insider selling naturally raises questions. Was this simply r
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Nvidia’s Q2 FY26 earnings report on August 28, 2025, is the market’s most-watched event, with analysts expecting revenue of $28.7 billion (up 112% YoY) and EPS of $0.59 (up 120% YoY), driven by explosive AI demand. Recent reports highlight surging upstream packaging shipments and downstream CPO, PCB, and server orders, pushing optimism higher. Yet, amid a S&P 500 at 6,466.58, Nasdaq at 21,713.14, and Bitcoin at $115,000, the VIX at 14.49 signals calm, but tariffs (30% on EU/Mexico, 35% on Canada) and oil at $75/barrel add uncertainty. Will Nvidia’s results and guidance deliver a blockbuster leap, or is a trap lurking if the hype falls short? This in-depth preview explores the forecasts, GB200 and GB300 ramp-up, Rubin series prog
Nvidia's Q3 financial report is here! What strategy should I use to be steady and bullish?
Nvidia, the leader in AI chips, will release its financial report after the market closes on August 27, Eastern Time (after 4 a.m. on August 28, Beijing time). It is expected to achieve revenue of US $45.97 billion in 2026Q2, a year-on-year increase of 53.03%; Earnings per share are expected to be $0.935, a year-on-year increase of 39.51%.From the Nvidia supply chain: the performance of TSMC, KYE Electronics, Foxconn and other companies, and the situation of Nvidia in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, the revenue, production capacity and other data of the three all show that Nvidia's demand is strong.The market expects the company's revenue in the second quarter of this year to be approximately US $46 billion, a year-on-year increase of approximately 53%; Earnings per share were appr
Tesla Breaks Out of Triangle – Watching this level as Resistance
Tesla ( $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ ) – Technical Analysis Triangle Breakout: Price has broken out of a consolidation triangle, showing renewed upward momentum. Retest and Support: After the breakout, price pulled back to retest the former resistance line, which is now acting as support. Higher High: TSLA has also cleared the recent high near 349, confirming strength in the move. Next Resistance: The next key resistance lies around 367, which may act as a near-term hurdle. Momentum Indicators: MACD is trending upward, reinforcing the bullish setup. Using DLCs for Short-Term Trading Long DLCs: Traders anticipating continued upside toward the next resistance (367) may consider using long DLCs ( $TESLA 3xLongSG2610
Earnings Risk for NVIDIA: How to use Short DLCs as Protection
NVIDIA $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ – Technical Analysis (H1 chart before earnings) H1 chart Channel Structure: Price is currently at the top of a defined channel around USD 182, which has acted as resistance several times. Earnings Catalyst: With Q2 earnings scheduled for 27 Aug post-market, this level becomes a key inflection point. Possible Scenarios: A breakout above the channel could trigger further upside momentum. A rejection at the channel top may lead to a pullback toward the mid or lower bounds of the channel. Using Short DLCs as a Hedge If own NVDA shares: If you already hold NVDA shares and prefer not to sell them before earnings, but want protection against a potential downside move, short DLCs can be considered as a tactical hedge. How it Works:
Marvell Earnings Preview: Anxious Eyes on AI ASIC Growth This week, the semiconductor spotlight extends beyond AI GPU leader $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ to include AI ASIC giant $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ , which is scheduled to report its fiscal Q2 2026 results after the market close on August 28. Investor focus will be squarely on the company's progress in scaling its custom chip (ASIC) business and gaining clarity on the order pipeline for its next-generation Trainium 4 AI accelerators. Core Financial Indicators ~Wall Street's consensus for Q2 revenue stands at $2.01 billion, representing a significant 58% year-over-year inc
📊🔥🎯 NVIDIA Earnings: $4 Trillion Test for the AI Trade 🎯🔥📊
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$$Alphabet(GOOGL)$ I’m fully convinced tomorrow’s $NVDA earnings are not just a corporate event; they’re a referendum on whether the AI trade can sustain Nvidia’s $4 trillion valuation. Options are implying a 6% swing, or roughly $260B in market cap, which is less than the long-term 7% average. That moderation suggests investors think they have a clearer handle on expectations, but the stakes are historic. Nvidia now sits just below the market cap of Japan’s entire stock market and dwarfs the equity value of the UK, China, Canada, France, and Germany combined. Options Volatility and Market Positioning I’m confident the
📊🔮📈 QQQ’s Six-Day Slide: What History and Flows Tell Us Next 📈🔮📊
$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ I believe this current QQQ setup is one of the most technically and historically fascinating inflections we’ve seen all year. I’m fully convinced that when you line up backtested probabilities with today’s structural flows, the signal becomes hard to ignore. QQQ has just logged 7 down days in the last 8, a stretch that historically precedes meaningful forward returns. The dataset says 1-week rebounds average +1.8% with a 70% hit rate, but the real magic sits in the 3-month horizon: an average gain of +8.1% with a perfect 100% positive streak. I’m confident this isn’t random noise, it’s a behavioural rhythm that institutions know and trade against. 📊 Proba
🚨🧠📊 Nexalin Technology $NXL: From Oversold Despair to a High-Conviction Setup 🚨🧠📊
$Nexalin Technology, Inc.(NXL)$$Neuronetics Inc.(STIM)$$Eli Lilly(LLY)$ I’m fully convinced that what we’re seeing with $NXL right now is far more than a random bounce. The combination of clinical milestones, regulatory expansion, and technical positioning against a backdrop of historic volume shifts is exactly the type of asymmetric setup I want to dissect. 📅 Catalyst Front and Centre: September 9 Investor Webinar Nexalin Technology has just confirmed a live investor webinar on September 9, 2025, with CEO Mark White presenting. This is not a typical IR event; it comes at a pivotal time when the company is showcasing its Deep Intracranial Frequency Stimulation (D
🔥📉📊 Volatility’s Collapse: What History, Futures, and Positioning Say About $VIX Now 📊📉🔥
$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ I’m fully convinced that what we’re witnessing in volatility is historic: a 69% collapse in $VIX over just 20 weeks, the steepest in recorded history. From April’s panic spike above 60 to last week’s close at 14.2, this is the sharpest reversal of fear into complacency markets have ever seen. I’m confident this is not just noise but a regime-defining shift. The question now: does low $VIX invite risk, or does it reinforce the resilience of equities as we head into a pivotal stretch of Nvidia earnings, macro data, and the Fed’s September decision? The State of Play: Spot vs Futures Spot $V
Bitcoin (BTC ~ $111,438) BTC has slumped from last week's swing toward $117K and now trades near $111K. The pullback stems from a whale-driven flash crash that erased millions in value and rattled sentiment, though institutional interest remains strong. Ethereum (ETH ~ $4,599) Ether dropped from an all-time high (~$4,954) on similar volatility, now settling near $4.6K. While short-term pain is evident, institutional accumulation via ETFs continues to anchor confidence. Predictive Outlook: What's Ahead? 1. Coinbase (COIN – ~$308.50) Bullish Case: BTC stabilization above $111K could trigger a bounce toward $320–$330. Bearish Case: If BTC falls back below $110K, expect COIN to drift toward $295–$300, with a potential slide below $290 if sentiment breaks further. 2. Marathon Digital (MARA – ~$
China Indexes surge, Capital Inflow, Dovish Fed... what these mean for the Hang Seng Index
In this video, I highlighted a surge in capital inflows, with Goldman Sachs reporting hedge funds are buying Chinese stocks at the fastest pace in seven weeks — as the Shanghai Composite hits decade highs. This video is about foreign inflows, China stimulus and analysis of HSI on a month-to-month technique. Could this signal the start of a multi-year rally for the $HSI(HSI)$ ? Short term trading with warrants: Call $HSI 27600MBeCW251030(Y9UW.SI)$ , Put $HSI 23800MBePW251030(FQQW.SI)$ Short term trading with DLCs: Long DLCs $HSI 5xLongSG261029(CVMW.SI)$ , Short DLCs $HSI 5
$MongoDB Inc.(MDB)$ This quarter's (FY2026 Q2) performance was outstanding: Revenue and EPS both exceeded expectations, with full-year guidance raised. Core cloud product Atlas accelerated to +29% YoY growth, increasing its revenue share to 74% as the revenue mix continues to improve. Non-GAAP gross margin remained flat, while non-GAAP operating margin saw a slight sequential dip—attributable to increased investments—yet showed significant year-over-year improvement.At the market level, the stock surged over 30% following the earnings release, reflecting strong market confidence and expectations for recovery. This demonstrates that the market's previous anticipation of sustainable demand driven by AI software applications and modern workloads is no
$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$ it's always good to take some profits during the uptrend. Xpeng is in a good running seat right now. I am sure that the stock will continue the momentum and go above the $26 soon. The sales growth is in a top speed and the chairman buyback shares to show his confidence level in the EV sector. Hopefully, it starts to break even and generate some dividend to payback the shareholders in near future. The next Chinese Tesla!!!!!
Li Auto (LI) Challenging Quarter Watch Future Guidance For Convincing Plan To Address Competition Threat
$Li Auto(LI)$ is scheduled to report its Q2 2025 earnings on Thursday, August 28, 2025. The market's view is generally cautious, reflecting a challenging quarter for the company. The company already lowered its vehicle delivery outlook for Q2, citing a temporary sales system upgrade. This revision, along with rising competition in the premium EV market in China, has led to recent analyst downgrades. Revenue: The consensus among analysts is that Li Auto will report Q2 revenue of approximately $4.48 billion. Earnings Per Share (EPS): Non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) around $0.24. This guidance implies a significant slowdown in growth compared to previous periods. Summary of Li Auto's Fiscal Q1 2025 Earnings Li Auto reported a mixed but largely positi