Will a Fed Rate Cut Shake Up Your Options? | #OptionsHandbook EP029
Everyone’s guessing when the Fed will finally cut rates. But how do you know if your options will be affected? That’s where Rho (ρ) comes in. 📒 In The Options Handbook, the explanation is pretty clear: ▶ What Rho means 💡 Rho tells you how much the option price changes with a 1% interest rate increase. It matters most for long-term options, while short-term traders can mostly ignore it. ▶ When to watch Rho? ⏱️ Sudden rate cut/hike rumors. Around big Fed meetings (like FOMC). Trading long-term options (6+ months). The longer the maturity, the stronger the impact. During big economic swings—like recessions or fast recoveries. ▶ How to use Rho in practice? 🎯 If you’re expecting a rate cut, long Puts g
LAUNCH TECH: High Growth, High Yield, and the Promise of RWA
LAUNCH TECH is dedicated to the research, development, and production of professional vehicle diagnostics, ADAS calibration tools, DIY tools, tire equipment, inspection and maintenance equipment, lifts, and more. I chose to invest in this company because of its compelling valuation. With a growth company P/E ratio of 11 and a dividend yield of 7%, the valuation is exceptionally low. Today, Launch Tech announced its entry into RWA (Real World Asset) technology, which is particularly promising. RWA technology, in essence, involves converting tangible assets such as real estate, art, or commodities into digital tokens on the blockchain. This process, known as tokenization, facilitates fractional ownership, enhances liquidity, and ensures more transparent transactions.
$WeRide Inc.(WRD)$ 🚨 Critical Review: WeRide’s Partnership with Grab WeRide’s much-touted partnership with Grab has been marketed as a breakthrough for autonomous mobility in Southeast Asia, but a closer look raises more red flags than opportunities. 1. Execution Risks in Emerging Markets Grab operates in markets with poor infrastructure, inconsistent regulations, and unpredictable traffic conditions. Rolling out autonomous vehicles in such environments will be far more complex than in the U.S. or China. The likelihood of operational delays, safety issues, and regulatory pushback is high. 2. Regulatory Uncertainty Unlike China or the U.S., Southeast Asia does not have a mature autonomous vehicle regulatory fram
Jackson Hole Context Though Similar To 2022 Different In Crucial Ways
The upcoming Jackson Hole symposium presents a complex and high-stakes scenario for markets, and while there are some similarities to 2022, the context is different in crucial ways. Comparison to Jackson Hole 2022 The most notable similarity is the presence of high inflation and a strong interest rate environment. In August 2022, the Fed was in the midst of an aggressive rate-hiking cycle, with rates at 2.25%-2.50% and climbing. Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech was famously short and hawkish, explicitly stating that the Fed was committed to bringing down inflation, even at the cost of "some pain" for the economy. This stance crushed market hopes for a quick policy pivot and led to a sharp sell-off in both stocks and bonds. Now, in August 2025, the U.S. has seen an aggressive rate-hiking cy
🌟🌟🌟All eyes will be on Jerome Powell on Friday. If his speech is hawkish, it may trigger a selloff. To me it is not a signal to flee. It is actually a chance to lean in and grab quality stocks such as $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ that could be oversold. If the market drops it is not long term doom. Volatility around Jackson Hole summits is common. Tech and growth stocks may take a hit while defensive stocks, dividend players and value plays may shine brighter. As Warren Buffett likes to say It is time in the market that counts, not timing the market. @Tiger_comments
I. Performance and Valuation of Global Equity Indices Data Source: Bloomberg, Tiger Key Highlights ◼ Last week, growing expectations of a Fed rate cut continued to drive global capital markets higher, with notable gains in non-U.S. equities and U.S. small caps. The Nikkei 225, Russell 2000, as well as the CSI 300 and Hang Seng Index all posted weekly gains of more than 2%. By contrast, previously overheated U.S. large-cap tech stocks entered a consolidation phase, leaving the Nasdaq and S&P 500 slightly lagging. Overall, market sentiment remains strong. ◼ Recently, U.S. July PPI unexpectedly surged to its highest level in nearly three years, far exceeding both forecasts and the previous reading, seemingly challenging the rate-cut narrative suggested by CPI. However, the PPI data is not
Jackson Hole Preview: Brace for a Potential Hawkish Surprise The Spotlight Shifts to Grand Teton This Friday, the global financial world will turn its attention to Jackson Hole, Wyoming, as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell delivers his highly anticipated speech at the annual central bank symposium. Historically a crucial platform for the Fed to signal its policy direction, this year's meeting carries extra weight. The market is on high alert for any clues that might greenlight a September rate cut. Currently, traders are betting on an 80% chance of a 25-basis-point reduction next month. From Inflation to Employment: A Key Policy Pivot The theme of this year's conference, "The Evolving Labor Market: Demographic, Productivity, and Macro Policy," might sound academic, but its message is
$MARA 20250822 15.0 PUT$ MARA had come down a fair bit and at risk of hitting the strike at $15. Decided to not wait till expiry and close it for small profit instead. Will open new trades to adjust the strike and delta back to reasonable margin so as risk of assignment is minimised.
Nvidia Earnings Preview: What to Watch on China, Margins, and Blackwell AI and semiconductor giant $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ is scheduled to release its fiscal second-quarter 2026 earnings report after the market closes on August 27. Core Financial Indicators ~Q2 Revenue: Guidance is $45 billion, representing a 50% year-over-year (YoY) increase and a 2% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) rise. The market consensus is slightly higher at $46.1 billion. ~Q2 Gross Margin (GAAP): Guidance is 71.8%, a decrease of 3.3 percentage points YoY but an increase of 11.3 percentage points QoQ. ~Q2 Gross Margin (Non-GAAP): Guidance is 72%, down 3.7 percentage points YoY but up 0.7 percentage points QoQ. ~Q2 Net Income (GAAP): Guidance is $
Wall Street's 'AI 30 ': Who's In, Who's Out? Just before the Jackson Hole meeting, Meta unexpectedly announced a shift in its AI strategy, sparking risk-off sentiment in markets. Still, Morgan Stanley is bullish on AI. The bank says AI could add $13 trillion to $16 trillion in value to the S&P 500, potentially lifting the index's market cap by as much as 29%. Strategists also see big opportunities in new AI types: “agentic AI,” which makes decisions with less human input, could add $490 billion in value, while “embodied AI,” or humanoid robots, could contribute around $430 billion. At the start of the year, Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives described the AI boom as the “fourth industrial revolution” and launched the firm's “AI 30” list of top players in the sector. Recently, Wedbush updated
$Fortinet(FTNT)$ Heavily in debt that is not well covered by it current assets! More pain to come with the current tsunami downturn and huge losses await the DUMB MONEY who is holding on to Fortinet. Even more disaster Jerome Powel were to raise rates to counter the inflation stemming from Trump's tariff wars And maybe to spit in the face of Trump just be the can 🤣 to TANK the entire market.
Blind boxes is a craze that can be very addictive; it is too easy to spiral in and down. Gen Z also tend to follow their idols and if popular groups like black pink endorse it, gen x will flock to it. Laopu gold is popular among the Chinese as gold is treasured among the Chinese and many do use it as a form of investment as it retains it value and comes in handy during hard times. It is a common gift for birthdays and weddings. I do not think laopu gold will become the next classic brand as the designs tend to appeal to the Chinese more than the international population. So, I am not too optimistic about it’s potential for stock price growth. I find it safer to buy the trending companies than the stock of traditional companies that are being sold off. One never know when the traditio
Pop Mart Revenue & Profit New Highs: $300 is a New Start?
Pop Mart’s revenue for the first half of 2025 reached RMB 13.876 billion, a staggering 204.4% increase year-on-year. The stock mirrored this momentum, surging in a straight rally to close at $319.8 today, hitting a record 52-week high today within a range of $39.935 to $324.6. POP MART (09992) Founder Wang Ning expressed optimism earlier this year, projecting 50% growth for Pop Mart. Last year, revenue hit RMB 10 billion, and the original target for 2025 was RMB 20 billion. Judging by the company’s stellar performance so far, Wang now believes RMB 30 billion is well within reach, effectively suggesting the growth trajectory is even steeper than anticipated. The Blind Box Phenomenon Central to Pop Mart's success is its innovative "blind box" model, where consumers purchase sealed boxes cont
Wall Street Piles Into UNH: Will it Close at ___ This Week?
It’s not just Warren Buffett—top global quant fund Renaissance Technologies, David Tepper’s Appaloosa Management, and legendary investor Michael Burry have all taken positions in UnitedHealth Group (UNH). This convergence of heavyweights signals strong institutional confidence, even as short-term regulatory and cost pressures linger. With the stock’s valuation currently at historic lows, investors are starting to wonder: could this be the perfect entry point? UnitedHealth (UNH) A Closer Look at UnitedHealth Group UnitedHealth Group isn’t your average health insurer—it’s a sprawling, diversified healthcare empire. The company operates through four core segments: UnitedHealthcare – Provides health benefit plans and services to individuals, small and large businesses, public sector employers,
⚡ Jackson Hole Tonight: Dip, Rally… or Trap This Time? Every August, the quiet town of Jackson Hole turns into Wall Street’s thunder dome. When Jerome Powell speaks, markets don’t just listen — they jerk, whiplash, and rebound. This Friday could be no different. With rate cuts on the horizon, inflation cooling but still sticky, and stocks already stretched, Powell’s words might decide whether we see another classic “dip-then-rip” play… or the first real crack in the bull run. --- 📉 The History: Why Traders Call It “Classic” 2022: Powell unleashed hawk mode → S&P -3% in a single day. 2023: Same tough inflation stance → markets slipped again. 2024: Even with a dovish tilt, stocks still dipped before bouncing. > Jackson Hole has become a ritual: sell first, rethink later, rally after.
Major institutions have been submitting their 13F filings to the SEC, revealing their U.S. stock holdings and shifts in positions for the second quarter. These filings offer a glimpse into what some of the world’s most successful investors are doing. Highlights From the Latest 13F Filings Warren Buffett / Berkshire Hathaway: Buffett took a $1.57 billion position in a healthcare giant, while continuing to trim his Apple holdings. The move underscores his cautious optimism in healthcare, even as he steadily reduces exposure to a tech behemoth he has long championed. Hillhouse Capital: Hillhouse maintained heavy positions in Chinese concept stocks, signaling continued confidence in the long-term potential of the region despite regulatory and geopolitical uncertainties. Goldman Sachs: The bank
Coty (COTY) has been quietly sitting on my watchlist, but until today, I hadn’t really paid attention to its stock price. That changed when it suddenly jumped to the top of my watchlist for largest percentage decline, currently down a little over 20%. Naturally, curiosity got the better of me, and I decided to take a closer look at what this company actually does. Coty (COTY) What Coty Does I referred to Tiger Brokers’ company profile to understand what Coty does. According to the company profile provided by Tiger Brokers: “Coty Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells beauty products worldwide. It operates through Prestige and Consumer Beauty segments. The company provides fragrance, color cosmetics, and skin and body care products. It offers Pre