To The Moon

The involvement of activist investor Ancora Capital in Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) could potentially reshape the proposed deal with Netflix. As an activist investor, Ancora Capital is likely to push for a more favorable outcome for WBD shareholders, which might alter the terms of the deal or even lead to its rejection. Activist pressure can be a powerful force in shaping corporate decisions, and in this case, Ancora Capital's increased stake in WBD gives them a stronger voice in the negotiations. If Ancora Capital is successful in opposing the proposed transaction, it could lead to a reevaluation of the deal's terms or even a search for alternative partners. The proposed deal between WBD and Netflix is likely aimed at strengthening WBD's streaming capabilities and expanding its content of

🎬 Netflix Slumps on Weak Guidance Structural Slowdown… or a High-Quality Dip Opportunity? Netflix just reminded the market of a hard truth: great businesses can still disappoint when expectations get too high. Despite posting record ~325M paid subscribers, solid revenue growth, and accelerating advertising traction, NFLX dropped ~4% post-earnings after management guided to moderating growth into early 2026. The numbers weren’t bad — the narrative was. So the real question isn’t what happened — it’s what happens next 👇 ⸻ 📉 Why the Market Sold First (and Asked Questions Later) Netflix didn’t miss. It underwhelmed — and at this valuation, that’s enough. ⚠️ 1️⃣ Guidance Was the Trigger, Not the Results Management signaled: • Slower revenue growth into early 2026 • Rising film & TV producti

After earning, time to load up some NFLX to build a sizable position while complimenting with options strategy. Aim to load 100 unit to be enough for covered call while existing secured puts positions to hopefully expire in the next few months.

[Sly]  [Sly]  [Sly]  [Sly]  

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit

$Netflix(NFLX)$  Netflix need break above 86 to confirm the trend

$NFLX 20260130 102.0 CALL$ this beast keep falling, but I keep calling to earn premium income 

$Netflix(NFLX)$ Netflix just dropped a bombshell with their latest earnings, sending shares tumbling over 4% in after-hours trading. But hold up—while the guidance for early 2026 looks a tad shaky, this could be the dip savvy investors dream about. Let's dive deep into the drama, crunch the numbers, and figure out if you should buy in or bail out. 🔥 First off, the wins are massive. Netflix smashed records with a whopping 325 million paid subscribers worldwide— that's growth on steroids! 😎 Their ad revenue exploded, hitting over $1.5 billion in 2025 and set to double to around $3 billion this year. Revenue for the last quarter? A solid $12.05 billion, beating expectations and jumping 17.6% year-over-year. Earnings per share clocked in at $0.56, edg

Netflix Earnings Review: Margins Drop to 24.5% After $80B Deal—Is the Risk Now Priced In? $Netflix(NFLX)$   's fourth-quarter results exceeded market expectations across revenue, earnings and cash flow, underscoring the continued resilience of its core business. However, following a sharp run-up in the stock, investor focus quickly shifted after the earnings release to the company's proposed approximately $80 billion all-cash acquisition, and its potential implications for profitability, cash flow and capital structure. As a result, Netflix shares fell more than 4% in after-hours trading. Key Financial Highlights -In the fourth quarter, Netflix reported revenue of $12.05 billion, up 18% year over year. Oper

Netflix (NFLX) Post-Earnings Analysis Netflix (NFLX) experienced a stock decline after its Q4 2025 earnings report. This was primarily due to the Q1 2026 earnings guidance falling short of market consensus, despite revenue and earnings exceeding expectations, and uncertainties surrounding the proposed acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD). 1. Q4 2025 Earnings Highlights Netflix's performance in Q4 2025 surpassed analyst expectations: Revenue: Reached $12.05 billion, exceeding market expectations of $11.97 billion. Earnings Per Share (EPS): $0.56, slightly above the analyst estimate of $0.55. Full-Year Performance: For fiscal year 2025, revenue reached $45.2 billion, a 16% year-over-year increase; operating profit grew by 30%. Paid Subscribers: Global paid subscribers surpassed 325 mi

$Netflix(NFLX)$ $Paramount Skydance Corp(PSKY)$  $Warner Bros. Discovery(WBD)$  I’m watching $NFLX quietly compound at scale 🍿🎥🎬 325M subscribers in 2025, up +8% y/y, and still growing globally 🌍📈 That’s recurring revenue, pricing power, and operating leverage stacking year after year while the market fixates on short-term noise 💰📊 Platforms of this size don’t stall, they monetise 🎯🔥 📢 Don’t miss out! Like, Repost and Follow me for exclusive setups, cutting-edge trends, and insights that move markets 🚀📈 I’m obsessed with hunting down the next big movers and sharing strategies that crush it. Let’s outsmart the market and stack those gains togeth

NETFLIX JUST DROPPED A MASSIVE BOMB! 💣🍿 ​Netflix stock is tumbling (down over 4%) after hours, but the numbers aren’t even the real story. The company just announced a game-changing move that has Wall Street freaking out. 😱 ​Here is the ELI5 breakdown of what is happening: ​The Good News: They actually made more money than expected last quarter. People are still subscribing like crazy (over 325 million users!). ✅ ​The "Meh" News: Their forecast for the next few months was a little weak. Wall Street hates uncertainty. 📉 ​The HUGE News: Netflix said, "We are stopping stock buybacks." Usually, companies buy their own stock to keep the price up. Why did they stop? ​The Reason: They are hoarding cash to buy Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) in an ALL-CASH deal. 🤯 ​Think of it like this: Netflix is l

$88.6 [Grin]

$88.88 $Netflix(NFLX)$ Thanks @Tiger_Earnings

Yes, Netflix’s monetisation + ad momentum can offset deal-related valuation pressure, but only up to a point. If the market believes a WBD deal is becoming “real”, it will likely cap the upside even on a beat, because M&A uncertainty changes the valuation framework from “clean compounding” to “integration + leverage + politics”. 1) Can ads + engagement offset WBD overhang? Partially, yes. The strongest offsets are: Ad-tier scaling: higher ARPU over time, more pricing power, better fill rates Engagement strength: supports pricing, reduces churn, improves lifetime value Operating leverage: Netflix’s margin story matters more now than pure subs growth Free cash flow credibility: keeps the “quality compounder” narrative intact But if investors think a WBD acquisition is likely, the market

86.58 closing price, relatively bearish on news given no surprises and negative reception on the uncertainly by general public on "the end state on war on streaming services" [Cool] [Miser]

Netflix's ad tier momentum is strong, with significant growth and expected contributions to future revenues, driven by expanded advertising infrastructure and live content. However, the Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) deal is currently the bigger story weighing on Netflix's valuation due to substantial debt, regulatory hurdles, and integration challenges. Can Netflix's monetization and ad momentum offset deal-related valuation pressure? While Netflix's ad momentum is positive, the immediate and near-term valuation pressure from the WBD deal is substantial and largely negative. It is uncertain if ad momentum alone can fully offset the current negative market sentiment, as the market appears more focused on the risks of the acquisition. In the long term, a successful WBD acquisition combined wi

Netflix Q4 Preview: Guidance, Ads, and the Warner "Regulatory Put" $Netflix(NFLX)$   will report 2025 Q4 results and issue full-year 2026 guidance after the U.S. close on Tuesday. Since the Q3 earnings release, Netflix shares are down -27%, significantly underperforming the S&P 500, which is up +3%. A major overhang has been uncertainty around a potential Warner acquisition.  Investors' core concern is whether the deal could shift Netflix from a "high FCF + low leverage + buyback machine" into a new profile defined by “content-asset integration + higher leverage + regulatory uncertainty." Even with solid fundamentals, a pending M&A outcome alone can widen the valuation discount and increase vol

📊$Netflix (NFLX) $ Will release Q4 2025 earnings on January 20 after hours, judging from the current market consensus expectations, the overall tone is still positive. Q4 revenue is expected to fall in$119-$12 billion range, the year-on-year growth rate remained atMiddle double digits (approximately 16%-17%), the core drivers come from the adjustment of subscription prices, the continuous optimization of the paid user structure, and the gradual increase in the advertising business. The earnings side is also solid, analysts expectEPS around $5.4-$5.5, operating margins are close to24%, continuing Netflix's recent quarters "Revenue growth + margin improvement"Benign trend. 📈From the perspective of growth logic, the market generally believes that Q4 is

$90.00

The involvement of activist investor Ancora Capital in Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) could potentially reshape the proposed deal with Netflix. As an activist investor, Ancora Capital is likely to push for a more favorable outcome for WBD shareholders, which might alter the terms of the deal or even lead to its rejection. Activist pressure can be a powerful force in shaping corporate decisions, and in this case, Ancora Capital's increased stake in WBD gives them a stronger voice in the negotiations. If Ancora Capital is successful in opposing the proposed transaction, it could lead to a reevaluation of the deal's terms or even a search for alternative partners. The proposed deal between WBD and Netflix is likely aimed at strengthening WBD's streaming capabilities and expanding its content of

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit

🎬 Netflix Slumps on Weak Guidance Structural Slowdown… or a High-Quality Dip Opportunity? Netflix just reminded the market of a hard truth: great businesses can still disappoint when expectations get too high. Despite posting record ~325M paid subscribers, solid revenue growth, and accelerating advertising traction, NFLX dropped ~4% post-earnings after management guided to moderating growth into early 2026. The numbers weren’t bad — the narrative was. So the real question isn’t what happened — it’s what happens next 👇 ⸻ 📉 Why the Market Sold First (and Asked Questions Later) Netflix didn’t miss. It underwhelmed — and at this valuation, that’s enough. ⚠️ 1️⃣ Guidance Was the Trigger, Not the Results Management signaled: • Slower revenue growth into early 2026 • Rising film & TV producti

$Netflix(NFLX)$ $Warner Bros. Discovery(WBD)$  $Paramount Skydance Corp(PSKY)$   Europe has become the decisive battleground for the $83B $NFLX–$WBD endgame, and markets are already repricing the outcome. 🇺🇸➡️🇪🇺 US pressure is not landing, so the resistance has shifted offshore. The anti-$NFLX campaign has now firmly moved into Europe as scrutiny intensifies around the proposed $83B transaction involving $WBD. This is no longer Washington noise, it is a regulatory and cultural battleground. 🎬 David Ellison of $PSKY has been on the ground in Paris, meeting directly with President Macron and senior film executives. Paramount teams have made

📊$Netflix (NFLX) $ Will release Q4 2025 earnings on January 20 after hours, judging from the current market consensus expectations, the overall tone is still positive. Q4 revenue is expected to fall in$119-$12 billion range, the year-on-year growth rate remained atMiddle double digits (approximately 16%-17%), the core drivers come from the adjustment of subscription prices, the continuous optimization of the paid user structure, and the gradual increase in the advertising business. The earnings side is also solid, analysts expectEPS around $5.4-$5.5, operating margins are close to24%, continuing Netflix's recent quarters "Revenue growth + margin improvement"Benign trend. 📈From the perspective of growth logic, the market generally believes that Q4 is

Netflix Earnings Review: Margins Drop to 24.5% After $80B Deal—Is the Risk Now Priced In? $Netflix(NFLX)$   's fourth-quarter results exceeded market expectations across revenue, earnings and cash flow, underscoring the continued resilience of its core business. However, following a sharp run-up in the stock, investor focus quickly shifted after the earnings release to the company's proposed approximately $80 billion all-cash acquisition, and its potential implications for profitability, cash flow and capital structure. As a result, Netflix shares fell more than 4% in after-hours trading. Key Financial Highlights -In the fourth quarter, Netflix reported revenue of $12.05 billion, up 18% year over year. Oper

Netflix Q4 Preview: Guidance, Ads, and the Warner "Regulatory Put" $Netflix(NFLX)$   will report 2025 Q4 results and issue full-year 2026 guidance after the U.S. close on Tuesday. Since the Q3 earnings release, Netflix shares are down -27%, significantly underperforming the S&P 500, which is up +3%. A major overhang has been uncertainty around a potential Warner acquisition.  Investors' core concern is whether the deal could shift Netflix from a "high FCF + low leverage + buyback machine" into a new profile defined by “content-asset integration + higher leverage + regulatory uncertainty." Even with solid fundamentals, a pending M&A outcome alone can widen the valuation discount and increase vol

$Netflix(NFLX)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal fourth-quarter 2025 earnings on Tuesday, January 20, 2026, after the market closes. This earnings report is particularly high-stakes as Netflix enters a "transitional" era. For the first time, investors are grappling with the potential impact of its massive proposed acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD), while also adjusting to the company's decision to stop providing quarterly subscriber guidance. Q4 2025 Forecast: The Consensus Numbers The market is expecting solid top- and bottom-line growth, but attention has shifted toward profitability and ad-tier scaling. Netflix’s fiscal Q3 2025 earnings, reported on October 21, 2025, were a classic "mixed bag" that highlighted both the company's oper

Netflix Q4 Ahead: Monetization King or M&A Bagholder? #NFLX Netflix is set to report its Q4 2025 earnings on Jan 21 after the bell, and the stakes couldn’t be higher. While the fundamental numbers look "beastly" on paper, the elephant in the room isn't subscriber growth anymore—it’s the $83 billion drama surrounding the Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) acquisition. We are at a crossroads: Is Netflix evolving into a diversified media titan, or is it about to suffocate its own pristine balance sheet with legacy debt and regulatory red tape? 1️⃣ The "New Scoreboard": Monetization > Subs For years, we obsessed over "sub adds." That era is officially over. Management has pivoted the narrative toward Revenue, Operating Margin, and Free Cash Flow. * The Forecast: Revenue is expected at $11.97B

$Netflix(NFLX)$ Netflix just dropped a bombshell with their latest earnings, sending shares tumbling over 4% in after-hours trading. But hold up—while the guidance for early 2026 looks a tad shaky, this could be the dip savvy investors dream about. Let's dive deep into the drama, crunch the numbers, and figure out if you should buy in or bail out. 🔥 First off, the wins are massive. Netflix smashed records with a whopping 325 million paid subscribers worldwide— that's growth on steroids! 😎 Their ad revenue exploded, hitting over $1.5 billion in 2025 and set to double to around $3 billion this year. Revenue for the last quarter? A solid $12.05 billion, beating expectations and jumping 17.6% year-over-year. Earnings per share clocked in at $0.56, edg

Netflix Is -34% Since June. Here's Its Chart Ahead of Earnings $Netflix(NFLX)$   has fallen 34% from last June's all-time high, with almost half the declines following word the streaming giant aims to buy $Warner Bros. Discovery(WBD)$   in what's become a bidding war with rival suitor $Paramount Skydance Corp(PSKY)$  . Let's see what NFLX's chart and fundamentals say ahead of next week's Q4 earnings report. Netflix's Fundamental Analysis Netflix and Paramount Skydance have been angling for months to buy Warner Brothers Discovery, with WBD agreeing last month to Netflix's $72 bil

Yes, Netflix’s monetisation + ad momentum can offset deal-related valuation pressure, but only if management keeps the WBD situation clearly “optional” rather than “inevitable”. The market will not punish Netflix for exploring strategic moves. It will punish Netflix if a WBD deal starts to look like a leverage-driven, integration-heavy distraction. Below is the clean framework investors will use on Jan 21. 1) Can monetisation + ads offset WBD deal pressure? It can, if Netflix proves two things (A) Core business is compounding without subscriber “heroics” Investors now want to see: Revenue growth driven by ARPU uplift Higher operating leverage (margins holding up or expanding) Strong free cash flow conversion If Netflix prints strong results and guides confidently, the market tends to treat

Netflix All-Cash Offer? Strategic Move Or Value Risk? 1. Is the market overpricing the risks of Netflix's WBD acquisition? The market has reacted negatively to Netflix's acquisition announcement, with its shares falling by about 15% since the announcement. As of the current date, Netflix (NFLX) is down 1.96% with a closing price of $88.55. This negative reaction suggests investors are pricing in significant risks. Key Investor Worries: High Debt Burden: Netflix plans to take on substantial debt to finance the $82.7 billion deal, with post-acquisition debt potentially reaching $75 billion. This increases leverage risks, especially in a high-interest rate environment. Integration Challenges: Concerns exist about integrating Netflix's agile culture with Warner Bros.' traditional operations, g

Netflix (NFLX) Post-Earnings Analysis Netflix (NFLX) experienced a stock decline after its Q4 2025 earnings report. This was primarily due to the Q1 2026 earnings guidance falling short of market consensus, despite revenue and earnings exceeding expectations, and uncertainties surrounding the proposed acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD). 1. Q4 2025 Earnings Highlights Netflix's performance in Q4 2025 surpassed analyst expectations: Revenue: Reached $12.05 billion, exceeding market expectations of $11.97 billion. Earnings Per Share (EPS): $0.56, slightly above the analyst estimate of $0.55. Full-Year Performance: For fiscal year 2025, revenue reached $45.2 billion, a 16% year-over-year increase; operating profit grew by 30%. Paid Subscribers: Global paid subscribers surpassed 325 mi

I have a post on $Netflix(NFLX)$ after it was announced that they have won the bid to buy Warner Bros. Click here ! for the details and help to Repost so more people will know ok, tks! It was supposed to have been out on Mon, 08 Dec 2025 but review team was allegedly so busy, they did not do their job, it until Tuesday. Much have taken place since composing original post on Sunday. For a start, NFLX stock price continued to pullback as investors weren’t keen with the company buying Warner Bros; despite the extensive catalog of intellectual property (IPs) owned by the media giant. On Mon, 08 Dec 2025, NFLX fell (again) by -3.44% to close at $96.79 per share. (see below) In fac

Yes, Netflix’s monetisation + ad momentum can offset deal-related valuation pressure, but only up to a point. If the market believes a WBD deal is becoming “real”, it will likely cap the upside even on a beat, because M&A uncertainty changes the valuation framework from “clean compounding” to “integration + leverage + politics”. 1) Can ads + engagement offset WBD overhang? Partially, yes. The strongest offsets are: Ad-tier scaling: higher ARPU over time, more pricing power, better fill rates Engagement strength: supports pricing, reduces churn, improves lifetime value Operating leverage: Netflix’s margin story matters more now than pure subs growth Free cash flow credibility: keeps the “quality compounder” narrative intact But if investors think a WBD acquisition is likely, the market

$Netflix(NFLX)$ $Warner Bros. Discovery(WBD)$  $Paramount Skydance Corp(PSKY)$  📈🎬🔥 Netflix vs Warner Bros Discovery, M&A tension meets a volatility inflection 🔥🎬📈 $NFLX is pressing into a critical liquidity pocket after sliding inside a clean descending channel from the late-June record high of $134.12. Price is now sitting in the same $83 to $90 demand zone that defined the April structural low, even while Netflix is still up +7% over the last 12M. That divergence between price and fundamentals is where mean reversion setups are born. 🧠 Options Flow and Volatility Options positioning is flashing extreme asymmetry. The 10-day call to put r

$Netflix(NFLX)$ will post its Q4 FY2025 results after market close on Tue, Jan 20, 2026. Wall Street is watching one thing: can Netflix keep the Q3 momentum going—especially as the story shifts from “subscriber adds” to monetization (pricing + ads) and engagement?Earnings Highlights1) Ads take center stage：Consensus expects ad revenue around $1.08B this quarter. What matters most is management commentary on ad-tier adoption + monetization (ad load, demand, pricing power) — because ads are now a key pillar of the “next chapter” Netflix narrative.2) Margins & free cash flow = “quality of earnings”：Street expectations point to stronger profitability: revenue $11.97B (+16.8% YoY), net income $2.39B (+27.7% YoY), EPS $0.55 (+29.4% YoY). If operatin

Netflix's ad tier momentum is strong, with significant growth and expected contributions to future revenues, driven by expanded advertising infrastructure and live content. However, the Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) deal is currently the bigger story weighing on Netflix's valuation due to substantial debt, regulatory hurdles, and integration challenges. Can Netflix's monetization and ad momentum offset deal-related valuation pressure? While Netflix's ad momentum is positive, the immediate and near-term valuation pressure from the WBD deal is substantial and largely negative. It is uncertain if ad momentum alone can fully offset the current negative market sentiment, as the market appears more focused on the risks of the acquisition. In the long term, a successful WBD acquisition combined wi

Extra, Extra. Read All About It. It is official. $Netflix(NFLX)$ has emerged victorious with what appears to be the highest & winning bid for $Warner Bros. Discovery(WBD)$. According to Deadline, NFLX will commence exclusive talks to finalize a deal. This caps a tumultuous day that saw $Paramount Skydance Corp(PSKY)$ move aggressively to counter the giant streamer and seal a deal of its own for WBD. According to sources, NFLX offered $27.75 a share for WBD, mostly in cash vs PSKY all-cash of $30 a share. Many believe this fast-moving auction is one that will reshape the entertainment landscape dramatically, locally in the US and globally. The Bidding War. WBD