AAOI's Dilution Is Priced In—Here's the 2028 Bull Case
Here's how I model $Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI)$ post the $600M ATM offering AH on a Friday...: 1. Revenue: Still fair to assume $5.6B in FY28 revenue (probably slightly conservative excluding ELSFP contribution). I've been over these numbers a lot. 2. Margins: 22% non-GAAP net margins is a solid base case for 2028. At $5.6B revenue scale, we should see operating leverage expansion. We see $Lumentum(LITE)$ guiding towards 36%, Innolight ~31%, and Eoptolink ~37%. 22% is also currently in line with analyst estimates (who have so far been conservative on the $Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI)$ numbers but best to take a
NVDA, OKLO, SOXX, SMCI& NFLX Comes to the Crossroad Right Now
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 $Netflix(NFLX)$Bounced off the S/R flip zone pretty nicely over the last two months. 2 $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ Bull flag on the daily candle chart. 3 $iShares Semiconductor ETF(SOXX)$ Bear flag or ultimate fake out setup before potential $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ earnings ripper? 4 $Oklo Inc.(OKLO)$ Still a month and a half that price could trade in this falling wedge before hitting the apex. However, at that point, things get pr
TSLA, MU, MCD, COST& SPY Confronted the Tough Choice: Buy In or Exit?
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 Since the 2022 lows, the $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ has provided an impressive 22% annual return. What a run 🔥 2 $Costco(COST)$ slipped below the 200EMA The business hasn’t gotten the memo 👀 Cardholders and warehouses have continued to make record highs as growth rates start to recover 3 The chart looks stressed. The business doesn’t. $McDonald's(MCD)$ sitting below its 200 week EMA with momentum starting to turn bullish 4 Gotta be a candidate for one of the greatest wedge breakouts of all time 🔥
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 9:40am, Aug. 14, my 2-hr TOP KILLER signal flashed RED ALERT, and I opened some short-term puts & have closed ALL of them today. A few sessions generated 170+ SPX points, which is quite remarkable--esp. since this indicator rarely flashes; but, if it does, look out below. $S&P 500(.SPX)$
IREN, CLSK, OXY, SNDK& MRVL Enjoy Great Potential to Go!
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 Jensen Huang called it "the next trillion dollar company" It is currently worth $220B. $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ 2 $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ trying to make this breakout stick 💾 3 Buffett favorite breaking out to its highest price in over 4 months 👀 $Occidental(OXY)$ 4 Bullish RSI divergence found 👀 $CleanSpark, Inc.(CLSK)$ 5 $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ has some catching up to do 👀
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! Currently, after a sharp rally, the market has confirmed short-term top signals and is in a clear phase of accelerating decline ahead of the European market open. $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ The bearish “Dark Cloud Cover” pattern indicates that, after reaching an all-time high of 4,527.45, the 4-hour chart has closed with two consecutive bearish candles featuring extremely large real bodies, completely engulfing the real bodies of the previous bullish candles. Technically, this is a classic signal of a top formation and reversal. Currently, there are no signs of a bottoming out indicated by a lower shadow; prices are expected to continue testing the 4,425–4,430
HIMS, BULL, META, TLT& XLV Welcome Great Upward Momentum
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 $Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLV)$ soaring to new all-time highs after a historic day on the mission to cure cancer 2 Long-term Treasury prices are currently trading at 22-year lows... Yes, 22-year lows. Persistent inflation, ballooning government debt, and uncertainty around the Fed have investors demanding much higher yields to hold long-term debt. $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ 3 Pressure building at a level $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ simply refuses to give up 🌡️ 4 Another mean Stage 2 breakout after a strong Q2 earnings
BTC, .SPX, META& AMZN Suffer Downward Momentum Right Now?
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ Technically a bull flag still on the weekly candle chart but things need to get goin quick. 2 $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ If this breaks down through the 2023 pivot VWAP zone, this would be a big status quo change over the last 3 years. 3 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Ready to test the S/R flip zone below? This would actually be the most normal thing to happen after a breakout like we recently saw. 4 $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ Breakout on the daily candle chart. Or just anot
ADBE, MA, BABA, DKNG& META: Still Dip or Wait for Inversing?
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 Taking a deeper look at $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ 👀 Daily active users across the Meta family of apps continues to hit new highs. Revenue growth remains healthy across every major geography. Worldwide ad impressions growth has picked up off its 2024 slump. Despite all this, $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ stock sits down -16% YTD. Is this a no brainer long-term buy? 2 Michael Burry has notably shorted some of the biggest names in the AI trade... Meanwhile, he's gone long $DraftKings Inc.(DKNG)$ But why? Let's take a look under the hood 👀 3 Pot
IREN, SLV, HOOD, PFE& XLE Welcome Great Rebound Here
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technica analysis with you! 1 Energy $Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLE)$ quietly putting together its best stretch in months as it breaks out of the wedge 🌶️ 2 🚨 CEO Buy Alert The CEO of Pfizer $Pfizer(PFE)$ dropped $1,000,000 on his own stock last week while shares trade more than -55% below their 2021 peak. 3 MACD just crossed bullish below the zero line 👀 $Robinhood(HOOD)$ 4 Silver $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$ reclaiming the 200 👀 5 It's a loooong way to Wall Street's price targets 🌶️
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some techncial analysis with you! 1 $Oscar Health, Inc.(OSCR)$ just engulfed 8 weeks of price action in a single weekly candle... 🌶️ 2 Cup and handle breaking out as weekly MACD flips bullish... Now you have my attention 👀 $Exxon Mobil(XOM)$ 3 $ServiceNow(NOW)$ entering back-to-back #1 seasonal weeks off the inverse head and shoulders 👀 4 $Rollins(ROL)$ monthly RSI currently sits at its lowest level since May 2000 🌶️ 5 Pushing off the base as volume continues picking up
STX, WDAY, BSX, NFLX& NOW Enjoy Great Rebound Here!
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 The 200EMA is being serviced NOW. 👀 $ServiceNow(NOW)$ 2 4 years and some change later, Bill Ackman is back in $Netflix(NFLX)$ 👀 3 🚨 CEO Buy Alert The CEO of Boston Scientific $Boston Scientific(BSX)$ just dropped $9,000,000 on his own stock while shares are down nearly 50% YTD... 🌶️ 4 Shares of Workday $Workday(WDAY)$ leap nearly +30% in minutes on news of a potential acquisition by Silver Lake 🔥 5 We need more storage $Seagate Techno
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 $Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL)$This has NOT technically broken out yet because the weekly candle has not closed. However, nearing a potentially status quo changing breakout by the end of the week. 2 $CSOP KOSPI(03121)$ The Korean index is suggesting the memory/chip trade may be back on for the next couple of weeks. 3 $Micron Technology(MU)$ I’m not remotely close to the IQ, but I really don’t see how this doesn’t go to at least $1,000 at this point. 4 $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ This is
Gold Retreats to $4,400 as Geopolitical Risks Clash with Cooling US Inflation
$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$Gold prices edged lower in Asian trading on Thursday, with XAU/USD retreating to around $4,400. Gold had previously maintained a strong performance at elevated levels, but new geopolitical risks are prompting the market to reassess energy prices and the inflation outlook, leading to some profit-taking by short-term investors. However, gold’s downside remains limited by shifting expectations regarding U.S. monetary policy; the fact that U.S. inflation data for July did not show a renewed acceleration has reduced pressure on the Federal Reserve to tighten policy further in September. The gold market currently faces
JPM, CBRS, DELL, TOST& AMZN Show the Different Momentum
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 Buying $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ here means you're paying less per dollar the company makes than at ANY point in the last decade... 🌶️ 2 🚨$Toast, Inc.(TOST)$ is seeing its first Stage 2 breakout since early 2024 Shares ran over +150% the last time we saw this occur 👀 3 $Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL)$ knocking on the door of all-time highs 🚪✊ 4 $Cerebras Systems(CBRS)$ OUCH 🩸 Q2 EPS: $(2.98) vs $(1.41) est ❌ Q2 Sales: $180.110M vs $194.202M est ❌ 🟥 -9.14% 5 Its been a red hot summer for the ban
AI Trading Ideas: What can We Learn From These Tradings?
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 I came away from $AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$ earnings more bullish because the business is moving to actually building the network with revenue roughly doubling sequentially to $32M, backlog reaching ~$1.3B, 13 satellites now in orbit and production already extending through BlueBird 46. With more than $3.7B of liquidity, financing the first phase looks much less risky while the bigger execution question is how quickly ~$610M of quarterly capex can turn satellites, launches, manufacturing and gateways into a functioning commercial network. That spending is what eventually unlocks the model because AST is effectively building a cellular network before turning it
AAOI's Dilution Is Priced In—Here's the 2028 Bull Case
Here's how I model $Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI)$ post the $600M ATM offering AH on a Friday...: 1. Revenue: Still fair to assume $5.6B in FY28 revenue (probably slightly conservative excluding ELSFP contribution). I've been over these numbers a lot. 2. Margins: 22% non-GAAP net margins is a solid base case for 2028. At $5.6B revenue scale, we should see operating leverage expansion. We see $Lumentum(LITE)$ guiding towards 36%, Innolight ~31%, and Eoptolink ~37%. 22% is also currently in line with analyst estimates (who have so far been conservative on the $Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI)$ numbers but best to take a
NVDA, OKLO, SOXX, SMCI& NFLX Comes to the Crossroad Right Now
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 $Netflix(NFLX)$Bounced off the S/R flip zone pretty nicely over the last two months. 2 $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ Bull flag on the daily candle chart. 3 $iShares Semiconductor ETF(SOXX)$ Bear flag or ultimate fake out setup before potential $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ earnings ripper? 4 $Oklo Inc.(OKLO)$ Still a month and a half that price could trade in this falling wedge before hitting the apex. However, at that point, things get pr
TSLA, MU, MCD, COST& SPY Confronted the Tough Choice: Buy In or Exit?
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 Since the 2022 lows, the $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ has provided an impressive 22% annual return. What a run 🔥 2 $Costco(COST)$ slipped below the 200EMA The business hasn’t gotten the memo 👀 Cardholders and warehouses have continued to make record highs as growth rates start to recover 3 The chart looks stressed. The business doesn’t. $McDonald's(MCD)$ sitting below its 200 week EMA with momentum starting to turn bullish 4 Gotta be a candidate for one of the greatest wedge breakouts of all time 🔥
IREN, CLSK, OXY, SNDK& MRVL Enjoy Great Potential to Go!
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 Jensen Huang called it "the next trillion dollar company" It is currently worth $220B. $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ 2 $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ trying to make this breakout stick 💾 3 Buffett favorite breaking out to its highest price in over 4 months 👀 $Occidental(OXY)$ 4 Bullish RSI divergence found 👀 $CleanSpark, Inc.(CLSK)$ 5 $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ has some catching up to do 👀
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 9:40am, Aug. 14, my 2-hr TOP KILLER signal flashed RED ALERT, and I opened some short-term puts & have closed ALL of them today. A few sessions generated 170+ SPX points, which is quite remarkable--esp. since this indicator rarely flashes; but, if it does, look out below. $S&P 500(.SPX)$
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! Currently, after a sharp rally, the market has confirmed short-term top signals and is in a clear phase of accelerating decline ahead of the European market open. $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ The bearish “Dark Cloud Cover” pattern indicates that, after reaching an all-time high of 4,527.45, the 4-hour chart has closed with two consecutive bearish candles featuring extremely large real bodies, completely engulfing the real bodies of the previous bullish candles. Technically, this is a classic signal of a top formation and reversal. Currently, there are no signs of a bottoming out indicated by a lower shadow; prices are expected to continue testing the 4,425–4,430
HIMS, BULL, META, TLT& XLV Welcome Great Upward Momentum
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 $Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLV)$ soaring to new all-time highs after a historic day on the mission to cure cancer 2 Long-term Treasury prices are currently trading at 22-year lows... Yes, 22-year lows. Persistent inflation, ballooning government debt, and uncertainty around the Fed have investors demanding much higher yields to hold long-term debt. $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ 3 Pressure building at a level $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ simply refuses to give up 🌡️ 4 Another mean Stage 2 breakout after a strong Q2 earnings
ADBE, MA, BABA, DKNG& META: Still Dip or Wait for Inversing?
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 Taking a deeper look at $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ 👀 Daily active users across the Meta family of apps continues to hit new highs. Revenue growth remains healthy across every major geography. Worldwide ad impressions growth has picked up off its 2024 slump. Despite all this, $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ stock sits down -16% YTD. Is this a no brainer long-term buy? 2 Michael Burry has notably shorted some of the biggest names in the AI trade... Meanwhile, he's gone long $DraftKings Inc.(DKNG)$ But why? Let's take a look under the hood 👀 3 Pot
BTC, .SPX, META& AMZN Suffer Downward Momentum Right Now?
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ Technically a bull flag still on the weekly candle chart but things need to get goin quick. 2 $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ If this breaks down through the 2023 pivot VWAP zone, this would be a big status quo change over the last 3 years. 3 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Ready to test the S/R flip zone below? This would actually be the most normal thing to happen after a breakout like we recently saw. 4 $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ Breakout on the daily candle chart. Or just anot
IREN, SLV, HOOD, PFE& XLE Welcome Great Rebound Here
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technica analysis with you! 1 Energy $Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLE)$ quietly putting together its best stretch in months as it breaks out of the wedge 🌶️ 2 🚨 CEO Buy Alert The CEO of Pfizer $Pfizer(PFE)$ dropped $1,000,000 on his own stock last week while shares trade more than -55% below their 2021 peak. 3 MACD just crossed bullish below the zero line 👀 $Robinhood(HOOD)$ 4 Silver $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$ reclaiming the 200 👀 5 It's a loooong way to Wall Street's price targets 🌶️
AI Trading Ideas: What can We Learn From These Tradings?
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 I came away from $AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$ earnings more bullish because the business is moving to actually building the network with revenue roughly doubling sequentially to $32M, backlog reaching ~$1.3B, 13 satellites now in orbit and production already extending through BlueBird 46. With more than $3.7B of liquidity, financing the first phase looks much less risky while the bigger execution question is how quickly ~$610M of quarterly capex can turn satellites, launches, manufacturing and gateways into a functioning commercial network. That spending is what eventually unlocks the model because AST is effectively building a cellular network before turning it
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some techncial analysis with you! 1 $Oscar Health, Inc.(OSCR)$ just engulfed 8 weeks of price action in a single weekly candle... 🌶️ 2 Cup and handle breaking out as weekly MACD flips bullish... Now you have my attention 👀 $Exxon Mobil(XOM)$ 3 $ServiceNow(NOW)$ entering back-to-back #1 seasonal weeks off the inverse head and shoulders 👀 4 $Rollins(ROL)$ monthly RSI currently sits at its lowest level since May 2000 🌶️ 5 Pushing off the base as volume continues picking up
Gold Retreats to $4,400 as Geopolitical Risks Clash with Cooling US Inflation
$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$Gold prices edged lower in Asian trading on Thursday, with XAU/USD retreating to around $4,400. Gold had previously maintained a strong performance at elevated levels, but new geopolitical risks are prompting the market to reassess energy prices and the inflation outlook, leading to some profit-taking by short-term investors. However, gold’s downside remains limited by shifting expectations regarding U.S. monetary policy; the fact that U.S. inflation data for July did not show a renewed acceleration has reduced pressure on the Federal Reserve to tighten policy further in September. The gold market currently faces
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 $Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL)$This has NOT technically broken out yet because the weekly candle has not closed. However, nearing a potentially status quo changing breakout by the end of the week. 2 $CSOP KOSPI(03121)$ The Korean index is suggesting the memory/chip trade may be back on for the next couple of weeks. 3 $Micron Technology(MU)$ I’m not remotely close to the IQ, but I really don’t see how this doesn’t go to at least $1,000 at this point. 4 $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ This is
STX, WDAY, BSX, NFLX& NOW Enjoy Great Rebound Here!
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 The 200EMA is being serviced NOW. 👀 $ServiceNow(NOW)$ 2 4 years and some change later, Bill Ackman is back in $Netflix(NFLX)$ 👀 3 🚨 CEO Buy Alert The CEO of Boston Scientific $Boston Scientific(BSX)$ just dropped $9,000,000 on his own stock while shares are down nearly 50% YTD... 🌶️ 4 Shares of Workday $Workday(WDAY)$ leap nearly +30% in minutes on news of a potential acquisition by Silver Lake 🔥 5 We need more storage $Seagate Techno
JPM, CBRS, DELL, TOST& AMZN Show the Different Momentum
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 Buying $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ here means you're paying less per dollar the company makes than at ANY point in the last decade... 🌶️ 2 🚨$Toast, Inc.(TOST)$ is seeing its first Stage 2 breakout since early 2024 Shares ran over +150% the last time we saw this occur 👀 3 $Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL)$ knocking on the door of all-time highs 🚪✊ 4 $Cerebras Systems(CBRS)$ OUCH 🩸 Q2 EPS: $(2.98) vs $(1.41) est ❌ Q2 Sales: $180.110M vs $194.202M est ❌ 🟥 -9.14% 5 Its been a red hot summer for the ban
CAVA, ONDS, ADBE, ORLY& AMZN Welcome Great Upward Momentum Here!
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ now flagging at all-time highs 🌶️ 2 What if I told you one of the best performing assets over the past 2 decades has a jingle you probably still remember to this day? A $10,000 investment in $O'Reilly(ORLY)$ made in 2000 is now worth more than 2 million dollars. You never needed a Silicon Valley disruptor to beat the market. 3 $Adobe(ADBE)$ pushing off 8 year lows as revenue growth accelerates 💨 4 Bingo! $Ondas Holdings Inc.(ONDS)$ +55% since the lows with earnings o