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2022-03-01

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How to stop oil prices from rising above $115? Goldman Sachs: There's Only One Way

导语：继俄乌冲突后，油价一度突破100美元/桶的关口。高盛表示，由于战争升级的潜在可能性、经济制裁或俄罗斯石油出口的长期中断，油价上涨的风险很大，只有降低需求才能阻止油价在下个月升至115美元。继俄罗

How to stop oil prices from rising above $115? Goldman Sachs: There's Only One Way

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Goldman Sachs: There's Only One Way","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1172478440","media":"腾讯自选股","summary":"导语：继俄乌冲突后，油价一度突破100美元/桶的关口。高盛表示，由于战争升级的潜在可能性、经济制裁或俄罗斯石油出口的长期中断，油价上涨的风险很大，只有降低需求才能阻止油价在下个月升至115美元。继俄罗","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Introduction: Following the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, oil prices once exceeded the US $100/barrel mark. Goldman Sachs said the risk of rising oil prices is high due to the potential for an escalation of the war, economic sanctions or a prolonged disruption to Russian oil exports, and only lower demand can prevent oil from rising to $115 next month. Following Russia's action against Ukraine, oil prices reached their highest level since 2014, even breaking through the $100/barrel mark at one point.</p><p>Goldman Sachs said only lower demand could prevent oil from rising to $115 next month.</p><p>Following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the leaders of the European Union, France, Germany, Italy, Britain, the United States, and Canada issued a joint statement announcing sanctions against the Russian Central Bank and the removal of some selected Russian banks from the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Communications (SWIFT) system.</p><p>Analysts said that this is the most severe economic sanctions imposed by Western countries on Russia since the Russia-Ukraine conflict.</p><p>However, an anonymous U.S. official said that the White House is considering exempting energy-related transactions to prevent oil prices from soaring.</p><p>Last Sunday, Goldman Sachs said in a client note that the goal of removing some Russian banks from the SWIFT international payment system and restricting the Russian central bank's international business will affect Russian seaborne oil exports in the short term.</p><p>The bank raised its one-month Brent crude oil price forecast to $115 a barrel from $95, with significant upside risks if the situation escalates further or the disruption is prolonged.</p><p>Goldman Sachs said the risk of higher oil prices is high due to the potential for an escalation of the war, economic sanctions or a prolonged disruption to Russian oil exports.</p><p>After falling last Friday, oil prices surged again on Monday, reaching more than $100 a barrel.</p><p>On Monday, the exchange rates of the US dollar and the euro rose to all-time highs against the ruble, when the United States and Canada announced a ban on transactions with the Russian central bank.</p><p>According to the report, in the day's trading, the exchange rates of the US dollar and the euro on the Moscow Exchange rose by more than 31%, and 1 US dollar and 1 euro could be exchanged for 109 rubles and 121 rubles respectively.</p><p>Experts predict that the ruble exchange rate will decline in the context of the West's decision to impose sanctions on Russia in the form of freezing the assets of the Russian central bank.</p><p>In the face of severe sanctions imposed by western countries on the Russian financial system, in order to stabilize the domestic financial market, the emergency meeting of the board of directors of the Central Bank of Russia decided on February 28th to raise the key interest rate to 20%, the highest adjustment range in history.</p><p>According to the analysis, the impact of sanctions on Russian oil trade has begun to appear.</p><p>There are reports that some banks have stopped financing deals involving Russian oil.</p><p>Analysts said that commodity markets need to reflect not only the difficulty of paying for Russian exports, but also the risk that Russian commodities will eventually be restricted by the West. They added that the United States no longer ruled out such an outcome.</p><p>Goldman Sachs said the only possible short-term supply in the oil market would come from the OPEC + alliance, which will meet later this week.</p><p>According to the analysis, the surge in oil production in Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, coupled with the lifting of U.S. sanctions on Iran, may increase the global daily oil supply by 2 million barrels in the coming months, and the internationally coordinated release of oil reserves will help make up for this gap. But this will come at the expense of consuming spare capacity, which will drive up prices.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"lsy1590721949393","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How to stop oil prices from rising above $115? 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Goldman Sachs: There's Only One Way\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">腾讯自选股</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-03-01 20:52</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Introduction: Following the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, oil prices once exceeded the US $100/barrel mark. Goldman Sachs said the risk of rising oil prices is high due to the potential for an escalation of the war, economic sanctions or a prolonged disruption to Russian oil exports, and only lower demand can prevent oil from rising to $115 next month. Following Russia's action against Ukraine, oil prices reached their highest level since 2014, even breaking through the $100/barrel mark at one point.</p><p>Goldman Sachs said only lower demand could prevent oil from rising to $115 next month.</p><p>Following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the leaders of the European Union, France, Germany, Italy, Britain, the United States, and Canada issued a joint statement announcing sanctions against the Russian Central Bank and the removal of some selected Russian banks from the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Communications (SWIFT) system.</p><p>Analysts said that this is the most severe economic sanctions imposed by Western countries on Russia since the Russia-Ukraine conflict.</p><p>However, an anonymous U.S. official said that the White House is considering exempting energy-related transactions to prevent oil prices from soaring.</p><p>Last Sunday, Goldman Sachs said in a client note that the goal of removing some Russian banks from the SWIFT international payment system and restricting the Russian central bank's international business will affect Russian seaborne oil exports in the short term.</p><p>The bank raised its one-month Brent crude oil price forecast to $115 a barrel from $95, with significant upside risks if the situation escalates further or the disruption is prolonged.</p><p>Goldman Sachs said the risk of higher oil prices is high due to the potential for an escalation of the war, economic sanctions or a prolonged disruption to Russian oil exports.</p><p>After falling last Friday, oil prices surged again on Monday, reaching more than $100 a barrel.</p><p>On Monday, the exchange rates of the US dollar and the euro rose to all-time highs against the ruble, when the United States and Canada announced a ban on transactions with the Russian central bank.</p><p>According to the report, in the day's trading, the exchange rates of the US dollar and the euro on the Moscow Exchange rose by more than 31%, and 1 US dollar and 1 euro could be exchanged for 109 rubles and 121 rubles respectively.</p><p>Experts predict that the ruble exchange rate will decline in the context of the West's decision to impose sanctions on Russia in the form of freezing the assets of the Russian central bank.</p><p>In the face of severe sanctions imposed by western countries on the Russian financial system, in order to stabilize the domestic financial market, the emergency meeting of the board of directors of the Central Bank of Russia decided on February 28th to raise the key interest rate to 20%, the highest adjustment range in history.</p><p>According to the analysis, the impact of sanctions on Russian oil trade has begun to appear.</p><p>There are reports that some banks have stopped financing deals involving Russian oil.</p><p>Analysts said that commodity markets need to reflect not only the difficulty of paying for Russian exports, but also the risk that Russian commodities will eventually be restricted by the West. They added that the United States no longer ruled out such an outcome.</p><p>Goldman Sachs said the only possible short-term supply in the oil market would come from the OPEC + alliance, which will meet later this week.</p><p>According to the analysis, the surge in oil production in Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, coupled with the lifting of U.S. sanctions on Iran, may increase the global daily oil supply by 2 million barrels in the coming months, and the internationally coordinated release of oil reserves will help make up for this gap. But this will come at the expense of consuming spare capacity, which will drive up prices.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wzq.tenpay.com/mp/v2/index.html?stat_data=4003000011#/information/detail?id=SN202203012039557764704e&shareSource=fromApp&zxtype=1&appVersion=undefined\">腾讯自选股</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cdc7ca9eb3fdcde7868d42c981e73b12","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://wzq.tenpay.com/mp/v2/index.html?stat_data=4003000011#/information/detail?id=SN202203012039557764704e&shareSource=fromApp&zxtype=1&appVersion=undefined","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1172478440","content_text":"导语：继俄乌冲突后，油价一度突破100美元/桶的关口。高盛表示，由于战争升级的潜在可能性、经济制裁或俄罗斯石油出口的长期中断，油价上涨的风险很大，只有降低需求才能阻止油价在下个月升至115美元。继俄罗斯对乌克兰采取行动后，石油价格达到了自2014年以来的最高水平，甚至一度突破了100美元/桶的关口。高盛(Goldman Sachs)表示，只有降低需求才能阻止油价在下个月升至115美元。在俄罗斯入侵乌克兰后，欧盟、法、德、意、英、美、加领导人发表联合声明，宣布对俄罗斯中央银行实施制裁，并将一些选定的俄罗斯银行从环球银行间金融通信协会(SWIFT)系统中剔除。分析称，这是自俄乌冲突来，西方国家对俄罗斯采取的最严厉的经济制裁手段。不过，一位匿名美国官员称，白宫正考虑对涉及能源的交易进行豁免，以防止油价飙升。上周日，高盛在一份客户报告中称，将部分俄罗斯银行从SWIFT国际支付系统中剔除及限制俄罗斯央行实施国际业务的目标，将在短期内影响俄罗斯海运石油的出口。该行将布伦特原油一个月价格预期从每桶95美元上调至115美元，如果局势进一步升级或中断时间延长，则存在显著上行风险。高盛(Goldman Sachs)表示，由于战争升级的潜在可能性、经济制裁或俄罗斯石油出口的长期中断，油价上涨的风险很大。继上周五出现下跌后，油价在周一再次飙升，达到每桶100美元以上。周一，美元和欧元兑卢布汇率均升至历史高点，当天美国加拿大宣布禁止同俄罗斯央行交易。报道称，在当天的交易中莫斯科交易所美元和欧元汇率上涨31%以上，1美元和1欧元分别可兑换109卢布和121卢布。专家预计，在西方决定以冻结俄央行资产的形式实施对俄制裁的背景下卢布汇率还将下降。面对西方国家对俄罗斯金融体系实施的严厉制裁，为稳定国内金融市场，俄罗斯中央银行董事会紧急会议2月28日决定将关键利率上调至20%，调整幅度创历史之最。分析称，制裁对俄罗斯石油贸易的影响已开始显现。有报道称，一些银行已经停止为涉及俄罗斯石油的交易提供融资。分析师们表示，大宗商品市场不仅需要反映为俄罗斯出口支付货款的困难，还需要反映俄罗斯大宗商品最终受到西方限制的风险。他们补充称，美国已不再排除这种结果。高盛表示，石油市场唯一可能的短期供应将来自欧佩克+联盟，该联盟将于本周晚些时候召开会议。分析称，沙特和阿联酋的石油产量激增，加上美国解除对伊朗的制裁，或会在未来几个月使全球每日石油供应量增加200万桶，而国际协调释放的石油储备有助于弥补这一缺口。 但这将以消耗闲置产能为代价，从而推高价格。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GS":0.9,"UKOILmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1920,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":3,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}