Good-To The Moon - Tiger Brokers Online Investing Community

Like
Comment
Favorite

TanTH
2021-08-24

Good

A carnival feast for the bulls! The Fed in a dilemma? The U.S. dollar plunges high and the financial market plays a "rising chorus"

FX168财经报社(北美)讯周一(8月23日)美市盘中，美元指数持续走低，并刷新日低至93.01，因市场对美国货币政策方向的疑虑引发获利回吐；美元回落以及新冠疫情肆虐引发的担忧情绪提振了黄金，现货黄金终于突破1800...

A carnival feast for the bulls! The Fed in a dilemma? The U.S. dollar plunges high and the financial market plays a "rising chorus"

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Report

Comment

Top
Latest

No comments yet

Most Discussed

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"data":{"magic":2,"id":835733147,"tweetId":"835733147","gmtCreate":1629743259689,"gmtModify":1676530118050,"author":{"id":3586167248367118,"idStr":"3586167248367118","authorId":3586167248367118,"authorIdStr":"3586167248367118","name":"TanTH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9317bf33bd64e46c21c589d7bac5157","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":6,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>Good&nbsp;</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>Good&nbsp;</p></body></html>","text":"Good","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/835733147","repostId":2161772849,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2161772849","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629740700,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2161772849?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-24 01:45","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"A carnival feast for the bulls! The Fed in a dilemma? The U.S. dollar plunges high and the financial market plays a \"rising chorus\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2161772849","media":"FX168","summary":"FX168财经报社(北美)讯 周一(8月23日)美市盘中，美元指数持续走低，并刷新日低至93.01，因市场对美国货币政策方向的疑虑引发获利回吐；美元回落以及新冠疫情肆虐引发的担忧情绪提振了黄金，现货黄金终于突破1800...","content":"<p><html><body><div><div>FX168 Financial News (North America) News On Monday (August 23rd), the US Dollar Index continued to fall in the US market, and refreshed as low as 93.01 on a new day, due to profit-taking caused by market doubts about the direction of US monetary policy; The fall of the US dollar and the worries caused by the raging COVID-19 pandemic boosted gold, and spot gold finally broke through the $1,800 mark, up $30 from the daily low; The crude oil market was boosted by the weakening of the US dollar and zero new confirmed cases in China. U.S. WTI crude oil rose sharply by 6%; The three major U.S. stock indexes all rose, with the Dow rising 300 points or 0.8% and the Nasdaq rising 1.6%. As COVID-19 pandemic continues to counterattack, the Federal Reserve will hold its annual symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, later this week. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's economic outlook speech and the timing of tapering quantitative easing have attracted much attention.</p><p><strong>The data released by the United States during the day is mixed: the United States in August<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRKT\">Markit</a>The initial value of the service PMI recorded 55.2, the lowest since December last year. The preliminary U.S. manufacturing PMI fell to 61.2 in August from 63.4 in July.</strong></p><p>Agency commentary said that U.S. business activity continued to slow, with growth slowing to an eight-month low in August on the back of raw material shortages, labor shortages and rising new crown cases. The pullback in PMIs this month highlights the extent to which supply chain disruptions have hit companies already struggling to meet demand. Service suppliers and manufacturers continue to face challenges in attracting workers and securing supply.</p><p><strong>However, another data released later performed strongly: the U.S. existing home sales data in July was 5.99 million, compared with the expected 5.81 million, and the previous value was revised to 5.87 million.</strong></p><p>According to agency comments, existing home sales in the United States increased for the second consecutive month in July, as house prices fell from the previous month's record level due to moderate improvement in inventory. The increase in sales suggests that this year's downward trend in sales from last year's 14-year high may be over.</p><p>The dollar fell across the board on Monday, recording its biggest weekly gain in more than two months last week, as doubts about the direction of U.S. monetary policy triggered profit-taking.</p><p>Riskier currencies such as the Australian dollar, Norwegian krone and Canadian dollar were the main beneficiaries of the weaker dollar, all of which rose more than 0.5%.</p><p>The US Dollar Index hit a nine-month high last week, up nearly 5% from its May low, as investors further bet that the Federal Reserve will begin tapering pandemic-era stimulus before Europe and Japan.</p><p><strong>In the U.S. market, the US Dollar Index, which measures the performance of the U.S. dollar against other major currencies, fell nearly 0.5% to 93.01. It hit a high of 93.73 last Friday, the highest level since early November last year.</strong></p><p><img oldsrc=\"W020210824062902363823.png\" src=\"https://www.fx168.com/all/2108/W020210824062902363823.png\"/></p><p>(the US Dollar Index 30-minute trend chart, source: FX168)</p><p><strong>But Dallas Fed President Kaplan said on Friday that if the virus hurts the economy, he may reconsider whether it is necessary to start tapering bond purchases earlier. Kaplan is a well-known hawk.</strong></p><p><strong>Kaplan was the first Fed official to say that tapering should be made as soon as possible, and his view showed that the hawks of the Fed wavered before the Jackson Hole meeting.</strong></p><p>\"Kaplan said he could adjust his view on asset purchases if cases of the Delta variant continue to rise, so the Fed's dovish comments weighed on the dollar as rising concerns about Delta were bad for the dollar,\" a Japanese bank trader said.</p><p>Some analysts believe further spread of the variant could derail the Federal Reserve's plans to scale back its pandemic-era stimulus program by year-end.</p><p><strong>Traders are eagerly awaiting the Jackson Hole symposium for clues on the timeline for the Federal Reserve to scale back its $120 billion monthly bond-buying program. The event takes place on Thursdays and Fridays. The Fed had originally decided to hold its meetings in a mixture of virtual and in-person formats, but last Friday decided to go all virtual given rising virus risks.</strong></p><p><strong>Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will discuss the economic outlook at the meeting, and traders will carefully analyze his speech for clues on the timing and pace of policy tightening. Powell has so far downplayed the impact of the Delta incident.</strong></p><p>Nomura Securities analyst Amemiya said in a note that Chairman Powell's speech will be titled \"Economic Outlook,\" which \"may suggest that his speech may be more short-term.\"</p><p>Amemiya added: \"Given the deterioration of recent data releases and the pandemic situation, some of the risks we see Powell focusing on are increased uncertainty due to the latest surge in COVID cases.\" \"At the very least, we think recent comments from Fed officials support our view that the Fed will announce a tapering in December, although the FOMC favors a November announcement ahead of its July meeting.\"</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MTU\">Mitsubishi UFJ Financial</a>Group strategists said in a report, \"Risk aversion will support the dollar. Although a cautious Fed should narrow the gains of the dollar, given the rising risk of novel coronavirus pneumonia, we need to make some adjustments to the year-end foreign exchange forecast to show that the depreciation of the dollar is reduced.\"</p><p>Gold prices were boosted as the dollar retreated and worries lingered that the intensification of the epidemic in novel coronavirus pneumonia could hinder global economic growth.</p><p><strong>Earlier in the day, spot gold broke through the $1,800 mark, setting a new daily high of $1,806.37, an increase of $30 from the daily low.</strong></p><p><img oldsrc=\"W020210824062902511119.png\" src=\"https://www.fx168.com/all/2108/W020210824062902511119.png\"/></p><p>(Spot gold 30-minute trend chart, source: FX168)</p><p>The US Dollar Index fell 0.3%, pulling back from a nine-and-a-half-month high last week, sending gold prices lower for other currency holders.</p><p>\"The dollar weakened slightly, offsetting the impact of higher yields and helping gold prices,\" said Ole Hansen, an analyst at Saxo Bank.</p><p>\"In the near term, we don't expect much to change as we wait for Jackson Hole to get a sign of whether the Fed is heading towards tapering or whether the latest virus outbreak has put the brakes on those expectations.\"</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>Gold prices will continue to move \"moderately higher\" on a weakening dollar and recovering demand in emerging markets, analysts said in a research note.</p><p>\"But for gold to move significantly higher, there will have to be a general safe-haven event, such as a resurgence of inflation fears, which will trigger demand for defensive inflation hedges,\" they said.</p><p>Oil jumped, ending its worst seven-day losing streak for crude prices since 2019, as the dollar pulled back and traders saw the recent sell-off as overdone.</p><p><strong>West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures, the benchmark of U.S. crude oil, are now up $3.65, trading at $65.79 a barrel, an increase of 5.87%. Earlier in the day, oil prices rose more than 6% to hit an intraday high of $66.00 a barrel, the best one-day gain since November last year.</strong></p><p><img oldsrc=\"W020210824062902653862.png\" src=\"https://www.fx168.com/all/2108/W020210824062902653862.png\"/></p><p>(WTI crude oil futures 30-minute trend chart, source: FX168)</p><p>The sharp rise marks a turnaround for the contract from last week's nearly 9% drop, its worst weekly performance since October 2020 and its second negative growth in three weeks. WTI crude oil closed last Friday at its lowest level since May 20.</p><p>Brent crude oil, the international benchmark, rose 5%, or $3.20, to $68.38 a barrel on Monday, after the week when oil prices hit their worst level since October 2020.</p><p>\"The news of zero new Chinese cases certainly provides a tailwind as it adds a glimmer of light at the end of the COVID-19 pandemic tunnel, bringing a breath of fresh air to the demand pattern,\" noted Blue Line Futures analysts. \"Moreover, the dollar has pulled back from recent highs, providing broad support to commodity markets.\"</p><p>Oil prices fell after fears of a slowdown in demand amid the spread of the Delta variant in Novel Coronavirus, leading to new lockdowns in countries such as Japanese and New Zealand. In addition, weak economic data from China, the world's largest crude oil importer, also put pressure on oil prices. The latest U.S. inventory report also showed an increase in gasoline inventories and increased production by U.S. producers.</p><p>But some Wall Street firms say the sell-off looks overdone.</p><p>\"We view price weakness as excessive and believe it has more to do with the psychology of market participants than with the deterioration of fundamental data,\" Commerzbank analysts noted.</p><p>U.S. stocks were higher in early trading Monday after a volatile week for U.S. stocks as investors focused on a key event that could hint at a tapering of stimulus package by the Federal Reserve.</p><p><strong>The Dow Jones gained 300 points, or 0.8%. The S&P 500 gained 1.0% and the Nasdaq Composite gained 1.6%.</strong></p><p><img oldsrc=\"W020210824062902827490.png\" src=\"https://www.fx168.com/all/2108/W020210824062902827490.png\"/></p><p>(Source: CNBC)</p><p>Major stock indexes are starting to recover after a week of losses as investors grow concerned that a possible move by the Federal Reserve to pull back monetary stimulus could slow the economic recovery.</p><p>The Dow fell 1.1% last week and the S&P 500 dropped nearly 0.6%, ending a two-week winning streak. The tech-heavy Nasdaq fell 0.7% last week.</p><p>Craig Johnson, technical market strategist at Piper Sandler, said in a note: \"We suspect that upcoming changes in monetary policy, the shift in growth versus value, and the upward trajectory of novel coronavirus pneumonia cases are challenging investor confidence.\"</p><p>Major indexes are set to modest gains in August. Month-to-date, the S&P 500 is up 1.1%, while the Dow is up 0.5% and the Nasdaq is up 0.3%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">UBS</a>Rod von Lipsey, managing director of private wealth management, said, \"August has historically been a volatile month for the market, and this year is no exception. Investors are currently worried.\"</p><p>\"The rise in cases in novel coronavirus pneumonia and the downward spiral in Afghanistan are creating a crisis of confidence at a time when many investors are on vacation.\"</p><p></div><div><div><ul><li>dollar</li><li>Gold</li><li>US Stock Market</li><li>crude oil</li><li>Federal Reserve</li><li>Powell</li><li>Existing Home Sales</li><li>US PMI</li></ul></div><div><div><div>share</div><div><div></div></div></div><div></div></div></div></div></body></html></p>","source":"fxdaily_fut","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A carnival feast for the bulls! The Fed in a dilemma? The U.S. dollar plunges high and the financial market plays a \"rising chorus\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA carnival feast for the bulls! The Fed in a dilemma? The U.S. dollar plunges high and the financial market plays a \"rising chorus\"\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">FX168</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-24 01:45</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><body><div><div>FX168 Financial News (North America) News On Monday (August 23rd), the US Dollar Index continued to fall in the US market, and refreshed as low as 93.01 on a new day, due to profit-taking caused by market doubts about the direction of US monetary policy; The fall of the US dollar and the worries caused by the raging COVID-19 pandemic boosted gold, and spot gold finally broke through the $1,800 mark, up $30 from the daily low; The crude oil market was boosted by the weakening of the US dollar and zero new confirmed cases in China. U.S. WTI crude oil rose sharply by 6%; The three major U.S. stock indexes all rose, with the Dow rising 300 points or 0.8% and the Nasdaq rising 1.6%. As COVID-19 pandemic continues to counterattack, the Federal Reserve will hold its annual symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, later this week. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's economic outlook speech and the timing of tapering quantitative easing have attracted much attention.</p><p><strong>The data released by the United States during the day is mixed: the United States in August<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRKT\">Markit</a>The initial value of the service PMI recorded 55.2, the lowest since December last year. The preliminary U.S. manufacturing PMI fell to 61.2 in August from 63.4 in July.</strong></p><p>Agency commentary said that U.S. business activity continued to slow, with growth slowing to an eight-month low in August on the back of raw material shortages, labor shortages and rising new crown cases. The pullback in PMIs this month highlights the extent to which supply chain disruptions have hit companies already struggling to meet demand. Service suppliers and manufacturers continue to face challenges in attracting workers and securing supply.</p><p><strong>However, another data released later performed strongly: the U.S. existing home sales data in July was 5.99 million, compared with the expected 5.81 million, and the previous value was revised to 5.87 million.</strong></p><p>According to agency comments, existing home sales in the United States increased for the second consecutive month in July, as house prices fell from the previous month's record level due to moderate improvement in inventory. The increase in sales suggests that this year's downward trend in sales from last year's 14-year high may be over.</p><p>The dollar fell across the board on Monday, recording its biggest weekly gain in more than two months last week, as doubts about the direction of U.S. monetary policy triggered profit-taking.</p><p>Riskier currencies such as the Australian dollar, Norwegian krone and Canadian dollar were the main beneficiaries of the weaker dollar, all of which rose more than 0.5%.</p><p>The US Dollar Index hit a nine-month high last week, up nearly 5% from its May low, as investors further bet that the Federal Reserve will begin tapering pandemic-era stimulus before Europe and Japan.</p><p><strong>In the U.S. market, the US Dollar Index, which measures the performance of the U.S. dollar against other major currencies, fell nearly 0.5% to 93.01. It hit a high of 93.73 last Friday, the highest level since early November last year.</strong></p><p><img oldsrc=\"W020210824062902363823.png\" src=\"https://www.fx168.com/all/2108/W020210824062902363823.png\"/></p><p>(the US Dollar Index 30-minute trend chart, source: FX168)</p><p><strong>But Dallas Fed President Kaplan said on Friday that if the virus hurts the economy, he may reconsider whether it is necessary to start tapering bond purchases earlier. Kaplan is a well-known hawk.</strong></p><p><strong>Kaplan was the first Fed official to say that tapering should be made as soon as possible, and his view showed that the hawks of the Fed wavered before the Jackson Hole meeting.</strong></p><p>\"Kaplan said he could adjust his view on asset purchases if cases of the Delta variant continue to rise, so the Fed's dovish comments weighed on the dollar as rising concerns about Delta were bad for the dollar,\" a Japanese bank trader said.</p><p>Some analysts believe further spread of the variant could derail the Federal Reserve's plans to scale back its pandemic-era stimulus program by year-end.</p><p><strong>Traders are eagerly awaiting the Jackson Hole symposium for clues on the timeline for the Federal Reserve to scale back its $120 billion monthly bond-buying program. The event takes place on Thursdays and Fridays. The Fed had originally decided to hold its meetings in a mixture of virtual and in-person formats, but last Friday decided to go all virtual given rising virus risks.</strong></p><p><strong>Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will discuss the economic outlook at the meeting, and traders will carefully analyze his speech for clues on the timing and pace of policy tightening. Powell has so far downplayed the impact of the Delta incident.</strong></p><p>Nomura Securities analyst Amemiya said in a note that Chairman Powell's speech will be titled \"Economic Outlook,\" which \"may suggest that his speech may be more short-term.\"</p><p>Amemiya added: \"Given the deterioration of recent data releases and the pandemic situation, some of the risks we see Powell focusing on are increased uncertainty due to the latest surge in COVID cases.\" \"At the very least, we think recent comments from Fed officials support our view that the Fed will announce a tapering in December, although the FOMC favors a November announcement ahead of its July meeting.\"</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MTU\">Mitsubishi UFJ Financial</a>Group strategists said in a report, \"Risk aversion will support the dollar. Although a cautious Fed should narrow the gains of the dollar, given the rising risk of novel coronavirus pneumonia, we need to make some adjustments to the year-end foreign exchange forecast to show that the depreciation of the dollar is reduced.\"</p><p>Gold prices were boosted as the dollar retreated and worries lingered that the intensification of the epidemic in novel coronavirus pneumonia could hinder global economic growth.</p><p><strong>Earlier in the day, spot gold broke through the $1,800 mark, setting a new daily high of $1,806.37, an increase of $30 from the daily low.</strong></p><p><img oldsrc=\"W020210824062902511119.png\" src=\"https://www.fx168.com/all/2108/W020210824062902511119.png\"/></p><p>(Spot gold 30-minute trend chart, source: FX168)</p><p>The US Dollar Index fell 0.3%, pulling back from a nine-and-a-half-month high last week, sending gold prices lower for other currency holders.</p><p>\"The dollar weakened slightly, offsetting the impact of higher yields and helping gold prices,\" said Ole Hansen, an analyst at Saxo Bank.</p><p>\"In the near term, we don't expect much to change as we wait for Jackson Hole to get a sign of whether the Fed is heading towards tapering or whether the latest virus outbreak has put the brakes on those expectations.\"</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>Gold prices will continue to move \"moderately higher\" on a weakening dollar and recovering demand in emerging markets, analysts said in a research note.</p><p>\"But for gold to move significantly higher, there will have to be a general safe-haven event, such as a resurgence of inflation fears, which will trigger demand for defensive inflation hedges,\" they said.</p><p>Oil jumped, ending its worst seven-day losing streak for crude prices since 2019, as the dollar pulled back and traders saw the recent sell-off as overdone.</p><p><strong>West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures, the benchmark of U.S. crude oil, are now up $3.65, trading at $65.79 a barrel, an increase of 5.87%. Earlier in the day, oil prices rose more than 6% to hit an intraday high of $66.00 a barrel, the best one-day gain since November last year.</strong></p><p><img oldsrc=\"W020210824062902653862.png\" src=\"https://www.fx168.com/all/2108/W020210824062902653862.png\"/></p><p>(WTI crude oil futures 30-minute trend chart, source: FX168)</p><p>The sharp rise marks a turnaround for the contract from last week's nearly 9% drop, its worst weekly performance since October 2020 and its second negative growth in three weeks. WTI crude oil closed last Friday at its lowest level since May 20.</p><p>Brent crude oil, the international benchmark, rose 5%, or $3.20, to $68.38 a barrel on Monday, after the week when oil prices hit their worst level since October 2020.</p><p>\"The news of zero new Chinese cases certainly provides a tailwind as it adds a glimmer of light at the end of the COVID-19 pandemic tunnel, bringing a breath of fresh air to the demand pattern,\" noted Blue Line Futures analysts. \"Moreover, the dollar has pulled back from recent highs, providing broad support to commodity markets.\"</p><p>Oil prices fell after fears of a slowdown in demand amid the spread of the Delta variant in Novel Coronavirus, leading to new lockdowns in countries such as Japanese and New Zealand. In addition, weak economic data from China, the world's largest crude oil importer, also put pressure on oil prices. The latest U.S. inventory report also showed an increase in gasoline inventories and increased production by U.S. producers.</p><p>But some Wall Street firms say the sell-off looks overdone.</p><p>\"We view price weakness as excessive and believe it has more to do with the psychology of market participants than with the deterioration of fundamental data,\" Commerzbank analysts noted.</p><p>U.S. stocks were higher in early trading Monday after a volatile week for U.S. stocks as investors focused on a key event that could hint at a tapering of stimulus package by the Federal Reserve.</p><p><strong>The Dow Jones gained 300 points, or 0.8%. The S&P 500 gained 1.0% and the Nasdaq Composite gained 1.6%.</strong></p><p><img oldsrc=\"W020210824062902827490.png\" src=\"https://www.fx168.com/all/2108/W020210824062902827490.png\"/></p><p>(Source: CNBC)</p><p>Major stock indexes are starting to recover after a week of losses as investors grow concerned that a possible move by the Federal Reserve to pull back monetary stimulus could slow the economic recovery.</p><p>The Dow fell 1.1% last week and the S&P 500 dropped nearly 0.6%, ending a two-week winning streak. The tech-heavy Nasdaq fell 0.7% last week.</p><p>Craig Johnson, technical market strategist at Piper Sandler, said in a note: \"We suspect that upcoming changes in monetary policy, the shift in growth versus value, and the upward trajectory of novel coronavirus pneumonia cases are challenging investor confidence.\"</p><p>Major indexes are set to modest gains in August. Month-to-date, the S&P 500 is up 1.1%, while the Dow is up 0.5% and the Nasdaq is up 0.3%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">UBS</a>Rod von Lipsey, managing director of private wealth management, said, \"August has historically been a volatile month for the market, and this year is no exception. Investors are currently worried.\"</p><p>\"The rise in cases in novel coronavirus pneumonia and the downward spiral in Afghanistan are creating a crisis of confidence at a time when many investors are on vacation.\"</p><p></div><div><div><ul><li>dollar</li><li>Gold</li><li>US Stock Market</li><li>crude oil</li><li>Federal Reserve</li><li>Powell</li><li>Existing Home Sales</li><li>US PMI</li></ul></div><div><div><div>share</div><div><div></div></div></div><div></div></div></div></div></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://www.fx168.com/all/2108/5289476.shtml\">FX168</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://www.fx168.com/all/2108/W020210824062913689736.jpg","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","OEX":"标普100","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.fx168.com/all/2108/5289476.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2161772849","content_text":"FX168财经报社(北美)讯 周一(8月23日)美市盘中，美元指数持续走低，并刷新日低至93.01，因市场对美国货币政策方向的疑虑引发获利回吐；美元回落以及新冠疫情肆虐引发的担忧情绪提振了黄金，现货黄金终于突破1800美元大关，较日低拉升30美元；原油市场则受到美元走软以及中国零新增确诊病例的提振，美国WTI原油大幅上涨6%；美股三大股指齐涨，其中道指上涨300点或0.8%，纳指则上涨1.6%。在新冠疫情持续反扑之际，美联储将于本周稍晚在怀俄明州杰克逊霍尔举行年度研讨会。美联储主席鲍威尔的经济展望演讲和缩减量化宽松的时间等备受关注。美国日内公布的数据良莠不齐：美国8月Markit服务业PMI初值录得55.2，创去年12月以来新低。 美国8月份制造业PMI初值从7月份的63.4降至61.2。机构评论称，美国企业活动继续放缓，在原材料短缺、劳动力短缺和新冠病例增加的背景下，8月份的增长放缓至八个月低点。本月PMI的回落凸显出供应链中断对已经难以满足需求的企业的打击程度。服务供应商和制造商继续面临吸引工人和获得供应的挑战。不过随后公布的另一项数据表现强劲：美国7月成屋销售数据为599万户，预期581万户，前值修正为587万户。机构点评称，美国7月成屋销售连续第二个月增加，因库存温和改善，房价较前月纪录水准回落。销售额的增长表明，从去年的14年高点来看，今年的销售额下降趋势可能已经结束。美元周一全线下跌，上周录得逾两个月来最大单周升幅，因对美国货币政策方向的疑虑引发获利回吐。澳元、挪威克朗和加元等风险较高的货币是美元走软的主要受益者，这些货币的涨幅均超过了0.5%。美元指数上周触及九个月高点，较5月低点上涨近5%，因投资者进一步押注美联储将先于欧洲和日本开始缩减疫情时期的刺激政策。美市盘中，衡量美元兑其他主要货币表现的美元指数下跌近0.5%，至93.01，上周五兴触及93.73高点，为自去年11月初以来的最高水平。（美元指数30分钟走势图，来源：FX168）但达拉斯联储主席卡普兰上周五表示，如果病毒损害经济，他可能会重新考虑是否有必要提前开始缩减购债规模。卡普兰是知名鹰派人士。卡普兰是第一个表示应该尽早缩债的美联储官员，其看法表明在杰克逊霍尔会议召开前，美联储鹰派有所动摇。“卡普兰表示，如果德尔塔变种病例持续增加，他可能调整对资产购买的看法，因此美联储的鸽派言论打压美元，因对德尔塔的担忧升温对美元不利，”一家日本银行的交易员称。一些分析师认为，该变体的进一步扩散可能会破坏美联储在年底前缩减其大流行时期刺激计划的计划。交易员正急切地等待杰克逊霍尔研讨会，以寻找美联储缩减每月1200亿美元债券购买计划时间表的线索。该活动在周四和周五进行。美联储原本决定以虚拟和现场混合的方式举行会议，但鉴于病毒风险不断上升，上周五决定全部采用虚拟方式。美联储主席鲍威尔将在会议上讨论经济前景，交易商将仔细分析他的讲话，以寻求有关政策收紧时机和步伐的线索。鲍威尔迄今一直在淡化德尔塔事件的影响。野村证券分析师Amemiya在一份报告中称，鲍威尔主席的演讲将以“经济展望”为题，“可能暗示他的演讲可能更注重短期”。Amemiya补充说:“鉴于最近公布的数据的恶化和大流行形势，我们看到鲍威尔关注的一些风险是，由于最新的新冠病例激增，不确定性增加。”“至少，我们认为美联储官员最近的言论支持了我们的观点，即美联储将在12月宣布缩减购债规模，尽管FOMC倾向于在7月会议之前在11月宣布。”三菱日联金融集团策略师在一份报告中称，“风险规避将支撑美元。尽管谨慎的美联储应缩小美元的涨幅，但鉴于新冠肺炎风险上升，我们需要对年底外汇预测进行一些调整，以显示美元贬值幅度减小。”随着美元回落，市场对新冠肺炎疫情加剧可能阻碍全球经济增长的担忧挥之不去，金价受到提振上涨。日内稍早，现货金冲破1800美元大关，刷新日高至1806.37美元，较日低拉升30美元。（现货黄金30分钟走势图，来源：FX168）美元指数下跌0.3%，从上周九个半月的高点回落，令其他货币持有者的黄金价格下跌。“美元小幅走软，抵消了收益率上升的影响，并扶助金价，”盛宝银行分析师Ole Hansen表示。“短期内，我们预计不会有太大的变化，因为我们正在等待杰克逊霍尔得到一个迹象，即美联储是否正走向缩减规模，或者最新的病毒爆发是否已经给这些预期踩了刹车。”高盛分析师在一份研究报告中表示，由于美元走弱和新兴市场需求复苏，金价将继续“温和走高”。“但黄金若要大幅走高，就必须出现普遍的避险事件，例如通胀担忧卷土重来，这将引发对防御性通胀对冲的需求，”他们表示。油价跳涨，结束了自2019年以来原油价格最糟糕的连续7天下跌，原因是美元回落，交易员认为近期的抛售过度。美国原油基准西德克萨斯中质(WTI)原油期货价格现上涨3.65美元，交投于65.79美元/桶，涨幅5.87%。当天早些时候，油价一度上涨逾6%，触及66.00美元/桶的盘中高点，创下去年11月以来的最佳单日涨幅。（WTI原油期货30分钟走势图，来源：FX168）这一大幅上涨标志着该合约从上周下跌近9%的情况开始好转，这是自2020年10月以来最差的一周表现，也是三周来第二次出现负增长。WTI原油上周五收于5月20日以来的最低水平。周一，国际基准布伦特原油价格上涨了5%，至68.38美元/桶，涨幅为3.20美元，此前一周油价创下了自2020年10月以来的最差水平。蓝线期货分析师指出:“中国零新增病例的消息无疑提供了一股顺风，因为它在新冠疫情隧道的尽头增添了一丝曙光，给需求格局带来了一丝新鲜空气。”“此外，美元已从近期高点回落，为大宗商品市场提供了广泛支撑。”此前，随着新冠病毒德尔塔变种的传播，人们担心需求会放缓，导致日本和新西兰等国实施新一轮封锁，油价随之下跌。此外，作为全球最大原油进口国的中国疲弱的经济数据也给油价带来了压力。美国最新库存报告还显示，汽油库存增加，美国生产商的产量也有所增加。但一些华尔街公司表示，抛售看起来有些过头了。德国商业银行分析师指出:“我们认为价格疲软过度，并认为这更多地与市场参与者的心理有关，而不是与基本面数据的恶化有关。”美国股市周一早盘走高，此前美国股市经历了动荡的一周，投资者关注美联储可能暗示缩减刺激计划的关键事件。道琼斯指数上涨300点，涨幅0.8%。标准普尔500指数上涨1.0%，纳斯达克综合指数上涨1.6%。（图源：CNBC）由于投资者越来越担心美联储可能撤出货币刺激措施的举动可能会减缓经济复苏，主要股指在经历了一周的下跌后开始回升。道指上周下跌1.1%，标准普尔500指数下跌近0.6%，结束了连续两周的上涨势头。以科技股为主的纳斯达克指数上周下跌0.7%。Piper Sandler技术市场策略师Craig Johnson在一份报告中表示:“我们怀疑，即将到来的货币政策变化、增长与价值的转变以及新冠肺炎病例的上升轨迹，正在挑战投资者的信心。”8月份主要股指将小幅上涨。本月迄今，标准普尔500指数上涨了1.1%，而道指上涨了0.5%，纳斯达克指数上涨了0.3%。瑞银私人财富管理董事总经理Rod von Lipsey称，“8月历来是市场波动较大的月份，今年也不例外，投资者目前忧心重重。”“新冠肺炎病例的上升和阿富汗的螺旋式下降正在制造一场信心危机，而此时许多投资者正在度假。”\n\n\n\n\n\n                                                    美元\n                                                \n\n\n\n                                                    黄金\n                                                \n\n\n\n                                                    美国股市\n                                                \n\n\n\n                                                    原油\n                                                \n\n\n\n                                                    美联储\n                                                \n\n\n\n                                                    鲍威尔\n                                                \n\n\n\n                                                    成屋销售\n                                                \n\n\n\n                                                    美国PMI\n                                                \n\n\n\n\n\n分享","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"UDOW":0.6,"QID":0.6,".IXIC":1,"SPXU":0.6,"DJX":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"DXD":0.6,"PSQ":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"QLD":0.6,"NQmain":0.6,"SQQQ":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"QQQ":0.6,"SPY":1,"OEF":0.6,"OEX":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"DDM":0.6,".DJI":1,"TQQQ":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,"MNQmain":0.6,"UPRO":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1800,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":4,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}