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09-06 21:30

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Gary Black Says Tesla Has Solved Unsupervised Autonomy, but Competition Is the Bigger Threat

Gary Black says Tesla has achieved unsupervised autonomy but warns competition and a stretched valuation could pressure its stock.

Gary Black Says Tesla Has Solved Unsupervised Autonomy, but Competition Is the Bigger Threat

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{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"data":{"magic":2,"id":604833502508016,"tweetId":"604833502508016","gmtCreate":1788701416212,"gmtModify":1788703009241,"author":{"id":4177116098513712,"idStr":"4177116098513712","authorId":4177116098513712,"authorIdStr":"4177116098513712","name":"AbhishekC","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03-1","templateUuid":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03","name":"Boss Tiger","description":"The transaction amount of the securities account reaches $100,000","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8dfc27c1ee0e25db1c93e9d0b641101","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f43908c142f8a33c78f5bdf0e2897488","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82165ff19cb8a786e8919f92acee5213","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2025.07.31","exceedPercentage":"60.38%","individualDisplayEnabled":0},"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[{"badgeId":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03-1","name":"Boss Tiger","description":"The transaction amount of the securities account reaches $100,000","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f43908c142f8a33c78f5bdf0e2897488","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8dfc27c1ee0e25db1c93e9d0b641101","isScarce":0,"effectEnabled":0,"redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":0,"redirectLinkValidityTo":9223372036854776000}],"fanSize":0,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[{"themeId":"11c8fbbf839f433c9d274cef5f173382","categoryId":"2929bb7468f5415f853fd96fb35d7c3b","name":"Benzinga Earnings Reports","type":2,"rnLink":"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNTheme&page=/theme/special/finance&rndata={\"themeId\":11c8fbbf839f433c9d274cef5f173382}&rnconfig={\"headerBarHidden\": true}","description":"Track the latest US stocks earnings report.","image":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/1d73b924a76b06ccd6be2b205a0feebd"}],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"title":"","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>Get</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>Get</p></body></html>","text":"Get","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/604833502508016","repostId":2665361210,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2665361210","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga Earnings","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1788684228,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2665361210?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2026-09-06 16:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Gary Black Says Tesla Has Solved Unsupervised Autonomy, but Competition Is the Bigger Threat","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2665361210","media":"Benzinga Earnings","summary":"Gary Black says Tesla has achieved unsupervised autonomy but warns competition and a stretched valuation could pressure its stock.","content":"<html><body><p><strong>The Future Fund</strong> Managing Partner <strong>Gary Black</strong> said he has always believed <strong>Tesla Inc.</strong> (NASDAQ:TSLA) would “solve for unsupervised autonomy” with its Cybercab launch and flagged rising competition and stretched valuation, days after calling the Cybercab event “largely a bust.”</p>\n<h2>Rivals Close In On 1 Million Weekly Rides</h2>\n<p>In a Saturday post on X, Black said <strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GGLAP\">Alphabet Inc.</a> </strong>(NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL),<strong> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09888\">Baidu</a> Inc.</strong> (NASDAQ:BIDU), <strong>Pony.ai Inc.</strong> (NASDAQ:PONY), <strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WRDIF\">WeRide Inc.</a></strong> (NASDAQ:WRD) and <strong>Amazon.com Inc.</strong>‘s (NASDAQ:AMZN) <strong>ZOOX</strong> now combine for more than 1 million weekly paid unsupervised autonomous rides without safety monitors. “A handful of others would also achieve unsupervised autonomy within 18-24 months,” Black said, adding that his previous prediction “looks accurate.”</p>\n<figure><div>\n<blockquote><p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">I’ve said all along that $TSLA would solve for unsupervised autonomy, and with the launch of Cybercab it’s clear they have.  My caution has always been that a handful of others would also achieve unsupervised autonomy within 18-24 months and with $GOOG, $BIDU, $PONY, $WRD, and… pic.twitter.com/Zo0J1uLOfU</p>— Gary Black (@garyblack00) September 5, 2026</blockquote>\n</div></figure>\n<p>He expects “self-driving” to become the preferred option on <strong>Uber Technologies Inc.</strong> (NYSE:UBER) and rival ride-hailing apps as more providers enter the space.</p>\n<p>The competitive threat isn’t new. In late August, Black said Wall Street already assumes autonomy will “quickly become a commodity” once rivals catch up, rather than remain a Tesla-exclusive edge. At the time, Alphabet’s Waymo led the market with more than 500,000 weekly autonomous rides, well ahead of Tesla and Amazon-backed Zoox.</p>\n<h2>Valuation Remains the Real Sticking Point</h2>\n<p>Despite praising Tesla’s technology, Black’s caution centers on price, not performance. </p>\n<p>Tesla closed Friday with a 2026 price-to-earnings ratio of 213 times and a 2027 P/E ratio of 158 times. Based on Wall Street’s forecast of 35% long-term earnings growth, Black calculated that this translates to PEG ratios of 6.3 times and 4.4 times, respectively. The PEG ratio compares a company’s valuation with its expected growth.</p>\n<p>By comparison, the average “Mag 8” stock, excluding Tesla, trades at a PEG ratio of 2.7 times, he said. This suggests that Tesla’s premium is unusually high compared with its peers. That gap, Black noted, helps explain Tesla’s underperformance versus the Nasdaq 100 and S&amp;P 500 this year and over the past one, three and five years.</p>\n<h2>Three Questions That Will Decide Tesla’s Stock</h2>\n<p>Whether Tesla can outperform after lagging major indexes depends on three factors, Black said, how quickly Robotaxi scales into meaningful earnings, whether rivals commoditize autonomy as happened in EVs from 2021-2023, and Robotaxi’s safety profile as it expands beyond geofenced Austin to other U.S. cities, Europe and Asia.</p>\n<p>In the same post, Black said he’d rather see those three questions answered than face criticism from Tesla bulls. “Let’s move the discussion forward,” he said.</p>\n<p>Earlier, after CEO <strong>Elon Musk</strong> touted the Cybercab’s rare-earth-free motor as a major engineering feat, calling it “extremely hard to achieve,” Black said key deployment details, including planned vehicle numbers, went unanswered at the event.</p>\n<p>The safety concerns Black raised are already being put to the test. The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration has opened an audit inquiry into Tesla’s certification that the Cybercab meets federal safety standards, citing the vehicle’s lack of a steering wheel, pedals and mirrors.</p>\n<h2><strong>Trading Metrics</strong></h2>\n<p>Tesla has a market capitalization of $1.39 trillion, a 52-week high of $498.83 and a 52-week low of $297.38.</p>\n<p>The large-cap automotive stock is down 21.27% year-to-date.</p>\n<p><strong>Benzinga’s Edge Stock Rankings</strong> indicate that Tesla stock is showing short-term gains, while its medium- and long-term trends remain negative.</p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" height=\"242\" loading=\"lazy\" sizes=\"(max-width: 405px) 100vw, 405px\" src=\"https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/06041959/image-131.png\" srcset=\"https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/06041959/image-131.png 405w, https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/06041959/image-131-300x179.png 300w\" width=\"405\"/></figure>\n<p><strong><em>Disclaimer:</em></strong><em> This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.</em></p>\n<div>\n<p>\n<strong>\nRead Also:\n\nAI Adoption Spreads Beyond Tech as Finance, Manufacturing Businesses Race to Catch Up\n</strong>\n</p>\n</div>\n<p><em>Photo courtesy: Rokas Tenys on Shutterstock.com</em></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGary Black Says Tesla Has Solved Unsupervised Autonomy, but Competition Is the Bigger Threat\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga Earnings </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-09-06 16:43</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><body><p><strong>The Future Fund</strong> Managing Partner <strong>Gary Black</strong> said he has always believed <strong>Tesla Inc.</strong> (NASDAQ:TSLA) would “solve for unsupervised autonomy” with its Cybercab launch and flagged rising competition and stretched valuation, days after calling the Cybercab event “largely a bust.”</p>\n<h2>Rivals Close In On 1 Million Weekly Rides</h2>\n<p>In a Saturday post on X, Black said <strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GGLAP\">Alphabet Inc.</a> </strong>(NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL),<strong> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09888\">Baidu</a> Inc.</strong> (NASDAQ:BIDU), <strong>Pony.ai Inc.</strong> (NASDAQ:PONY), <strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WRDIF\">WeRide Inc.</a></strong> (NASDAQ:WRD) and <strong>Amazon.com Inc.</strong>‘s (NASDAQ:AMZN) <strong>ZOOX</strong> now combine for more than 1 million weekly paid unsupervised autonomous rides without safety monitors. “A handful of others would also achieve unsupervised autonomy within 18-24 months,” Black said, adding that his previous prediction “looks accurate.”</p>\n<figure><div>\n<blockquote><p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">I’ve said all along that $TSLA would solve for unsupervised autonomy, and with the launch of Cybercab it’s clear they have.  My caution has always been that a handful of others would also achieve unsupervised autonomy within 18-24 months and with $GOOG, $BIDU, $PONY, $WRD, and… pic.twitter.com/Zo0J1uLOfU</p>— Gary Black (@garyblack00) September 5, 2026</blockquote>\n</div></figure>\n<p>He expects “self-driving” to become the preferred option on <strong>Uber Technologies Inc.</strong> (NYSE:UBER) and rival ride-hailing apps as more providers enter the space.</p>\n<p>The competitive threat isn’t new. In late August, Black said Wall Street already assumes autonomy will “quickly become a commodity” once rivals catch up, rather than remain a Tesla-exclusive edge. At the time, Alphabet’s Waymo led the market with more than 500,000 weekly autonomous rides, well ahead of Tesla and Amazon-backed Zoox.</p>\n<h2>Valuation Remains the Real Sticking Point</h2>\n<p>Despite praising Tesla’s technology, Black’s caution centers on price, not performance. </p>\n<p>Tesla closed Friday with a 2026 price-to-earnings ratio of 213 times and a 2027 P/E ratio of 158 times. Based on Wall Street’s forecast of 35% long-term earnings growth, Black calculated that this translates to PEG ratios of 6.3 times and 4.4 times, respectively. The PEG ratio compares a company’s valuation with its expected growth.</p>\n<p>By comparison, the average “Mag 8” stock, excluding Tesla, trades at a PEG ratio of 2.7 times, he said. This suggests that Tesla’s premium is unusually high compared with its peers. That gap, Black noted, helps explain Tesla’s underperformance versus the Nasdaq 100 and S&amp;P 500 this year and over the past one, three and five years.</p>\n<h2>Three Questions That Will Decide Tesla’s Stock</h2>\n<p>Whether Tesla can outperform after lagging major indexes depends on three factors, Black said, how quickly Robotaxi scales into meaningful earnings, whether rivals commoditize autonomy as happened in EVs from 2021-2023, and Robotaxi’s safety profile as it expands beyond geofenced Austin to other U.S. cities, Europe and Asia.</p>\n<p>In the same post, Black said he’d rather see those three questions answered than face criticism from Tesla bulls. “Let’s move the discussion forward,” he said.</p>\n<p>Earlier, after CEO <strong>Elon Musk</strong> touted the Cybercab’s rare-earth-free motor as a major engineering feat, calling it “extremely hard to achieve,” Black said key deployment details, including planned vehicle numbers, went unanswered at the event.</p>\n<p>The safety concerns Black raised are already being put to the test. The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration has opened an audit inquiry into Tesla’s certification that the Cybercab meets federal safety standards, citing the vehicle’s lack of a steering wheel, pedals and mirrors.</p>\n<h2><strong>Trading Metrics</strong></h2>\n<p>Tesla has a market capitalization of $1.39 trillion, a 52-week high of $498.83 and a 52-week low of $297.38.</p>\n<p>The large-cap automotive stock is down 21.27% year-to-date.</p>\n<p><strong>Benzinga’s Edge Stock Rankings</strong> indicate that Tesla stock is showing short-term gains, while its medium- and long-term trends remain negative.</p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" height=\"242\" loading=\"lazy\" sizes=\"(max-width: 405px) 100vw, 405px\" src=\"https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/06041959/image-131.png\" srcset=\"https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/06041959/image-131.png 405w, https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/06041959/image-131-300x179.png 300w\" width=\"405\"/></figure>\n<p><strong><em>Disclaimer:</em></strong><em> This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.</em></p>\n<div>\n<p>\n<strong>\nRead Also:\n\nAI Adoption Spreads Beyond Tech as Finance, Manufacturing Businesses Race to Catch Up\n</strong>\n</p>\n</div>\n<p><em>Photo courtesy: Rokas Tenys on Shutterstock.com</em></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/tech/26/09/61644303/gary-black-says-tesla-has-solved-unsupervised-autonomy-but-competition-is-the-bigger-threat","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2665361210","content_text":"The Future Fund Managing Partner Gary Black said he has always believed Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) would “solve for unsupervised autonomy” with its Cybercab launch and flagged rising competition and stretched valuation, days after calling the Cybercab event “largely a bust.”\nRivals Close In On 1 Million Weekly Rides\nIn a Saturday post on X, Black said Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL), Baidu Inc. (NASDAQ:BIDU), Pony.ai Inc. (NASDAQ:PONY), WeRide Inc. (NASDAQ:WRD) and Amazon.com Inc.‘s (NASDAQ:AMZN) ZOOX now combine for more than 1 million weekly paid unsupervised autonomous rides without safety monitors. “A handful of others would also achieve unsupervised autonomy within 18-24 months,” Black said, adding that his previous prediction “looks accurate.”\n\nI’ve said all along that $TSLA would solve for unsupervised autonomy, and with the launch of Cybercab it’s clear they have.  My caution has always been that a handful of others would also achieve unsupervised autonomy within 18-24 months and with $GOOG, $BIDU, $PONY, $WRD, and… pic.twitter.com/Zo0J1uLOfU— Gary Black (@garyblack00) September 5, 2026\n\nHe expects “self-driving” to become the preferred option on Uber Technologies Inc. (NYSE:UBER) and rival ride-hailing apps as more providers enter the space.\nThe competitive threat isn’t new. In late August, Black said Wall Street already assumes autonomy will “quickly become a commodity” once rivals catch up, rather than remain a Tesla-exclusive edge. At the time, Alphabet’s Waymo led the market with more than 500,000 weekly autonomous rides, well ahead of Tesla and Amazon-backed Zoox.\nValuation Remains the Real Sticking Point\nDespite praising Tesla’s technology, Black’s caution centers on price, not performance. \nTesla closed Friday with a 2026 price-to-earnings ratio of 213 times and a 2027 P/E ratio of 158 times. Based on Wall Street’s forecast of 35% long-term earnings growth, Black calculated that this translates to PEG ratios of 6.3 times and 4.4 times, respectively. The PEG ratio compares a company’s valuation with its expected growth.\nBy comparison, the average “Mag 8” stock, excluding Tesla, trades at a PEG ratio of 2.7 times, he said. This suggests that Tesla’s premium is unusually high compared with its peers. That gap, Black noted, helps explain Tesla’s underperformance versus the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 this year and over the past one, three and five years.\nThree Questions That Will Decide Tesla’s Stock\nWhether Tesla can outperform after lagging major indexes depends on three factors, Black said, how quickly Robotaxi scales into meaningful earnings, whether rivals commoditize autonomy as happened in EVs from 2021-2023, and Robotaxi’s safety profile as it expands beyond geofenced Austin to other U.S. cities, Europe and Asia.\nIn the same post, Black said he’d rather see those three questions answered than face criticism from Tesla bulls. “Let’s move the discussion forward,” he said.\nEarlier, after CEO Elon Musk touted the Cybercab’s rare-earth-free motor as a major engineering feat, calling it “extremely hard to achieve,” Black said key deployment details, including planned vehicle numbers, went unanswered at the event.\nThe safety concerns Black raised are already being put to the test. The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration has opened an audit inquiry into Tesla’s certification that the Cybercab meets federal safety standards, citing the vehicle’s lack of a steering wheel, pedals and mirrors.\nTrading Metrics\nTesla has a market capitalization of $1.39 trillion, a 52-week high of $498.83 and a 52-week low of $297.38.\nThe large-cap automotive stock is down 21.27% year-to-date.\nBenzinga’s Edge Stock Rankings indicate that Tesla stock is showing short-term gains, while its medium- and long-term trends remain negative.\n\nDisclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.\n\n\n\nRead Also:\n\nAI Adoption Spreads Beyond Tech as Finance, Manufacturing Businesses Race to Catch Up\n\n\n\nPhoto courtesy: Rokas Tenys on Shutterstock.com","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLZ":0.6,"TSYY":0.6,"09366":0.6,"TSLA":1.97,"TEST":0.6,"TSLQ":0.6,"09766":0.6,"07366":0.6,"CRSH":0.6,"TSLP":0.6,"LIT":0.6,"TSII":0.6,"TSLT":0.6,"TSL":0.6,"TSLY":0.6,"TESC":0.6,"TLA":0.6,"STSLAmain":0.6,"TSLR":0.6,"TSLO":0.6,"SMOG":0.6,"TSLL":0.6,"07766":0.6,"TSLG":0.6,"ELOL":0.6,"TESL":0.6,"TSLS":0.6,"FDRV":0.6,"WANT":0.6,"TSLI":0.6,"IDRV":0.6,"TSDD":0.6,"TSLW":0.6,"WATS":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":13,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":3,"optionInvolvedFlag":false,"subscribersOnly":false,"subscribersOnlyAccessible":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}