To The Moon

$Oracle(ORCL)$

$Oracle (ORCL) +2.06%: Cloud Recovery Momentum Builds, $154 Breakout Eyed as RSI Climbs 🚀

Latest Close: ORCL closed at $151.94 (+2.06%) on Aug 28, 2026, with volume of 30.25M shares (1.87x ratio). Price sits -56% below the 52-week high of $345.72, still in deep recovery territory. Pre-market Aug 27 was $152.20; after-hours $151.60.

Core Market Drivers: Oracle's July 30 expansion of Google Cloud Gemini model collaboration continues to support OCI and enterprise AI narrative. Meanwhile, the stock has rebounded sharply from July 23's 52-week low of $120, up ~27% in five weeks, as AI capex return fears eased and Oracle's enterprise app + agentic AI positioning regained favor.

Technical Analysis: MACD is firmly bullish with DIF at 1.669 vs DEA 0.890 (histogram +1.557, expanding). RSI(6) rose to 65.87, RSI(12) to 58.88, RSI(24) to 52.05 — all rising, confirming momentum without overbought extremes. KDJ shows K(57.59) crossing above D(46.03) with J at 80.73, indicating near-term bullish thrust but approaching overbought zone.

Key Price Levels:

• Primary Support: $136.42 (Aug 26 low pivot)

• Immediate Pivot: $147.52 (today's low, breakout validation level)

• Strong Resistance: $179.36 (Aug 26 swing high)

Valuation Perspective: Forward P/E of 18.47 is well below the historical average of 24.69 and near the -1 Std.Dev band of 18.77, suggesting Oracle remains cheap relative to its own history despite cloud growth reacceleration. TTM P/E stands at 26.06, P/S at 6.48.

Analyst Targets: 39 analysts covering ORCL average a target of $252.87 (range: $110–$400). Ratings: 13 Strong Buy, 21 Buy, 8 Hold, 1 Underperform — a strongly bullish consensus. Target implies ~66% upside from current levels.

Weekly Outlook: Expect consolidation between $147–$154 early next week. A daily close above $154 opens path to $165–$170, while losing $147 risks retesting $142–$136. The structural bottom reversal off $114.50 (52-week low) remains intact.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly. ⚠️

🎯$Oracle (ORCL) Options Strategy：Bull Call Spread

• Underlying: ORCL

• View: Cautiously Bullish — Cloud recovery momentum accelerating, MACD firmly bullish, RSI rising without overbought extremes. Expect consolidation between $147–$154 with potential breakout toward $165–$170.

• Strategy Type: Debit Spread (Defined Risk / Directional)

• Option Contract Portfolio:

  • Buy to Open: ORCL 20260918 $155 Call @ $3.53 (mid)

  • Sell to Open: ORCL 20260918 $165 Call @ $1.15 (mid)

  • Net Debit: $2.38 per spread

• Max Gain & Loss:

  • Max Gain: ($165 - $155 - $2.38) × 100 = $762 per spread

  • Max Loss: $238 per spread (net debit paid)

• Initial Cost/Credit: Net Debit $2.38 per share ($238 per contract)

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