Earnings Battle: $GOOGL & $GEV Bullish, $INTC Faces Pressure
President Trump said to buy $Intel(INTC)$ at $20. This year it hit $140+ Now it reports earnings Thursday down to ~$97. Here's the full earnings analysis:
$Intel(INTC)$ — Thurs, after close
Guidance: ~$13.8–14.8B rev, 39% margin, $0.20 EPS all sequential declines.
Trades ~147x fwd. Street PT: $96. 31 of 48 analysts on Hold.
Govt + $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ ($5B) + SoftBank ($2B) = a floor, not a launchpad.
🔴 Bearish into the print. Priced for perfection after a 278% run; Foundry losses are the swing factor.
$GE Vernova Inc.(GEV)$ — Wed, before open
The clean Wednesday-daytime story (no mega-cap noise til the close).
AI-datacenter power demand + gas-turbine backlog. Street wants another FY guidance raise.
Down ~13% from its $1,196 ATH.
🟢 Bullish best-in-class AI-power play. Only risk is the 67x fwd multiple pricing in a lot.
$Alphabet(GOOGL)$ — Wed, after close
Cloud growth + capex guide + margin durability. Gemini 3.5 Pro delay is the known overhang, not a surprise.
Down ~12%, still ~22–27x. Cheapest mega-cap in the group.
🟢 Bullish strongest risk/reward of the Wednesday four.
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ — Wed, after close
No formal guidance. It's all robotaxi: first Austin/Miami revenue-per-mile data + whether auto margin holds >17%.
Down ~23%. Options price a ~7.6% move.
⚪ Neutral / high-variance. Fundamentals soft, narrative binary. This one's a coin flip — trade the reaction, not the print.
$IBM(IBM)$ — Wed, after close
Already pre-warned July 15 (prelim well below estimates). BofA cut target to $280. Down ~34%.
This isn't a preview it's the damage report.
Bearish on trend, but a chunk of the bad news is already out. Watch for a "reset the bar, stop the bleeding" bounce.
$ServiceNow(NOW)$ — Wed, after close
Washed out: fell -17.8% after April, down ~51% from its high. Options price a ~13% move.
The whole SaaS de-rating in one name.
Neutral-to-bullish (contrarian). Risk/reward is finally balanced stabilized cRPO guidance = violent relief bounce. But the trend is broken, so it's binary.
$Nokia Oyj(NOK)$ — Thurs, before open
Just launched first commercial AI-RAN. Recent upgrades (SEB, Danske → Buy). Down ~40%.
The overlooked AI-infra read-through.
Bullish (lower conviction). Cheap, upgrade cycle, real AI optionality but it's a story that needs the guide to confirm.
The setup:
Wed after-close = 4-way pileup (TSLA/GOOGL/NOW/IBM).
Thursday AM is your highest-traffic reaction window.
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My highest-conviction: 🟢 GOOGL, GEV.
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Most dangerous: 🔴 INTC into the run-up.
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