Weekly:Fed Holds, Hormuz Reopens: Tech Rallies, Oil Crashes, BoJ Hits 31-Year High

Last Week's Recap

1. Weekly Market Digest: Peace Deal Rally, Warsh's Hawkish Hold, PPI Shocks, Oil Crashes

  • Peace deal — U.S.-Iran peace agreement reopened the Strait of Hormuz; NASDAQ +2.43%, S&P 500 +0.93%. Tech/semis surged double-digits; SpaceX ($SPCX) jumped ~20% in its second trading day.

  • Fed debut — Warsh's first FOMC held rates steady but left the door open for late-2026 hikes; press conference spooked markets Wednesday (S&P -1.4%, NASDAQ -1.5%), with a partial Thursday rebound ahead of the holiday weekend.

  • PPI shock — Wholesale prices rose 1.1% MoM, crushing the 0.7% consensus and reigniting inflation fears.

  • Bond swings — 10-year Treasury yield traded around 4.48% early week before settling near 4.46%; the 2-year climbed 15bp as markets repriced Fed expectations post-meeting.

  • Oil crash — WTI tumbled to ~$75 (lowest since early March), down nearly 40% from conflict peaks over six straight losing days. The IEA warned of a looming supply glut, projecting an 8M bpd supply increase by 2027 against just 2M bpd demand growth, with 100+ stranded tankers set for release.

  • Gold tug-of-war — Geopolitical relief weighed on gold, but lower oil prices eased inflation fears and provided support; remains well below its January $5,589 record high.

  • Bitcoin flat — BTC ended the week roughly unchanged, briefly dipping below $62,300; still recovering from its sub-$60,000 break two weeks ago.

  • Japan surges — Nikkei 225 +7.62%, TOPIX +4.80% on AI capex. BoJ hiked 25bp to 1.0% (highest since 1995) and reduced JGB purchases; yen weakened to ~160.8.


2. US Market – SPX gains 0.93% as semiconductor rebound offsets healthcare and energy drag

The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ gained 0.93% and closed at 7,500.58, as a powerful rebound in semiconductor names offset sharp declines in healthcare and energy majors. The index reclaimed the 7,500 level as AI infrastructure demand revived chip-sector sentiment.

Industry leaders: Hydrogen Energy (+30.61%), NVIDIA Portfolio (+25.32%), Heavy Electrical Equipment (+23.72%).

10 Popular Stocks:

  • $ARM Holdings(ARM)$ +28.41% — The chip-design IP leader skyrocketed on AI edge-computing demand and licensing momentum across smartphone and data-center markets.

  • $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ +9.75% — The world's largest foundry rallied on resilient front-end capex and advanced-node demand from AI chip customers.

  • $Micron Technology(MU)$ +13.87% — The memory-chip maker surged on HBM supply-demand tightness and recovering AI server DRAM pricing.

  • $Intel(INTC)$ +14.56% — The chipmaker bounced back on restructuring progress and foundry strategy clarity, with bargain hunters stepping in at depressed valuations.

  • $Applied Materials(AMAT)$ +11.67% — The semiconductor equipment giant advanced on AI-driven wafer fabrication demand and expanding memory capex.

  • $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ +10.02% — The chip designer rallied on AI accelerator market-share optimism and data-center revenue growth.

  • $Microsoft(MSFT)$ -2.8% — The cloud giant slipped on Azure growth deceleration concerns and profit-taking after recent strength.

  • $Eli Lilly(LLY)$ -5.37% — The pharma heavyweight retreated on GLP-1 pricing pressure fears and manufacturing scale-up execution risks.

  • $Exxon Mobil(XOM)$ -6% — The supermajor tumbled alongside Brent crude weakness and OPEC+ supply increase speculation.

  • $Johnson & Johnson(JNJ)$ -4.17% — The healthcare bellwether declined on pharmaceutical pipeline concerns and rotation out of defensive names.

Performance is subjected to market volatility

3. Hong Kong Market – HSI tumbles 3.21% as energy collapse and tech weakness overwhelm HSBC rally

$HSI(HSI)$: The Hang Seng Index plunged 3.21% and closed at 23,924.81, as a brutal selloff in energy majors and tech giants overwhelmed strength in HSBC and Zijin Mining. The index broke below the 24,000 support level.

The $HSTECH(HSTECH)$ declined 2.14% and closed at 4,604.35.

Industry leaders: Systems Software (+58.29%), Electronic Components (+24.48%), Fast Food Chainstore (+20.52%).

9 Popular Stocks:

Performance is subjected to market volatility

4. Singapore Market – STI gains 3.32% as banks and industrials power the index

The $Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$ surged 3.32% and closed at 5,192.7, briefly touching an all-time high of 5,226.03 during the week.

Sectors: Real Estate Development (+23.30%), IT Consulting & Other Services (+15.56%), Software & IT Services (+14.77%).

9 Popular Stocks:

  • $YZJ Shipbldg SGD(BS6.SI)$ +6.9% — Advanced on strong order-book momentum and defense-spending tailwinds.

  • $SGX(S68.SI)$ +6.02% — Surged on rising volumes. 1HFY2026 net revenue S$695.4M (+7.6% YoY), Equities-Cash up 16.2%.

  • $OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$ +4.81% — Advanced on resilient regional credit and record non-interest income. Closed at SGD 24.63.

  • $DBS(D05.SI)$ +4.3% — Touched 52-week high of SGD 66.25; market cap SGD 187.17B. Q1 net profit S$2.93B, 17.0% ROE. UOB Kay Hian Buy at SGD 66.75.

  • $Wilmar Intl(F34.SI)$ +4.48% — Advanced on resilient food-products demand; P/E 13.36, 4.19% yield.

  • $Sembcorp Ind(U96.SI)$ +3.1% — Gained on energy transition tailwinds.

  • $ST Engineering(S63.SI)$ +2.46% — 1QFY2026 earnings up >15% YoY; YTD return 28.37%, outperforming STI's 9.46%.

  • $HongkongLand USD(H78.SI)$ -3.68% — Declined on Hong Kong office leasing concerns; P/B 0.51, 3.41% yield.

  • $Top Glove(BVA.SI)$ -9.8% — Collapsed on weak demand and margin compression; trades at SGD 0.23, market cap SGD 1.84B.

Performance is subjected to market volatility

5. Australian Market – XJO edges up 0.28% as healthcare and banks offset resource collapse

The $S&P/ASX 200(XJO.AU)$ gained 0.28% to 8,828.7, as strength in healthcare, banking, and aviation offset a brutal selloff in energy and miners.

Sectors: Semiconductors (+28.75%), Semiconductor Equipment (+22.95%), Interactive Home Entertainment (+21.35%).

9 Popular Stocks:

Performance is subjected to market volatility

The Week Ahead

1. Macro Factors

  • New Home Sales – Wednesday

  • Energy Information Administration Oil Situation Report – Wednesday

  • Durable Goods Orders – Thursday

  • Gross Domestic Product – Weekly

  • Personal Income and Spending – Thursday

  • Unemployment Claims – Thursday

2. Earnings Focus: 22 June-26 June

$Carnival(CCL)$ - Tuesday

$FedEx(FDX)$ - Tuesday

$Micron Technology(MU)$ - Wednesday

$Paychex(PAYX)$ Wednesday

$Trip.com Group Limited(TCOM)$ - Wednesday

$Darden Restaurants(DRI)$ - Thursday

# Fed Chair Warsh’s Debut: What Happens When Fed’s “Script” Changes?

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Report

Comment

  • Top
  • Latest
empty
No comments yet