To The Moon

Avis Budget Group just pulled off something that shouldn’t be possible.

A company buried under $25B in debt just went vertical —

+600% in a month, smashing all-time highs at $608.80 after a +23% single-day surge.

$Avis Budget(CAR)$  

Read that again.

Now here’s where reality starts to glitch:

Two hedge funds — SRS Investment Management and Pentwater Capital Management — quietly control 71% of the shares.

But it gets crazier.

Once you include their cash-settled equity swaps, their effective exposure goes over 100% of the entire float.

Yes — more claims than actual shares in existence.

Meanwhile, the company itself?

– Burned $995M

– Crushed under massive debt

– Fundamentals deteriorating for months

And the market said: doesn’t matter.

Because this was never about fundamentals.

This was a structural failure.

A market where:

– There are no shares left to borrow

– The float is completely locked

– Shorts are trapped with zero exits

That’s not investing anymore.

That’s supply shock physics.

What happens next?

A short squeeze with no ceiling.

So a struggling rental car company didn’t 6x because it got better…

It 6x’d because the system ran out of shares before it ran out of buyers.

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