To The Moon

Last Week's Recap

1. The US Market - Major indexes recovered with growth tops value, inflation acceleration,

• Modest rebound: The major U.S. stock indexes recovered, The $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ finished 1.5% higher—snapping a string of five consecutive weekly declines—while the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ gained 1.1% and the $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ added 0.3%.

• GDP slowdown: The U.S. GDP grew at an annualized rate of 1.4% in the fourth quarter, below economists’ consensus estimate of roughly 2.5% growth. One negative factor was a decline in federal spending amid the fourth quarter’s prolonged government shutdown.

• Inflation acceleration: Friday’s Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index release showed that inflation rose in December at an annual rate of 2.9%—the highest since March 2024.

• Growth tops value: The Russell 2000 Index, as a growth equity benchmark outperformed a value index, finished around 1.7% higher for the week, while the Russell 1000 Value Index added 0.7%.

• Yield uptick: The yield of the 10-year U.S. Treasury finished the week around 4.08%, up from the year-to-date low of 4.05% at the end of the previous week.

• Crude awakening: The price of U.S. crude oil climbed nearly 6% for the week after rising to the highest level in more than six months.

• Crypto decline: On Friday, $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ was trading below $68,000—down about 23% year to date and well below the record high of about $126,000 set last October.

• Earnings Spotlight: This week, investors will focus on quarterly earnings reports from 55 S&P 500 companies, including major names like $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ , $Home Depot(HD)$ $Salesforce.com(CRM)$.

Read more>>https://ttm.financial/news/1134205710

2. The US Sectors & Stocks - Basic material, industrial and Energy Stocks Lead Market Movements

Sectors: The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ index rose by 1.07% and closed at 6909.51. Basic Materials led gains (+2.94%) as commodity prices strengthened on improving global manufacturing data and supply constraints in key industrial metals. Cyclical sectors like Industrials (+2.48%) and Energy (+2.4%) outperformed, reflecting renewed risk appetite.

• $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ increased 5.27% as it surpassed Walmart to become the largest company by annual revenue, reflecting its dominant market position and growth in AI capabilities.

• $GE Aerospace(GE)$ rose 9.69%, reflecting robust aerospace demand and successful portfolio transformation post-split.

• $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ added 2.72%, the modest uptick comes amid a stabilizing rate outlook and resilient U.S. economic data. As JPM's performance remains tightly linked to macroeconomic sentiment and net interest margin expectations.

• $Occidental(OXY)$ rose 12.52% as it reported Q4 earnings that surpassed Wall Street estimates, driven by increased production despite lower oil prices, showcasing resilience in a challenging market.

• $DoorDash, Inc.(DASH)$ climbed 9.95% after reporting a 38% year-over-year revenue growth in Q4, despite missing earnings expectations. The company highlighted strong order growth and plans for future investments in autonomous delivery vehicles.

• $Opendoor Technologies Inc(OPEN)$ jumped 12.49% following its Q4 earnings report, which exceeded revenue expectations, boosting investor confidence in its strategic transformation and growth trajectory.

• $Etsy(ETSY)$ surged 14.10% as it announced the sale of its Depop platform to eBay, allowing it to focus on its core marketplace, with Q4 results exceeding expectations.

• $AppLovin Corporation(APP)$ surged over 7.2%, driven by rumors of a potential partnership with OpenAI to commercialize ChatGPT through advertising, despite no official confirmation.

• $Hecla Mining(HL)$ experienced a 6.28% increase, buoyed by strong Q4 financial results, including an adjusted EBITDA of $251.058 million and revenue of $448.111 million, indicating robust financial health.

• $Tempus AI(TEM)$ rose 12.36% as it announced a new RNA-based HRD detection algorithm, enhancing its diagnostic capabilities and market position.

• $Wal-Mart(WMT)$ fell 8.14% after providing a softer-than-expected full-year guidance, despite strong Q4 sales growth, reflecting concerns over future profitability.

• $Palo Alto Networks(PANW)$ dropped 10.93% as it cut its annual profit forecast due to increased costs from recent acquisitions, despite reporting better-than-expected Q2 results.

3. Hong Kong Market - HSI dropped 0.58% amid mixed market performance

$HSI(HSI)$ The Hang Seng Index declined by 0.58% and closed at 26,413.35. Market sentiment was mixed, with technology stocks underperforming, as the Hang Seng Tech Index fell 2.78%. AI-related stocks, however, showed resilience, driven by strong investor interest in emerging technologies.

• $PETROCHINA(00857)$ increased 5.19%, benefited from China's renewed stimulus measures targeting infrastructure and manufacturing, boosting domestic oil demand expectations. The company's natural gas division showed steady growth on winter heating demand.

• $CNOOC(00883)$ added 6.02%, outperformed peers on higher production volume guidance for 2026 and successful cost discipline in offshore drilling operations. Market optimism around China's strategic energy security priorities and the improved cash flow outlook supporting the rally.

• $ZIJIN MINING(02899)$ rose 2.55%, gained on rising copper and gold prices driven by safe-haven flows and supply constraints in key mining jurisdictions. The company's aggressive global asset acquisitions and strong Q4 2025 production beat reinforced its position as a top-tier diversified miner.

• $BYD COMPANY(01211)$ declined 2.35%, faced profit-taking pressure after a strong run-up, with concerns over intensifying price competition in China's EV market and margin compression from battery cost volatility. Export market uncertainties regarding potential EU tariff adjustments also weighed on sentiment despite solid sales volumes.

• $AIA(01299)$ increased 2.49% weekly, due to improving new business value growth across Hong Kong and Southeast Asian markets. The insurer's shift toward higher-margin protection products and stable investment returns supported rerating.

• $MEITUAN-W(03690)$ reported a 1.71% weekly decline. The company forecastied a significant loss for 2025 due to core commerce segment challenges and increased overseas investments. Despite the loss, Jefferies maintained a 'buy' rating, citing losses below consensus.

• $HAIZHI TECH GP(02706)$ surged 66.4%, driven by its strong debut on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and its leadership in the AI intelligent body sector. The company’s rapid revenue growth and market optimism about the AI sector contributed to the rally.

• $MINIMAX-WP(00100)$ saw a remarkable 42.65% weekly gain, reaching a new all-time high. The company launched its flagship programming model MiniMax M2.5, which received positive market and institutional feedback, showcasing its growth potential in the AI sector.

• $KNOWLEDGE ATLAS(02513)$ skyrocketed 49.48%, the company launched its new flagship model GLM-5, which significantly enhanced performance and drove strong sales of its subscription packages, reflecting a shift in industry pricing dynamics.

4. Singapore Market - STI Surges 1.6% Amid Positive Market Sentiment

$Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$ :The Straits Times Index experienced a robust increase of 1.6% over the week, closing at 5017.6, driven by strong performances in key sectors and positive market sentiment.s

• $YZJ Shipbldg SGD(BS6.SI)$ led the charge with an impressive 8.75% rise, reflecting investor confidence in its growth prospects.

• $OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$ saw a notable increase of 2.89%, buoyed by favorable market conditions and strong earnings expectations.

• $Singtel(Z74.SI)$ gained 2.65%, benefiting from positive sentiment and strategic initiatives to enhance its market position.

• $YZJ Maritime(8YZ.SI)$ rose by 8.04%, showcasing strong investor interest and positive outlook in the technology sector.

• $DBS(D05.SI)$ added 1.63%. It maintained leadership in digital banking engagement with 95% of transactions via digital channels, sustainable finance loan book crossed S$50B milestone, attracting ESG-focused institutional flows. Fee income resilience supported by investment banking activity in regional M&A advisory

• $UOB(U11.SI)$ rose 0.34%, conservative positioning relative to peers, with more muted loan growth guidance for 2026, integration costs from Citigroup consumer banking acquisition in Southeast Asia weighing near-term sentiment, NIM compression concerns as funding costs normalized across regional markets.

• $ST Engineering(S63.SI)$ added 1.7%, defense segment order wins from regional governments amid rising geopolitical tensions in Asia-Pacific, commercial aerospace MRO recovery continuing with passenger traffic returning to pre-pandemic levels, smart city projects in Middle East progressing to execution phase, converting pipeline to revenue

5. Australian Market - ASX 200 gains 1.84% amid strong corporate earnings

$S&P/ASX 200(XJO.AU)$ : The S&P/ASX 200 Index rose by 1.84% and closed at 9,081.4, driven by robust corporate earnings and positive market sentiment.

• $COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA(CBA.AU)$ added 3.33%, the Australia's largest lender was boosted by RBA rate cut expectations boosted NIM outlook; strong Q1 credit quality fueled capital return optimism.

• $BHP GROUP LTD(BHP.AU)$ gained 4.3%, the world's largest miner price surge due to copper surge to $9,800/t on supply disruptions; iron ore stabilization and potash diversification drove gains.

• $Rio Tinto Ltd(RIO.AU)$ dropped 3.79%, the mining giant declined because iron ore guidance cut on Pilbara challenges; Oyu Tolgoi cost blowout and aluminum curtailments weighed.

• $NEWMONT CORP-CDI(NEM.AU)$ loss 0.9%, the gold miner drop due to gold price consolidation below $3,000 resistance; Ahafo mine miss and delayed asset sales dragged.

• $APA GROUP(APA.AU)$ gained 0.77%, it reported H1 adjusted revenue of AUD 1,391 million and adjusted net income of AUD 95 million, reflecting stable financial performance.

• $QBE INSURANCE GROUP LTD(QBE.AU)$ surged by 10.28%, the company announced a full-year profit after tax of USD 2,157 million, surpassing estimates. Price supported by strong financial results and the announcement of the sale of its global trade credit and surety business.

• $JB HI-FI LTD(JBH.AU)$ ended the week up 10.57%, the company posted half-year sales of AUD 6.1 billion and net income of AUD 305.8 million, showcasing solid performance.

• $Macquarie(MQG.AU)$ saw a modest 1.49%, expanded its infrastructure portfolio with a $952 million acquisition of IHS Towers' Latin America operations.

The Week Ahead

1. Macro Factors -Earnings Season and Economic Data in Focus

• The Supreme Court's ruling on tariffs has created some market optimism, but the White House is exploring other tariff policy options.

• Key economic data releases include the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index on Tuesday, with an expected rise to 87.5 from January's 84.5, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics' Producer Price Index on Friday, anticipated to increase by 0.3% month over month.

• Market trends will be influenced by earnings results, particularly from tech giants, and investor sentiment will be shaped by the latest economic indicators.

2. Earnings Spotlight: HIMS, HD, CRCL, NVDA, CRM

This week, investors will focus on quarterly earnings reports from 55 S&P 500 companies, including major names like Nvidia, Home Depot, and Salesforce.

Berkshire Hathaway will release its earnings and annual report on Saturday under new CEO Greg Abel.

🔥 Mega-Cap Tech Spotlight

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ — Wednesday After-Hours

• The most watched report of the week. Investors will focus on Blackwell chip ramp-up progress, data center revenue sustainability, and AI capex guidance amid increasing competition from custom silicon (Google TPU, Amazon Trainium).

🏠 Retail & Consumer

$Home Depot(HD)$ — Tuesday Pre-Market

• Bellwether for U.S. housing market health and consumer discretionary spending. Key metrics: comparable store sales, pro customer momentum, and 2026 guidance amid mortgage rate volatility.

$Domino's Pizza(DPZ)$ — Monday Pre-Market

• Delivery demand trends and international expansion progress will signal consumer behavior shifts.

☁️ Enterprise Software

$Salesforce.com(CRM)$ — Wednesday After-Hours

• Agentforce AI monetization traction and Q4 bookings will test the AI narrative versus execution reality.

$Snowflake(SNOW)$ — Wednesday After-Hours

• Product revenue growth reacceleration and consumption trends critical for cloud data warehouse sentiment.

🔋 Energy & Infrastructure

$Vistra Energy Corp.(VST)$ — Thursday Pre-Market

• Nuclear renaissance play. Investors eye capacity factor improvements and power purchase agreement pricing.

$NuScale Power(SMR)$ — Thursday After-Hours

• Small modular reactor development milestones and Department of Energy funding updates.

🚗 EV & Mobility

$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$ — Tuesday After-Hours

• Production targets and liquidity runway remain key concerns for luxury EV positioning.

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ — Thursday Pre-Market

• Inventory normalization progress and EV profitability timeline in European/U.S. markets.