1/7 Hot Tech Stock Options: Key Week for US Market Giants, Options Market Reveals Intense Bull-Bear
$TSLA$
Key News:
Analyst New Street raised Tesla's target price to $600 (from $520), maintaining a Buy rating, expected to boost the stock price.
Tesla stock fell 4.14% to $432.96, primarily due to BYD outselling Tesla in two major European markets (Germany) (BYD surged to 23,306 units, Tesla declined to 19,390 units), sparking market concerns.
Options Analysis:
Current Implied Volatility (IV) is very high, indicating market expectation for sharp price swings. Sentiment is slightly bullish, but institutions have already bought large put options for hedging, increasing volatility risk.
This Week (1/9): Expected to swing widely within $425 - $450.
Next Week (1/16): The range may widen to $420 - $460.
Key Support: $420 - $430. $430 is this week's key support; $420 is a dense defensive line for next week's put options.
Key Resistance: $450 - $460. $450 is a psychological barrier; $460 is the upside target for next week.
Options Strategy Reference:
Recommend Sell Put strategy (Absolute Delta < 0.25, strike price significantly below current price to reduce assignment risk).
$TSLA 20260116 400.0 PUT$
Reason: Delta -0.134 (absolute value < 0.25), high liquidity (open interest 21,589 contracts), ITM probability only 12.81% (win rate ~87%), suitable for capturing time decay.
Stop-Loss Suggestion: Close the position immediately for a stop-loss if the stock price falls below $400 (strike price).
$NVDA$
Key News:
NVIDIA unveiled multiple AI technologies at CES 2026: Rubin chips (H2 deployment), physics-AI models for robotics, and a BlueField-4-powered storage platform.
CoreWeave plans to integrate Rubin technology; Magna cooperates to provide autonomous driving solutions.
Options Analysis:
Current Implied Volatility (IV) is relatively low, but market sentiment is extremely bullish, with call option (CALL) trading very active.
This Week (1/9): Expected to fluctuate within $180 - $195.
Next Week (1/16): The range may widen slightly to $175 - $195.
Key Support: $180. This area has highly concentrated put option (PUT) open interest, forming a strong "floor" support.
Key Resistance: $195. This level also has highly concentrated call option (CALL) open interest, forming a strong "ceiling" resistance.
Options Strategy Reference:
Sell Put strategy (Delta < 0.25), low-risk premium collection.
$NVDA 20260116 172.0 PUT$
Reason: Delta ≈ 0.11 (low probability of exercise), open interest 7,610 contracts, suitable for time buffer. Stop-loss: Close the position if the stock price falls below $168.
$MU$
Key News:
Institutional reports name it one of the most direct beneficiaries of the "AI memory + storage stack," expected to drive future growth.
Analysts raised EPS estimates and predict the short-term stock price could test $350-$380.
Options Analysis:
Current Implied Volatility (IV) is very high, indicating market expectation for sharp price swings. Bullish sentiment is strong, with large institutional orders also betting on upside.
This Week (1/9): Expected to swing widely within $320 - $350.
Next Week (1/16): The range may widen to $310 - $360.
Key Support: $320 - $330. This range has dense put option (PUT) open interest, forming a key support band.
Key Resistance: $350. This is the all-time high and also a concentrated resistance area for this week's call options (CALL).
Options Strategy Reference:
Recommend selling put options, absolute Delta value < 0.25 (deep out-of-the-money), low risk and high probability of profit.
$MU 20260116 310.0 PUT$
Reason: Delta is -0.155 (|Delta|=0.155<0.25), high time premium; open interest 1,777 contracts; Probability of Profit 14.73%, win rate ≈ 85.27%.
Stop-Loss Suggestion: Close the position for a stop-loss if the stock price falls below $300 (approx. -13%).
$AAPL$
Key News:
Evercore ISI raised Apple's target price to $325, rating "Outperform," due to December App Store revenue growing 6% YoY and strong non-gaming performance.
iPhone 17 series sales in China surpassed 15 million units, with the standard model driving growth.
Investor Duan Yongping shared holdings showing Apple stock returns exceeding 16x, demonstrating long-term confidence.
Options Analysis:
Current Implied Volatility (IV) is at historically low levels, indicating market expectation for very stable price movement. Call option trading is extremely active, sentiment positive.
This Week (1/9): Expected to consolidate narrowly within $257 - $268.
Next Week (1/16): The range may widen slightly to $252 - $275.
Key Support: $250 - $255. $250 is psychological support; $255 is recent technical support.
Key Resistance: $270 - $275. $270 is a resistance area for this week's call options (CALL); $275 is a stronger target for next week.
Options Strategy Reference:
Recommend Sell Put strategy (Delta < 0.25), low probability of exercise, high win rate.
$AAPL 20260116 250.0 PUT$
Reason: Delta -0.116 (win rate ~88.80%), higher time value; benefits from positive news sentiment.
Stop-Loss Suggestion: Exit for a stop-loss if the stock price closes below $252 for two consecutive days.
$AMZN$
Key News:
Amazon AWS partners with Infosys on AI to drive enterprise generative AI applications (latest release).
Analysts are bullish on the Rufus AI shopping assistant, with over 250 million users, expected to contribute $10B GMV; target price $335 (Evercore).
Amazon advertising Q2 sales were $15.69B, up 23% YoY. However, Wolf Research lowered the target price to $275, maintaining a "Buy" rating.
Options Analysis:
Current Implied Volatility (IV) is relatively high, indicating market expectation for significant price movement. Call option trading is extremely active, sentiment strongly bullish.
This Week (1/9): Expected to trend upward with fluctuations within $235 - $250.
Next Week (1/16): The range may widen to $230 - $255.
Key Support: $230 - $235. $230 is a dense defensive line for put options (PUT); $235 is the lower bound of this week's range.
Key Resistance: $240 - $250. $240 is the current bull-bear battle line; $250 is a psychological barrier and key resistance.
Options Strategy Reference:
Recommend Sell Put strategy (Delta < 0.25), high win rate, suitable for beginners.
$AMZN 20260116 210.0 PUT$
Reason: Similar Delta, offers higher time premium, high open interest, suitable for slightly longer holds. Stop-loss suggestion: Close if price falls below $220.
$AMD$
Key News:
AMD launched multiple AI products at CES 2026, including the Helios rack platform (3 AI exaflops per rack) and Instinct MI400 series accelerators, plans MI500 for 2027 with 1000x performance improvement.
Partners with OpenAI to deploy MI400 chips, enhancing AI compute power.
Cantor Fitzgerald lowered the target price from $350 to $300, maintaining an "Overweight" rating.
New Ryzen AI embedded processors and mini-PCs expected to launch Q1-Q2 2026.
Options Analysis:
Current Implied Volatility (IV) is very high, indicating market expectation for sharp price swings. Overall sentiment leans bullish.
This Week (1/9): Expected to swing widely within $200 - $230.
Next Week (1/16): The range may widen to $195 - $235.
Key Support: $200 - $195. $200 is a dense defensive line for put options (PUT); $195 has large institutional order support.
Key Resistance: $220 - $225. $220 is resistance for this week's call options (CALL); $225 is the recent high.
Options Strategy Reference:
Recommend Sell Put strategy (Delta < 0.25) to collect premium, with controllable risk.
$AMD 20260116 190.0 PUT$
Reason: Lower Delta (win rate ≈ 97%), higher time premium, suitable for volatility buffer. Stop-loss: Close the position if the stock price falls below $185.
$PLTR$
Key News:
Analyst Rating: Truist initiated coverage on PLTR with a "Buy" rating, target price $223.
Military Applications: PLTR's Gotham platform plays a core role in US military operations, strengthening expectations for AI+Defense synergy.
Options Analysis:
Current Implied Volatility (IV) is very high, indicating market expectation for sharp price swings. Overall sentiment leans bullish.
This Week (1/9): Expected to swing widely within $175 - $185.
Next Week (1/16): The range may widen to $170 - $190.
Key Support: $170. This is an important technical support level and the most concentrated "iron floor" for put option (PUT) open interest.
Key Resistance: $185. This is the recent high and the main target for bulls.
Options Strategy Reference:
Sell Put strategy (Delta < 0.25, high win rate + premium collection)
$PLTR 20260116 170.00 PUT$
Reason: Sufficient time buffer, $170 strike has concentrated put open interest, strong market sentiment support.
Stop-Loss: Stop loss if the stock price falls below $166 (to protect against downside risk).
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- bubblyx·01-07 21:24Bullish on Palantir, selling puts is smart move. [看涨]LikeReport
