It's already 80~90USD in China

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2025-12-29

It's already 80~90USD in China on retail

Clocktower's Kevin Wang: Silver is the Highest Conviction Trade; If the Fed "Dares" to Cut Rates Amid Inflation, Silver Will "Go to the Moon" | Alpha Summit

On December 24, spot silver surged aggressively, not only breaking through the key psychological barrier of $70 per ounce but also reaching a high of $72/oz, quickly becoming the market's focal...

Clocktower's Kevin Wang: Silver is the Highest Conviction Trade; If the Fed "Dares" to Cut Rates Amid Inflation, Silver Will "Go to the Moon" | Alpha Summit

# Spot Silver Surpasses $70 Per Ounce for the First Time

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This price surge reflects increased demand and market dynamics influencing silver valuation."}],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"title":"","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>It's already 80~90USD in China on retail</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>It's already 80~90USD in China on retail</p></body></html>","text":"It's already 80~90USD in China on retail","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/515944238993848","repostId":1184870945,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1184870945","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Global Stock Market Deep Analysis","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Deep News","id":"1039043262","head_image":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8296859682db4b478146245e72de1922"},"pubTimestamp":1766568736,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1184870945?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-12-24 17:32","market":"nz","language":"en","title":"Clocktower's Kevin Wang: Silver is the Highest Conviction Trade; If the Fed \"Dares\" to Cut Rates Amid Inflation, Silver Will \"Go to the Moon\" | Alpha Summit","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184870945","media":"Deep News","summary":"On December 24, spot silver surged aggressively, not only breaking through the key psychological barrier of $70 per ounce but also reaching a high of $72/oz, quickly becoming the market's focal...","content":"<p>On December 24, spot silver surged aggressively, not only breaking through the key psychological barrier of $70 per ounce but also reaching a high of $72/oz, quickly becoming the market's focal point. This rally confirmed and extended the increasingly bullish sentiment toward silver in recent days.</p>\n<p>On December 19, Kevin Wang, Chief Strategist at Clocktower, explicitly labeled silver as the current \"highest conviction trade\" at the Alpha Summit and made a bold prediction: global central banks will eventually have to intervene in the silver market, incorporating it into reserve assets.</p>\n<p>Wang pointed out that while gold prices have repeatedly hit record highs, silver's valuation remains highly attractive when adjusted for inflation. He noted that real gold prices have far exceeded their 1979 peak, whereas real silver prices have only just broken out of a long-term downtrend. Additionally, the gold-silver ratio recently breached a 15-year upward trendline—a technical signal suggesting silver is likely to outperform gold in the current precious metals bull market.</p>\n<p>Challenging the traditional view that \"central banks don’t hold silver,\" Wang presented a contrarian argument. He argued that as Western sovereign bond markets face unprecedented turmoil, the global wealth pool—worth hundreds of trillions—urgently needs alternative stores of value. With gold overcrowded and platinum/palladium markets too small, silver stands as the only physical asset capable of absorbing massive capital outflows. This isn’t a matter of central bank preference but a \"necessary choice\" amid a faltering fiat currency system.</p>\n<p>Wang also highlighted macro policy as a potential catalyst for silver. He warned that if a second-term Trump administration pushes populist economic policies—pressuring the Fed to cut rates despite high inflation—real rates would plunge. Such a scenario, where the Fed \"falls behind the inflation curve,\" could mirror the 1970s precious metals frenzy, propelling silver into a \"parabolic phase.\"</p>\n<p>**Valuation Gap: Dual Breakouts in Silver’s Real Price and Gold-Silver Ratio**  \nWang elaborated on silver’s technical and valuation upside. While nominal gold prices hit records, inflation-adjusted \"real\" gold is already at historic highs. In contrast, silver’s real price has only recently broken out of its long-term downtrend, signaling significant catch-up potential.</p>\n<p>The gold-silver ratio’s breakdown is even more critical. As a core gauge of relative value, its 15-year uptrend reversal suggests silver now offers far better risk-reward than gold. Clocktower views long silver as its highest-conviction play, though Wang cautioned against chasing the rally at current levels, emphasizing that the uptrend is far from over.</p>\n<p>**Ultimate Forecast: Central Bank Entry as a \"No-Choice\" Outcome**  \nAddressing skepticism over silver’s reserve status, Wang offered a macro-geopolitical thesis. Since Bretton Woods, global wealth has relied on fiat credit (e.g., U.S. Treasuries). Yet, in today’s multipolar world, eroding fiscal discipline and soaring debt undermine bonds as safe stores of value.</p>\n<p>With ~$150 trillion in global debt and private wealth seeking havens amid bond market instability, Wang noted gold is already expensive, while platinum/palladium markets are too small. Thus, silver emerges as the only viable alternative. Central banks buying silver, he stressed, isn’t optional—it’s a hedge against systemic fiat risks.</p>\n<p>**Macro Catalyst: If the Fed Lags Inflation, \"Silver Goes to the Moon\"**  \nOn future price drivers, Wang singled out U.S. political risks. Should Trump emulate Turkey’s Erdogan—forcing rate cuts despite inflation to prioritize growth—the Fed’s delayed response would echo the 1975–1979 stagflation era, when negative real rates ignited historic metals rallies. Once markets confirm the Fed is cutting amid rising inflation, Wang said, silver would enter its strongest acceleration phase.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Clocktower's Kevin Wang: Silver is the Highest Conviction Trade; If the Fed \"Dares\" to Cut Rates Amid Inflation, Silver Will \"Go to the Moon\" | Alpha Summit</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nClocktower's Kevin Wang: Silver is the Highest Conviction Trade; If the Fed \"Dares\" to Cut Rates Amid Inflation, Silver Will \"Go to the Moon\" | Alpha Summit\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1039043262\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8296859682db4b478146245e72de1922);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Deep News </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-12-24 17:32</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On December 24, spot silver surged aggressively, not only breaking through the key psychological barrier of $70 per ounce but also reaching a high of $72/oz, quickly becoming the market's focal point. This rally confirmed and extended the increasingly bullish sentiment toward silver in recent days.</p>\n<p>On December 19, Kevin Wang, Chief Strategist at Clocktower, explicitly labeled silver as the current \"highest conviction trade\" at the Alpha Summit and made a bold prediction: global central banks will eventually have to intervene in the silver market, incorporating it into reserve assets.</p>\n<p>Wang pointed out that while gold prices have repeatedly hit record highs, silver's valuation remains highly attractive when adjusted for inflation. He noted that real gold prices have far exceeded their 1979 peak, whereas real silver prices have only just broken out of a long-term downtrend. Additionally, the gold-silver ratio recently breached a 15-year upward trendline—a technical signal suggesting silver is likely to outperform gold in the current precious metals bull market.</p>\n<p>Challenging the traditional view that \"central banks don’t hold silver,\" Wang presented a contrarian argument. He argued that as Western sovereign bond markets face unprecedented turmoil, the global wealth pool—worth hundreds of trillions—urgently needs alternative stores of value. With gold overcrowded and platinum/palladium markets too small, silver stands as the only physical asset capable of absorbing massive capital outflows. This isn’t a matter of central bank preference but a \"necessary choice\" amid a faltering fiat currency system.</p>\n<p>Wang also highlighted macro policy as a potential catalyst for silver. He warned that if a second-term Trump administration pushes populist economic policies—pressuring the Fed to cut rates despite high inflation—real rates would plunge. Such a scenario, where the Fed \"falls behind the inflation curve,\" could mirror the 1970s precious metals frenzy, propelling silver into a \"parabolic phase.\"</p>\n<p>**Valuation Gap: Dual Breakouts in Silver’s Real Price and Gold-Silver Ratio**  \nWang elaborated on silver’s technical and valuation upside. While nominal gold prices hit records, inflation-adjusted \"real\" gold is already at historic highs. In contrast, silver’s real price has only recently broken out of its long-term downtrend, signaling significant catch-up potential.</p>\n<p>The gold-silver ratio’s breakdown is even more critical. As a core gauge of relative value, its 15-year uptrend reversal suggests silver now offers far better risk-reward than gold. Clocktower views long silver as its highest-conviction play, though Wang cautioned against chasing the rally at current levels, emphasizing that the uptrend is far from over.</p>\n<p>**Ultimate Forecast: Central Bank Entry as a \"No-Choice\" Outcome**  \nAddressing skepticism over silver’s reserve status, Wang offered a macro-geopolitical thesis. Since Bretton Woods, global wealth has relied on fiat credit (e.g., U.S. Treasuries). Yet, in today’s multipolar world, eroding fiscal discipline and soaring debt undermine bonds as safe stores of value.</p>\n<p>With ~$150 trillion in global debt and private wealth seeking havens amid bond market instability, Wang noted gold is already expensive, while platinum/palladium markets are too small. Thus, silver emerges as the only viable alternative. Central banks buying silver, he stressed, isn’t optional—it’s a hedge against systemic fiat risks.</p>\n<p>**Macro Catalyst: If the Fed Lags Inflation, \"Silver Goes to the Moon\"**  \nOn future price drivers, Wang singled out U.S. political risks. Should Trump emulate Turkey’s Erdogan—forcing rate cuts despite inflation to prioritize growth—the Fed’s delayed response would echo the 1975–1979 stagflation era, when negative real rates ignited historic metals rallies. Once markets confirm the Fed is cutting amid rising inflation, Wang said, silver would enter its strongest acceleration phase.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TLT":"20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","BK4581":"高盛持仓","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","TMF":"3倍做多20年期以上国债ETF-Direxion","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","TLTW":"iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond Buywrite Strategy ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","SLV":"白银ETF-iShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4588":"碎股"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184870945","content_text":"On December 24, spot silver surged aggressively, not only breaking through the key psychological barrier of $70 per ounce but also reaching a high of $72/oz, quickly becoming the market's focal point. This rally confirmed and extended the increasingly bullish sentiment toward silver in recent days.\nOn December 19, Kevin Wang, Chief Strategist at Clocktower, explicitly labeled silver as the current \"highest conviction trade\" at the Alpha Summit and made a bold prediction: global central banks will eventually have to intervene in the silver market, incorporating it into reserve assets.\nWang pointed out that while gold prices have repeatedly hit record highs, silver's valuation remains highly attractive when adjusted for inflation. He noted that real gold prices have far exceeded their 1979 peak, whereas real silver prices have only just broken out of a long-term downtrend. Additionally, the gold-silver ratio recently breached a 15-year upward trendline—a technical signal suggesting silver is likely to outperform gold in the current precious metals bull market.\nChallenging the traditional view that \"central banks don’t hold silver,\" Wang presented a contrarian argument. He argued that as Western sovereign bond markets face unprecedented turmoil, the global wealth pool—worth hundreds of trillions—urgently needs alternative stores of value. With gold overcrowded and platinum/palladium markets too small, silver stands as the only physical asset capable of absorbing massive capital outflows. This isn’t a matter of central bank preference but a \"necessary choice\" amid a faltering fiat currency system.\nWang also highlighted macro policy as a potential catalyst for silver. He warned that if a second-term Trump administration pushes populist economic policies—pressuring the Fed to cut rates despite high inflation—real rates would plunge. Such a scenario, where the Fed \"falls behind the inflation curve,\" could mirror the 1970s precious metals frenzy, propelling silver into a \"parabolic phase.\"\n**Valuation Gap: Dual Breakouts in Silver’s Real Price and Gold-Silver Ratio**  \nWang elaborated on silver’s technical and valuation upside. While nominal gold prices hit records, inflation-adjusted \"real\" gold is already at historic highs. In contrast, silver’s real price has only recently broken out of its long-term downtrend, signaling significant catch-up potential.\nThe gold-silver ratio’s breakdown is even more critical. As a core gauge of relative value, its 15-year uptrend reversal suggests silver now offers far better risk-reward than gold. Clocktower views long silver as its highest-conviction play, though Wang cautioned against chasing the rally at current levels, emphasizing that the uptrend is far from over.\n**Ultimate Forecast: Central Bank Entry as a \"No-Choice\" Outcome**  \nAddressing skepticism over silver’s reserve status, Wang offered a macro-geopolitical thesis. Since Bretton Woods, global wealth has relied on fiat credit (e.g., U.S. Treasuries). Yet, in today’s multipolar world, eroding fiscal discipline and soaring debt undermine bonds as safe stores of value.\nWith ~$150 trillion in global debt and private wealth seeking havens amid bond market instability, Wang noted gold is already expensive, while platinum/palladium markets are too small. Thus, silver emerges as the only viable alternative. Central banks buying silver, he stressed, isn’t optional—it’s a hedge against systemic fiat risks.\n**Macro Catalyst: If the Fed Lags Inflation, \"Silver Goes to the Moon\"**  \nOn future price drivers, Wang singled out U.S. political risks. Should Trump emulate Turkey’s Erdogan—forcing rate cuts despite inflation to prioritize growth—the Fed’s delayed response would echo the 1975–1979 stagflation era, when negative real rates ignited historic metals rallies. 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