Market Summary - Wait and See

The Dow slipped 0.1%, while the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ rose 0.1% and the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ gained 0.2%.

  • Markets were quiet as investors awaited Friday’s PCE inflation report, the Fed’s preferred gauge.

  • August PCE: +2.7% YoY September estimate: +2.8% YoY A cooler-than-expected reading would likely boost odds of a Fed rate cut, which could support stocks.

  • The Russell 2000 jumped 0.7%, hitting its 7th record close of 2025, helped by optimism around lower interest rates (small-caps are more debt-sensitive).

Index

Job Market

  • Conflicting signals:

  • ADP report: –32,000 private-sector jobs in November.

  • Jobless claims: New filings fell, suggesting labor-market resilience.

Big Corporate / Global Developments

$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$

  • Considering up to 30% budget cuts to its metaverse division (Horizon Worlds, Quest).

  • Could include layoffs as early as January.

  • Investors pleased: Meta stock closed +3.4%.

India–Russia

  • India will lease a nuclear-powered submarine from Russia for ~$2B after a decade of negotiations—potentially reflecting India’s shift after U.S. tariff tensions.

Ruusia India China

$Alphabet(GOOGL)$

GOOGL

  • Growing confidence in Alphabet’s TPU chips as a major revenue opportunity.

  • Stock is up 30% in Q4, partly on expectations Alphabet may sell TPUs broadly, potential “$1T market.”

Economic Calendar

  • PCE price index (consensus: +2.8% YoY; core: +2.8%)

  • University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (consensus: 52)

  • Victoria’s Secret reports earnings

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This summary is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct their own research before making investment decisions.

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