[Stock Prediction] Alibaba Earnings: Rally or Selloff?
Alibaba reports earnings before the market opens on Nov 25. After running to $192 in early October, the stock has slid for weeks. Now all eyes are on whether this quarter can turn things around. $Alibaba(BABA)$ $BABA-W(09988)$
Analysts expect revenue of RMB 245.16B (+4%), with adjusted net income plunging -63% YoY to RMB 13.47B, as subsidies for on-demand retail and AI investments weigh on profits.
🔍 What Investors Are Watching
E-commerce: Strong traffic, expensive growth
Taobao and Tmall are still growing, and user activity keeps improving thanks to the “Flash Sale” push. But the company is spending a lot to compete in ultra-fast delivery. Losses in this segment are still big, even though Alibaba started pulling back on subsidies in September. Investors want to see if profitability starts to stabilize.
Alibaba Cloud: The bright spot
Cloud remains the key story. Growth is speeding up again, helped by demand for AI infrastructure. Alibaba is also expanding overseas (Brazil, France, the Netherlands), where cloud margins tend to be better. If cloud accelerates, the stock could react positively.
International commerce: Getting close to breakeven
Alibaba’s global shopping platforms—like AliExpress and Trendyol—are growing steadily.The company is rolling out new AI tools to help sellers find products faster and run their stores more efficiently. Investors want to see whether this segment finally breaks even.
Alibaba will host its earnings call at 20:30 SGT on November 25. Click to set a reminder.
🎁Events Details
What do you think will happen after the earnings?
💬 Comment below with your predicted closing price on November 25 (in USD, two decimal places).
📈 Are you bullish or bearish on $Alibaba(BABA)$ Tell us why!
🎁 Prizes
Anyone who guesses the exact closing price will share 888 Tiger Coins.
We’ll also pick a lucky Tiger to get 100 Tiger coins or $5 stock voucher.
⏰Event Duration
November24-November 25 16:00
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
For me, Alibaba Cloud remains the key swing factor. AI-driven infrastructure demand and overseas expansion could support faster growth and better margins. A strong cloud showing may help offset the sharp drop in adjusted net income.
Overall, I’m cautiously bullish. The stock has already corrected from its October peak, so expectations are lower. My predicted closing price for November 25 is $168.00.
@Tiger_Earnings @Tiger_comments @TigerStars