⚠️ Black Friday Comes Early: Market Selloff or Golden Setup?

The market didn't wait for November 29. Black Friday came early, and it came swinging.

A sudden macro shock, falling rate-cut odds + rising long-term yields + geopolitical uncertainty, triggered a broad de-risking wave.

🟥 Nvidia down

🟥 AMD down

🟥 Oracle down

🟥 Tesla & Palantir: -7%

🟥 SanDisk: -14%

Meanwhile...

🟩 Berkshire is UP 2%

🟩 Cash-rich defensives rotate back into favour.

This wasn't random. It was a positioning reset.

🔍 Here's what actually caused the plunge:

1️⃣ Rate-cut expectations collapsed

Traders went from fantasizing 5 cuts in 2025 → to maybe 2, maybe none.

That alone repriced tech margins instantly.

2️⃣ Liquidity stress from the U.S. shutdown

Government shutdown = frozen contracts, slowed spending, delayed payments, lower liquidity.

This ALWAYS hits tech harder.

3️⃣ Mega-cap tech was extremely overbought

NVDA, PLTR, TSLA had gone parabolic.

A flush was overdue.

🧠 So... should you buy this dip?

Depends which bucket your stocks fall into:

✅ High-quality AI winners (NVDA, PLTR, AMD)

Temporary pullback.

Great for scaling.

These names lead every recovery.

⚠️ Speculative / momentum names

Use caution — liquidity crunch affects them most.

🟢 Defensive giants (BRK, UNH, JPM)

They outperform in this environment.

No surprise Berkshire popped.

🎯 My read:

This looks like a 1–3 day panic flush, not the start of a bear market.

If the shutdown resolves OR bond yields cool even slightly...

🔥 market bounce likely between Wednesday–Friday.

A real rally may spark once Powell reaffirms stability at the next Fed window.

For traders, this dip is a gift wrapped in fear.

I'm not a financial advisor. Trade wisely, Comrades!

# Market Rebound: Will Thanksgiving Week Break the Four-Year Pattern?

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Report

Comment

  • Top
  • Latest
empty
No comments yet