$Archer-Daniels Midland(ADM)$ $The Kraft Heinz Company(KHC)$ $Newmont Mining(NEM)$ 🔥🔥🔥3️⃣3️⃣🚨🚨🚨 The November Minefield: 10-Year Data Exposes $SPX’s Serial Underperformers 🚨
I’m diving deep into 10 years of S&P 500 seasonality data and the numbers speak loud. Some names just don’t play nice in November; historically, these stocks have lagged even in strong market tapes.
Oil & Gas leads the red zone. $EQT and $CTRA have averaged -5.97% and -2.40% returns respectively, with only 30–40% positive Novembers. Even $ADM and $KHC, usually safe harbours in defensive staples, have failed to deliver. Electricity names like $D and $SO show weakness too, reflecting cyclical rotation out of utilities as rate expectations shift.
I’m watching the psychological impact of seasonality. When data like this surfaces, portfolio managers quietly rebalance, trimming exposure to chronic underperformers while leaning into tech and cyclicals. The “November drift” effect can magnify these rotations; it’s not random, it’s behavioural economics at work.
Even with $EXPE posting +6.08% on average (a travel outlier buoyed by holiday demand), the broader trend across Oil, Utilities, Food, and REIT sectors signals a defensive unwind pattern. It’s the kind of pattern that often precedes sector mean reversion, or a tactical short window.
🔑 Key takeaway: history isn’t destiny, but it’s a map. When multiple sectors align negatively on the same seasonal axis, it often reflects deeper risk premia shifts, not just bad luck. I’m analysing whether this November’s macro mix (energy volatility, cooling inflation, and fund rebalancing) might reinforce or break the trend.
👉❓Which one do you think flips the script this year, $EQT or $KHC?
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- Cool Cat Winston·2025-11-06TOP📉 I’ve always been wary of seasonality traps, and this table reinforces it. Seeing $EQT and $CTRA rank so low with barely 30 percent positive Novembers is a strong signal that energy rotation risk might be back. I’d map that against $XLE to see if fund flows confirm it.6Report
- Queengirlypops·2025-11-06TOPYo this list is brutal. Energy and staples getting smoked every November is crazy. It’s like traders forget the data then repeat it. If $EXPE keeps ripping and $EQT dumps again, rotation season gonna be spicy. Gotta love when the numbers call it early 🧃5Report
- Kiwi Tigress·2025-11-06Honestly this is wild. So many of these are the “safe” names people park money in but they’ve been serial underperformers. It kinda shows how short memory gets when seasonality hits. If $SO keeps fading while $EXPE runs, that’s a total vibe flip in market mood1Report
- PetS·2025-11-06$ADM和$KHC等食品生產商的表現持續不佳講述了一個有趣的故事。鑑於大宗商品波動，利潤率壓縮的速度可能比分析師預期的要快。我會將其與$COST流量數據進行比較，以測試防禦彈性。1Report
- Hen Solo·2025-11-06What stood out to me was $EXPE breaking the pattern. Travel strength while defensive sectors stall feels like a macro divergence forming. If discretionary holds up, it could hint at soft-landing confidence returning. I’d pair that with $ABNB trends.1Report
- Tui Jude·2025-11-06⚡有趣的是，像$SO和$D这样的实用程序也表现出类似的弱点。它告诉我，如果利率在月底走高，对收益率敏感的行业可能会再次落后。我正在关注$NEE的表现，因为它经常引导整个公用事业综合体的情绪。1Report
- Enid Bertha·2025-11-06KHC is at 15+ years all time low, dividends, good metrics overall is a steal at this price I think we are the bottom 2026 will be the bounce year for HeinzLikeReport
- Valerie Archibald·2025-11-06By chart, EQT is uptrend, but the market is terrible. EQT has advantage on weather, production control and clear cut strategyLikeReport