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Tesla earning what to expect

Pinkspider
2025-10-21

$TSLA all eyes on earnings this Wednesday. 500 possible in November ✅

Tesla has been basing above 400 the last month ever since breaking above the key 363 level. Every dip near 400 gets bought up quickly showing accumulation before earnings. If earnings are stellar this should trigger the next leg higher on $TSLA pushing us to new All-Time Highs!

Future Growth Outlook

Autonomy & Robotaxi: Potential 2025 launch could add an entirely new recurring-revenue vertical.

Energy Division Expansion: Megapack deployments and energy storage scaling faster than expected, driving margin stability.

AI & Dojo Compute: Training power expansion positions Tesla as a long-term AI infrastructure player beyond vehicles.

Next-Gen Vehicle: Sub-$30K model in development aims to dominate the mass-market EV segment globally.

Global Manufacturing: Giga Mexico and India discussions hint at multi-year production and cost-scaling runway.

Earnings Scenarios

Bull Case

Revenue: $27B+ EPS: $0.70+

Drivers: Strong deliveries, margin expansion, and forward-looking autonomy updates

Stock Target: $500–$525 near term.

Base Case

Revenue: ~$26.3B, EPS: ~$0.54

Drivers: Inline deliveries, steady margins, and balanced commentary.

Stock Target: $450–$475 range consolidation.

Bear Case

Revenue: <$25B, EPS: <$0.35

Drivers: Delivery miss, margin compression, weak macro/incentive commentary

Stock Target: $385–$410 short term.

My Prediction: Tesla beats expectations and rallies to $500+ by month-end, continuing its breakout toward the $3T market cap zone.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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HenryHoward
·2025-10-21
You’ve painted a compelling case
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Every dip near 400 gets bought up quickly showing accumulation before earnings. If earnings are stellar this should trigger the next leg higher on $TSLA pushing us to new All-Time Highs!</p>\n<p>Future Growth Outlook</p>\n<p>Autonomy &amp; Robotaxi: Potential 2025 launch could add an entirely new recurring-revenue vertical.</p>\n<p>Energy Division Expansion: Megapack deployments and energy storage scaling faster than expected, driving margin stability.</p>\n<p>AI &amp; Dojo Compute: Training power expansion positions Tesla as a long-term AI infrastructure player beyond vehicles.</p>\n<p>Next-Gen Vehicle: Sub-$30K model in development aims to dominate the mass-market EV segment globally.</p>\n<p>Global Manufacturing: Giga Mexico and India discussions hint at multi-year production and cost-scaling runway.</p>\n<p>Earnings Scenarios</p>\n<p>Bull Case</p>\n<p>Revenue: $27B+ EPS: $0.70+</p>\n<p>Drivers: Strong deliveries, margin expansion, and forward-looking autonomy updates</p>\n<p>Stock Target: $500–$525 near term.</p>\n<p>Base Case</p>\n<p>Revenue: ~$26.3B, EPS: ~$0.54</p>\n<p>Drivers: Inline deliveries, steady margins, and balanced commentary.</p>\n<p>Stock Target: $450–$475 range consolidation.</p>\n<p>Bear Case</p>\n<p>Revenue: &lt;$25B, EPS: &lt;$0.35</p>\n<p>Drivers: Delivery miss, margin compression, weak macro/incentive commentary</p>\n<p>Stock Target: $385–$410 short term.</p>\n<p>My Prediction: Tesla beats expectations and rallies to $500+ by month-end, continuing its breakout toward the $3T market cap zone.</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>$TSLA all eyes on earnings this Wednesday. 500 possible in November ✅</p>\n<p>Tesla has been basing above 400 the last month ever since breaking above the key 363 level. Every dip near 400 gets bought up quickly showing accumulation before earnings. If earnings are stellar this should trigger the next leg higher on $TSLA pushing us to new All-Time Highs!</p>\n<p>Future Growth Outlook</p>\n<p>Autonomy &amp; Robotaxi: Potential 2025 launch could add an entirely new recurring-revenue vertical.</p>\n<p>Energy Division Expansion: Megapack deployments and energy storage scaling faster than expected, driving margin stability.</p>\n<p>AI &amp; Dojo Compute: Training power expansion positions Tesla as a long-term AI infrastructure player beyond vehicles.</p>\n<p>Next-Gen Vehicle: Sub-$30K model in development aims to dominate the mass-market EV segment globally.</p>\n<p>Global Manufacturing: Giga Mexico and India discussions hint at multi-year production and cost-scaling runway.</p>\n<p>Earnings Scenarios</p>\n<p>Bull Case</p>\n<p>Revenue: $27B+ EPS: $0.70+</p>\n<p>Drivers: Strong deliveries, margin expansion, and forward-looking autonomy updates</p>\n<p>Stock Target: $500–$525 near term.</p>\n<p>Base Case</p>\n<p>Revenue: ~$26.3B, EPS: ~$0.54</p>\n<p>Drivers: Inline deliveries, steady margins, and balanced commentary.</p>\n<p>Stock Target: $450–$475 range consolidation.</p>\n<p>Bear Case</p>\n<p>Revenue: &lt;$25B, EPS: &lt;$0.35</p>\n<p>Drivers: Delivery miss, margin compression, weak macro/incentive commentary</p>\n<p>Stock Target: $385–$410 short term.</p>\n<p>My Prediction: Tesla beats expectations and rallies to $500+ by month-end, continuing its breakout toward the $3T market cap zone.</p></body></html>","text":"$TSLA all eyes on earnings this Wednesday. 500 possible in November ✅ Tesla has been basing above 400 the last month ever since breaking above the key 363 level. Every dip near 400 gets bought up quickly showing accumulation before earnings. If earnings are stellar this should trigger the next leg higher on $TSLA pushing us to new All-Time Highs! Future Growth Outlook Autonomy & Robotaxi: Potential 2025 launch could add an entirely new recurring-revenue vertical. Energy Division Expansion: Megapack deployments and energy storage scaling faster than expected, driving margin stability. AI & Dojo Compute: Training power expansion positions Tesla as a long-term AI infrastructure player beyond vehicles. Next-Gen Vehicle: Sub-$30K model in development aims to dominate the mass-market EV segment globally. Global Manufacturing: Giga Mexico and India discussions hint at multi-year production and cost-scaling runway. Earnings Scenarios Bull Case Revenue: $27B+ EPS: $0.70+ Drivers: Strong deliveries, margin expansion, and forward-looking autonomy updates Stock Target: $500–$525 near term. Base Case Revenue: ~$26.3B, EPS: ~$0.54 Drivers: Inline deliveries, steady margins, and balanced commentary. Stock Target: $450–$475 range consolidation. Bear Case Revenue: <$25B, EPS: <$0.35 Drivers: Delivery miss, margin compression, weak macro/incentive commentary Stock Target: $385–$410 short term. 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